...Macroeconomic Policies Affecting the Auto Industry In most countries, the level of automotive production is closely correlated to domestic or regional automotive sales. Also the level of automotive sales and production is closely related to disposable income levels, interest rates and finance availability, consumer confidence and other factors influenced by macroeconomic policies. Production in particular often has long lead times, so consistent and predictable economic progress is important. Therefore, national macroeconomic and monetary policies which produce stability and consistency in GDP per capita growth are generally very significant factors affecting the level of automotive sales and production. The following are the macroeconomic factors found to encourage automotive production and sales: (a) Stable national economic performance. Producers need confidence to invest, and consumers and businesses need confidence in their future to purchase vehicle(s). They therefore all want to minimize uncertainty. Thus, wild fluctuations in economic activity should be avoided. (b) Consistent national economic and regulatory policies. Likewise consistent national policies are critical to investment and consumer behaviour. Inconsistent policies may inhibit investment and sales as well as generate potentially large fluctuations in economic performance. (c) Transparent economic and regulatory policies. Policies must be not only fair, but must be seen to be fair if external investment...
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...the period from trough to peak. 8. a. Monetary policy is expansive and fiscal policy is expansive. This is consistent with a steeply upward-sloping yield curve because, while the expansionary policies stimulate the economy and decrease the short-term rate, high inflation in the future is expected which forces up the yield in longer maturity. 14. Expansionary (i.e., looser) monetary policy to lower interest rates would help to stimulate investment and expenditures on consumer durables. Expansionary fiscal policy (i.e., lower taxes, higher government spending, increased welfare transfers) would directly stimulate aggregate demand. 21. a. Oil well equipment Decline (environmental pressures, decline in easily-developed oil fields) b. Computer hardware Consolidation stage c. Computer software Consolidation stage d. Genetic engineering Start-up stage e. Railroads Relative decline 33. If the economy enters a recession, the firm will have $21 million after-tax profit. Chapter 13 15. k = rf + β [E(rM) – rf ] = 0.05 + 1.5 × (0.10 – 0.05) = 0.125 or 12.5% Therefore: P0 = "D1" /"k - g" = "$2.5" /"0.125 - 0.04" = $29.41 18. ROE = 20%, b = 0.3, EPS = $2, k = 12% P/E Ratio We can calculate the P/E ratio by dividing the current price by the projected earnings: P0 = "D1" /"k - g" = "EPS × (1-b)" /"k - (ROE × b)" = "$2 × (1 - 0.3)" /"0.12 - 0.20 × 0.3" = "$1.4" /"0.12 - 0.06" = $23.33 P/E = $23.33/$2 = 11.67 Or we can use Equation 13.8...
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...Gmo: the Value Versus Growth Dilemma GMO: The Value Versus Growth Dilemma | 1. What is value investing? What is its rationale? What are GMO’s main arguments in favor of value investing? Value investing is a way of investing in company stocks that are considered either undervalued or out-of-favor by the market. In other word, a value investment is one where the intrinsic value of the stock is not accurately reflected in the current market valuation. The underlying reason of too much decreasing in the stock price is that the company may be losing market shares or even in trouble due to market’s panic attributed to negative rumors as well as having management problems. Since the market price has dramatically descended, the book to market ratio of that stock will conversely increase. Consequently, this fraction is an important indicator that value investors will look at in order to justify if a particular stock is value stock or not. The rationale for investing in such value stock is that after the forces that are depressing the stock have diminished, the market price of value stock can only go upward from the bottom position to realize the stock’s hidden potential value at some point in the future. Notably, the key assumption is that once the market finally acknowledges the inefficiency that the price is too low when compared to the expected future returns, it will bump up the price and the value investors will directly benefit from the capital gain on those value stocks. Basing...
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...Introduction and industry analysis JetBlue Airway Corporation is an American low-cost airline and it was one of a few U.S. airlines that were profitable during the sharp downturn in airline industry affected by the September 11, 2011 attacks. With its strong capital base, the company was successful due to its impressive management team, in which, David Neelaman has rich experience with airline start-ups; COO David Barger and CFO John Ower are all experienced former senior managers from other airlines. The company’s sales rose from $104,618 to $320,414 from December 2000 to December 2001 and net profit is negative $21,330 in December 2000 and reach positive $38,537 only one year later. As we can see, the company is a high growth company with huge potential. To meet its further growth needs, it going to public to finance more money. The advantage of IPO is by raising more capital, the firm could use the capital to fund capital expenditure (buy more airplanes), pay off existing debt and also it increase public awareness and let potential customers know their products. Subsequently, this may increase its market share. And the venture capitalists may want to use IPO to cash in on JetBlue as they helped start-up. The disadvantages is that JetBlue has to disclosure more information for investors, prepare periodic financial reporting and they must also meet other rules and regulations that supervised by SEC. it is always costly of complying with regulatory requirements, such as preparing...
