...WRITTEN ASSIGNMENT 3 CASE STUDY: TEXAS HOLD'EM STA-201: PRINCIPLES OF STATISTICS a. The probability that you are dealt pocket aces is 1/221, or 0.00452 to three significant digits. If you studied either Section 4.5 and 4.6 or Section 4.8, verify that probability. 1st Card- 4 cards that are aces out of the 52 cards in the deck; so 4/52 = 0.0769 or slightly less than an 8% chance that the first card is an Ace. 2nd Card- Since first card dealt was an Ace, there are only 3 aces out of 51 card remaining; so 3/51 = 0.0588 or slightly less than a 6% chance that a second ace will be dealt. Therefore to find the probability that these two events will happen, you will need to take the results of both and multiply them together. 0.0769 x 0.0588= 0.0452172 rounded to three significant digits is 0.00452 is the probability of getting dealt pocket aces. So the probability of 1 in 221 is correct. b. Using the result from part (a), obtain the probability that you are dealt "pocket kings." Same probability as part (a). I find that it is unnecessary to repeat the exact same calculations since the result will be the same as part (a.). However, since the problem is quite vague, I decided that calculating the result of pocket kings after pocket aces are drawn, is more fitting. 1st Card Ace- 4 cards that are aces out of the 52 cards in the deck; so 4/52 = 0.0769 or slightly less than an 8% chance that the first card is an Ace. 2nd Card Ace- Since first card dealt was an Ace, there...
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...Texas Hold’em In this scenario of the Texas Hold'em game, I have a six of diamonds and a seven of diamonds dealt as face-down cards. On the table, face up, the 3(three) of diamonds, the 4 (four) of clubs, 9( nine) of spades and the 10 (ten) of diamonds have been dealt. My opponent has revealed their two cards; they are the 10 of clubs and the 10 of spades. We both have bet $24,000 and my opponent has just raised by $10,000. In deciding whether I should call the bet or fold, I will need to look at the likelihood of getting a better hand than my opponent. There are 52 cards in a deck and seven have already been dealt. My opponent currently has three of a kind. The simplest way for me to beat that hand is to get a straight. In order to achieve this, the one of the final two community cards needs to be an eight. No eight has been dealt. The odds of an eight being dealt are 4 in 45 and 4 in 44, respectively over the next two community cards. Overall, the odds of this occurring is 1 in 11.125, an 8.99% chance. This will allow me to beat my opponent’s three of a kind. However, I have the potential for an even better hand. Currently, I have two diamond cards and there are two diamond cards within the community cards. One more diamond card and I would have a Flush, which is one hand better than a straight and two hands better than a three of a kind. There are a total of 13 diamond cards. Four have been dealt, leaving 9. The odds that they are dealt are 9 in 45 and 9 in 44. That is...
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...Internet Texas Hold'em Winning Strategies from an Internet Pro First Edition By Matthew Hilger Introduction “If you can't spot the sucker in your first half-hour at the table, then you are the sucker.” This is a common poker saying spoken by Matt Damon in the classic poker movie Rounders. I used to play in a tournament every Sunday night in Costa Rica with some of the best players in the world. Unfortunately, I had no idea at the time who those players were. Hopefully this book will help you spot the sucker rather than be the sucker. It takes a lot of experience and study of the game before one realizes what it takes to play at an advanced level. Everyone needs to start somewhere. This book should increase your learning curve, but there is no substitute for experience. The Internet is an excellent vehicle to develop your game, no matter if you just play low limits a few hours a week or strive to develop into a world-class player. The following story gives you a glimpse into my poker life and the struggles I went through before I started playing on the Internet. My first memory of poker is sneaking out into the woods when I was about eight or nine years old to play penny poker with my friends. In middle school, I remember getting sent to the principal's office for playing craps in the bathroom. In high school, I was assistant manager at a local movie theater and one night my friends and I played poker in the projectionist booth while the movies were playing. To my...
