...Recently, I watched a movie, Too big to Fail. It depicts the events happened in Wall Street during 2008 US financial crisis. There is a scene in the movie that explained the reasons behind the crisis, which attracts my interest. Then I found and watched another short video, “Credit Crisis”. It takes only 11 minutes to visually illustrate the reasons behind the credit crisis in the United States. After watching it, I have gotten the answers of these questions. What is credit crisis? How did it happen? And who is affected? This credit crisis is also called the subprime crisis. The reason of the subprime crisis can generally be described as follows. In 2001, Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate to keep the economy strong, which not only made the treasury bill became uninteresting to investors but also lower the cost of borrowing money. So investors borrowed a huge amount of money and used “leverage” to make more money. They created a “novel” way to make money by purchasing and selling CDO (collateralized debt obligation). At the beginning, the mortgages were only given to people with good credit records and strong ability of repayment. Everything was good until the occurrence of sub-prime. Include house owners, lenders, bankers and other financial institutes, everybody gained in the process of selling CDOs. In order to sell as many mortgages as possible and make more money, the mortgages were started to give to people who actually don’t have the ability to buy a house. The...
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...-1- Anatomy of a Credit Crisis 2009-07-24 This timeline has grown and been amended since it first appeared in the December, 2008, issue of The Australian Journal of Management, as the editorial, under the title of “The Dominoes Fall: a timeline of the squeeze and crunch”. I include below the December preamble. The version of mid-May, 2009, will appear as the editorial of the June 2009 issue of the AJM, under the title “Anatomy of a Credit Crisis.” I include below the June preamble, in which I assay a framework for understanding the genesis of the crisis. December, 2008: IN ITS LEADER of October 13, 2008, the Financial Times characterized the western world’s banking system as suffering “the equivalent of a cardiac arrest.” The collapse of confidence in the system means that “it is now virtually impossible for any institution to finance itself in the markets longer than overnight.” This occurred less than a month after Lehman Brothers (LB) collapsed, without bailout. Six months earlier Bear Stearns (BS) had been bailed out after JP Morgan Chase (JPM Chase) had bought it for $10 a share, at the regulator’s urging. After LB fell, who would be next? And if LB, who was not at risk? Despite the earlier U.S. government bailouts of the erstwhile government mortgage originators (and still seen as government-sponsored enterprises, or GSEs), the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), and the later bailout of the...
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... I will introduce the link between this article and the lecture topic of credit risk.At first, we need to know the definition of credit risk to help understanding the following information. Credit risk refers to the risk that a borrower will default on any type of debt by falling to make payments which it is obligated to do. (ppt) So, let’s consider what is the main reason that causes the troubles in Spain’s banks? Actually, it is the collapse of the real estate bubble that dragged the Spanish banks into the quagmire. So, what is real estate bubble? Real estate bubble is a type of economic bubble that occurs periodically in local or global real estate markets. It is characterized by rapidly increases in valuation of real property such as housing until they reach unsustainable levels and then decline. (ppt) What are the reasons behind the fact of the collapse of real estate bubble and what are the effects of that? First of all, the economic downturn is the catalyst of the real estate bubble burst. (ppt)The average annual growth of houses in Spain was about 10% from late 1997 to early 2008. In some years, the growth rate even reached 20%. Land prices rose by 5 times.(ppt: Spanish house prices) Due to the over optimistic estimate of real estate and banking industry, the Spanish banking sector took the real estate loans as the high quality credit. Up to 2009, real estate loans issued by Spanish financial industry have reached 445 billion euro dollars. However, after the global financial crisis, the economy which origina...
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...Post Crisis Compensation at Credit Suisse (A) Brady Dougan 2009 adopted the G-20 guidelines for compensation in the financial industry 1 year ahead of schedule The goal of this strategy was to have various lines of business in banking work more closely together. 1978- Credit Suisse formed a joint venture with First Boston Inc. One of Wall Street’s earliest and largest investment banks. Credit Suisse owned 60 and First Boston owned 40% was London based and conducted investment banking in Europe. Compensation in CSFB was determined though in internal management process. While not without its share of challenges, Credit Suisse navigated through the financial crisis better than most of its rivals. Compensation at Credit Suisse In normal years, the CEO would ask the compensation committee of CSG’s board to approve a portion of the firm’s income that would be allocated towards incentive compensation (the bonus pool). They would then distribute this upon three functional divisions. 90% was then allocation to the various business units based on their performance. A) How your performance is ranked by your managers B) Actual financial results C) Rank individuals across their peers The rules required that deferred or unvested compensation be exposed over time as it was vested or earned. Because of the uncertainty of costs associated with awards that would change in value over time as a function of firm or share price performance, it was preferable if the compensation...