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...Gmo: the Value Versus Growth Dilemma Ferret out – reveal Laggard Overlook-ignore GMO: The Value Versus Growth Dilemma | 1. What is value investing? What is its rationale? What are GMO’s main arguments in favor of value investing? Value investing is a way of investing in company stocks that are considered either undervalued or out-of-favor by the market. In other word, a value investment is one where the intrinsic value of the stock is not accurately reflected in the current market valuation. The underlying reason of too much decreasing in the stock price is that the company may be losing market shares or even in trouble due to market’s panic attributed to negative rumors as well as having management problems. Since the market price has dramatically descended, the book to market ratio of that stock will conversely increase. Consequently, this fraction is an important indicator that value investors will look at in order to justify if a particular stock is value stock or not. The rationale for investing in such value stock is that after the forces that are depressing the stock have diminished, the market price of value stock can only go upward from the bottom position to realize the stock’s hidden potential value at some point in the future. Notably, the key assumption is that once the market finally acknowledges the inefficiency that the price is too low when compared to the expected future returns, it will bump up the price and the value investors will directly benefit...
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...WEEK 2 CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION QUESTION 10 What is the advantage of using a composite of indicators (such as the 10 leading indicators) over simply using an individual indicator? A composite indicator is an aggregated index comprising individual performance indicators. “It is a useful tool for conveying summary performance information and signaling policy priorities and are used widely in health care and other sectors, nationally and internationally.” (Jacobs, Smith, & Goddard, 2004) Some of the advantages of using a composite of indicators over an individual indicator includes; help in identifying divisions, departments or areas which are lacking in performance, helps in a more precise future forecasting of events, helps in developing a more effective approach and also helps better comparability and understanding. DISCUSSION QUESTION 12 Comment on whether each of the following three industries is sensitive to the business cycle. If it is sensitive, does it do better in a boom period or a recession? a. Automobiles- b. Pharmaceuticals c. Housing a) Automobiles (yes) are sensitive because it all depends on the type of product and the demand for it. There tend to be huge sales at the end of the year to attract business; for instance during a recession there is little to no demand for automobiles even with major discounts. b) Pharmaceuticals (no) are not sensitive because the demand and supply does not change it stays constant even through a recession and price changes. ...
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...“FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT” FINAL PROJECT: INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS SUBMITTED ON: 21.9.2014 SUBMITTED TO: Muhammed Ali Saeed SUBMITTED BY: Hira Saeed Amber Mirza Omer Khalid Yumna Fayyaz Maham Siddique Sidra Fawad Marium Zaman COMPANY INFORMATION FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY (FFC): Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC) is the largest chemical fertilizer producer of Pakistan with biggest market share in the country. It was established by the Fauji Fertilizer which holds a controlling interest. The company was listed on the Karachi Stock Exchange in 1991. Based on the exemplary dividends to the shareholders and other criteria of Karachi Stock Exchange, FFC has consistently remained in the list of top 25 best performing companies of Pakistan consecutively for 14 years since 1994. As a result of excellent performance over the years, the company's ranking in the Karachi Stock Exchange list of 25 companies improved from fifth position in 1995 to second in 1996, it was awarded the first position in 1997 and again second prize in 1998. As of 2007, the company is at the 5th position. DGK CEMENT (DGKC): DGKhan Cement Company Limited (DGKCC) was established under the management control of State Cement Corporation of Pakistan Limited (SCCP) in 1978 as private limited company. DGKCC started its commercial production...
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...individually. Hence, the economic value of the company will also decrease. 2. Jessica believes that the company should use the extra cash to pay debt and upgrade and expand it existing manufacturing capability. How would Jessica's proposals affect the company? Jessica's proposal will support an expansionary policy for the company which can result to a higher growth rate for ETI. As to the company's dividend policy, not issuing the extra cash as a dividend signals to the market that there are still better and more efficient uses of the cash than using it for dividends. 3. Nolan is in favor of a share repurchase. He argues will increase the company's P/Ratio, return on assets, and return on equity. Are his arguments correct? How will a share purchase affect the value of the company? A share repurchase if done correctly should be equivalent to the issuance of a cash dividend with the same amount as regards to effects on shareholders' wealth. The way the share repurchases should be done in a way that it does not diminish or create shareholders wealth. Hence, Nolan's argument that the company's return and assets and return on equity will increase is not correct. However, the P/E ratio might go upwards for a time until the market corrects it. 4. Another option discussed by Tom, Jessica and Nolan would be to begin a regular dividend payment to shareholders. How would you evaluate this proposal?...
