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Investment Grade Quality
(Inversión de calidad de grado)

La crisis financiera del 1907 impulso la creación del Sistema de la Reserva Federal, e integro la importancia de la información de los mercados el cual implantó el análisis de la calidad crediticia de bonos. No fue hasta la década 1930, cuando el mercado estaba en crecimiento, donde las instituciones bancarias y los nuevos inversionistas deseando una mayor transparencia, provoco la aprobación de nuevas leyes, entres ellas la divulgación obligatoria para los emisores y la creación del SEC. Ya en el 1936, un nuevo conjunto de leyes se introdujeron, prohibiendo a los bancos invertir en “valores de inversión especulativos” (bonos basura). Los bancos solo se les permitió mantener el “Investment Grade” siguiendo los criterios de las tres grandes agencias crediticias: Moodys, Standar & Poors y Fitch. Ya para el 1975, la SEC modifico sus requerimientos mínimos de capital para los agentes de la bolsa, mediante clasificaciones como una medida.[1] Aunque en la actualidad se habla de tres agencias crediticias la realidad es que existen otras pero las mencionadas han tomado dominio en el mercado financiero. Aunque el propósito de cada una de ellas es poder evaluar y otorgar su “Investment Grade” aunque de manera diferente. Estas juegan un papel clave en el mercado de valores, como proveedores complementarios de análisis de crédito para los bancos y otras instituciones financieras para evaluar el riesgo de crédito de valores particulares. Como hemos mencionado anteriormente el “Investment Grades” o el Grado de Inversión, es la calificación crediticias en las cuatro categorías superiores, y es utilizado por las agencias reguladoras para identificar valores que son aptos para la inversión. [2] La calificación de crédito es un indicador financiero a los inversionistas potenciales de la deuda de valores tales como bonos. Por ejemplo, un titulo calificado como “AAA” representa la máxima calidad crediticia. No obstante, una nota “D” representa a los títulos en situación de incumplimiento. Entre estos dos extremos, las calificaciones se dividen a su vez en dos sub-grupos o categorías: calificaciones AAA hasta BBB que se consideran “Investment grade”, en tanto entre BB y C son emisiones de “grado especulativo o non investment”. En la Figura 1.1 se detalla el IG o las calificaciones de las agencias, donde comenzamos hablando de Moodys el cual su “Investment Grade” se da Aaa (considerada como la más alta calidad y el más bajo riesgo crediticio) hasta Baa3 (aceptable capacidad para pagar la deuda a corto plazo), Grado Especulativo se da Ba1 (tiene elementos especulativos y un riesgo de crédito significativo) hasta C (considerado como la más baja calidad por lo general en incumplimiento y baja probabilidad de recuperación de capital o interés) [3]. Sin embargo, a diferencia de Standard & Poors y Fitch su “Investment Grade” es de AAA (representa una capacidad muy fuerte para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros) hasta BBB (tiene capacidad adecuada para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros), Grado Especulativo se da BB (más propensos en los cambios en la economía) hasta un CC (muy vulnerable, bonos muy especulativos). El IG no es estático, por lo que cualquier circunstancia de mercado o de la corporación o país puede provocar una revisión. Así la agencia puede anunciar un downgrade (bajada de nota), upgrade (subida), Outlook (perspectiva de futuro para el emisor, negativa, positiva o estable) o watching list (emite vigilancia, lo que normalmente es negativa, aunque en teoría no tiene porque).
