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Decision Making Process

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Quantitative Analysis for Management
Decision Making Process

1. Sue Pansky, a retired elementary school teacher, is considering investing in starting Right. She is very conservative and is a risk avoider. What do you recommend?
Well since Sue is conservative and likes to avoid risk, the first thing I would tell her would be to determine the actual risk factors that would be involved with investing in this startup company. How well does she think the company can do, will the general public take to the new product. I would then tell her to come up with different courses of actions i.e. investing and how much or not investing at all. I would then tell her to explore all possible outcomes of investing, such as the company could fail miserably and she could take a financial loss of half of the initial investment of $30,000, or the company coming out with a healthier new product could catch like a wild fire and expand throughout the country and other countries bringing 4 times the amount of the initial investment. This would be a big payoff for sue and the company. Because it is new concepts that are healthier for babies I feel as though it would be a good product, so I would advice sue to invest in common stock.

2. Ray Cahn, who is currently a commodities broker, is also considering an investment, although he believes that there is only an 11% chance of success. What do you recommend?
Because Ray is only giving the company an eleven percent success rate he would be considered Pessimistic in the company’s ability to make it. I would tell him to look at the three different ways to invest or not invest at all. Then I would inform Ray to compare the possible profits from each way that he could invest not excluding the possibility of not investing at all. Using the pessimistic criteria I would then

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