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...Valuing Publicly Traded Equity Securities: The Black & Decker Corporation (BDK) [1] I. Introduction This teaching note describes the valuation of publicly traded equity securities using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Price/Characteristic (market comparison) approaches, with a specific spreadsheet example for The Black and Decker Corporation. Free cash flow valuation and comparables (comps) are key tools in fundamental analysis, the process of picking stocks with high expected return based on an analysis of the company. In theory, buying stocks of companies that are undervalued in the stock market will produce high returns as other investors slowly realize the company’s true value and quoted share prices increase to match that value. Three basic ideas underlie the application of discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. First, the value of a company is ultimately derived from the cash that can be extracted from that company, and more cash is preferred to less. Second, cash received in the future is not as valuable as cash received today. Third, risky cash flows are valued less than cash flows known with relative certainty. The process of valuing publicly traded equity using DCF involves three steps. First, condensed financial statements, also called pro-forma statements, are forecasted several years into the future. Second, the forecasted statements are used to calculate free cash flows for the entire firm, which are then discounted by the...
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...SUMMARY ON EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPS) Date: 30th March 2014 Earnings per Share (EPS) by definition, is the net income divided by the number of shares outstanding. It is a measure of the portion of a company’s profit that is allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. It serves as an indicator of a company’s profitability. Why it is important * EPS is a measure of the financial performance of a company. * It is used in the calculation of Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) which is one of the most publicized ratio for public companies. * P/E ratio in combination with the EPS is used by financial analyst to determine if a company’s share is undervalued or overvalued. * EPS is used in earnings yields calculations which interests shareholders. * Used by shareholders to estimate future growth The formula for calculating EPS is as below; Earnings EPS =-____________________________________ Weighted Number of Ordinary shares Example to illustrate EPS Assume that a company has a net income of $25 million. If the company pays out $1 million in preferred dividends and has 10 million shares for half of the year and 15 million shares for the other half, then EPS would be given by; Net Income ($25m) – Preference Dividend ($1m) EPS = __________________________________________________ Weighted average (0.5 x 10m+ 0.5 x 15m) EPS= (24/12.5) EPS = $1.94 The International Accounting Standards (IAS), IAS 33 defines two EPS figures...
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...Q1. Best comparable companies to DSH and the strengths and weaknesses of decision. Out of the nine comparable companies given for DSH's relative valuation, five have been selected to be in the analysis for relative valuation for their similarities in business operations and risk profiles. These five companies are JB Hi-Fi Limited (JBH), Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. (HVN), GOME Electrical Appliances Holding Limited (GMELY), Dixons Retail PLC (DXNS) and Hikari Tsushin, Inc. Strengths of decision Business operations: Only companies which operates its business relatively similar to DSH's have been taken selected in this relative valuation. DSH is a major retailer of consumer electronics for offices, mobility and entertainment products. Out of nine comparable companies given, only Myer Holdings Limited (MYR) and Game Stop Corp. (GME) were identified not to be similar to DSH, GME primarily sells products related to electronic games and MYR retails a wide range of merchandise including apparels, cosmetics, electronics and furniture. This suggests that MYR and GME would not be ideal as DSH's comparable companies on the basis that they are exposed to different operating risks from DSH. Furthermore, all 5 selected firms operate on omni-channels of distribution and have very similar products and services with essentially the same target market in their countries of operation, making it ideal to be used in this relative valuation of DSH. Weaknesses of decision Market Capitalisation:...
