...Forecasting Brandman University Operations Management September 19, 2014 Introduction Forecasting is a necessary task in the world of business, but which method works best? Now there might not be a one size fits all for forecasting, but there are methods that work best for particular situations. Throughout this paper a scenario will be picked for the qualitative and quantitative methods, this will show merits and shortcomings of both techniques and procedures. Analysis First to be examined is the qualitative method of forecasting. According to BusinessDictionary.com, the qualitative forecasting technique is defined as an “estimating method that relies on expert human judgment combined with a rating scale, instead of on hard (measurable and verifiable) data” (BusinessDictionary, 2014). In the maintenance world of the Air Force, the use of qualitative forecasting is used on a daily basis. For example, with a new fiscal year coming the upper echelon of management will be trying to predict where to allocate funds, more specifically at the base I am stationed at, Travis Air Force Base. Working directly with the Air Force Reserve I see how money is spread amongst the squadrons, which then is allocated to the flights. Working in a maintenance shop, damage airplanes are what secure funding. However, we can really predict how heavily damaged a jet will be when it rolls in, this is when qualitative forecasting comes into play. Many factor can come into play when evaluating...
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...PHILIPPINE AIR FORCE AIR EDUCATION AND TRAINING COMMAND AIR FORCE OFFICER SCHOOL Col. Jesus Villamor Air Base, Pasay City COMMANDANT’S PAPER THE IMPACT OF INTERNAL SECURITY OPERATION IN THE STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT OF AIR DEFENSE WING CHAPTER I THE PROBLEM AND ITS SETTING 1.1 INTRODUCTION "Victory smiles upon those who anticipate the changes in the character of war, not upon those who wait to adapt themselves after the changes occur." - Giulio Douhet, Command of the Air A fitting quotation by Douhet for the case of Air Defense Wing wherein the organization was not able to anticipate the streamlining strategy of the government, leaving the Wing no choice but to adapt to the changes in the Command’s thrust of prioritizing Internal Security Operations rather than Territorial Defense Operations to prove its relevance as one of the primary unit of the Philippine Air Force. Caught unprepared of the significant changes in governments thrust, ADW is now suffering in terms of its force structure and budget allocation as it continues to fight for its relevance and existence as one of the premier unit of the PAF. The Background and Rationale of the Study Budget Allocation Statistically, the lowest percentage of allocation in National Budget is in Defense. Debt service gets the biggest share in the proposed budget at 34.1 percent. Social services and economic services follow with 27.9 percent and...
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...“HENRI COANDA” AIR FORCE ACADEMY ROMANIA “GENERAL M.R. STEFANIK” ARMED FORCES ACADEMY SLOVAK REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE of SCIENTIFIC PAPER AFASES Brasov MANAGEMENT METHODS AND TECHNIQUES USED TO ENSURE THE INTERNAL AUDIT PERFORMANCE Marian SFETCU Phd. Student, Faculty of Economics Sciences and Business Administration of „Babeș - Bolyai” University of Cluj Napoca.E-mail: marian_sfetcu@yahoo.com. Tel: 0720 760 220 Abstract: This approach shows a research on the usage of managemental methods on the internal audit activity through qualitative and quantitative indicators of performance assurance. Balanced Scorecard, the management method and tool, referred to the Dashboard, contributes to the internal audit performance through resource planning, setting objectives and scope of the audit, communication and approval, following the recommendations, deferring to the code of ethics and how to achieve the objectives. The listed indicators, are components of the proposed management methods and tools, and they define efficency, effectiveness, economy and quality, all elements of the internal audit performance. Keywords: methods and techniques, audit, corporate governance, internal control system, performance indicators, Balanced Scorecard, Dashboard. JEL: M 42 1. INTRODUCTION The importance of using the management methods and techniques concerning the internal audit, is given by providing a new approach to this problem, which highlights the need to ensure...
