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Lufthansa Case

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Submitted By tvig11
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Travis Vigneault & Nicola Tschopp
The Business Size-Up
Lufthansa has been impacted by a booming U.S. economy where the value of the USD has been increasing steadily since 1980. By January 1985 the USD was at record levels against other currencies. Many signs such as the current interest rate differential between the US and Germany indicate that the value of the USD might continue to rise. However, there is great speculation as to where the USD will be valued in a year as many feel that it is over-valued and a decrease would be beneficial for the world, especially the U.S. economy that has lost an estimated three million jobs due to lack of competition in international markets. U.S. Congress has a motive to lower the value of the USD to make exports more competitive in the global market as a weakened USD would attract more foreign investment and domestic production within the U.S. The airline industry has experienced significant increase in demand for transportation via air, specifically due to the increasing international trade resulting in more demand for deliveries to be made via plane.
Lufthansa has witnessed much of this increased demand which can be seen in their increasing revenue and profits. The company’s inventory is composed of a fleet of Boeing 757s and Airbus aircrafts whose current inventory has barely kept up with demand and has almost maxed out its capacity. This increase in demand has forced Lufthansa to undertake an aggressive expansion program, specifically the purchase of 20 new Boeing 737 airplanes for $500m USD.

Key Issues
The $500m USD payable in a year exposes Lufthansa to significant exchange rate risk. Because Lufthansa operates in deutsche marks (DM) and they don’t have to pay for the airplanes for another year, they face transactional risk which arises from fixed-price contracting in a world of constantly changing exchange

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