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...Introduction Boston Chicken is a traditional American success story and a stellar representation of the new economy. Founded in 1989 by Scott Beck, the idea was to franchise restaurants that featured home style rotisserie-cooked chicken at affordable prices. While the actual food offerings were nothing new, the market winning formula for picking real estate, designing stores, organizing franchise operations and analyzing data was nothing short of a breakthrough. Due to an innovative competitive advantage, Boston Chicken sustained a growth rate that drew both lucrative and discerning attention. This report looks to analyze what key factors led to such rapid growth, Boston Chicken’s accounting policies, as well as a comprehensive valuation of the firm that concludes with a recommendation for further action. Critical Success Factors Boston Chicken was a hybrid restaurant that offered affordable, home-style meals with the convenience of fast food. The company can attribute their stellar success to several success factors including their: growth rate, communications infrastructure, diversified product offerings, and operational efficiency. Beginning with growth, by the end of 1994, only 5 years after launch, Boston Chicken was comprised of over 500 stores, a stark comparison to their 34 stores at the end of 1991. The company had experienced an annual growth rate of nearly 500%, which correlates to a new store being built every other day. Such stellar growth translated into significant...
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...studies in a collage. Dylan is associate solicitor and earns £54,000. Ella is an economics professor, University of Bristol who earns £42,000 per year. They still have 8 years mortgage that £10,000 per year. They can save £40,000 per year. Moreover, for now, they want to travel when they retire. They need to some profit to cover their travel and raise their living standards. It has a long time when they retire, and they do not have ability to cover the high-risk stocks. And I will choice the stocks which has intermediate risk. According to the situation of the family I choice bank, travel & leisure, media and support services by the industry analysis that has stable returns. Travel & leisure industry sector: | |Earnings per |P/E ratio |Dividend |Return on |Current ratio |Net profit |Beta | | |share | | |avg assets | |margin | | |IHG |0.43 |21.03 |0.27 |6.92 |0.40 |13.52 |1.55 | |CCL |1.41 |18.85 |0.00 |5.10 |0.31 |13.60 |1.04 | |BAY |-0.47 |--- |0.00 |-3.29 |0.57 |-3.98 |1.40 | In the Travel & Leisure industry sector, I...
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...In Week 1 of this course I learned that Price-to-Earning (P/E ratio) does not have any thing o do with the prices that are set by the company. Price to earnings ratio (P/E Ratio) is a useful metric for evaluating the attractiveness of a company's stock price. P/E ratio help’s the investor determines whether a stock is overpriced, fair, or undervalued. I did not comprehend, nor did I know what the meaning was, I had to review the material again. I am clear as to what P/E ratio means and how it is used in businesses. “A company does not profit or lose from changes in its stock price, nor are its asset values affected by changes in its stock price.” If this statement is true why is it so important for the stock prices to remain high and not lose shares? The percentage of a stock is measured quarterly and dividends are distributed annually to stockholders and investors. I am still unclear as to how the fluctuation of the stocks does not affect loss or profits. Ethics and morals begin at home at a young age. I strongly believe if a child is taught wrong from right, honesty is instilled from a young age; they will grow up as an adult with morals and ethics. Ethics and morals extend beyond the business industry, it is based on the individual and the morals they were taught as a child. A child sees and duplicates what they see and learn. My children observe my walk, talk, actions, and I am seeing me in them. I was raised to respect my elders, conduct myself accordingly...
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...Final Paper July 6th, 2010 Liliana Azuara Patricio Elizondo Akim González 457179 588726 371282 Index Executive Summary Brief Outlook of CISCO Corporate Governance General Economic Analysis Industry Analysis Competitive Analysis Financial Analysis Value Creation Analysis Recommendations References Appendix – Appendix 1: Balance Sheet – Appendix 2: Income Statement – Appendix 3: Cash Flow Statement – Appendix 4: Liquidity – Appendix 5: Profitability – Appendix 6: Leverage – Appendix 7: Efficiency – Appendix 8: Growth Sustaintability – Appendix 9: BETA – Appendix 10: Market Value – Appendix 11: Value Creation – Appendix 12: Statistics – Appendix 13: Competition 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 14 15 16 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 23 26 27 28 29 2 Executive Summary Cisco Systems, Inc. is the worldwide leader in networking for the Internet. CAGR 2005-2009 for sales has growth at 10%. CAGR 2005-2008 for income has growth at 9%. Cisco has a strong liquidity position, current ratio on 3.24 for 2009. It has been growing through successful acquisitions that creates value for the company. Its WACC has been decreasing in this last 5 years 4.39% for 2009. Its gross margin has maintained above 60% over the last 5 years. Operating margin CAGR is one of the highest for the last 5 years: Cisco 24%, HP 7.6%, Juniper 6.07%, Industry 10%. Growth rate of EPS over a 5 year period for Cisco is 8.27 vs 7.2 of the sector and -1.46 for Juniper. Cisco has a sustainable...
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