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...MSSM 517- Critical Infrastructure Weekly Assignment 2.2 Weekly Assignment: Provide a detailed description of the National Response Plan (NRP). How has your local government cooperated with the NRP? Pick a U.S. city if located outside of the U.S. The government of the United States has experienced and continues to establish consistent, often times comprehensive changes to the way it accomplishes Emergency Response operations. The catastrophic events of both September 11, 2001 and the lingering tragedy of Hurricane Katrina proved to be instantaneous prompts for the evolution of governmental amendment to and eventual restructure of the overarching procedural standard for incident response in the country. One of the many important after-effects would become what was labeled the National Response Framework, or NRF. A detailed outline of the NRF structure and intent follows. The template is a doctrinal approach to the domestic partnerships and implementation of resources above and beyond those rules set by the National Incident Management System (NIMS) and the Incident Command System (ICS) (FEMA, 2012). The sole purpose of the 90-page document is to ensure that government executives, private sector, nongovernmental organization (NGO) leaders, and emergency management practitioners across the nation understand domestic incident response roles, responsibilities and relationships in order to respond more effectively to any type of incident. General administrators...
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...TERRORISM AND THE MILITARY ROLE CRISIS MANAGEMENT Terrorism and the Military’s Role in Domestic Crisis Management Angela Tyler Principles of Management Professor Jones May 3, 2012 TERRORISM AND THE MILITARY ROLE CRISIS MANAGEMENT 1 I am going to discuss a crisis management plan, “Terrorism and the Military’s Role in Domestic Crisis Management”. This crisis management plan will explore how to reviews the current legislation and policies that govern the military’s role when supporting law enforcement in a domestic terrorism crisis and highlights some of the issues confronting the U.S. government. To fully understand the military’s role in domestic crisis response it is necessary to explore existing national level structures and response options prior to the involvement of military forces. (Terrorism and the Military’s Role in Domestic Crisis Management, 2003) Crisis management is predominately a law enforcement function that manages the resources necessary to prevent or resolve a terrorist incident. Current U.S. government terrorism response policy is contained in presidential directives. Among other matters, these directives address National Security Council structure and federal agency crisis response roles when responding to a domestic terrorism incident. (Terrorism and the Military’s Role in Domestic Crisis Management, 2003, CRS6, para 3, line 7). National Security Council (NSC), U.S. agency...
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...Community Assessment WGU Community Assessment Kitsap County is located in Western Washington on the Kitsap Peninsula. It is bordered by Jefferson County to the northwest, Mason County to the southwest, Pierce County to the south/southeast, King County to the east/southeast and Snohomish County to the east. Kitsap County is connected to the eastern shore of the Puget Sound via multiple Washington State Ferry routes. It is made up of multiple cities including Bremerton and Silverdale (central), Port Orchard (south), and Poulsbo (north). It also includes Bainbridge and Blake Islands. According to the United States Census Bureau its population as of 2010 was 251,133 with a total land area of 394.94 square miles, and 170 square miles of water. The population per square mile of land is approximately 635. Geographically the county has over 250 miles of saltwater shoreline, with multiple inlets and bays. (http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/53/53035.html) The United States Navy is the largest employer in the county with multiple bases or installations including the Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Naval Base Kitsap (Naval Submarine Base Bangor) and the Naval Undersea Warfare Center Keyport. The Naval facilities compromise 35.7 % of the workforce totaling 50% of the wages. The total number of firms including private, farming and non-farming is greater than 20,000. The education breakdown of the county contains 93% high school graduates and 28.7% have a Bachelor’s degree...
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...and any agencies receiving federal monies, have been given compliance guidance and are working towards educating and training their respective organization in becoming NIMS compliant. The federal government has expanded the definitions of “ first responder” agencies beyond the traditional fire, Hazmat, Police, EMS to include public works, public health, emergency communications, emergency management, and other agencies involved in disaster preparedness, prevention, response and recovery activities. The provides a systematic, proactive approach to guide departments and agencies at all levels of government, Nongovernment organizations and the private sector to work seamlessly to prevent, protect against, respond to, and recover , and mitigate the effects of incidents, regardless of cause, size, location, or complexity, in order to reduce the loss of life and property and harm to the environment. NIMS provides the mechanisms for emergency management/response personnel and their affiliated organizations to work collectively by offering a consistent and common approach to preparedness. Preparedness is achieved and maintained through a continuous cycle of planning, organizing, training, equipping, exercising,...
