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Early Expert Systems

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Describe any five early expert systems (20 Marks)
An expert system (ES) is a knowledge-based system that employs knowledge about its application domain and uses an inferencing (reason) procedure to solve problems that would otherwise require human competence or expertise.

Expert systems are built to solve a wide range of problems in domain such as medicine, math, engineering, chemistry, geology, computer science, business, law, defense and education. Five early expert systems are detailed below.

1. DENDRAL DENDRAL is an expert system that examines the spectroscopic analysis of an unknown chemical compound and predicts its molecular structure. It was developed by Bruce Buchanan in the late 1960’s and its domain field is chemistry. It was designed to use mass spectrometry and other chemical information to deduce the molecular structure of chemical compounds. Its primary aim was to help organic chemists in identifying unknown organic molecules, by analyzing their mass spectra and using knowledge of chemistry. 2. MYCIN
MYCIN is an early expert system that used artificial intelligence to identify bacteria causing severe infections, such as bacteremia and meningitis and to recommend antibiotics, with the dosage adjusted for patient's body weight. Its expertise lies in the domain of bacterial Infections. It was developed in

MYCIN operated using a fairly simple inference engine, and a knowledge base of about 600 rules. It would query the physician running the program via a long series of simple yes/no or textual questions. At the end, it provided a list of possible culprit bacteria ranked from high to low based on the probability of each diagnosis, its confidence in each diagnosis' probability, the reasoning behind each diagnosis, that is, MYCIN would also list the questions and rules which led it to rank a diagnosis a particular way, and its recommended course of drug treatment.

3. PROSPECTOR
PROSPECTOR is a rule-based judgmental reasoning system that evaluates the mineral potential of a site or region with respect to inference network models of specific classes of ore deposits. It is an expert system in the geology domain developed between 1976 and 1981 by developed by Hart and Duda of SRI International in California.

It aids geologists in evaluating the favorability of an exploration site or region for occurrences of ore deposits of particular types. Once a site has been identified, the PROSPECTOR can also be used for drilling-site selection.

The PROSPECTOR contains empirical knowledge which consists of a number of models that encode knowledge about certain classes of ore deposits. An ore deposit model is encoded as an inference network, a network of connection or relationships between field evidence and important geological hypothesis. The PROSPECTOR operates by matching data from a site against models describing regional and local characteristics favourable for specific ore deposits. The PROSPECTOR can reach a conclusion about a particular ore deposit. By giving a certainty value of the ore deposit as well as providing the explanation text for the conclusion.

4. XCON
XCON is operational expert system that routinely configures Digital Equipment Corporation’s (DEC) VAX-11/780 and PDP computer systems. It was developed by DEC (Digital Equipment Corporation) and was a system that ensured a customer was supplied with all the components and software that was needed to make up the specified computer system that they had ordered. It was used to validate customer orders for technical correctness (configurability) and to guide order assembly. XCON’s input is a customer order and its output is a set of diagrams displaying the spatial relationships among the components on an order.

5. MACSYCA
MACSYMA is a symbolic system developed to solve mathematical problems involving algebra, calculus and differential equations. It factors polynomials, integrates indefinite integrals and solves systems of equations. It is a large, interactive computer system designed to assist engineers, scientists and mathematicians in solving mathematical problems. A user supplies symbolic inputs and MACSYMA yields symbolic, numeric or graphic results.

It was originally developed by Carl Engelman, William A. Martin and Joel Moses from 1968 to 1982 at MIT as part of Project MAC. MACSYMA offers: * symbolic and numeric manipulation and solution capabilities in algebra, calculus and numerical analysis * 2D and 3D report-quality graphics. * interactive scientific notebooks * a user programming environment.

Generally, expert system address a variety of problems. With specialists in many areas being rare and the cost of consulting being high, expert systems can be useful and cost effective. the following list is a summary of general expert system problem categories

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