...How China rises What lessons can be drawn from China's spectacular and sustained economic growth? As Hu Jintau remarked at the 17th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, the period since the previous Congress five years ago has been extraordinary. China's economic achievements have been arousing not only astonishment and admiration but also some anxiety. In the past twelve months alone, The People's Republic of China (PRC) has overtaken Canada as the biggest source of imports to the USA, and overtaken the USA as the biggest source of imports to the European Union. Concern about the low level of investment in Africa has been displaced by concern about the effects of the high level of Chinese investment in Africa; there is now even anxiety about the effects of investment by Chinese state-owned firms into the Western economies. The Chinese Communist Party is also expressing concerns. The themes of its 2007 Congress included protection of the environment and the achievement of social harmony. According to some estimates, China has displaced the USA as the world's biggest source of greenhouse gases. Inequality is rising as fast as pollution: China now has over 800 individuals with a personal wealth of more than a hundred million US dollars each, up from 500 in 2006; while the average income in rural areas of China is 480 dollars per year. Made in China. Hu Jintau's remark on the extraordinary nature of the most recent years can be faulted in only one sense: China has...
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...1 The Impact of China-Africa Trade Relations: The Case of Angola By Dr Ron Sandrey Associate Trade Law Centre of Southern Africa Prepared for the African Economic Research Consortium Nairobi, Kenya November 2009 2 Acknowledgements The author would like to thank Hannah Edinger, Research Fellow, China Africa Network, Centre for Business and Academic Research, Gordon Institute of Business Science, University of Pretoria; and Senior Manager & Head of Research at Frontier Advisory, for comments on a previous draft, and for research and editorial assistance. The author would also like to express gratitude to the African Economic Research Consortium for commissioning the research paper. 3 Table of Contents 1. Introduction……………………………………………………………………. 4 1.1 Problem Statement…………………………………………………………………... 4 1.2 Objectives of Report……………………………………………………………….… 5 1.3 Overview of Report……………………………………………………………….….. 7 2. Background………………………………………………………………….… 9 2.1 Angola & China Country Snapshots and the background trading relationship………………………………………………………………………….… 9 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.1.5 2.1.6 2.1.7 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 Angola – A Country Snapshot………………………………………………………….…. China – A Country Snapshot……………………………………………………………… Angola’s trade profile………………………………………………………………………. Angola’s trade profile with China…………………………………………………………. Angola’s other trade partners……………………………………………………………… Who are the gainers and losers from Angola’s increasing merchandise trade flows...
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...India’s Trade in 2020: A Mapping of Relevant Factors Nagesh Kumar A paper prepared for the Committee on Vision 2020 for India, Planning Commission, Government of India Revised Version: 22 May 2001 Research and Information System for the Non-aligned and Other Developing Countries, Zone 4B, India Habitat Centre, Lodi Road, New Delhi-110003. Tel.: 468 2175, Fax: 468 2174; Email: nagesh@ndf.vsnl.net.in An earlier version of the paper was presented at the Fifth Meeting of the Committee on Vision 2020 for India, Planning Commission, on 8 February 2001. I benefited from discussions with Dr V.R. Panchamukhi, and from comments of Dr S.P. Gupta and other participants at the Meeting The usual disclaimer applies. India’s Trade in 2020: A Mapping of Relevant Factors Introduction India's trade has generally grown at a faster rate compared to the growth of GDP over the past two decades. With the liberalization since 1991 in particular, the importance of international trade in India’s economy has grown considerably. As a result the ratio of international trade to GDP has gone up from 14 per cent in 1980 to nearly 20 per cent towards the end of the decade of 1990s. Given the trends of globalization and liberalization, the openness of Indian economy is expected to grow further in the coming two decades. The more exact magnitude of India's trade in 2020 and its proportion to India's national income...
