...Hochschule für Wirtschafts-, Rechtsund Sozialwissenschaften sowie Internationale Beziehungen Monetary Economics Outsourcing Monetary Policy An essay by the example of El Salvador and Montenegro Marisa Wenk (11-608-387) Charlene (Yi Hsuan) Jung (13-602-693) Vincenz Jahn (09-610-734) Prof. Dr. Carlo Strub 19. Dezember 2013 Table of Content 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 1 2.1 Background..................................................................................................................................... 2 2.2 Benefits ........................................................................................................................................... 2 2.2.1 Stability.................................................................................................................................... 2 2.2.2 Lower risk premia.................................................................................................................... 3 2.2.3 Eliminating the transactional costs .......................................................................................... 3 2.2.4 Domestic financial development ............................................................................................. 3 2.2.5 Better economic compatibility ...................................................................................................
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...factors which determine the exchange regime in relation to the international trade. The paper will provide a brief overview of the exchange rate regimes in the international trade, define key terms. It will also explore the various types of exchange rate regime practiced in the international and finally it will delineate the main factors that determine the exchange rate regime. Overview of exchange rate in the International trade. The choice of an appropriate exchange rate regime for developing countries has been at the center of the debate in international finance for a long time. The steady increase in magnitude and variability of international capital flows has intensified the debate in the past few years as each of the major currency crises in the 1990s has in some way involved a fixed exchange rate and sudden reversal of capital inflows. While the debate continues, there are areas where some consensus is emerging, and there are valuable lessons from earlier experience for developing countries. Selection of an exchange rate regime that is most likely to suit a country’s economic interest would depend on a variety of factors as discussed bellow (Yagci, 2001). Definition of Key terms Exchange Rate. Exchange rate refers to the value of one...
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...PAPER SERIES CAN INFLATION TARGETING WORK IN EMERGING MARKET COUNTRIES? Frederic S. Mishkin Working Paper 10646 http://www.nber.org/papers/w10646 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 July 2004 For presentation in a conference in honor of Guillermo Calvo, held on April 15 and 16, 2004 at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, DC. The views expressed in this paper are exclusively those of the author and not those of Columbia University or the National Bureau of Economic Research.The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the National Bureau of Economic Research. ©2004 by Frederic S. Mishkin. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Can Inflation Targeting Work in Emerging Market Countries? Frederic S. Mishkin NBER Working Paper No. 10646 July 2004 JEL No. E5, F3 ABSTRACT This paper explores issues in emerging market countries to make inflation targeting work for them. It starts by outlining why emerging market economies are so different from advanced economies and then discuss why developing strong fiscal, financial and monetary institutions is so critical to the success of inflation targeting in emerging market countries. Then it discusses two emerging market countries which illustrate what it takes to make inflation targeting work...
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...Mundell-Fleming Model with a Floating Exchange Rate (No handout; chapter 13) What is the Mundell-Fleming model? In an open economy with external trade and financial transactions, how are the key macrovariables (GDP, inflation, balance of payments, exchange rates, interest rates, etc) determined and interact with each other? What are the effects of fiscal and monetary policies? The Mundell-Fleming model is the standard open macroeconomic model that tries to answer these questions. Most open macro economy models in the textbooks are variations of the Mundell-Fleming model. Theoretically, it is the most popular model. But its applicability to actual policy making is not as high as we would hope (especially for developing and transition countries). Blind application of this model to your country may not yield good results, because the model is based on many assumptions which may be unrealistic. But this is the best model that economists have. So use it carefully. In 1963 when he was young, Prof. Robert Mundell was working with Marcus Fleming at the IMF and wrote a paper which gave birth to this model. He has been at Columbia University (New York) in the last 25 years. He has been a strong advocate of stabilization of major currencies and establishment of euro. In 1999, he won the Nobel Prize in economics, partly because of the Mundell-Fleming model. The Mundell-Fleming model is an open macro application of the standard IS-LM analysis. More precisely, it is an IS-LM analysis with trade and...