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...Community Emergency Preparedness and Response Paper In this paper the subjects to discuss are newspaper articles and scenarios given in season two, episode five of Pearson Health Science Neighborhood in the course materials section of University of Phoenix student Website. A fire began in the Neighborhood community and the residents developed respiratory problems related to the smoke. The fire is not contained even after five days (Pearson health science, 2011). The community needs an emergency preparedness and response plan. Local, state, and national public health agencies such as the Red Cross, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), and local and state EMS should have participated in this emergency situation. Summary of event Neighborhood is a community located near a forest and along the bank of the river with a population of 64, 200 residents. A forest fire has been raging for five days and is nearing the town of Neighborhood, destroying numerous acres of land. Firefighters are battling to obtain control of the forest fire, whereas the health care workers are battling to keep the patients breathing. The seniors are coming to the senior center clinic with breathing problems, and the hospital is overcrowded with patients with breathing issues. The hospital has shortage of staffs and the quality of care is law. The city officials are urging the citizens to stay indoors and not to go out unless it is necessary because winds are blowing the smoke toward the town...
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...these responding organizations during and after a disaster. The idea of sharing information does not occur overnight, the plan should be implemented before any disaster occurs. Many of the issues responders face range from a lack of preparedness and training of emergency responders to a lack of communication. Disaster readiness remains uneven across the United States especially in small cities or rural areas and without significant disaster preparedness many emergency responders or emergency facilities such as hospitals or clinics remain unprepared for natural disasters. As a result, many facilities may be unprepared to accept and care for an influx of patients as a result of a terrorist attacks, chemical spills, and natural disasters. This paper will explore problems emergency responders may face during disasters due to a lack readiness and preparedness. In addition, this paper will provide solutions to compensate for these problems during a disaster crisis. Keywords: Emergency medical personnel, Emergency Responders, Disaster Preparedness, Medical facilities, triage areas, communications and volunteers The threat of terrorism, natural disasters, and diseases have placed greater demands on emergency responders and Emergency Medical Services (EMS) to protect...
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...available for counter measures and if there is a cost to apply those measures is that cost available and if not, what are the alternatives for implementation. Even though the video clearly implies an eminent threat of attack, it is extremely important the emergency manager orchestrate calm and process so that inappropriate reaction is avoided thus resulting in unpreparedness. The OPSEC steps create a sense of a checklist which ensures focus toward evaluation, preparedness and action. Once I have completed the OPSEC steps with the emergency management staff and partners the following steps would be followed: • Review of current plans and policies related to terrorism and Hazmat to ensure accuracy for response and recovery. It becomes important with this threat to meet with the fire chief, Hazmat officials, and law enforcement to discuss further actions toward mitigation. • Discussion with local health department officials is necessary to identify monitoring and surveillance measures. Preparedness with local hospitals and EMS to coordinate plans for surge of those who become ill post exposure within the community. • It becomes necessary as the emergency manager to discuss response and recovery operations with county and state officials along with the preemptive consideration of an EMAC request. Although premature in the preparation stages, but with the catastrophic outcome all key stakeholders must posses this mindset early on as part of the recovery phase. • Once all key stakeholders...
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...Events require the emergency responders to preplan how to respond to emergencies. Some examples of events include parades, inaugurations, parties, concerts, and other state fairs. In ICS, all individuals participating in the operations report to only one supervisor. This helps in eliminating conflicting orders to the individuals (Porter 21). This greatly aids in improving the efficiency of the activities especially if the emergency responders have to expand them. Main Components of NIMS Preparedness Effective emergency management activities should have preparedness activities that are continuously undertaken prior to any potential incident. NIMS focus on five elements of preparedness: “planning; procedures and protocols; training and exercises; personnel, qualification, licensure and certification; and equipment certification” (FEMA 9). Preparedness is the first step in emergency management. Therefore, emergency responders should ensure that they have a high level of preparedness. However, for the emergency...
