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FICCI Economic Outlook Survey
July 2011

FICCI, Federation House, 1, Tansen Marg, New Delhi

FICCI Economic Outlook Survey – July 2011
About the Survey The seventh round of FICCI’s Economic Outlook Survey was conducted during the period 7th July and 19th July, 2011. As part of the survey, a structured questionnaire was drawn up and sent to economists and financial analysts with a view to gauge their perception and views on topical economic issues as well as to seek their outlook for key macro-economic variables. A total of 13 economists and financial analysts participated in the present survey. These economists and financial analysts largely come from the banking and financial sector. The sample also includes economists and financial analysts from industry and research institutions. The survey participants were asked to provide their forecast for key macro economic variables for the year 2011-12 as well as for Quarter 1 (Apr-June) and Quarter 2 (July-Sep) of 2011-12. In addition to these, views were sought on two topical issues – whether RBI should be prepared to deal with the possibility of another global slowdown and the expected stance of RBI in the forthcoming monetary policy review on July 26th, 2011. The feedback received from the survey participants was aggregated and analyzed. The results obtained are presented in the following pages. The findings of the survey represent the views of respondents and do not reflect the views of FICCI.

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FICCI Economic Outlook Survey – July 2011
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Annual forecasts for 2011-12           GDP growth – 7.9 percent Agriculture & allied activities growth – 3.8 percent Industry growth – 7.3 percent Services growth – 9.4 percent Fiscal Deficit – 5.1 percent of GDP WPI Inflation rate (end March 2012) – 6.6 percent IIP growth – 7.3 percent Trade Balance – (-) 7.5 percent of GDP Current

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