Figura 1.1
|Moody |Standard & |Fitch Fitch |Credit worthiness [ 4 ] [ 5 ] Crédito dignidad [4] [5] |
| |Poor's | | |
| |Standard & | | |
| |Poors | | |
|Aaa Aaa |AAA AAA |AAA AAA |An obligor has EXTREMELY STRONG capacity to meet its financial commitments. Un deudor tiene una |
| | | |capacidad extremadamente fuerte para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros. |
|Aa1 Aa1 |AA+ AA + |AA+ AA + |An obligor has VERY STRONG capacity to meet its financial commitments. Un deudor tiene una |
| | | |capacidad muy fuerte para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros. It differs from the highest |
| | | |rated obligors only in small degree. Se diferencia de los mayores deudores clasificados sólo en |
| | | |pequeño grado. |
|Aa2 Aa2 |AA AA |AA AA | |
|Aa3 Aa3 |AA- AA- |AA- AA- | |
|A1 A1 |A+ A + |A+ A + |An obligor has STRONG capacity to meet its financial commitments but is somewhat more susceptible |
| | | |to the adverse effects of changes in circumstances and economic conditions than obligors in |
| | | |higher-rated categories. Un deudor tiene una capacidad fuerte para cumplir sus compromisos |
| | | |financieros, pero es algo más susceptible a los efectos adversos de los cambios en las |
| | | |circunstancias y condiciones económicas que los deudores en categorías más altas. |
|A2 A2 |A La |A La | |
|A3 A3 |A- A- |A- A- | |
|Baa1 Baa1 |BBB+ BBB + |BBB+ BBB + |An obligor has ADEQUATE capacity to meet its financial commitments. Un deudor tiene la capacidad |
| | | |adecuada para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros. However, adverse economic conditions or |
| | | |changing circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity of the obligor to meet its |
| | | |financial commitments. Sin embargo, condiciones económicas adversas o cambios coyunturales más |
| | | |probable que conduzca a una capacidad debilitada del deudor para cumplir con sus compromisos |
| | | |financieros. |
|Baa2 Baa2 |BBB BBB |BBB BBB | |
|Baa3 Baa3 |BBB- BBB- |BBB- BBB- | |
|Ba1 Ba1 |BB+ BB + |BB+ BB + |An obligor is LESS VULNERABLE in the near term than other lower-rated obligors. Un emisor es menos|
| | | |vulnerable en el corto plazo que otros emisores con calificaciones inferiores. However, it faces |
| | | |major ongoing uncertainties and exposure to adverse business, financial, or economic conditions |
| | | |which could lead to the obligor's inadequate capacity to meet its financial commitments. Sin |
| | | |embargo, enfrenta constante incertidumbre y la exposición a cambios adversos, financieros, o de |
| | | |las condiciones económicas que podrían conducir a una capacidad inadecuada del deudor para cumplir|
| | | |con sus compromisos financieros. |
|Ba2 Ba2 |BB BB |BB BB | |
|Ba3 Ba3 |BB- BB- |BB- BB- | |
|B1 B1 |B+ B + |B+ B + |An obligor is MORE VULNERABLE than the obligors rated 'BB', but the obligor currently has the |
| | | |capacity to meet its financial commitments. Un emisor es más vulnerable que los deudores |
| | | |calificados como "BB", pero el deudor tiene actualmente la capacidad para cumplir con sus |
