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Predicting Financial Stress - Home Depot/Lowes

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Predicting Financial Stress

2014MAY – FSA712 Final Project

Abstract This research paper will discuss methods used for measuring and predicting financial stress for business enterprises. The accounting literature includes several financial stress prediction models, the most common of which are the Altman Z-Score and Ohlson O-Score. The role of the above models is to focus on the use of financial ratios, earnings measures, market values and cash flow. Models that predict the financial stress of companies can be used as early warning tools meant to direct a company’s management to take necessary corrective action before the company goes into financial difficulty and eventual bankruptcy proceedings. This paper specifically will discuss and analyze the three main financial stress prediction models, the Altman Z-Score, Ohlson’s O-Score and Merton’s Distance to Default. The two selected companies that will be analyzed are Home Depot and Lowes’ Company. The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer. The Home Depot stores sell various building materials, home improvement products, and lawn and garden products as well as provide installation, home maintenance, and professional service programs to do-it-yourself, do-it-for-me, and professional customers. The company offers installation programs that include flooring, cabinets, countertops, water heaters, and sheds, as well as act as a contractor to provide installation services to its do-it-for-me customers through third-party installers. It primarily serves professional remodelers, general contractors, repairmen, small business owners, and tradesmen. The company also sells its products through online. As of March 13, 2014, it operated 2,263 retail stores in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico,

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