...| Yakin Reza | 0930042030 | Naima Rahman | 0930283030 | Date of Submission: August 08, 2012 TABLE OF CONTENTS | | | Executive Summary | 03 | Introduction | 04 | Objective | 04 | Asset Allocation | 05 | Macroeconomic & Industrial Scene | 07 | Diversification | 07 | Trading Strategies & Economic Rationale for Selecting Stocks | 07 | Portfolio Performance | 10 | Holding Period Return | 13 | Portfolio Risk & Return | 14 | Security Market Line | 15 | Lessons Learned from Trading | 16 | Conclusion | 17 | References | 18 | Appendix | 19 | Executive Summary The investment simulation project is a fictitious investment in the Dhaka Stock Exchange that started from June 4, 2012 and ended on August 01, 2012 over a period of two months and separated in three phases. The initial investment in the portfolio was around BDT 1,000,000. The objective of the project was to maximize the after tax wealth through a well diversified portfolio. Given the consistent market fall at the Dhaka Stock Exchange since our investment period, we could not profit from the investment, nevertheless, we were able to improve performance over time with the help of the knowledge on finance and investment. In the first phase (June 4 – June 21) of the project we invested the amount totaling to BDT 999,203 in 15 companies from 11 different industries. We made our investment...
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...Effects of Interest Rate and Exchange Rate on Volatility of Market Index at Dhaka Stock Exchange DEWAN MUKTADIR-AL-MUKIT * ABSTRACT The paper investigates the effects of the exchange rates and interest rates on stock market performance by using monthly time series data for the economy of Bangladesh, over the period of 1997 to 2010. This study uses econometric techniques of measuring the long and short term relationship between variables using the concept of Cointegration and Error Correction Model and analysis of Variance Decomposition. Causal relationships have been investigated using Granger causality test. By employing Cointegration technique it is observed that in the long run, a one percent increase in exchange rate and in interest rate contributes1.04% increase and 1.71 % decrease in market index respectively. The estimated error correction coefficient indicates that 7.8 percent deviation of stock returns are corrected in the short run. Finally, Granger causality analysis suggests the existence of a unidirectional causality from market index to exchange rate and from interest rate to market index. Keywords: Cointegration, Granger Causality. Exchange rate, Interest rate, DGEN index 1. INTRODUCTION A well functioning financial system boosts economic growth through proper and efficient allocation of resources. As a part of financial system, the importance and role of stock market towards achieving economic growth is crucial. The functioning of stock market depends on investors’...
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...the capital market of Bangladesh has witnessed a haughty growth which is not in line of development in the real sector of the economy. Although, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Bangladesh has tried to correct the irregular behavior observed in the market, very often it is argued that lack of proper and firm decisions from the regulator’s side has contributed to make the market more unstable rather than to reduce it. The paper attempts to identify the inter relationship between the capital market and money market. The Capital Market of Bangladesh is passing tough times since December 2010 as high volatility is eroding the capital of Thousands of Investors that might turn into social instability. This fall is caused by many factors that I tried to identify and tried to link up between causal factors of market crash and regulatory failure and also tried to find out the inter-relationship between capital market and money market. Primary issue related problems was faulty listing methods and IPO overpricing, few numbers of new listings, revaluating assets before company listing, high premium in issuance of right share/Repeat IPO etc. while secondary market related problems was stock splits and stock price manipulations through block trading, circular trading and insider trading. Investor’s greed and irrational behavior played a big rule to make the stock prices sky rocking as they were crazy to buy shares without judging the company fundamentals. Shares of the companies...
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...various securities (shares, bonds and other securities) and other assets (e.g., real estate) in order to meet specified investment goals for the benefit of the investors. Investors may be institutions (insurance companies, pension funds, corporations, charities, educational establishments etc.) or private investors (both directly via investment contracts and more commonly via collective investment schemes e.g. mutual funds or exchange-traded funds). The term asset management is often used to refer to the investment management of collective investments, while the more generic fund management may refer to all forms of institutional investment as well as investment management for private investors. Investment managers who specialize in advisory or discretionary management on behalf of (normally wealthy) private investors may often refer to their services as money management or portfolio management often within the context of so-called "private banking". The provision of investment management services includes elements of financial statement analysis, asset selection, stock selection, plan implementation and ongoing monitoring of investments. Coming under the remit of financial services many of the world's largest companies...
