...(IFC) was proposed with a $120 million debt-side investment opportunity in the Mozal project, a $1.4 billion aluminum smelter in Mozambique. The initiative shareholders approached IFC for their participation in debt-side financing in pursue of the commercial viability and development impact. In this report, we will be analysing the project’s major risks that are expected to arise in the future, as well as assessing the likelihood of a successful investment from various aspects, until reaching a final lending decision. In addition, loan portfolio considerations regarding the addition of the new investment will be discussed. 2. Major risks In this part of the report, the 3 major risks involved in the Mozal project are assessed, including political risk, operational risk and market risk. 2.1. Sovereign risk Comparing to other two types of risks, sovereign risk is relatively higher and more important in the Mozal case, with potential expropriation and moral hazard being realistic threats to the project. Mozambique was one of the poorest countries in the world and had only recently emerged from a 17-year civil war that had destroyed most of the country’s infrastructure. The high sovereign risk is reflected in the hurdle rate that amounts to a much higher value than its internal rate of return. Regarding the financing gap of $250m, participation of IFC is essential and could be very beneficial to the project, considering its impact on lending decisions of other commercial banks. However...
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...Financing the Mozal Project Li Hongru, Ji Bian & Frantz Moudoute Analysis of an Project Finance case in Mozambique The University of Hong Kong, MBA Class of 2016 Summary Summary ........................................................................................................................................ 2 The Mozal project – Presentation ........................................................................................... 3 Project Financing – Definition ................................................................................................. 3 Project finance -‐ Advantages and disadvantages ............................................................. 4 Advantages ................................................................................................................................ 4 Disadvantages .......................................................................................................................... 4 Project Financing -‐ A solution for Mozal ............................................................................. 5 “Hujambo Mozambique!” .......................................................................................................... 5 Risk assessment ........................................................................................................................... 6 Sovereign risk..............................................................................
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...general understanding of the field of global risk analysis and management. More specifically, you will learn about the development of the risk assessment industry and the major approaches to risk assessment. You will also get acquainted with the various types of risk that international businesses face in their operations abroad, and the major strategies for risk mitigation and management. We will pay special attention to political risks (asset expropriation, contract repudiation, legal and regulatory risks), 1 societal risks (activism of international non-governmental organizations, reputation and public image issues), and everyday risks (corruption). Through a combination of readings, lectures, guest speakers, case discussions and risk assessment projects you will develop practical skills in evaluating and assessing risk, and will learn how to approach and manage risk on a global scale. Background on Your Professor Elena Iankova is an Adjunct Professor at Binghamton University’s School of Management and a retired Senior Lecturer in International Business at the Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University. She joined the School of Management in 2007 and since then...
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...Utilities Industry: ATCO Power in South Africa BU606 – Economics Group 7 Amanda Downey - 125824690 Ahmed Youssef - 135819900 Alex Zorzitto - 135823380 Tom Vandemoortele - 135824330 Wafik Moussa - 135808970 Word Count = 2,832 (including titles and citations) Contents 1.0 Executive Summary 3 2.0 Electrical Power Utilities Industry in South Africa 4 2.1 Why South Africa? 4 2.2 Environmental Analysis 4 2.2.1 Social Economic and Political Considerations 4 2.2.2 Macroeconomic Trends 5 2.2.3 Aspects of International Trade/Investment 5 2.2.4 Competition Analysis 6 2.2.5 Market Structure and Firm Entry 6 3.0 Opportunity, Issues and Recommended Strategy 7 3.1 Opportunity Description 7 3.2 ATCO Power Current Strategy: Strengths and Weaknesses 7 3.3 Risk Factors in South African Market 8 3.4 Financial Analysis 8 3.5 Recommended Strategy and Entry Mode 9 4.0 Implementation Plan 9 4.1 Immediate Action Plan: 6 Month 9 4.2 Short Term: 1 Year 10 4.3 Long Term 10 4.4 Contingency Plan 10 5.0 References 11 6.0 Exhibits 13 1.0 Executive Summary ATCO Power is yearning to achieve its global expansion goal and establish itself as an industry leading, reliable and environmentally responsible provider of cost-effective solutions for customers and partners worldwide. In search for an investment opportunity in the underserved market in Africa potential target countries were identified based on electricity demand growth trends, production...
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...OCCASIONAL PAPER NO 23 China in Africa Project January 2009 China in Mozambique: A Cautious Approach Country Case Study at io n al Af fai r s Paula Cristina Roque rn te f In eo t tit u . Ins hts can fr i ig ins South A l a Glob African perspectives. ABOUT SAIIA The South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) has a long and proud record as South Africa’s premier research institute on international issues. It is an independent, non-government think-tank whose key strategic objectives are to make effective input into public policy, and to encourage wider and more informed debate on international affairs with particular emphasis on African issues and concerns. It is both a centre for research excellence and a home for stimulating public engagement. SAIIA’s occasional papers present topical, incisive analyses, offering a variety of perspectives on key policy issues in Africa and beyond. Core public policy research themes covered by SAIIA include good governance and democracy; economic policymaking; international security and peace; and new global challenges such as food security, global governance reform and the environment. Please consult our website www.saiia.org.za for further information about SAIIA’s work. This paper is the outcome of research commissioned by SAIIA’s China in Africa Project. ABOUT THE CHINA IN AFRICA PROJECT SAIIA’s ‘China in Africa’ research project investigates the emerging relationship...
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...Project Financing Asset-Based Financial Engineering Second Edition JOHN D. FINNERTY, Ph.D. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Project Financing Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowledge and understanding. The Wiley Finance series contains books written specifically for finance and investment professionals as well as sophisticated individual investors and their financial advisors. Book topics range from portfolio management to e-commerce, risk management, financial engineering, valuation, and financial instrument analysis, as well as much more. For a list of available titles, visit our Web site at www.WileyFinance.com. Project Financing Asset-Based Financial Engineering Second Edition JOHN D. FINNERTY, Ph.D. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Copyright C 2007 by John D. Finnerty. All rights reserved Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. Wiley Bicentennial Logo: Richard J. Pacifico No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States...
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