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...present exchange rate arrangement- linking HKD to USD. Is the dollar-linked exchange rate system still suitable for HK? Will the Hong Kong monetary authority have other better choices? In order to resolve the above questions, our report was divided into four main parts to analyze and discuss this issue. First, we discussed the reasons for choosing dollar- linked and also the disadvantages of linking HKD to USD that we assessed both in theory and fact. Then, we focused on the potential benefits of HKD linked with CNY before we analyzed the disadvantages. Later, we talked about a larger issue – dollarization and compared HK with Switzerland and Singapore before we came to our conclusions that HK should give up existed linking exchange rate system and adopt managed floating arrangement. Keywords: Linked exchange rate system, Hong Kong dollar, United State dollar, Chinese Yuan, Dollarization 1 Contents 1. 2. Background.............................................................................................................. 4 Reasons for choosing dollar-linked ............................................................................ 4 2.1 Explanation to linked exchange rate...
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...currency, the cedi? I would like to say from the outset that this subject is very much one of economics and not politics. It is therefore important that we stick to 2 the empirical evidence and data1 in reaching conclusions. I am hoping that at the end of this lecture, some light would be thrown on the issue for a dispassionate and nonpartisan discussion by all stakeholders that would inure to the benefit of Ghana. Mr. Chairman, the exchange rate is a price, just like the price of any good or service. It is the price of one currency relative to another. How much of one currency does one need to give up to get one unit of another currency? The rate of exchange generally reflects the purchasing power of one currency relative to another 2. Countries have a choice between two basic types of exchange rate regimes (fixed or floating and variations in between). A fixed exchange rate regime is...
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...between business and citizens in one country to their counter parts in another. This section discusses exchange rates, exchange rate adjustments and systems, macroeconomic policy in an open economy, as well as international banking, including international currency reserves, debt, and risk. Learning Materials Open Economy Macroeconomics: Exchange Rates, Balance of Payments and Policy Exchange-Rate Systems With some notable exceptions, most countries in the world have their own currency. Consequently, foreign exchange markets have developed to allow individuals, businesses, governments and other institutions to be able to make payment and receive payment across borders. Each country decides on an exchange rate system, whether they will set their exchange value of their currency administratively, allow markets to determine it, or some combination of those two approaches. Both macroeconomic and microeconomic forces influence the price of each currency in terms of another currency, its exchange rate. Exchange-rate systems include fixed, freely floating, managed floating, fixed peg, crawling-peg currency board, and dollarization. The United States, European Union, United Kingdom and Japan follow managed floating systems. Currency Boards and Monetary Policy Developing countries and small countries with large international sectors are more likely to use fixed systems, peg systems, or dollarization. These systems assist such countries in stabilizing their currencies, which...
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...rate systems best promote global economic growth and stability. Page 2 PREV PAGE TOP OF DOC Until very recently, the issue of appropriate currency arrangements was missing in action from the official agenda for global reform. The existence of this gap presumably reflected the substantial divisions on this issue among economists and policymakers. In any regard, these divisions became manifest in the remarkable inconsistency of policy advice provided on exchange rates by the official financial community. As the IMF has acknowledged, the crises in Thailand, Indonesia, Korea, Russia and Brazil were all associated with exchange rate regimes that had been more or less fixed. In Asia in 1997, the fund urged cross-hit countries to devalue or float their currencies rather than squander precious reserves in a fruitless defense of an unsustainable rate. But in...
