...HIERARCHY PROCESS AND ZERO-ONE-GOAL PROGRAMMING APPROACH Salah R. Agha School of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Islamic University-Gaza, Gaza Strip, Phone: 970-599-746-533, aghasr@yahoo.com ABSTRACT This study uses Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Zero-One Goal Programming(ZOGP) to select the most favorable industrial projects from the viewpoints of three stakeholders, namely, govern mental, consultants and academics. Therefore, it is the purpose of this paper to help reach a consensus among the stakeholders for selecting certain projects using weights obtained by AHP as inputs to (ZOGP) model. This is first done by identifying the projects from each individual stakeholder's viewpoint. Further, an aggregate model that simultaneously combines the viewpoints of the three stakeholders is built assuming that the three stakeholders have equal weights. Results show that the aggregate model does strike a balance not only among the conflicting criteria, but more importantly, it strikes a balance among the different stakeholders. Therefore, the aggregate model would make it easier for stakeholders to reach a consensus. Keywords: Multi Criteria Optimization; Project Prioritization; Integrated AHP-ZOGP; Multi-stakeholder. 1. Introduction Traditional methods used in project selection usually justify the projects using low level capital budgeting which works well for investments with clearly defined benefits as monetary values, but do not work well for...
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...1. Discuss the signaling effects for a firm associated with increasing leverage or implementing a stock repurchase. Increasing leverage is increasing debt of the firm. Leverage is associated with net income/EBIT. In general the higher this ratio the higher the risk because in good times higher leverage gives better results but on the the other hand in bad times high leverage causes problems, because increase in leverage will cause an increase of the beta of the firm. Moreover leverage increases Earnings per share, but still creates risk. Modigliani and Miller says that no capital structure is better than the other because this doesn’t change the total value of the outstanding shares by changing the capital structure. But the required return will be higher since leverage increases risk. As for stock repurchase, instead of paying dividend company may choose stock repurchase. There are 3 ways. First one is , companies may simply purchase their own stock, just like an investor buying in the market. In these open market purchases , the firm’s name is not given as the buyer. So , the one who sells the stock does not know whether the shares were sold back to the firm or to another investor. Secondly , tender offer is another way in which the firm makes a call to its stockholders that it has an intention of buying a fixed number of shares at a pre-determined price. As the last one firm may prefer to buy from specific investor and this process is known as targeted purchase. It...
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...IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 49, NO. 1, FEBRUARY 2002 59 R&D Project Selection Using the Analytic Network Process Laura M. Meade and Adrien Presley Abstract—The analytic network process (ANP) is presented as a potentially valuable method to support the selection of projects in a research and development (R&D) environment. This paper first discusses the requirements of the R&D project selection problem, which requires the allocation of resources to a set of competing and often disparate project proposals. Among the factors complicating this task is the need to make the decision within the framework of an enterprise’s strategic objectives and organizational structure while considering and integrating financial and strategic benefits of each project. The paper discusses the use of the ANP, a general form of Saaty’s analytic hierarchy process, as a model to evaluate the value of competing R&D project proposals. A generic ANP model developed by the authors, which includes in its decision levels the actors involved in the decision, the stages of research, categories of metrics, and individual metrics, is presented. The paper concludes with a case study describing the implementation of this model at a small high-tech company, including data based on the actual use of the decision making model. Index Terms—Analytic hierarchy process, analytic network process, multicriteria decision making, project selection, R&D management, R&D projects. I. INTRODUCTION...
