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Pocono 2007

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The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads to Pocono Raceway's 2.5 mile triangle for the 14th race of the 2009 season, the Pocono 500. We take a look at past performances, season trends, and talked to NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday.

When: Sunday, June 7, 2009; 2:16 p.m./et

Weather: Mostly cloudy with a high around 71; wind out of the NW at 4 mph. Chance of precipitation 20%.

The Track: Pocono Raceway

Pocono Raceway is a 2.5 mile tri-oval. It has 14 degree banking in turn one, eight degree banking in turn two, and six degree banking in turn three.

Key to Race: THE POCONO TOUGH TRIANGLE

Pocono has three turns and three long straight-aways. This unique configuration forces engines to run at high RPM levels three times on each lap. The high RPM levels and the length of the race place a premium on a strong and even more reliable engine than at most tracks. Kasey Kahne and Carl Edwards won the 2008 races, Jeff Gordon and Kurt Busch took the checker flags during the 2007 season, and Denny Hamlin won both poles and races at Pocono in 2006. All five of these drivers are great picks.

Qualifying Procedures:

46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2009 point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying runs on Friday, June 5 at 3:40 pm/et.

Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

Top 5

No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has been awesome at Pocono in his career. In six starts he has two wins and has finished worse than sixth just one time.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards was excellent at Pocono in 2008 and should be in the mix to win on Sunday.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has finished 15th or better in 12 of his 13 career starts at Pocono. He will finish in the top five again on Sunday.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart has finished in the top seven in the six of the last seven races at Pocono. The current series points leader will be fast again this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has four career victories at Pocono, including a win in the June 2007 race. He should be battling for the lead all day.

6 to 10

No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has finished in the top five in 19 of his 44 career starts at Pocono. We don’t project a top five finish this Sunday, but another top 10 finish won't surprise us.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has always been awesome during qualifying at Pocono and he was one of the top drivers at the track in race-trim during 2008. He is a great fantasy option this weekend.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch won two of the last seven Pocono races and was one of the fastest drivers at the track last June. This is a great opportunity for the No. 2 team to notch another strong finish.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has finished inside the top 14 in the past six races at Pocono. He should have another fast sled on Sunday.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has had one of the best cars in the past three Pocono races and he looked like a different driver last weekend. He should have a top 10 car on Sunday.

11 to 20

No. 31 Jeff Burton: Pocono has been a good track for Burton during his career. He could be in the top 10 when the checkers fly on Sunday afternoon.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has finished in the top 18 in the past seven races at Pocono. He will compete for the pole this weekend and could crack the top 10 with a little luck.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer finished in the top 10 in three of the last four races at Pocono. He will have a good car again this weekend.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy doesn’t struggle at many tracks, but Pocono is a place he has been terrible. In his career he has cracked the top 10 just twice and he finished 43rd and 36th in the 2008 races at the track. This is a rare, rare, rare weekend we don’t have No. 18 in our top 10.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has finished 17th or better in his last eight starts at Pocono. He should crack the top 15 again on Sunday.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano has been one of the top drivers in the Cup Series the past month and a half. “Sliced Bread” might not be such a bad nickname for the kid after all.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers has four top five finishes in 10 career starts at Pocono. He is a great value pick this weekend.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Pocono has never been one of Biffle's better tracks. Stay away from him this weekend.
No. 1 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex Jr. has averaged a 15th place finish in his five career starts at Pocono. We think he will finish right around his average on Sunday.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan cracked the top 20 at Pocono for the first time in his career last August. He is worth using as a fourth driver in all fantasy leagues.

21 to 30

No. 26 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has just three top 10 finishes in 12 career Pocono starts. We don't think he will make it four on Sunday.
No. 07 Casey Mears: Mears was great at Pocono in 2007, but he struggled at the track in 2008. He is a tough driver to get a read on for this weekend.
No. 44 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has top 20 finishes in two of his three career starts at Pocono. He is a decent sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has struggled in three of his four career starts at Pocono. He will need a little luck to sneak into the top 20 this weekend.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya has finished on the lead lap just one time in four career starts at Pocono. He is quietly having a very productive season, but there are better options this weekend.
No. 96 Bobby Labonte: Labonte is usually decent at Pocono. This isn't a bad weekend to use him.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose continues to be a top 20 driver in the point standings. There are far worse drivers to use as a number five on your team.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has led laps in three of the last six races, but he has just one top 15 finish to show for it. He isn't worth using as anything more than a fifth driver on fantasy teams.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. had a rough time at Pocono in 2008. He should be much better this year.
No. 12 David Stremme: Stremme has never finished worse than 29th at Pocono. He is an option for those of you in very, very deep leagues.

31 to 35

No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard’s average finish at Pocono is 30th. He should finish right around there again this weekend.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed is one spot out of the top 35. Look for him to drive a smart race and get himself to No. 34 for next weekend.
No. 43 Reed Sorenson: Sorenson is another driver that is quietly having a decent season. Pocono, however, is a track he would prefer to avoid. This isn’t the weekend to take a chance on using the No. 43 car.
No. 55 Michael Waltrip: Waltrip has cracked the top 25 just one time in the past nine Pocono races. He isn't an option.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon has finished 35th or worse in seven of his last eight Pocono starts. He isn't a fantasy option.

Field Fillers

No. 34 John Andretti
No. 71 David Gilliland
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 78 Regan Smith
No. 09 Sterling Marlin
No. 36 Patrick Carpantier
No. 06 Trevor Boys
No. 64 Mike Wallace
No. 75 Derrike Cope
No. 51 Dexter Bean

Brownie's Picks

Top Four:

1. Denny Hamlin
2. Carl Edwards
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Tony Stewart

Sleepers:

1. Joey Logano
2. Brian Vickers

Bust of the Week:

1. Kyle Busch

I appreciate all comments and questions. As always feel free to contact me through the below email address if you have any questions or comments on NASCAR Fantasy Racing. Good luck on Sunday!

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