Premium Essay

Australian Dollar (a$) Against the Japanese Yen (¥) Four Month Forecast from 1st September to 31st December 2010

In:

Submitted By spoofy88
Words 635
Pages 3
Australian Dollar (A$) against the Japanese Yen (¥)
Four Month forecast from 1st September to 31st December 2010

Like the other currencies mentioned in the report, the Japanese Yen (¥) also adopts a floating exchange rate. As this is a short term forecast of the Australian Dollar (AUD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY), a chartist approach will be taken to analyse the movements of the two currencies. The technical method and the effects of the government are the topics that will be analysed for this short run forecast (Moffett et al, 2006 p.136). As of the 1st of September 2010 the Australian Dollar $1 = Y75.93.
Technical Method
The first step of the analysis will be using the technical method. The technical method skips the fundamental roles of the exchange rate which includes the inflation and interest rates and looks at the exchange rates past history to generate a forecast accordingly (Moosa, I 2010 p.239). According to the graph of the AUS against the Yen (Appendix 2A) it can be seen that the Yen has been running in a bull market (red line) from February to the start of May. This means the market has been running with an upward trend as three tops and bottoms have touched the link (Moosa, I 2010 p.242). A trend reversal has started appearing as the market goes into a bear market but then steadily picks up again to form an ascending triangle (blue line). The market has gone into an ascending triangle as buyers are willing to pay more for the currency.
Government
The Yen has hit a 15 year high against the US dollar as it has a strong trend pushing it up. As Japan is a dependant on its big exporting scheme, having a strong currency can cause problems for them. If the currency is too strong then Japanese companies will lose profit or it will increase the price of goods. The Japanese government have threatened to buy Yen in the foreign exchange market to slow

Similar Documents

Free Essay

Forecasting

...Forecasting ­ Research Papers ­ Hapikampr Login Join The Research Paper Factory Join Search Browse Saved Papers Search over 100,000 Essays Home Page  »  Business and Management Forecasting In: Business and Management Forecasting Forecasting HSM/260 University of Phoenix 06/20/2013 Exercise 9.1 The following data represent total personnel expenses for the Palmdale Human Service Agency for past four fiscal years: 20X1 $5,250,000 20X2 $5,500,000 20X3 $6,000,000 20X4 $6,750,000 Forecast personnel expenses for fiscal year 20X5 using moving averages, weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing, and time series regression. For moving averages and weighted moving averages, use only the data for the past three fiscal years. For weighted moving averages, assign a value of 1 to the data for 20X2, a value of 2 to the data for 20X3, and a value of 3 to the data for 20X4. For exponential smoothing, assume that the last forecast for fiscal year 20X4 was $6,300,000. You decide on the alpha to be used for exponential smoothing. For time series regression, use the data for all four fiscal years. Which forecast will you use? Why                         Moving Averages Fiscal Year                           Expenses          Please login to view the full essay... Essay's Statistics Submitted by: hapikampr Date shared: 08/07/2013 10:35 AM Words: 707 Pages: 3 20X2                                     $ 5,500,000            20X3                                     6,000,000 20X4                                     6...

Words: 400 - Pages: 2

Premium Essay

Cabin Crew

...ANNUAL REPORT 2012/13 CONTENTS 002 Statistical Highlights 006 Board of Directors 010 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders 012 Corporate Data 014 Significant Events 018 The Year in Review 020 Network 021 Fleet Management 022 Products and Services 026 People Development 030 Environment 031 Supporting Our Communities 032 Subsidiaries 036 Selected Awards 038 Statement on Risk Management 039 Corporate Governance Report 065 Financials 201 Notice of Annual General Meeting On the Cover: Flight Stewardess Nur Surya Ambiah is featured with the Dendrobium Singapore Girl Orchid. THE SINGAPORE AIRLINES GROUP ACHIEVED A NET PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE TO EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS OF $379 MILLION FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2013. THIS WAS DESPITE RECORDING A LOWER OPERATING PROFIT AMID PERSISTENTLY HIGH FUEL PRICES AND LOWER YIELDS DUE TO WEAK GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS. The 2012/13 financial year was one of significant development for the SIA Group, with numerous initiatives to strengthen the three main pillars of our brand promise, namely Service Excellence, Product Leadership and Network Connectivity. 002 SINGAPORE AIRLINES STATISTICAL HIGHLIGHTS Financial Statistics R1 2012-13 The Group Financial Results ($ million) Total revenue Total expenditure Operating profit Profit before taxation Profit attributable to owners of the Parent Financial Position ($ million) Share capital Treasury shares Capital reserve...