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...Strategy development by using SWOT - AHP Dijana Oreski1 1 Faculty of Organization and Informatics, University of Zagreb, Pavlinska 2, Varazdin, Croatia Abstract –This paper employs combination of SWOT analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in strategic planning for tourism of small mid-european city Varazdin, which is located in the north west of Croatia. SWOT analysis identifies internal and external factors which are prioritized by expert in tourism domain by means of AHP. The prioritized SWOT factors are used in strategies formulation using TOWS matrix. Results indicate that proactive communication strategy and isolation strategy with effective marketing promotional strategy were the best strategies that could have been implemented. Keywords – SWOT, AHP, strategy formulation. cases in the strategic management process. One of them is the SWOT analysis. This article explains the SWOT analysis, provides the theoretical background and an overview of the application of the SWOT analysis. As some authors have identified weaknesses of the SWOT, analysis is combined with a method for multi-criteria decision analytic hierarchy process (AHP) in order to avoid these disadvantages. Therefore, in the second part of the paper AHP method and SWOT AHP hybrid method are described. Following the basic steps method, SWOT AHP is applied to the example of the city of Varazdin strategic marketing plan definition. 2. SWOT analysis SWOT is an acronym of strength, weakness, opportunities...
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...| 30% Debt to Total Capital | 50% Debt to Total Capital | 70% Debt to Total Capital | 1980 | Net Worth | $1,472.8 | $877.6 | $626.9 | $376.1 | $1,482.7 | Earnings per Share5-year CAGR | $3.1812.4% | $3.3312.4% | $3.4112.4% | $3.4912.4% | $2.413.0% | Return on Equity | 33.8% | 51.5% | 63.9% | 110.5% | 13.0% | Interest Coverage | 415.13 x | 17.5 x | 10.5 x | 7.5 x | 5.0 x | Debt to Total Capital | 0.9% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 70.0% | 32.4% | Bond Rating | AAA | | | | AAA/AA* | American Home Products Corp. (AHP) has 4 business lines i.e. xx, xx, xx, and xx. The foods and household products were the large market but potentially very competitive in price and can lead to low profit margin. On the other hand, the prescribed and packaged drugs were more protected and can contribute higher margin but they need high capital to invest in R&D or acquiring drug patents to stay competitive in the market as well as generating profitable business. In the past AHP has capital structure policy to utilize their self-generated capitals to run their business with little to none outside debt. With this policy it reduced the risk of the company when the company face the short term problem on ability to generate profit, they don’t need to be much of a concern on the interest payment coverage and the debt payment ability. However, this already generated less return on capital as well as has limit ability to grow as the company need to invest in new drug patents. Moreover, when the company...
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...American Home Products (AHP), William F. Laporte, is a man who is debt averse. Mr. Laporte is a man who does not like to spend money and his management style has produced outstanding financial success. However, Mr. Laporte will be retiring soon, which could mean AHP will have a new executive who may wish to change the capital structure by adding debt in order to increase shareholder wealth. At the time, AHP had practically no debt on its balance sheet; while the most comparable company, Warner-Lambert had a debt ratio of 32% and a bond rating between AAA and AA. PROBLEM STATEMENT The inevitable retirement of AHP’s chief executive has analysts wondering what, if any, change to AHP’s capital structure might look like. Furthermore, analysts are curious to know what the size of the payoff would be with such a policy change. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS There are both advantages and disadvantages to leverage in a capital structure. If AHP chose to use leverage in their capital structure the interest expense would be tax deductible and therefore lower the cost of the loan and their tax liability. Additionally, by incorporating debt into their capital structure AHP would only have to pay back the loan principal plus interest; whereas with equity, shareholders have direct claim on future profits, if any. Conversely, the larger debt-to-equity ratio, the more risky AHP would appear to investors due to the greater possibility of defaulting on those loans. Also, if AHP chose to issue debt they...
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...Comments: The case provides an excellent vehicle for exploring and challenging the notion of optimal capital structure in theory and practice. American Home Products (AHP) is a very successful firm that has not debt in its capital structure. Because of its efficiency in asset management and its high level of profitability, AHP does not need debt to finance its operations. The case focuses on the theory of optimal capital structure and the practical problem of determining an optimal debt ratio. Questions 1. How much business risk does American Home Products face? Some of the pros/cons affecting AHP’s business risk are: PROS: • Sales stability, net sales has grown steadily from 1972-1981 • Strong Marketing expertise • Tight financial control • Stable, consistent financial growth and profitability • Risk aversion can work in favor of the company(no licensing costs, R+D costs) • Threat of new competitors is low because the pharmaceutical industry requires high start-up costs and the companies controlling the industry are very stable and mature. CONS: • Conservative Corporate Culture affect innovations • High cost in marketing to erode competitor’s head start. They are heavily depending on current products and marketing skills. But competitors can also strengthen their marketing strategies. • Hard to expand into new markets due to low R+D • Reticence does not provide confidence to the public • Threat of substitutes...