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...9 -7 1 1 -0 1 0 REV: MARCH 6, 2012 DIEGO COMIN RICHARD H. K. VIETOR China “Unbalanced” We urgently need to transform the pattern of economic development,” pronounced Premier Wen Jiabao in March 2010. “We will work hard to put economic development on the track of endogenous growth, driven by innovation. — Premier Wen Jiabao, March 20101 Since the early 2000s, the success of China’s export-led growth strategy had been alienating major trade partners—especially Europe and the United States. By 2005, China’s trade surplus had reached $134 billion, of which $114 billion was with the United States alone. Foreign-invested firms accounted for more than half of this amount. 2 In the U.S., organized labor and various pundits and politicians increasingly blamed China for the loss of as many as 3.5 million manufacturing jobs.3 U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY) became a leading voice calling for punitive tariffs if China did not allow its currency, the yuan, to appreciate.4 When China did allow the yuan to appreciate beginning in May 2005, the yuan grew by almost 21% over the next three years, from 8.3 to 6.8 yuan per dollar. However, in October 2008, China once again froze the exchange rate. By then, China's trade surplus with the United States had grown to $258 billion, while its overall current account surplus reached $426 billion. Although political complaints about China’s export-led growth model achieved limited traction, the global financial crisis brought the...
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...NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ACCOUNTING FOR GROWTH: COMPARING CHINA AND INDIA Barry Bosworth Susan M. Collins Working Paper 12943 http://www.nber.org/papers/w12943 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 February 2007 We are very indebted to Anthony Liu and Gabriel Chodorow-Reich for extensive assistance in understanding the data and constructing the growth accounts. This paper was presented at the annual conference of the Tokyo Club Foundation for Global Studies, December 6-7, 2006. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. © 2007 by Barry Bosworth and Susan M. Collins. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Accounting for Growth: Comparing China and India Barry Bosworth and Susan M. Collins NBER Working Paper No. 12943 February 2007 JEL No. F43,O1,O4 ABSTRACT We compare the recent economic performances of China and India using a simple growth accounting framework that produces estimates of the contribution of labor, capital, education, and total factor productivity for the three sectors of agriculture, industry, and services as well as for the aggregate economy. Our analysis incorporates recent data revisions in both countries and includes extensive discussion of the underlying data...
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...economic market. It has been replacing many western states as the top trading and investment partner in many African states, and for decades it has been one of Africa’s best friends, helping in the decolonization process and building key infrastructure projects on the continent. China has been providing many African governments with cheap loans in exchange for securing their means of accumulating natural resources based on the principle of non-intervention and respect for sovereignty, which gives no strings attached. For more than a decade, diplomatic relations between China and South Africa have been marked a great growing relationship between both states. From a period of no official ties to limited interaction between the South African and Chinese Governments, the relationship has subsequently developed to become one of the closest between African and Asian states. Growing economic engagement, which underpins the warm ties between the two states, has put South Africa amongst China’s top three trading partners on the continent. Moreover, China is an emerging market economy; with a fast track of being the next economic rising superpower in the world and its current relations between it and Africa continue to grow fast with foreign direct investment increasing thirty-fold between 2003 and 2011, from US$491m to US$14.7 billion. In 2012, China pledged US$20 billion of loans to Africa over three years for infrastructure, agriculture and manufacturing. If the funds are stay the way they...
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...Sino-Philippine Economic Relations and on the Philippine Economy SHEN HONG FANG impact of China's WTO entry on trade, investment and services between the Philippines and China, as well as on Philippines economic growth and development. Section I introduces different analyses of China's WTO entry from the perspectives of Philippine official, academic as well as business circles. Section 2 discusses bilateral cooperation through trade, investments, and other forms of cooperation such as contracted projects, labor cooperation, air services agreement, and the development of agricultural technologies. Section 3 looks at the concerns of the Philippine government and the public with respect to China's accession to the WTO, reviewing the state of current relations and comparing this with China's relations with other Southeast Asian countries. Section 4 advances five issues pertaining to the rise of a Chinese "economic threat" following its entry into WTO. The paper concludes that China's WTO accession will help promote bilateral trade expansion, and bring about opportunities for Chinese private entrepreneurs to invest in the Philippines. However, China's WTO entry will also put added pressure on Philippine manufactures, further facilitating the flow of Chinese commodities, capital and personnel and aggravating the disputes that had already existed in the economic intercourse betv•.reen the two countries prior to WTO admission. This paper examines the 36 Shen Conflicting...
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...group, accumulated considerable experience in regional and international negotiations. Within the region, the development of CARICOM and related institutions and arrangements have taken up a considerable amount of time of governments. Associated with that have been trade and economic agreements with major trading partners – European Union (EU), Canada and, more recently, the United States. Governments have also been involved in almost unending negotiations with the international financial institutions over their stabilisation and adjustment programmes. At different periods substantial attention has also been paid to global negotiations under the auspices of the United Nations and its specialized agencies, such as GATT. Furthermore, some governments have been intensely involved in negotiations with international companies in the fields such as natural resources telecommunications. It is not possible in a single presentation to distill and synthesise this wide variety of experiences into a set of reflections. What I shall do is to concentrate on the governmental trade and economic negotiations with overseas countries and groups of countries, partly because we are on the threshold of new negotiations for entry in to NAFTA, and the lessons of the past may be of some help in structuring the future. THE PREPARATORY PROCESS Starting first with the issue of how CARICOM has prepared for international negotiations, the typical pattern has been for the Heads of Government to...
