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Fixed Income Portfolio Analysis

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Submitted By juicy2011
Words 405
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Part Ⅰ Portfolio Overview
Holding Period: 09/14/2010 ~ 11/30/2010
76 days
Settlement Date: 09/14/2010
Position: 6 of 6

Part Ⅱ Securities Analysis

*CN Government Bond 10-year is based on CNY. CNY per USD=6.74690 as of 09/14/10; CNY per USD=6.66730 as of 11/30/10 CNY per USD=6.64110 as of 10/15/10
1. CN Government Bond 10-Year

The yield and price were relatively stable during the first 30 days of my holding period until Oct. 19th when the People’s Bank of China increased its benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage point on in order to take control of the stubborn inflation. The yield increased and the price fell. However Chinese RMB has been appreciating from 6.74590 USD/CNY to 6.66730 USD/CNY during my holding period. The foreign exchange gains partially offset the loss of market value of the bond. The rate of return is 1.269%. I will sell the bond because the Chinese government has potential to continuously increase the interest rate and besides the US dollar shows a strong appreciation trend recently.
2. US. Government Bond 10-Year

There are several factors contributed to the fluctuation of the price and yield of Treasury.

In early September, the interest rate for 2-7 year treasury notes have declined to record low level, causing the market value of the portfolio increased. The decline of the price of Treasuries at the end of September is due to profit-taking after recent gains.

The yield surged and the price decreased after Fed announcement of QEⅡ. I considered it as a short term change because the $600 bn to buy Treasury debt plus reinvestment of the principal payments of Fed’s security will increase the price of Treasuries in the long run. It will be wise to be a buyer of Treasury debt alongside the Fed. So I will still hold the 10-Year Treasury bond.

3. Corporate bonds in the portfolio.
WMT
DELL

MACY
GS

The four corporate bonds in

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