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...Int. J. Services and Operations Management, Vol. 7, No. 4, 2010 465 An AHP framework of supplier evaluation with reference to high-value and critical items: a case study Debadyuti Das* Faculty of Management Studies University of Delhi 110 007 Delhi, India E-mail: debadyuti_das@yahoo.co.in *Corresponding author Deepak Barman Faculty of Management Studies Banaras Hindu University 221 005 Varanasi, India E-mail: dbarmanbhu@rediffmail.com Abstract: This study developed a simple two-stage decision framework for evaluating suppliers of high-value and critical items with reference to a heavy engineering organisation by employing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The first stage involved examining the qualifying criteria of the items on quality, while the second stage was concerned with identifying all other relevant attributes, including quality concerning high-value and critical items applicable to the organisation under study, and with finding out the relative importance of the same. The attributes were organised in a two-tier hierarchy showing four major criteria in the first tier and 17 subcriteria in the second tier. This enabled us to employ AHP to find out the relative importance of each individual subcriterion through pair-wise comparison between all major criteria and subcriteria by eliciting opinions from three experts. The findings indicated the quality/reliability of the items to be the most important criterion, followed by price and then technological capability...
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...1) As it has been mentioned in the case, American Home Products (AHP) is a successful and a highly expanding company that produces a host of products in four separate business lines: prescription drugs, packages drugs, food products, and housewares and household products. The success of the company is mainly due to its outstanding marketing department. In fact, instead of investing money in research and development in order to create new and innovative products, the company prefers to avoid taking risks and market products that are smart extensions of products already marketed by competitors. AHP is a very conservative and risk averse company, so the way it operates its business aligns well with the culture of the company. Another important thing is that for a long time, the company was under a tight financial control and a very conservative capital structure policy. In fact, it operates with an almost debt-free balance sheet in order to avoid any financial risk. currently, AHP seems to have no business risk but may face a certain risk in the long run. Based on the ratios shown on the attached sheet, AHP should not worry about business risk since its working capital is very healthy ($1472.8 million) and cash excess $233 million. The high ROA, high profit margin, low current-to-asset ration and 49.71 collection days show that AHP can generate cash quickly, thus it can maintain current high growth rate. However, its decreasing annual sales growth from 14.1% in 1978 to 8.8% in 1981...
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...University of Nottingham Measuring Service Quality in Distribution Logistics Using SERVQUAL and AHP: A Case Study in a Pharmaceutical Wholesaler in Turkey HARIKA KARPUZCU MSc Operations Management University of Nottingham Measuring Service Quality in Distribution Logistics Using SERVQUAL and AHP: A Case Study in a Pharmaceutical Wholesaler in Turkey by Harika KARPUZCU 2006 A Dissertation presented in part consideration for the degree of “MSc Operations Management” Contents List of Tables.............................................................................................................................iii List of Figures ...........................................................................................................................iii Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................... iv Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... v CHAPTER 1: Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 1.1. SERVQUAL............................................................................................................ 2 1.2. AHP......................................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Research Objectives .................