Words: 70806 - Pages: 284

Premium Essay

The World in 2008

...and the summer Olympic games in Beijing. The race for the White House will be a marathon, from the front-loaded primary season in January and February to the general election in November. The betting is that the winner will be a Democrat—with a strong chance that a Clinton will again be set to succeed a Bush as leader of the free world. China, meanwhile, will hope to use the Olympics to show the world what a splendid giant it has become. It will win the most gold medals, and bask in national pride and the global limelight. But it will also face awkward questions on its repressive politics. America and China will be prime players in the matters that will concentrate minds around the world in 2008. One of these is the world economy, which can no longer depend on America, with its housing and credit woes, to drive growth. America should—just—avoid recession, but it will be China (for the first time the biggest contributor to global growth) along with India and other emerging markets that will shine. Another focus of attention will be climate change. As China replaces America as the world’s biggest producer of greenhouse gases, serious efforts on global warming depend on the serious involvement of those two countries. If 2007 was the year when this rose to the top of the global agenda, in 2008 people will expect action. It is striking that green is a theme that links all the contributions from political leaders in this volume, whether at the city level (Michael Bloomberg), the national...

Words: 89030 - Pages: 357

Free Essay

State of the World

...Barbados Barbados is a North American sovereign island country located in the Caribbean. The capital of this state is Bridgetown. This state raised its head as an independent state in 1966 after being a Colony of the British Empire for almost 350 years. Category | Fact | Category | Fact | 1.Size | 439 Square km | 4.Religion | Christianity | 2.Population | 277,821 | 5.Currency | Barbadian Dollar | 3.Language | Barbadian | 6.GDP Rate | $16,653 | The main resources of Barbados are Petroleum, Fish, Natural gas, Sugarcane etc. The national symbols of Barbados are Neptune's trident, pelican, and Red Bird of Paradise flower (also known as Pride of Barbados). In Barbados Queen Elizabeth II is the Head of the State and represented locally by Governor General which is at present Elliott Belgrave. These two heads are advised by the Prime Minister of Barbados who is also the Head of the Government on matters of Barbadian state. The current Prime Minister of Barbados is Freundel Stuart. ...

Words: 64439 - Pages: 258

Premium Essay

Manager

...education is quite different from most of the methods of teaching used at the school and undergraduate course levels. Unlike traditional lecture-based teaching where student participation in the classroom is minimal, the case method is an active learning method, which requires participation and involvement from the student in the classroom. For students who have been exposed only to the traditional teaching methods, this calls for a major change in their approach to learning. This introduction is intended to provide students with some basic information about the case method, and guidelines about what they must do to gain the maximum benefit from the method. We begin by taking a brief look at what case studies are, and how they are used in the classroom. Then we discuss what the student needs to do to prepare for a class, and what she can expect during the case discussion. We also explain how student performance is evaluated in a case study based course. Finally, we describe the benefits a student of management can expect to gain through the use of the case method. WHAT IS A CASE STUDY? There is no universally accepted definition for a case study, and the case method means different things to different people. Consequently, all case studies are not structured similarly, and variations abound in terms of style, structure and approach. Case material ranges from small caselets (a few paragraphs to one-two pages) to short cases (four to six pages) and from 10 to 18 page case studies...

Words: 239776 - Pages: 960

Premium Essay

Kscnkslv

...Economic Outlook, Prospects, and Policy Challenges 01 CHAPTER This year’s Economic Survey comes at a time of unusual volatility in the international economic environment. Markets have begun to swing on fears that the global recovery may be faltering, while risks of extreme events are rising. Amidst this gloomy landscape, India stands out as a haven of stability and an outpost of opportunity. Its macro-economy is stable, founded on the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation and low inflation. Its economic growth is amongst the highest in the world, helped by a reorientation of government spending toward needed public infrastructure. These achievements are remarkable not least because they have been accomplished in the face of global headwinds and a second successive season of poor rainfall. The task now is to sustain them in an even more difficult global environment. This will require careful economic management. As regards monetary and liquidity policy, the benign outlook for inflation, widening output gaps, the uncertainty about the growth outlook and the over-indebtedness of the corporate sector all imply that there is room for easing. Fiscal consolidation continues to be vital, and will need to maintain credibility and reduce debt, in an uncertain global environment, while sustaining growth. On the government’s “reformto-transform” agenda, a series of measures, each incremental but collectively meaningful have been enacted. There have also...

