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Submitted By charles11
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Charles Dong
Yd461@stern.nyu.edu
347-3073175

Analyst Report for Tesla Motors, Inc

The following report will explain all the summary statistics for Tesla Motors as well as all assumptions used in the equity valuation. This report serves to offer a broad overview of the general performance of the company and an analysis of its true value. It can be divided into the following sections, profitability statistics, liquidity statistics, solvency statistics, DCF valuation, relative valuation, and technical analysis.

Probability Statistics: Tesla Motors does not currently have very promising profitability statistics as the company is still young and is preparing for massive production of electric vehicles. However, as seen in the model, the condition can be hugely improved in the future even in the down side case. Currently, the company faces two challenges to improve its profitability performance, increasing revenue and reducing cost of production. The company’s net revenue have grown at a very high rate in 2012 and 2013 due to the introduction of Model S. It is reasonable to expect continuous rapid growth in the next five years as well. The company will keep growing with a decreasing growth rate as the company become mature. This will eventually bring the net revenue form the current 2 billion to a sounder 8.5 billion. This projection is reasonable because market for electric cars will become very big in the next ten years and Tesla with its advanced technology and design will have a big market share. Even in the down side case, we can see that Tesla will grow into a much bigger company. The gross margin for Tesla was as low as 7.28% in 2012. It is when the company first introduced Model S and it was very expensive to produce, as the fixed cost was very high. In 2013, the margin became a more reasonable 22.5% as the scale of economy started to kick in.

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