| | | |compromisos financieros. Adverse business, financial, or economic conditions will likely impair |
| | | |the obligor's capacity or willingness to meet its financial commitments. Condiciones comerciales |
| | | |adversas, financieras o económicas probablemente la capacidad de pago del obligado o voluntad de |
| | | |cumplir con sus compromisos financieros. |
|B2 B2 |B B |B B | |
|B3 B3 |B- B- |B- B- | |
|Caa Caa |CCC CCC |CCC CCC |An obligor is CURRENTLY VULNERABLE, and is dependent upon favourable business, financial, and |
| | | |economic conditions to meet its financial commitments. Un deudor es ACTUALMENTE VULNERABLE y |
| | | |depende de negocio favorable, financieros, y las condiciones económicas para cumplir con sus |
| | | |compromisos financieros. |
|Ca California |CC CC |CC CC |An obligor is CURRENTLY HIGHLY-VULNERABLE. Un deudor es ACTUALMENTE MUY VULNERABLE-. |
| |C C |C C |The obligor is CURRENTLY HIGHLY-VULNERABLE to nonpayment. El deudor es ACTUALMENTE MUY |
| | | |VULNERABLE-a falta de pago. May be used where a bankruptcy petition has been filed. Puede ser |
| | | |usado en una petición de quiebra ha sido presentada. |
|C C |D D |D D |An obligor has failed to pay one or more of its financial obligations (rated or unrated) when it |
| | | |became due. Un deudor no ha pagado una o varias de sus obligaciones financieras (calificada o no |
| | | |calificada) cuando se haya devengado. |
|e, p e, p |pr pr |Expected |Preliminary ratings may be assigned to obligations pending receipt of final documentation and |
| | |Esperado |legal opinions. Calificaciones preliminares pueden ser asignadas a las obligaciones pendientes de |
| | | |la recepción de la documentación final y dictámenes jurídicos. The final rating may differ from |
| | | |the preliminary rating. La calificación final puede diferir de la calificación preliminar. |
|WR WR | | |Rating withdrawn for reasons including: debt maturity, calls, puts, conversions, etc., or business|
| | | |reasons (eg change in the size of a debt issue), or the issuer defaults. [ 2 ] Puntuación retirado|
| | | |por razones que incluyen: Vencimiento de la deuda, las llamadas, pone, conversiones, etc., o por |
| | | |razones de negocios (por ejemplo, cambio en el tamaño de una emisión de deuda), o los valores |
| | | |predeterminados emisor [2] |
|unsolicited no|unsolicited | |This rating was initiated by the ratings agency and not requested by the issuer. Esta calificación|
|solicitado |no solicitado| |fue iniciada por la agencia de riesgo crediticio y pidió no por el emisor. |
| |SD SD |RD RD |This rating is assigned when the agency believes that the obligor has selectively defaulted on a |
| | | |specific issue or class of obligations but it will continue to meet its payment obligations on |
| | | |other issues or classes of obligations in a timely manner. Esta calificación se asigna cuando la |
| | | |agencia cree que el deudor ha incumplido selectivamente sobre un tema específico o clase de |
| | | |obligaciones, sino que seguirá para cumplir con sus obligaciones de pago en otras emisiones o |
| | | |clases de obligaciones de manera oportuna. |
|NR NR |NR NR |NR NR |No rating has been requested, or there is insufficient information on which to base a rating. |
| | | |Ninguna opinión ha sido solicitada, o no hay suficiente información sobre la cual basar una |
| | | |clasificación. |

