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Sears

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Submitted By miahtic
Words 17411
Pages 70
Sears, Roebuck & Co
G5 Investment Group
Matt Nutsch
Renis Kacani
Melody Seely
Ashley Green
Wiley Eagle
.

G5 Investment Group

December 4, 2004
Retail – Broadline

Buy
Stock Data
Price (52 weeks)
Symbol/Exchange
Beta
Fully Diluted Shrs
Average Daily Vol
Current market cap Book Value / Share
Current ratio

$31.21 - $55.90
S / NYSE
1.3
230.4 million
5,028,000 shrs
10.82B
$28.3
1.32

Valuation (per share)
Current Price
Comparables
DCF Analysis
Residual Income
DD Analysis
Abnormal Earnings

$34.78
$36.60
$36.94
$38.38
$27.97
$46.49

Summary Financials (in millions) for 2004
Revenue
Earnings

$36.6 billion
$550 million

1

Executive Summary
Sears is following a differentiated approach in a competitive industry.
Consequently, Sears has lagged behind other broadline retailers such as K-Mart,
Target, and Wal-Mart. Should Sears adjust its marketing approach, it would have great potential for success.
Growth prospects for Sears include continuation and growth of sales and expansion. The development of subsidiary brands such as Lands’ End and the acquiring of 61 of-mall stores from K-Mart and Wal-Mart. of new stores abroad will fuel this growth. Financing the acquisitions should not be overly burdensome for Sears, given the company’s large cash. Also, the company’s Z-Score of 5.9 will provide easy access to financing if needed

Sears has began to shift to an

off-mall emphasis for its stores as it acquired stores from K-Mart and Wal-Mart.
It has named this process Sears Grand and it is progressing well for the company. This shift in emphasis will also sustain Sears’ growth.
Sears performance is highly correlated to market factors. It is subject cycles in the industry as well as economic fluctuation in the system as a whole. Sears’ sales are highly seasonal and the company heavily depends on holiday

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