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BANK OF UGANDA

QUARTERLY ECONOMIC REPORT

December 2012

1

| BANK OF UGANDA

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1

OVERVIEW............................................................................................................................ 3

2

OUTPUT ................................................................................................................................ 5

3

AGGREGATE DEMAND ..................................................................................................... 9

4

MONEY AND ASSET PRICES ............................................................................................ 9

5

DOMESTIC FINANCIAL SECTOR .................................................................................. 17

6

THE EXTERNAL SECTOR ............................................................................................... 17

7

COSTS AND PRICES .......................................................................................................... 22

8

CONCLUSION ..................................................................................................................... 34

2

OVERVIEW | BANK OF UGANDA

1 i OVERVIEW trade deficit, which improved over the quarter as export growth exceeded that in imports. iv With a much faster decline in than earlier projected and

This report reviews the monetary

policy actions and the domestic and global economic developments in the quarter ending June 2012. The report also provides an economic outlook in order to guide the optimal monetary policy stance in the nearto-medium term future. ii The index for industrial production

inflation

persistently subdued economic growth, BoU further reduced the Central Bank Rate (CBR) from 20 percent in June to 15 percent in September. The bands around the CBR and rediscount rate were maintained at plus/minus 300 basis points and 400 basis points

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