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Mcdonald's Analysis

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Executive Summary
Share valuation plays an important role and analyzing the value of a company before making an investment decision is essential for an investor. There are cases where a stock may be overvalued or undervalued. It is not worthwhile to buy and hold an overvalued stock as they will not generate any positive return to the investor and vice versa in case of an undervalued stock. It is essential to estimate the value of a company based on their future growth and earning potential.
As a shareholder, it is essential to know the return that an equity investor will generate by investing in a company. Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) provides the actual return that equity shareholder can expect from the company. Six-year projection of income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement are being made to determine the FCFE. Future FCFE is used for the determining the value of the firm. It indicates about the intrinsic value of the company based on which an investor can determine whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
In this case, McDonald’s performance is expected to fall during 2015 and 2016. There is an expectation of slow revamps from 2017 in a stable phase. The determined value clearly indicates that the stock is currently overvalued, and it will not be a worthy decision to invest in this stock.

Key Details of the Valuation Model
It is essential to make an investment in a stock only after making a detailed analysis of the company and after fundamental analysis. In this case, determining the intrinsic value of share based on the future earnings is essential as it indicates the actual value of the stock. Valuation of stock is made based on the free cash flow available to the equity shareholders.
Free cash flow available to equity shareholders

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