Ginny's Restaurant: an Intro to Capital Investment Decision
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Submitted By hishamdewan Words 360 Pages 2
Corporate Finance II Lecture 04
Shama-e Zaheer
Risk and Return
Risk is the variability of returns from any asset. The greater the risk, the greater the required return from the asset.
Therefore, in order to find the required return from any asset we need to know its risk and match that risk to another asset (or portfolio of assets) with a known return and use that as the opportunity cost of capital for the risky asset.
Measuring Risk
Calculate the standard deviation of returns to measure the variability, hence the risk of an asset.
Possible Return Probability of Occurrence (Project A) Probability of Occurrence (Project B)
-0.1 0.05 0.01
-0.02 0.1 0.03
0.04 0.2 0.16
0.09 0.3 0.6
0.14 0.2 0.16
0.2 0.1 0.03
0.28 0.05 0.01
Returns could also take continuous values, in which case, a normal distribution of returns may be assumed and probabilities associated with range of values may be calculated.
To compare the riskiness of alternatives of different expected returns, use Coefficient of Variation instead of standard deviation.
Inv A Inv B
Expected Return, R 0.08 0.24
Standard Deviation, σ 0.06 0.08
Coefficient of Variation, σ/R 0.75 0.33
Investors are generally risk-averse. Therefore, they would need to be compensated for risk through risk premia.
But remember that diversification reduces risk. Therefore, investors have to be compensated for the risk they cannot diversify away.