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...Japan's lost decade and the present financial crisis As world and consumer prices continue to drop, there is renewed fear of deflation. The nightmare scenario is Japan's 'lost decade'. Michael Lim Mah Hui explains what happened in Japan and considers the prospect of a similar fate. IN the last 37 years (1970-2007), there have been 124 banking crises, an average of 3.4 every year (Laeven and Valencia, 2008). Some have been minor, others very serious and long-lasting, like the one in Japan from 1991 to 2002. The most recent is the financial crisis that started in the US in July 2007 and is playing out in front of us today. It is also the most serious, systemic, and global since the Great Depression of 1932. A banking or financial crisis can be defined as a dislocation of the banking system where a significant number of banks and other financial institutions become illiquid and insolvent due to massive defaults on bank loans and other assets. An escalation of non-performing assets of banks will result in heavy losses depleting banks' capital. Banks become insolvent when their debt obligations (liabilities) exceed the value of their assets, i.e., the sale proceeds from their assets are inadequate to pay for their debts. Conditions preceding a banking crisis - financial deregulation Unbridled deregulation of the financial industry is at the heart of financial instability and crises. What began as a trickle became a wave and today it has broken loose as a financial tsunami...
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...SUBPRIME CREDIT CRISIS AND CONTAGION IN FINANCIAL MARKETS Francis A. Longstaff∗ Abstract. We conduct an empirical investigation into the pricing of subprime assetbacked CDOs and the resulting contagion effects on other markets. Using data for the ABX indexes of subprime CDO prices, we find strong evidence of contagion effects. In particular, we find that contagion effects spread first from lower-rated ABX indexes to higher-rated ABX indexes, and then from the subprime markets to the Treasury bond and stock markets. ABX index returns forecast stock and Treasury bond returns as much as three weeks ahead during the crisis. Furthermore, ABX index shocks are significantly related to contractions in the size of the short-term credit markets and increases in the trading activity of financial stocks over the next several weeks. These results provide support for the hypothesis that financial contagion was spread through liquidity and risk-premium channels. Current version: August 2008. UCLA Anderson School and NBER. I am very grateful for helpful discussions with Joshua Anderson, Vineer Bhansali, Bruce Carlin, Richard Clarida, Rajna Gibson, Rob- ert Gingrich, Hanno Lustig, Alfred Murata, Steve Schulist, and Jiang Wang, and for the comments of seminar participants at New York University, Pimco, and UCLA. All errors are my responsibility. ∗ 1. INTRODUCTION During the past year, financial markets have suffered catastrophic losses from the ongoing credit crisis. This crisis was initially...
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...role of credit rating agencies such as Standard and Poor’s and Moody’s in promoting well-functioning capital markets. How well are the agencies performing their roles?” – December 2013 past paper Credit rating agencies are private profit oriented entities that earn revenues for issuing opinions on the credit worthiness of sovereign governments, corporations and a variety of specific debt issues and issuers. They enjoy a high level of credibility in the investment community and their opinions are extremely influential. Credit rating agencies first emerged in the United States in 1909. They initially issued ratings solely for the debt obligations of the railroad, which had catalysed the development of a global bond market to finance their expansion. The advent of credit rating agencies in the early 20th Century reflected the emergence of highly capital intensive industries in the USA and the corresponding expansion of capital markers to finance them. Over recent decades, global capital flows have accelerated as sovereign borrowers, notably in the developing world, turn to private capital markets for financing needs previously met by commercial and development banks, as well as multilateral agencies. The two major credit rating agencies are Standard and Poor’s and Moody’s Corporation. Standard and Poor’s is now a wholly owned subsidiary of the McGraw Hill Group of companies,, while Moody’s Corporation is the parent company of Moody’s Investor Services. Credit rating...