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...the Over-the-Counter Market 8 4.4.2. Voice Brokers 8 4.4.3. Automated Order-Matching or Electronic Broking Systems 8 4.4.4. In the Exchange-Traded Market 9 CHAPTER II: Situation of currency market in Vietnam 9 1.Roles of the SBV in controlling the currency market 9 2. Some basic features about the currency market in Vietnam from 1991 to 2011 12 2.1. The currency inter-bank market in Vietnam 12 2.1.1. The introduction of currency inter-bank market in Vietnam 12 2.1.2. The role of inter-bank transactions 14 2.1.3 The organization and operation of the currency market in Vietnam 15 2. Transactions in the parallel market and dollarization in Vietnam 15 2.1. Transactions in the parallel in Vietnam 15 2.2. Dollarization in Vietnam 16 3. Some description about the derivatives in Vietnam’s currency market 17 3.1. The introduction of derivatives in Vietnam 17 3.2. Changes of exchange rate. 19 CHAPTER III: SOLUTIONS 23 1. Shut down the black market 23 2. Implement a semi-peg system 23 3. Resort to forex surrender 24 4. Increase the compulsory reserve ratio (CRR) 24 5. Impose certain administrative control on importers and exporters 24 6. Improve the communication 25 7. Reduce the limit for an individual to bring USD abroad without customs declaration 25 CONCLUSION 25 REFERENCE 27...
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...Monetary policy Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money, often targeting a rate of interest for the purpose of promoting economic growth and stability.[1][2] The official goals usually include relatively stable prices and low unemployment. Monetary theory provides insight into how to craft optimal monetary policy. It is referred to as either being expansionary or concretionary, where an expansionary policy increases the total supply of money in the economy more rapidly than usual, and contractionary policy expands the money supply more slowly than usual or even shrinks it. Expansionary policy is traditionally used to try to combat unemployment in a recession by lowering interest rates in the hope that easy credit will entice businesses into expanding. Contractionary policy is intended to slow inflation in hopes of avoiding the resulting distortions and deterioration of asset values. Monetary policy differs from fiscal policy, which refers to taxation, government spending, and associated borrowing.[3] Overview Monetary policy rests on the relationship between the rates of interest in an economy, that is, the price at which money can be borrowed, and the total supply of money. Monetary policy uses a variety of tools to control one or both of these, to influence outcomes like economic growth, inflation, exchange rates with other currencies and unemployment. Where currency is under a monopoly of issuance...
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...Solutions for exchange rate policy of transition economy of Vietnam Dissertation zur Erlangung des Grades Doktor der Wirtschaftswissenschaft (Doctor rerum politicarum, Dr. rer. pol.) der Juristischen und Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg vorgelegt von M.A. Mai Thu Hien geb. am 23. August 1976 in Hanoi, Vietnam Gutachter: 1. Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Rüdiger Pohl, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg 2. Prof. Dr. Martin Klein, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg Datum der Einreichung: 07.06.2007 Datum der Verteidigung: 12.07.2007 Halle (Saale), Juli 2007 urn:nbn:de:gbv:3-000012127 [http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn=nbn%3Ade%3Agbv%3A3-000012127] 2 Acknowledgements This doctoral dissertation could not be completed if I have not received the help and encouragement from numerous people. Firstly, I am greatly indebted to my first supervisor, Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Rüdiger Pohl, who kept an eye on the progress of my work and was always available when I needed his advices. His great advices, supports, criticisms, comments, and encouragement helped me to develop necessary knowledge to understand and to build theoretical context in this dissertation. I also would like to express my deep gratitude to Prof. Dr. Martin Klein, my second supervisor, for his suggestions and concerns with my dissertation. I gratefully acknowledge the financial support of DAAD, without which this dissertation would not have been...
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...economy. It further goes on to discuss the various parameters that affect this correlation. Finally, a few hypotheses drawn from the discussion are presented at the end of the paper. Introduction: Foreign Exchange & foreign currency is the elastic link between various independent political states. The Central Bank of a country frames the monetary policy to maintain a desirable Foreign exchange rate & regulate the flow of foreign currency in an economy. Now let us understand the correlation & interplay between foreign currency & the various economic parameters. In a floating regime of exchange rates, the interest rates in the country are adjusted so as to vary its real exchange rates & also as a measure to control inflation. Therefore a developing capitalist country will have its Central Bank adopt the policy of keeping its interest rate as low as possible. This will enable the entrepreneurs & the various economic actors to obtain capital at a cheaper rate. It will also help to maintain a low real exchange rate & hence boost domestic exports. Growing exports will see a positive trade balance or a Current Account Surplus. With a current account surplus the country can make strategic investments in the foreign markets or acquire factories. This will result in a negative Capital Account while indicating the presence in foreign markets. Such a cycle when sustained can provide a drive to the economy & increase the country’s GDP & improve the standard of living in it. The sources in...
