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Bill Miller

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Submitted By RabbitTim
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Summary of the case:
Billy Miller, who manages the Value Trust Fund, consistently leads his company to beat the mutual fund market for 14 years. This remarkable outcome is viewed as impossible mission by those economists and financial analysts. Is this a pure luck or Bill Miller has some unique strategies to run the company? Miller said: “Maybe it’s not 100% luck. Maybe 95% luck.” If it is just lucky to achieve the result in today, should we invest our money into this fund? Or we should do a detailed analysis before we make a decision.

Problem No.1
Define the problem of the case:
Is Value Trust a good company to invest? 1) What is mutual fund? What does it do? 2) How is the market of mutual fund? Is it doing good or bad? 3) How is the Value Trust Company doing compare to others? 4) What is market prospective of mutual fund and how does it fit with Bill Miller’s strategy? 5) Is Bill Miller lucky to get the prominent result or he owns certain investment skills 6) Should we invest?

Market Analysis:
Mutual Fund market was the largest in the world. It serves several economic functions for investors, afforded the individual investor the opportunity to diversify his/her portfolio efficiently without having a large amount to achieve the efficiency; a higher return could be earned by investor who has professional expertise compare to securities; Isolating individual investor and the painful vicissitudes of the marketplace.
With these advantages, investors usually spend less time and do not need a lot of decision making if they invest money in mutual fund market. Therefore, mutual fund is also considered a long-term investment which has a higher rate of return than Treasury bond.
We use the Annual Rate of return= (Change in net asset value + Div.+ Capital-Gain distribution)/NAV(at the beginning of the year) as the measurement of

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