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...team will produce a presentation slideshow of its case study (7-10 slides per presentation, depending on the size of the case). Slideshows will be presented orally during sessions, according to the class outline (1520mn per presentation). Each team member will actively participate in his/her team presentation. Page 1 of 35 012-IBE-CaseStudies.docx CONTENTS Case Study 1. Text 1. Text 2. Text 3. Case Study 2. Text 4. Case Study 3. Text 5. Text 6. Text 7. Case Study 4. Text 8. Text 9. Text 10. Text 11. Text 12. Text 13. Case Study 5. Text 14. Text 15. Text 16. Text 17. Text 18. Text 19. Case Study 6. Text 20. Text 21. Case Study 7. Text 22. Text 23. Text 24. Text 25. Chinese Mercantilism .................................................................................................... 3 Chinese New Year .......................................................................................................... 3 China: the spend is nigh ................................................................................................. 4 Dealing With China’s Troubles ....................................................................................... 6 Bangladesh’s Textile Industry ........................................................................................ 8 Garments in Bangladesh:...
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...The Weak of the BRIC: Currency Depreciation in Russia and Brazil ◎D0131160 Irina Chen ◎D0131187 Gloria Chang ◎D0173297 Sunny Chiu ◎D0173270 Doris Chen ◎D0173670 Athena Du Contents Abstract ..................................................................................... 2 Brazil ......................................................................................... 3 Why Brazil become the BRIC ................................................... 3 What was behind Brazil’s Depreciation? ................................. 8 Russia ...................................................................................... 13 Why Russia become the BRIC?.............................................. 13 What was behind the Ruble depreciation? ........................... 19 Comparison and Similarities between Russia and Brazil ....... 24 In the Future ........................................................................... 25 The Future of Brazil ............................................................... 25 The future of Russia .............................................................. 25 Conclusion ............................................................................... 26 Contributor ............................................................................. 27 Reference ................................................................................ 27 1 Abstract The BRIC is the acronym of four nations, including Brazil, Russia, India and China...
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...African Trade Policy Centre Work in Progress No. 77 ATPC Economic Commission for Africa The Impact of Chinese Investment and Trade on Nigeria Economic Growth 2009 Djeri-wake Nabine Abstract This paper examines the impact of Chinese foreign direct investment and bilateral trade with Nigeria economic growth. The study use an augmented aggregate production function (APF) growth model, three methods are performed to test the hypothesis that there is no causal relationship between foreign direct investment, exports, imports and economic growth. The statistical methods used are: the Ordinary Least Squares Method (OLS) and the Granger causality test. Using time-series and panel data from 1990 to 2007, The estimated both short and long-run analysis for Nigeria-China relationship shows that in short term the bilateral trade doesn’t contribute to Nigeria economic growth but the long term relationship can enhance Nigeria economic growth; it should then be the policy priority for Nigeria to make sure that FDI inflows from China and its trade relationship with China exert the reinforcing and beneficial effects on GDP and exports through active acquisition of advanced technology and open trade regime. A - CEA EC E ATPC is a project of the Economic Commission for Africa with financial support of the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) Material from this publication may be freely quoted or reprinted. Acknowledgement is requested, together...