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...Evaluating Competitiveness Using Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process - A Case Study of Chinese Airlines Abstract With the development of a national market economy, the Chinese aviation industry is now confronted with international competition. Therefore, it is necessary to research the competitive status of Chinese national aviation, as well as advice on how to enhance the competitiveness of the Chinese aviation industry. The main objective of this paper is to propose FAHP as an effective solution for resolving the uncertainty and imprecision in the evaluation of airlines’ competitiveness. In this paper, we review the research of industrial international aviation competitiveness at both home and abroad, discuss a theoretical framework for the study of aviation competitiveness, establish an index system with 5 first-order indicators and 17 second-order indicators, set up a Chinese aviation competitiveness model based on simple fuzzy numbers from the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, and evaluate the competitiveness of 5 major Chinese airlines. The results show that this model and these indicators are scientific and practical, with a wide range of application prospects for the purpose of improving and increasing Chinese airline competitiveness in the international market. The effective approach presented in this paper is especially applicable when subjective judgments on performance ratings and attribute weights are not accessible or reliable, or when suitable decision makers...
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...Chile, August 3-6, 2007 SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT IN THE TEXTILE INDUSTRY: A SUPPLIER SELECTION MODEL WITH THE ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS Asli Koprulu 1 aslik@ipekyol.com Process Management Director Ipekyol Tekstil ve Tic. San. A.S. Kazım Orbay Cd. 43 Bomonti Sisli 34381 Istanbul Turkey M. Murat Albayrakoglu albayrak@bilgi.edu.tr Coordinator, Business Informatics Program Istanbul Bilgi University Kurtulus Deresi Cd. 47 Dolapdere 34440 Istanbul Turkey Keywords: Supply-chain management (SCM), apparel industry, vendor selection, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) Summary: The aim of this study is to emphasize the importance the vendor selection problem and its relation to the supply chain strategy and goals. First, the current conditions of the textile or apparel industry are analyzed and the key factors for a successful supply chain considering the globalization of the industry are discussed. An analytical hierarchy process (AHP) model that an apparel company can use for the selection of suppliers is presented and a supplier relationship management (SRM) strategy is created based on the results of the model. In addition, strategic priorities for the supplier selection problem are identified and weights are developed to select the right supplier that fits the company’s strategy. Finally, the outcome and the implications of the model for implementation are discussed. 1. Introduction In today’s world of globalization many apparel retailers are building strong supply chains to...
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.......................................... 6 3.2 Criteria............................................................................................................................... 6 3.3. Decision Matrix ................................................................................................................ 7 3.4. Simple Additive Weighted Method (SAW) ...................................................................... 8 3.5. Weighted Product Method (WPM) .................................................................................. 9 3.6 Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOSIS) ........................ 10 3.7. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) ................................................................................ 11 3.8. Analysis with AHP-weights ............................................................................................. 12 4. Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 12 5. Exhibits...
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...structure, we have obtained the opinions of 323 experts about affecting factors on choosing a market in this industry with the use of questionnaire. Then, using a combination of hierarchal analysis process and Monte Carlo simulation and cooperation with 10 senior executives of distribution companies, the weight of each component and sub-component was determined. In general, four components and ten sub-components were examined in this study. After determining the weight of these components, the importance of each component in choosing a market has been prioritized. The results show that cost component is the most important criteria and market size, competitive environment, and culture are the other priorities respectively. Keywords: target market selecting, hiererchical analysis process, MC-AHP, food...
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... The main objective of supplier selection process is to reduce purchase risk, maximize overall value to the purchaser, and develop closeness and long-term relationships between buyers and suppliers in today’s competitive industrial scenario. The literature on supplier selection criteria and methods is full of various analytical and heuristic approaches. Some researchers have developed hybrid models by combining more than one type of selection methods. It is felt that supplier selection criteria and method is still a critical issue for the manufacturing industries therefore in the present paper the literature has been thoroughly reviewed and critically analyzed to address the issue. Keywords—Supplier selection, Mathematical Programming. AHP, ANP, TOPSIS, I. INTRODUCTION I N most industries, the cost of raw materials and component parts represents the largest percentage of the total product cost. For instance, in high technology firms, purchased materials and services account for up to 80% of the total product cost. Therefore, selecting the right suppliers is the key to procurement process and represents a major opportunity for companies to reduce costs across its entire supply chain. Choosing the right method for supplier selection effectively leads to a reduction in purchase risk and increases the number of JIT suppliers and TQM production. Supplier selection problem has become one of the most important...
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