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...Lumbia airport in Cagayan de Oro City. However, its present location will be utilized by the 15th Strike Wing as their new airbase (see MOA signed between DOTC and DND). In this connection TOG 10 is likewise proposed to be relocated at Bancasi, Butuan City. TOG 10 is the Philippine Air Force unit in Northern Mindanao. Its primary mission is to plan, control and coordinate the employment of air power in its area of responsibility. Its specific functions include: determining tactical air requirements in its AOR; exercising operational control and supervision over all Air Force units deployed and/or attached thereat; conducting tactical air operations within area of responsibility; performing forward air control missions; performing airfield operations and service support functions; performing Civil Military Operations (CMO) within its AOR; and performing other functions as directed by Division Commander, 3rd Air Division (Mission and Function, TOG 10). However, due to the MOA signed between DOTC and DND which state that “DOTC – CAAP will develop the PAF’s airbase at Major Danilo Atienza Air Base (MDAAB) in Sangley Point, Cavite City as CAAP’s general aviation operations hub to decongest the heavy air traffic at Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) thereby resulting to better aviation services for the general public.” And likewise direct DND – PAF to cede and convey its ownership of all the facilities and land at MDAAB and will be traded to the DOTC-CAAP’s Lumbia Airport...
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...GM 591 Final Paper Communication and Collaboration In Today’s Air Force: The 561st Network Operations Squadron A Case Study 1. Introduction The 561st Network Operating Squadron, with about 200 personnel divided between military, government civilians, and contract personnel, operates one of the two primary network nodes for the Air Force data network. The dynamic of the organization is defined by the relationship between the military, nominally in charge but highly transient with constant rotations and deployments, and the Operations and Maintenance (O & M) contractors, who have the knowledge base and the continuity but are on edge due to contract issues and tenuous job security. Added to that tumultuous mix is my small contract of twelve people who are implementing a methodology of best practices for managing a complex Information Technology (IT) organization. This methodology, known as IT Infrastructure Library (ITIL), provides a framework of processes that give shape and order to an IT operation. These three teams, the military, the O & M contractors, and the ITIL improvement team work together to provide network services for the greater Air Force, striving to maintain network availability while keeping the data secure from intrusion or compromise. 2. Problem Statement In the last four or five years collaborative computing and social networking have rapidly increased both in the business environment and in people’s personal lives....
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...1967 THE SIX DAY WAR - AIR CAMPAIGN INTRODUCTION 1. The 1967 Arab-Israel six day war was the 3rd major struggle faced by the Israel in order to maintain its existence since it became a state in 1948[1]. The war can be considered as one of the most perfect military operations in the modern period. Surprisingly in just six days, the Israel Defence Force (IDF) managed to defeat the armed forces of the three major Arab countries and conquered Sinai, The West Bank and The Golan Height. The victories gave Israel more security from attack and secured a dominant military position in the region[2]. The combination of three major (Air, Land and Maritime) strike planned by the Israel has resulted the victory for Israeli. Even though the war involved three main elements, this paper will just focus on the air campaign which can be considered as the main factor for the victory of Israel and the failure for the Arabs’ allies. 2. The purpose of this paper is to provide a general brief on the background of the war and will focus more on the air campaign as the decisive factor that lead to the Israel victory. The flow of this paper will start with the genesis of the war which will provide the background of the six days war followed by the comparison of the Order of Battle (ORBAT). The comparison of ORBAT will give the summary of the assets involved and destroyed in the war and its effects on the outcome of the war. Series of the event from the first day of war until...
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...injuries some of which may materialize at the most unwarranted moments. The military therefore require a highly mechanized medical service, one that secures quality (Patrick,1998). Quality in the provision of medical services encompasses a number of factors key among which is accuracy in diagnosis, treatment and drug prescription. Additionally, data in the medical spheres require secure and integral storage. Most of the diagnoses especially those associated with terminal recurrent illnesses depend largely on the patient history. All the patient details therefore require a secure database and an appropriate filing mechanism. Initially, all these activities were performed manually or mechanically with the medical system relying on paper back files and manual diagnoses. These had a number of pitfalls given the dynamic nature of military operations. Soldiers keep moving from place to place depending on the security needs of the country and they will always need to have their medical services with them. Mechanical administration becomes cumbersome in such conditions with portage prove difficult. It also becomes difficult to keep a sequential filing system for references (Marion, Ball & Joan, 2004). Technological developments have revolutionized a number of sectors in the economy and the biggest beneficiaries include the information sector and the medical sector. The twenty first century witnessed a number of technological innovations some of which included the computer...