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...Trg J. F. Kennedya 6 10000 Zagreb, Croatia Tel +385(0)1 238 3333 http://www.efzg.hr/wps wps@efzg.hr WORKING PAPER SERIES Paper No. 07-10 Tomislav Ćorić Terms and conditions for the implementation of inflation targeting in Croatia FEB – WORKING PAPER SERIES 07-10 Terms and conditions for the implementation of inflation targeting in Croatia Tomislav Ćorić tcoric@efzg.hr Faculty of Economics and Business University of Zagreb Trg J. F. Kennedya 6 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia The views expressed in this working paper are those of the author(s) and not necessarily represent those of the Faculty of Economics and Business – Zagreb. The paper has not undergone formal review or approval. The paper is published to bring forth comments on research in progress before it appears in final form in an academic journal or elsewhere. Copyright 2007 by Tomislav Ćorić All rights reserved. Sections of text may be quoted provided that full credit is given to the source. Page 2 of 10 FEB – WORKING PAPER SERIES 07-10 Abstract Since the introduction of the Stabilization program in 1993, the Croatian National Bank has been following the monetary strategy of exchange rate anchor. During the first several years (from 1993 to 1997) this monetary strategy achieved acceptable results, accompanied with a low inflation rate and high GDP growth rates. However, the macroeconomic situation has changed in the last decade. The indicators of Croatian economy, such...
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...Question In 1992 interest rates in Zimbabwe rose to an all time high. To what extent and in what ways are company financial policies and investment plans likely to be affected by the high interest rates Answer According to Thomas E Stitzel interest rates are the prices of credit,the cost of money,the earning rate on financial assets.It can also be defined as a fee paid on borrowed capital. Generally speaking, a higher real interest rate reduces the broad money supply. The "real interest rate" is the nominal interest rate minus the inflation rate. Zimbabwe continues to have negative real interest rates. These rates discourage investment and production but aid undesirable levels of speculation and in turn aid and abet inflation.For example in 1992 because of high interest rates companies like the GMB could not be able to supply maize in such a way that we had donors from USA donating yellow maize(Kenya). Gearing is fundamental analysis ratio of a company's level of long-term debt compared to its equity capital. Gearing is expressed is percentage form. If you have taken out a loan to fund your investments, such as a margin loan to invest in managed funds or a mortgage to buy direct property, increases in interest rates will increase your loan repayments Interest rates have an effect on consumer and business confidence. A rise in interest rates reduces the net return to investment thereby discouraging investment; it makes firms and consumers less willing to take out risky...
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... MULTIPLE CHOICE b 1. Over time, the primary main reason for U.S. multinationals to produce outside the U.S. has been to? a) lower costs b) respond more quickly to the marketplace c) avoid trade barriers d) gain tax benefits a 2. The main intent of the multinational organization is to? a.) maximize shareholder wealth b) maximize world production c) minimize debt d) minimize the cost of doing business globally d 3. Exchange rates depend primarily upon which of the following? a) monetary systems b) political systems c) trade deficits d) inflation rates between nations b 4. Replacing the local foreign currency with the dollar is> a) Seignorage b) Dollarization c) Depreciation d) Appreciation d 5. Adjusting national economic policies to maintain foreign local exchange rates within a specific margin around agreed-upon, fixed central exchange rates is called a) managed float b) ‘beggar-thy-neighbor” devaluation c) dirty float d) target-zone agreement b 6. Nonconvertible paper money backed only by full faith of the government is called? a) Specie b) Fiat money c) Seignorage d) Par value b 7. Theoretically, relative purchasing power parity states, between nations, the a) inflation rates are unrelated b) exchange rate differential reflects the inflation rate differential c) inflation rate is smaller in weaker currencies ...
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