Words: 64752 - Pages: 260

Premium Essay

Wipro Analysis

...Highlights 2012-13 Management Discussion & Analysis Directors Report Corporate Governance Report Business Responsibility Report Standalone Financial Statements Consolidated Financial Statements Consolidated Financial Statements under IFRS Glossary 2 4 8 10 12 14 16 22 24 41 55 85 106 147 183 231 This Annual Report is printed on 100% recycled paper as certified by the UK-based National Association of Paper Merchants (NAPM) and France - based Association des Producteurs et des Utilisateurs des papiers et cartons Recycles (APUR). Certain statements in this annual report concerning our future growth prospects are forward-looking statements, which involve a number of risks, and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in such forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties relating to these statements include, but are not limited to, risks and uncertainties regarding fluctuations in our earnings, revenue and profits, our ability to generate and manage growth, intense competition in IT services, our ability to maintain our cost advantage, wage increases in India, our ability to attract and retain highly skilled professionals, time and cost overruns on fixed-price, fixed-time frame contracts, client concentration, restrictions on immigration, our ability to manage our international operations, reduced demand for technology in our key focus areas, disruptions in telecommunication networks, our ability to successfully complete and integrate potential...

Words: 122508 - Pages: 491

Premium Essay

Professor in Russia

...МОСКОВСКИЙ ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЙ ИНСТИТУТ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫХ ОТНОШЕНИЙ (УНИВУРСИТЕТ) МИД РОССИИ Кафедра английского языка № 4 Н.И. Хватова Английский язык УЧЕБНОЕ ПОСОБИЕ ПО ПЕРЕВОДУ И РЕФЕРИРОВАНИЮ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИХ ТЕКСТОВ ЕВРОПЕЙСКИЙ УРОВЕНЬ «С 1» Третье издание Издательство МГИМО-Университет 2009 Данное пособие является третьей редакцией Учебного пособия по переводу и реферированию экономических текстов (первая редакция была выпущена в 1999 году, вторая – в 2006 году). Пособие соответствует Европейскому уровню С – 1 и предназначается, в частности, для студентов 4 курса факультета МБДА. Его основная цель – обучение работе с оригинальной литературой по специальности, что достигается путём создания прочного навыка письменного и устного перевода с английского языка на русский. Table of Contents Chapter I: Management Practices in European, American and Asian Companies Unit 1 – The Man Who Invented Management ….…………………..8 Unit 2 –Want a Nice Piece of a Chaebol?...........................................27 Unit 3 – Last Tango in Detroit?........................………………….…..33 Unit 4 – Lean, Mean, and… German? ………………………………41 Unit 5 – How Failure Breeds Success…………………………….....48 Chapter II: Supply Chain Management Unit 6 – Inventories Won’t Kill Growth …………………………...

Words: 66090 - Pages: 265

Premium Essay

Business Management

...Mechanism For Sustainable Development 59 Rozeta Biçaku-Çekrezi Student Perception of Classroom Management and Productive Techniques in Teaching 74 Thomas J.P.Brady Developing Digital Literacy in Teachers and Students 91 Lorenzo Cherubini Ontario (Canada) Education Provincial Policy: Aboriginal Student Learning 101 Jennifer Dahmen Natascha Compes Just Google It?! But at What Price? Teaching Pro-Environmental Behaviour for Smart and Energy-Efficient Use of Information and Communication Technologies 119 Marion Engin Senem Donanci Using iPads in a dialogic classroom: Mutually exclusive or naturally compatible? 132 Nahed Ghazzoul Teaching and Learning in the Age of 'Just Google it' 149 Saba A. Gheni Falah H. Hussein Teaching Against Culture of Terrorism in the Middle East 162 Jessica Gordon Bonnie Boaz Integrating Digital Media into Multimodal Compositions: Five Trends in the Transfer of Rhetorical Skills 173 Jeehee Han Public Opinion on Health Care Policies in the 21st Century 181 Elijah C. Irozuru M. Ukpong Eno Home Environment,...

Words: 236613 - Pages: 947