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...TABLE OF CONTENT | PAGE | | 1.0 | Introduction | 1-2 | | | 1.1 | Bank CEO incentives | 2 | | 1.2 | Credit Crisis | 2 | | | | | 2.0 | Bank CEO incentives were the major factor in credit crisis | 2-5 | 3.0 | Conclusion | 6 | | | | 4.0 | References | 7 | 1.0 Introduction Bank CEO and the credit crisis was it related to each other? There is a statement which is ‘Bank CEO’s incentives were a major factor in credit crisis.’ First of I would like to explain a few terms in the topic. A CEO stand for Chief Executive Officer meanwhile, incentives here doesn’t only mean money or material incentives. It also includes motivation either positively or negatively towards the CEO. Therefore, the statement says that the lack or abundance of incentives to the CEO is the major factor for the past credit crisis. CEO incentives were not the major cause for the credit crisis based on my research from the journals and articles. I totally oppose these because I have gathered valuable evidences from journal and articles that I have read online. 1.1 Bank CEO Incentives There are several titles for the position Chief Executive Officer (CEO) such as Managing Director, Executive and President. The responsibility of CEO is different from one another according to their size, scope of work and an organization. CEO plays an important role by making a decision, hiring of staff. Besides that, CEO will have communication deal with board of directors and corporate...
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...Broken Promises: A Classic Greek Tragedy Presented by “Prestige International” Ana Maria, Atty, Patrick and Tom Professor Dr. Bonnie Woodson T-TH 11:10am “Within hours of taking office government officials said they would stop the planned sale of the state’s majority stake in Greece’s largest port and dominant utility. They also pledged to rehire thousands of public-sector workers and reopen the country’s state broadcaster, which has been shut down by previous government.” - Bouras & Karnitschnig (Wall Street Journal, 2015) A beautiful European country on the Mediterranean, Greece was living on borrowed time. Since gaining independence from the Ottoman Empire in 1832 Greece has spent more than half its years in default. For generations the Political system in Greece has been driven by public service jobs. Politicians regularly handed out favors in the form of government jobs to attain votes. They also made working for the state an attractive proposition with better wages than the private sector and retirement after 25 years of service. This effectively meant that if you started working after completing university you could retire before the age of 50. This is a clear example of country club style leadership. In recent years the promises made by new political leaders led some to believe that change may have been on its way and Greece could be on the road to economic recovery. As it turns out the new promises of a new government were broken, just like those of previous administrations...
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...Crisis Management may be defined as the process of preparing for and responding to an unpredictable negative event to prevent it from turning into an even bigger problem, or becoming a full-blown, widespread, life-threatening disaster. It involves the execution of well-coordinated actions to control the damage and preserve or restore confidence in the system under crisis. Risk management, on the other hand, is a process for identifying, assessing, and prioritizing risks of different kinds. Once the risks are identified, the risk manager will create a plan to minimize or eliminate the impact of negative events. Common risks include things like accidents in the workplace or fires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and other natural disasters. It can also include legal risks like fraud, theft, and sexual harassment lawsuits. Risks can also relate to business practices, uncertainty in financial markets, failures in projects, credit risks, or the security and storage of data and records. Theories have been developed to study crisis. Among this theories is High Reliability Theory and Normal Accident Theory. Normal Reliability Theory (HRT) dwells on perception that we can learn from our operating and regulatory mistakes, put safety first and empower lower levels thus making risky quite safe. It asserts that organizations can contribute significantly to the prevention of accidents. National Accident Theory (NAT) operates on the premises that no matter how hard we try there will always...
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...and resiliency to commercialize fluctuations. Two chief problems lay beforehand for the global savings, and they are ace's business leadership discussed over in Sydney. G20 Finance government Ministers chaired by Australia's financial officer Joe Hockey need to accomplish development and create employment. They might well concur on a G20 development objective. Business leadership – by the B20 business leadership forum - can assist them formulate and attain their development schemes. The G20's designs to further private sector development will hopefully adjust to our aspects, and I acknowledge Treasurer Hockey is devoted to compounding G20-business participation. (Pomfret, 2012) Economic development, badly, reckons on the accessibility of credit. One of the main checks to the elaboration of quotation is the over handed of doubtless about ordinance. For the clientele, and for the global saving, the better result will constitute for the G20 Finance Ministers to...
