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Gmt Research

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Submitted By rioferdinand5
Words 563
Pages 3
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1. Introduction: Define key terms, (1/3 page)
2. Evidence of trend (Historical, current situation): Insert graphs, quote stats and figures (1 page)
3, Forecast and Implications

The Rise of China (Geopolitical)
· Economic growth enabled assertive, belligerent stance in APAC region
· Impact on supranational organization – eg, UN security council, Diaoyu, East China Sea, Chinese presence in Africa, Caribbean islands
· Chequebook diplomacy (http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/7f7b0d8e-5ea8-11e3-8621-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2sVcKseFs)
· TPP vs. RCEP
The Rise of China vs US http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2012/11/28/will-rcep-compete-with-the-tpp/ http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2014/01/19/averting-economic-cold-war/ http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67479/charles-glaser/will-chinas-rise-lead-to-war http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/63042/g-john-ikenberry/the-rise-of-china-and-the-future-of-the-west http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/7f7b0d8e-5ea8-11e3-8621-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2sVbrGylD The U.S. wields a power of influence, persuasion, and leadership on the international stage that no other state comes close to. She sets international law, ignores international law, and is accountable to no one. China, while clearly jockeying for authority and power, does not yet have legitimacy.
If China continues on this path of questionable governance and cavorting with questionable allies, no serious block of internationally influential states will support a Chinese hegemony over the current U.S. one. And so, China will remain a strong regional and international player, but one that plays second fiddle to the U.S.

China has recently claimed the top spot in a number of important economic league tables, as it drags the world economy out of the global downturn:
• The WTO has calculated that China became the world's biggest exporter in 2009, usurping Germany. This increased the pressure on China to revalue the yuan, a move it has proved reluctant to make.
• More cars are now made in China than any other country. In 2009, 13.79m vehicles were constructed in Chinese factories, comfortably exceeding Japan, with 7.93m, and the US, with 5.7m.
• China is also the biggest market for new cars. Sales of new passenger vehicles leapt by more than 50% last year, pushing up total sales to 13.64m. This saw it overtake the US, where sales fell by around a fifth to 10.43m.
• Last month China became the world's largest energy user, after its appetite for power more than doubled in the last decade. Most of the demand comes from the nation's huge manufacturing operations, but its population are also using more energy as their standards of living improve, and more of them buy computers, cars and domestic appliances. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), China consumed the equivalent of 2,252m tons of oil in 2009. China has refused to accept this, claiming the IEA's data is unreliable and stressing that it has made strides in energy efficiency.
• China's energy consumption means it has taken another unwelcome title: the world's biggest emitter of carbon. It appears that China overtook the US in 2007, according to information collected for the Copenhagen summit
• … but it is also spending billions of dollars on renewable energy sources. Analysts believe it doubled its wind generation capacity from 12.1GW in 2008 to 25.1GW in 2009, making it the world's largest wind market.

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