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Cocoa Price Analysis

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Submitted By log6just
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Price of cocoa
What are the drivers that increase the price of cocoa?
1.1. The demand
The demand growth for chocolate increases the price of cocoa, which is chocolate's main ingredient. Demand for chocolate increased by 20% between 2002 and 2011, as measured by chocolate product consumption (ICCO cocoa market review Jan 2012).

Increased standard of living in India and China is increasing the demand for chocolate products, which used to be considered an elite luxury item. The massive population in these countries is driving up the demand for chocolate and increase the price of cocoa. Between the years 2002 and 2012 the growth of consumption of chocolate products has been varying between 15 – 20 per cent annually.

1.2. Status in Africa
The general world’s and UN’s attention is targeting to act against child slavery and general working conditions in African nations. The recent examples from West Africa are suggesting the situation is improving, but Ivory Coast example from 2009-2010 demonstrates the fact that the majority of world’s cocoa is produced in unstably ran nations where human rights are not respected and general stability is poor.
When workers in Africa will receive proper wages and working conditions, African production costs will increase, and raise cocoa prices.

2.13 Crop and Harvest
The crops which are smaller than expected in cocoa producing countries will lower the supply of chocolate. World chocolate consumption is increasing, so the price of cocoa increases. Destructive diseases, such as black pod disease, and adverse weather patterns have plagued cocoa yields in Africa for the past 15 years, losing growers $700 million annually. (www.foodnavigator.com/Product-Categories/Chocolate-and-confectionery-ingredients/Unlocking-cocoa-genome-to-relieve-supply-threats-for-chocolate-makers)

Unexpected weather conditions and cocoa plant

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