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...Palestine Red Cresent Society Vulnerability & Capacity Assessment A Participatory Action Research Study of the Vulnerabilities and Capacities of the Palestinian Society in Disaster Preparedness August 2000 INTERNATIONAL FEDERATION OF RED CROSS AND RED CRECSENT SOCIETIES United Nations Children's Fund West Bank & Gaza Vulnerability & Capacity Assessment A Participatory Action Research Study of the Vulnerabilities and Capacities of the Palestinian Society in Disaster Preparedness Palestine Red Crescent Society August 2000 Copyright © Palestine Red Crescent Society 2001 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any electronic or mechanical means including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval sysems without prior permission from The Palestine Red Crescent Society, Al-Bireh, Palestine. For further infromation: Palestine Red Crescent Society Headquarters/ Al-Bireh P.O.Box 3637 Tel: ++972-2-2406515/6/7 Fax: ++972-2-2406518 e-mail: info@PalestineRCS.org Website: www.PalestineRCS.org Thanks to technical support of UNICEF West Bank and Gaza to this study and to the financial contribution of UNICEF- Middle East and North Africa Regional office who made the design and printing of this publication possible. Special thanks to the International Federation of the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies for their technical and financial support to carrying this study. Cover...
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...generally defined as an event in which illness or injuries surpass resource capabilities of a community or medical facility (Ignatavicius & Workman, 2010). Disaster preparedness is a process of ensuring that an organization has complied with the preventive measures and is in a state of readiness to contain the effects of a predicted disastrous event to minimize loss of life, injury, and damage to property. Disaster preparedness can also provide rescue, relief, rehabilitation, and other services in the aftermath of the disaster, as well as have the capability and resources to continue to sustain its essential functions without being overwhelmed by the demand placed on them. The American Nursing Association is helping to ensure that disaster preparedness and response is robust in this country to be personally and professionally prepared for a disaster. Being in a prepared profession can help cope and help the communities recover from disaster better, faster and stronger (Brewer, 2010). According to the Maricopa Integrated Health System (MIHS) at Maricopa Medical Center, they have a specialized disaster preparedness plan to fit their current top three hazards. Maricopa Medical Center conducts a Hazard Vulnerability Assessment (HVA) annually. The current top three hazards K.F., Manager of Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, at Maricopa Medical Center has identified include: Mass Causality Incidents (trauma, burns, pandemic, etc.), Small Casualty Hazardous Materials Response (less...
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...ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM AND ISO 14000 SERIES | INTRODUCTIONThe aim of sustainable development is to minimize resource depletion , social instability and environmental damage for the larger cause of society and its welfare . For the accomplishment of this aim, companies need to demonstrate their corporate social responsibility (CSR) that includes concern for environment. As a first step towards the goals for environment concerns is to establish an ENVIRONMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (E.M.S.).WHAT IS ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM(E.M.S.)?E.M.S. is a formal system concerned with managing the aspects of company’s activities , products and services that have and could have an impact on the environment. So we can say Environmental management system (EMS) refers to the management of an organisation's environmental programs in a comprehensive, systematic, planned and documented manner. It includes the organisational structure, planning and resources for developing, implementing and maintaining policy for environmental protection.WHY E.M.S. ? / OBJECTIVES OF E.M.S. * Serves as a tool to improve environmental performance. * Provides a systematic way of managing an organization’s environmental affairs. * Is the aspect of the organization’s overall management structure that addresses immediate and long-term impacts of its products, services and processes on the environment. * Gives order and consistency for organizations to address environmental concerns through the allocation of resources...
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...2.4 The Environmental Management System (EMS) application in the related industries. How it can improve the environmental performance of business? Example. 2.4.1 THE ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (EMS) Definition: the environmental management system (EMS) refer to one part of the comprehensive management system that relate to organizational structure, planning activities and documented manner, it includes planning, implementation, checking, management review and environmental policy. An environmental management system (EMS) 1. It is environmental performance improving tool. 2. It is effective way to manage organizational companies. 3. Manage organizations to solve environmental problems, like allocation of resources, assignment of responsibility and ongoing evaluation of practices, procedures and processes. 4. Manage the long-term or short-term environmental impact of products service and processes for organizations. 5. Continual improvement is emphasis. EMS Model Plan Act Do Check Step 1: plan (planning) Definition: planning is a way of establish objectives and processes requirement. In order to implement ISO 14001, the first step is suggestion, to help to classify all the current or future operation elements. It includes environmental aspects, compliance, objectives and targets, environmental management programs (EMP). Business firms should plan for environmental protection. They need to plan their current operation or even future operation. The...
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