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...Discoverer Plus Database The Air Force is changing in unique way to make the critical mission more obtainable to logistics technicians. The Air Force has evolved into using more web based systems to process transaction, track assets, and obtain pertinent information. Users have become accustomed to working with different types of bases to get the job done. The one database used more by logistics personnel is the Oracle Discoverer Plus database. In this paper will discuss what is Discoverer Plus, we will breakdown some of its function areas like End User layer (EUL), Business Area, and Folders. We will discuss some feature of Discoverer Plus database, and last, we will provide the dated problems of Discoverer’s Plus database. Discoverer Plus is one of five parts of the Air Force Supply Central Database (AFSCD). According to AFM 23-110 “Discoverer Plus is an oracle database that provides supply technician and analyst with a user friendly ad hoc data retrieval tool. It gives the user capability of retrieving, organizing, and displaying data when they want it, in the way they want it” (USAF 2009). Discoverer Plus also gives user the choice of creating their own queries from scratch with the help of a friendly wizard. In addition a number of standard ad hoc queries are provided to each user under their user-ids. Although standard ad hoc queries contain a predefined set of data, they also have flexibility of applying conditions, change sort order, and modifying the display. Discoverer...
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...its part. Much like an auto maker's assembly line the Air Force technical training school house works efficiently to push brand new Airmen out to start being part of the organizational mission. The question remains though, can keeping this approach to training the future of the Air Force maintain the quality of Airmen in both technical skills and military training? Throughout this paper there will be an analysis of the methods in which technical training is accomplished for Air Traffic Controllers in the Air Force and how there could be a more productive way to manage the students, the instructors, and the training. Keywords: Air Traffic Controllers, Airmen, technical training Airmen Off the Assembly Line Imagine being a brand new Airman in the Air Force. You have just completed a rigorous eight weeks in basic training where every single minute was planned and you were constantly being yelled at by your Military Training Instructor. You graduate with a relief thinking that the hard part is over, however Basic Training was the easy part. As AF.mil (2006) explains: After basic training, Airmen assigned to be ATCs will attend a 72-day Air Traffic Control operator course at Keesler Air Force Base, Miss., where they will learn ATC principles and procedures. These include: flight characteristics of aircraft, International Civil Aviation Organization and United States federal and military air directives, the use of aeronautical charts, maps, and...
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...Patent Analysis This paper will take a look at U.S. Patent no. 6049146, “Electromagnetic Piston Engine,” invented by Muneaki Takara and filed in 1997. The invention describes an electromagnetic piston engine that produces enough force to propel a vehicle using the reciprocal motion of a piston cylinder, which is itself propelled by electromagnetic force. The problem that this patent solves is the ability to produce the driving force necessary without the numerous types of resistance that inherently occur in internal combustion engines. In the electromagnetic piston engine, the inner wall of the cylinder is magnetizable to a single magnetic pole. To make the piston more able to engage with the cylinder, the piston magnetization unit magnetizes part of the piston to another single pole. The cylinder’s magnetization creates a force between the cylinder and piston that is magnetically attractive. This, in turn, causes the piston to move in one direction until it is repelled by the opposing magnetic force in the opposite direction. Friction force arises from motion of one object with respect to another when the two objects are within contact distance. This is due to the surface molecules of one object forming atomic bonds with the surface molecules of the other object. These bonds apply a force that resists any motion of the objects (which break the bonds). Friction force depends on the relative speed of the objects with respect to one another, being smaller at higher speeds...