Si discutimos la noticia del periódico Desarrollo Peruano enfatiza la importancia de la calificación crediticia en Latinoamérica, con respecto al IG. Se puede observar que en un momento en estos países muchos se encontraba en grado especulativo, lo cual impulso a trabajar fuertemente para mejorar su IG a nivel mundial. No obstante, ellos tienen la certeza que una opinión de (Moody’s, S&P y Fitch), les dará la oportunidad de acceder fácilmente y en mejores condiciones al mercado de inversiones y al crédito internacional. Un ejemplo, son los bonos soberanos, el cual un país bien cualificado tiene mayor probabilidad de atraer a los inversionistas, y colocar sus papeles a menores tasas y a plazos más largos. Observando que Chile en la actualidad se encuentra como el más destacado comparandolo con Alemania, Noruega y Suiza que son países desarrollados y económicamente estables. Mientras tanto otros países de Latinoamérica siguen en su deseo por salir adelante, como lo es Uruguay, Panamá y Perú.[4]
[pic]

Otro ejemplo, en el IG se encuentra Puerto Rico quien en el día de ayer 13 de diciembre de 2012, la Moodys bajo el nivel crediticio cerca del grado de especulativo (bono basura) Baa3. Según la tabla IG quiere decir:”Un deudor tiene la capacidad adecuada para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros. However, adverse economic conditions or changing circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity of the obligor to meet its financial commitments.Sin embargo, condiciones económicas adversas o cambios coyunturales más probable que conduzca a una capacidad debilitada del deudor para cumplir con sus compromisos financieros”. A pesar que se han tomado medidas fiscales para poder reducir el gasto y el endeudamiento masivo, aun así esto muestra un descontento con la falta de progreso en las persistentes debilidades económicas y fiscales de la isla. O sea que para mantener el mercado tranquilo y generar confianza de que el gobierno puede reactivar la economía, y sobre todo, demostrar que no va a permitir que toda esta situación se salga de control. El gobierno entrante tendrá que: reforzar la capacitación del IVU, mantener el impuesto a corporaciones foráneas, suspender el recorte de tasas contributivas, poner a muchas personas que dependen del gobierno a trabajar, y quizás aumentar las tarifas de varios servicios a los ciudadanos[5]. Es importante entender que la clave de éxito o la caída de una empresa, banco o país se deben a su grado de inversión “Investment Grade”. El objetivo de obtener o mantener un alto IG es poder atraer aquellos inversionistas para que puedan contribuir a la economía. La calificación crediticia básicamente es una manera de medir la confianza para pagar sus deudas. Cuando un país o empresa, tiene demasiados compromisos, los inversionistas pueden empezar a dudar de la capacidad de pago. Esto puede resultar en calificaciones crediticias bajas. Si una agencia de calificación determina que existe un elevado riesgo de impago, la calificación crediticia puede ser disminuida. Cuando una evaluación se reduce, se conoce como una calificación degradada. Y en el momento que el riesgo ha pasado, y la situación financiera se ha estabilizado, la valoración puede volver a subir. En pocas palabras un IG por lo general es uno de los factores utilizados para determinar si una inversión es buena. En conclusión es sorprendente ver la importancia del IG como afecta la economía, no solo de una empresa sino de un país completo. En la actualidad son muchos los países que están poniendo un gran empeño en poder elevar su nivel crediticio. Es impresionante ver como en Latinoamérica países tales como: Chile, Perú, Panamá entre otros ha logrado un buen desempeño fiscal y crecimiento en producción. Esto ha sido un indicador que marca el inicio de atraer nuevos inversionistas a pesar de la incertidumbre internacional. Colocando como objetivo el tomar la posición de países desarrollados que en su presente están al precipicio de bajar su IG. No podemos dejar a un lado nuestro Puerto Rico que en la actualidad se encuentra en jaque nuestro IG. Es tiempo de plantar estrategias económicas y fiscales que brinden seguridad a inversionistas y a las casas acreditadoras, pero sobre todo que fomente el desarrollo económico que puedan ser soluciones a largo, mediano y corto plazo. Nuestro IG puede ser de excelencia, pero para lograrlo tendríamos que tomar medidas que quizás afecte a miles de personas pero a la larga podamos ver los resultados. No sea que por estar señalando las faltas de otros, no contemos con soluciones concretas y nos reflejemos en el espejo de Egipto, España y Portugal como indica la Moodys. ¿Qué pasara próximamente con S&P y Fitch el tiempo nos dirá?

Referencias
Gonzalez, J. (2012, 12 14). Consumado el golpe al crédito boricua. El Nuevo Dia

www. wikipedia .com

www. desarrolloperuano.blogspot.com/2012/08/calificacion-crediticia-latinoamericana. html

www.moodys.com

-----------------------
[1] www.wikipedia.com/investmentgrade
[2] P33 Fundamentals of Financial Management 13th edition, Van horne and Wachowicz jr.
[3] www.moodys.com
[4] www.desarrolloperuano.com