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...With the right decision making, some companies improve during a crisis To paraphrase the bumper sticker: Stuff happens. Fortunately, so does good leadership--but those folks looking for pat solutions to unpredictable situations will be disappointed. First-rate management of a crisis rarely looks the same twice. A case in point from America's military: Gen. George S. Patton, perhaps the most celebrated of America's modern military men, was first and foremost a student, devouring books on history and war strategy throughout his life. He also was a brilliant tactician who believed in preparation. When Germans snapped Allied lines and poured deep into Belgium during the Battle of the Bulge, Patton had a plan. He stunned Supreme Allied Commander Dwight Eisenhower by claiming he could break off a chunk of the Third Army from its march west through France and redirect it straight north 100 miles into Belgium within 48 hours. Patton succeeded, and his army helped end the Axis powers' last great push. "The things people do before a crisis occurs have a huge impact on what occurs during that crisis," says Gene Klann, author of the book Crisis Leadership and an associate professor at U.S. Army Command and General Staff College at Fort Leavenworth, Kan. "Patton had prepared himself for that situation." But preparation isn't always the hallmark of triumph in a crisis. Experts say it's a mixed bouquet that often contains preparation but also includes blooms of improvisation, good communication...
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...Credit crunch and SME financing ----Take China as an example * * Shu Ruochen Noah 4063148 * Yuan Ziting Circle 40631 * Chou Xue Snow 40631 * * ABSTRACT ------------------------------------------------- SME are always important forces of social and economic development,and they play important roles in optimizing the economic structure, promoting innovation,easing social pressures and maintaining social stability.However, the world crisis was triggered by financial crisis in 2008 in USA, which has great impact on China’s economy, especially on SME.Since the credit crunch, SME are unable to obtain full production and operation funds needed timely,and Bank loans to enterprises are more cautious, so financing of SME will become more apparently difficult.Therefore, in order to solve the financing problems of SME, exploring development mode and long-term mechanisms which is adapt to economic structural has been an urgent strategic issues. * 1. Definition of credit crunch * A credit crunch is a sudden reduction in the general availability of loans (or credit ) or a sudden tightening of the conditions required to obtain a loan from the banks . * A credit crunch generally involves a reduction in the availability of credit independent of a rise in official interest rates . * 2. Background of Credit crunch. ------------------------------------------------- 2008 the financial crisis took place in USA...
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...empirical performance of banking relationships in assessing the effects of credit on firms’ employment decisions. Banking relationship Chodorow-Reich (2014) examines the employment effects of credit market disruptions using the firm-level evidence from the 2008-2009 financial crisis. The author set a new data that contains information on employment outcomes and banking relationships at 2,000 nonfinancial firms and link the health of a firm’s lenders to its employment outcome. The result shows that firms that had pre-crisis relationships with less healthy lenders had a lower likelihood of obtaining a loan following the Lehman bankruptcy, paid a higher interest rate if they did borrow, and thus reduced employment by more compared to pre-crisis clients of healthier lenders. This article first verifies empirically the importance of banking relationships in the syndicated loan market. That is, the relationship between banks and borrowers is sticky, which indicates frictions to switching lenders. Then the author measures the relative health of a firm’s lenders by measuring credit availability to borrower during crisis. Because lenders retain a larger share of loans in which they have a lead role. The result shows that exposure to Lehman and toxic ABX mortgage-backed securities decrease the loan supply and large bank deposits are positively correlated with lending. The sharp contraction in credit supply brings a serious of consequences following the collapse of Lehman Brothers...
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...| CONTENTS: 1. Introduction 2. Credit Crunch 3. Covered Bonds 4. Basic Assumptions 5. Analysis * Covered Bonds and the Financial Crisis in Europe * Effect of Covered Bonds on Bank Margin * Covered Bond as a means of liquidity and funding base 6. Conclusion 7. References Question 1 Does offering covered bonds hold the answer to credit rationing (credit crunch) in a financial crisis or does it just offer banks the opportunity to increase their margin? Discuss critically. Introduction In the US, credit crisis of 2007-2008 demolished the securitized mortgage bonds and many of the participants left the market never to recommit themselves in the near future. This lead to an drop in securitized debt issuance where the banks began to hoard cash and reduce consumer lending leading. The US Treasury to take measures to revitalise the financial market to encourage investors to buy loan from banks book. They shifted their focus onto the European Financial Market System which managed to minimise the impact of the credit crunch through its well established covered bond program. Credit Crunch Credit crunch is explained as a period of increased non price credit rationing beyond that of typical recessions whereby credit has become less affordable or less available. Owens, Schreft and Stacey,( 1995). To banks, this will result in a funding liquidity risk as “the possibility that over a specific horizon the bank will become unable to settle obligations...
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