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...200492442 Kim Loong NG MacNeil 200459087 Roland TAN MacNeil 200459176 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 2 VSM GROUP 1 2.1 Organisational Purpose 1 2.2 Corporate Governance 2 2.3 Stakeholders 2 2.4 Organisational Performance 2 3 MACRO ENVIRONMENT 2 3.1 PESTEL Analysis 2 3.2 Scenario Building 3 4 SEWING MACHINE INDUSTRY 3 4.1 Global Business Environment 3 4.2 Market Analysis & Structure 3 4.3 Industry Analysis 4 4.4 Competitor Analysis 4 4.4.1 Market Segmentation 4 4.4.2 Strategic Group Analysis (SGA) 5 4.4.3 Customer Value 5 5 STRATEGIC CAPABILITIES 6 5.1 Resources and Competencies 6 5.2 Diagnosing Strategic Capability 6 5.3 Development of New Competencies 7 6 COMPETITIVE/BUSINESS STRATEGY 7 6.1 Basis of Competition 7 6.2 Sustaining Competitive Advantage 7 6.3 Basis of Future Competitive Strategy 7 7 STRATEGIC OPTIONS 8 7.1 Improvement on Operating Profits 8 7.1.1 Production Relocation 8 7.1.2 Revenue Growth 8 7.2 Long-term Growth and Strategies 8 7.2.1 Market Diversification 9 7.2.2 Revenue Diversification 9 7.2.3 Cost Efficiency 9 8 BUSINESS IDEA 10 9 STRATEGY EVALUATION 10 9.1 Suitability 10 9.1.1 Options vs Key Strategic Issues 10 9.1.2 Options vs Scenarios 10 9.2 Acceptability 10 9.3 Feasibility 11 9.4 Evidence 11 10 RECOMMENDATION 11 11...
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...DRAFT COUNTRY CASE STUDY THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS: IMPACT ON BANGLADESH K.A.S. Murshid BROTEE July 19, 2009 The author would like to gratefully acknowledge the contribution of Dr. Anwara Begum, Research Fellow, BIDS and Mr. Zabid Iqbal, Research Associate, BIDS. The author is a Research Director, BIDS. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (TBC) I Introduction The world economy is currently experiencing the worst global financial crisis since the Great Depression. While major world economies have taken a massive hit resulting in negative growth rates in key countries or regions, including the US, EU and Japan, the contagion also spread to emerging developing countries like China, Brazil, India and South Africa, as well as to the countries of South East Asia and Latin America. The magnitude of impact seems to depend on the extent of integration with the rest of the world (or to use World Bank jargon, the extent of liberalization that has taken place). The impact on LDCs like Bangladesh has been muted in the first, and even the second round. However, there is growing evidence that third round impacts are making themselves felt, manifested in declining exports, declining migration of labour, growing number of sick industries, industrial unrest, and reduced growth. There are also fears that poverty and unemployment may be...
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...don’t know my business.” efforts with up-to-date industry information that demonstrates a thorough understanding of your prospects’ challenges and opportunities. We do the heavy lifting for you by analyzing hundreds of sources to create insightful and easy-to-digest industry information that can be consumed very quickly. You are better able to understand a potential or existing client’s business issues, without the time-consuming and expensive research process. The following is a sample of a First Research Industry Report with additional notes explaining the report’s contents and how you can use this valuable information. Report size varies by industry. FIRST RESEARCH - HOOVER’S INC., A D&B COMPANY www.firstresearch.com © 2013 Hoover’s, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1 INDUSTRY PROFILE Snack Foods Manufacturing 12.3.2012 NAICS CODES: 31191 SIC CODES: 2068, 2096 The Industry Overview is an excellent way to ensure you make the right first impression, with minimal time invested. USE IT TO: . Quickly grasp how an industry operates. Adapt your sales process to fit your customer’s buying process. . Understand the competitive environment. . Stay abreast of applicable government regulations. Cite relevant statistics in a targeted letter or email to a prospect . or customer (see sample letter at the end of the report). • Accelerate new hire development time and lower your training costs. Industry Overview Companies in this industry make snack...
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...Overview With teams around the Globe, this document sets out to give a flavour of what our local agribusiness experts are observing in their territories. This month we are reminded of the ever present impact of volatility on Global agriculture. We have seen significant falls in dairy commodities, grains and oils in 2014 with coffee soaring in the opposite direction on the back of a drought in Brazil. The moves have happened quickly (e.g dairy down over 50% in New Zealand since February 2014 and coffee spot prices up over 30% since August 2014) and this can be difficult for farm families or small holders to deal with. For example in the UK, dairy farmers have taken to public protests and blockades. At PwC we are bullish on the long term prospects for agriculture given Global population and wealth trends however we also recognise that this future optimism can be meaningless to a farmer when short term production costs exceed selling price. Agriculture is a volatile industry and participants have to put in place their own strategies to deal with this which are right for them, be it selling forward or hedging for budget certainty, insuring where possible against crop loss, keeping a buffer of cash or liquid assets which can be quickly released to sustain a business when margins are eroded or having the flexibility to switch production out of loss making commodities. We are fortunate to live in an age when there has never been more real time data available to individuals to assist them...
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