[5] www.elnuevodia.com

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...auditors are not independence. The whole audit progress would be argued that the auditor had given the bias opinion to the client if there was no independence. Therefore, the accounting profession such as auditor and qualified accountant has faced the pressure for improving the quality of the audited reports. Jackson, Moldrich and Roebuck (2008) view the audit quality from perceived and actual quality. Actual quality shows the material errors risk level in financial statements and it can be reduced by the auditor. While perceived quality is the users confidence level in financial statements and effectiveness of the auditors in reducing the misstatement in financial statement done by management. However, there are variety of factors might affect the audit quality, but only 4 identified factors which is size of audit firm, auditor’s tenure, auditor’s experience and pricing pressure will be discussed in this paper. 2.1 Independent Variable 2.1.1 Auditor’s Tenure and Audit Quality The studies on auditor tenure cannot be separated with the auditor switching studies which formally known as auditor rotation. Auditor rotation can either is mandatory or voluntary. Voluntary rotation is the clients have option to switch auditors while mandatory rotation is pushes clients to change auditors after a fixed period (Mohamed & Habib, 2013) Previous researches had indicated that auditor’s tenure is related to the impact on audit quality. According to Geiger and Raghunandan...

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Audit

...risk-based audit, adequate planning is of paramount importance as it allows to direct the audit effort towards the areas expected to be most at risk of material misstatement. Additionally, adequate planning helps identify and resolve problems on a timely basis and allows the auditor to organize the engagement, including selecting suitably experienced team members to deal with specific risks, so that it can be performed in an effective and efficient manner. ISA 300 in particular requires setting out an overall audit strategy and a detailed audit plan. The overall audit strategy should indicate the scope of the work, the resources to be allocated to specific high-risk areas in terms of experienced staff or hours and the timing of the work. A more detailed audit plan follows on from the approach identified in the audit strategy and indicates the audit procedures to be performed in respect of specific items in the financial statements and their timing. The audit strategy and the audit plan are not necessarily separate documents or processes as they are strictly interrelated. For example the results of initial risk assessment procedures, like the entity’s business risk assessment or the assessment of internal control, will inform the planning for further audit procedures and, vice versa, the outcome of detailed audit procedures may be so different from what expected at the time of planning to require a modification of the audit strategy and audit plan. As such, the audit strategy and...

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Audit

...Executive summary Table of content (a) Explain the audit risk and each component of the audit risk model and how the audit risk works Audit risk is the auditor might give an incorrect or inappropriate opinion the financial statements. (Taylor, 2008). The audit risk model expresses the relationship among the audit risk components as follows: PDR = AAR IR x CR PDR = planned detection risk AAR = acceptable audit risk IR= inherent risk CR= control risk The four risks in the audit risk model are appropriately important to valuable detailed discussion. All four risks are discussed briefly in this section o provide an overview of the risks. Planned detection risk (PDR) is a measure of that audit evidence for a segment will fail to detect misstatements exceeding an acceptable amount, should such misstatements exists. (James, 2001) PDR is a function of the effectiveness of an audit test and of its application by the auditor. Decreases in PDR will require the auditor to increase the competence and sufficiency of audit evidence collected. (Taylor, 2008). Inherent risk (IR) represents the auditor’s assessment of the susceptibility of an assertion to a material misstatement assuming there are no related internal controls. (Boynton, 2001). If the auditor concludes that there is a high likelihood of misstatements, ignoring internal control, the auditor would conclude that inherent...

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Audit

...that recognizes him as a reliable body. With the growing conscious recognition of the importance of financial data in the ordering of everyday business and economic life, the need of basic economic facts is providing a constantly enlarging opportunity for the accounting profession. The auditors' reports have an especial capacity to fulfill the need for reliable and authoritative financial material not only because of the reputation or prestige of the certified statements, but also because of the significance generally attached by the business man to the functions of the auditor and his reports. These functions, and the scope of these reports, have in the past been definitely related to the character of and changes in business activity. Audits and reviews are basically procedures performed on the financial statements of a company, for the purpose of determining whether the financial statements include any material misstatements. Misstatements are essentially wrong numbers due to numerical errors, fraud, or errors in interpreting the accounting...

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