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...Group Project: Air Canada Part 1: societal environment trends 1. Fuel prices: Oil price is highly related to the cost of air industry. According to Algoe, as the oil price increase, airline will spend more on fuel cost, which will have a direct impact on the cost of operation. Even in good time fuel costs constitute roughly 10-12% of operating expense. In addition, fuel cost increases will bring bad impact on economic, which in turn result in a substantial decline in demand for air travel and air cargo. Every penny increase in the price of jet fuel costs the airline industry $180 million a year. For Air Canada, this change would decrease their profitability and company performance. SAS Group reported that the global economic climate is weak, Jet-fuel prices and capacity continue increasing in next few years. High fuel prices presented a significant challenge for the entire aviation industry. Therefore, we consider fuel price is a threat for Air Canada doing their business. Retrieved from http://saraalgoe.hubpages.com/hub/rise-in-fuel-prices-airline-industry http://www.cisionwire.com/sas/r/sas-group-interim-report-january-march-2012,c9254790 2. GDP: According to Trading Economics, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Canada expanded 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011 over the previous quarter. Historically, from 1961 until 2011, Canada’s GDP Growth Rate averaged 0.8 percent reaching an all-time high of 3.3 percent in December of...
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...While you are falling, you will probably feel as if you are floating—or not even moving at all. Falling is relational—if there is nothing to fall toward, you may not even be aware that you’re falling. If there is no ground, gravity might be low and you’ll feel weightless. Objects will stay suspended if you let go of them. Whole societies around you may be falling just as you are. And it may actually feel like perfect stasis—as if history and time have ended and you can’t even remember that time ever moved forward. A free falling object is an object that is falling under the sole influence of gravity. Any object that is being acted upon only by the force of gravity is said to be in a state of free fall. There are two important motion characteristics that are true of free-falling objects: * Free-falling objects do not encounter air resistance. * All free-falling objects (on Earth) accelerate downwards at a rate of 9.8 m/s/s (often approximated as 10 m/s/s for back-of-the-envelope calculations) That acceleration is the rate at which an object changes its velocity. Between any two points...
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...720th Special Tactics Strategic Analysis The 720 Special Tactics Group Strategic Analysis Strategic Planning OM 5040 Table of Contents Abstract 3 Introduction 4 Background 4 History 7 Organization 11 Mission statement 13 Mission 13 Mission Task 13 Vision statement analysis 15 Strategic management Application 17 Value Chain 18 Primary Activities 18 Support Activities 19 Translating...
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...ForcesWatch briefing Terms of Service in the UK Armed Forces Employment in the armed forces is unique in placing severe restrictions on rights and freedoms that are available to the rest of the UK population. The armed forces are also the only employers in the UK who legally require their employees to commit themselves for several years, with the risk of a criminal conviction if they try to leave sooner. This situation is all the more worrying given that the majority of recruits are very young. There is also evidence that many personnel are unclear about the length of their commitment and their rights to leave and that the information they receive can be misleading. Length of service 1 The minimum length of service in each branch of the forces is as follows: Army (over 18s): Four years nd Army (under 18s): Until 22 birthday Navy: Three and a half years after completion of training or four years' service, whichever is longer Air force: Three years after completion of training or four years' service whichever is longer In 1999 the army increased its minimum length of service from 3 to 4 years. Army recruits under 18 years old are required to serve up to 2 years longer than a recruit who joins aged over 18 and so commits to up to 6 year’s service when still a minor. When forces personnel reach the end of their minimum length of service, they must give a year’s notice (in the army or navy) or 18 months (in the air force). Recruits may be required to serve for longer than the...
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...information to document or analyze some phenomenon. In the simplest form, a technician logging the temperature of an oven on a piece of paper is performing data acquisition. As technology has progressed, this type of process has been simplified and made more accurate, versatile, and reliable through electronic equipment. Equipment ranges from simple recorders to sophisticated computer systems. Data acquisition products serve as a focal point in a system, tying together a wide variety of products, such as sensors that indicate temperature, flow, level, or pressure. Recorders and Dataloggers are products used with sensors to document information relating to a process. Recorders usually have a pen that deflects as a percentage of input span, while paper moves beneath it at a defined speed in relation to time. The recorder output is an easy-to-read, continuous trend line. Dataloggers typically print the actual value of the input with a time stamp. The advantages of the datalogger include less paper usage, higher resolution of the reading, and less chance of misinterpretation of the data. Hybrid recorders are instruments that have both trend recording and datalogging ability. Some of these units also include features such as math calculations and communication ability to transfer data to a host computer for further analysis. Computers, which have become so prevalent throughout our lives, have become a major component in data acquisition. Depending...
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