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Mekong

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Mekong River's development may flow into conflict
By Marwaan Macan-Markar

BANGKOK - The six Asian countries that share the waters of the Mekong River risk being swept into a regional conflict if their governments ignore flashpoints that have surfaced and do not coordinate actions that affect the river, experts here say.

A potential trigger is the irregular flow of the Mekong's waters, which experts at a discussion marking World Water Day on Friday said was due to both natural factors and man-made development in countries upstream of the river, including dam development by China.

"Unless we have a mechanism to regulate water use and support and develop it, we are bound to witness conflicts among countries that share the river," said Joern Kristensen, chief executive officer of the Mekong River Commission (MRC), an inter-governmental body that manages the river's lower basin.

The most troubling period for the lower Mekong countries - Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand and Laos - is the annual dry season. So changes in river flows during this time hit them the hardest. "In the dry season, if one country upstream takes water for its own purpose, it affects the countries downstream," Kristensen said at a discussion on "Water and Conflict" at the United Nations Conference Center.

The MRC's research has shown that during the dry months from around November through May, the 4,400-kilometer-long Mekong - which flows from the Tibetan plateau down to Vietnam and out to the South China Sea - is reduced to 2,000 cubic meters of flowing water per second. During the monsoon months, from around June until September, the Mekong flows at a rate of 50,000 cubic meters per second.

Thus communities dependent on the Mekong downstream, such as those in Vietnam, stand to be affected the most by any changes in the river. This is the case when the river's natural flow drops during the dry season to allow the intrusion of salt water, which destroys the land set for agricultural use the Vietnamese along the riverbanks.

The other countries that share the Mekong's lower river basin are Thailand, Cambodia and Laos, all of which are MRC members. The upstream countries of China and Myanmar are not members of the Phnom Penh-based commission, although they are observers and have a standing invitation to join. More than 50 million people depend on the Mekong and its tributaries for food, water, transport and other aspects of their daily lives.

"The river's annual flood-drought cycles are essential for the substantial production of food crops on the floodplains and along the banks of the rivers during the dry season," says a brief by the US-based International Rivers Network (IRN).

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