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...Weak- Form Market Efficiency of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), Bangladesh ABU TAHER MOLLIK Economics & Finance, Regional School of Business, Faculty of Law and Management, La-Trobe University, Bendigo, VIC 3550, Australia. Email:abumollik@yahoo.com.au; a.mollik@latrobe.edu.au M KHOKAN BEPARI PhD Student School of Commerce and Marketing Faculty of Arts, Business, Informatics and Education Central Queensland University, Australia Email: k.bepari@cqu.edu.au; khokan552@yahoo.com Phone:+610402917968 Weak Form Market Efficiency of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), Bangladesh Abstract This paper examines the weak-form efficiency in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh adjusting for thin trading problem. Both non-parametric tests and parametric tests are used. The data sets consist of daily DSE General Index (DSE-GEN) and DSE 20 Index for the period ranging from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2007. The results of the study reveal that DSE return series are not normally distributed. Both the return series are stationary and do not follow a random walk. Overall, the study rejects the weak form efficiency of DSE. Key words: Efficient Market Hypothesis; Dhaka Stock Exchange; Random Walk Model; Weak Form of Efficiency; Return autocorrelation. JEL classification: G14, N25, G 34 Weak Form Market Efficiency of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), Bangladesh 1. Introduction The theory of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) proposed by Fama (1965) was a ‘water...
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...of Business and Management Vol. 6, No. 7; July 2011 86 ISSN 1833-3850 E-ISSN 1833-8119 Capital Market of Bangladesh: Volatility in the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and Role of Regulators Md. Tariqur Rahman (Corresponding author) Senior Research Associate, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) House No. 40/C, Road No, 11 (New) Dhanmondi R/A, Dhaka-1209, Bangladesh Tel: 880-2-812-4770, 9141734 Ext-146 E-mail: rahmantariqdu@gmail.com Khondker Golam Moazzem Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) House No. 40/C, Road No, 11 (New) Dhanmondi R/A, Dhaka-1209, Bangladesh Tel: 880-2-812-4770, 9141734 Ext-147 E-mail: moazzem@cpd.org.bd Received: December 17, 2010 Accepted: February 27, 2011 doi:10.5539/ijbm.v6n7p86 Abstract Over the last few years, the capital market of Bangladesh has witnessed a haughty growth which is not in line of development in the real sector of the economy. Although, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Bangladesh has tried to correct the irregular behavior observed in the market, very often it is argued that lack of proper and firm decisions from the regulator’s side has contributed to make the market more unstable rather than to reduce it. The paper attempts to identify the casual relationship between the observed volatility in the country’s major bourses namely the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and the regulatory decisions taken by the SEC empirically. Using Vector Auto-regressive (VAR), statistically highly significant relationship...
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...Testing the weak form efficiency of Islamabad Stock exchange (ISE) Syed Tauseef Raza Gilani Department of Management Sciences, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan Email: tosif399@gmail.com, Tel: +00923006327270 Abstract The characteristics of stock prices reflect the all available information in market. This study explored the weak form efficiency of Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE). In this research paper, we have also revealed the behavior of prices traded in Islamabad Stock Exchange, and how it behaves in different unusual events. Stock markets are the major contributor to economy. To test the weak form efficiency of Islamabad Stock exchange, we have tested Efficient Market Hypothesis. EMH is method to measure the stock prices trends in the market. Efficient market hypothesis also helps for making the right investment decisions. From two of decades, EMH has obtained much great importance in the field of finance. So it has attracted many researchers to explore the anomalous behavior of efficient stock market. Efficient market hypothesis has three main categories: 1. Weak form 2. Semi-strong form 3. Strong form. We will focus only weak form of market efficiency in ISE. Focus of the study is to analyze the weak form of ISE-10 in the stock market. For this purpose we have used different statistical technique for analyzing the data that is collected from the official website of ISE. Data will be in the form of weekly ISE-10 share index. Time period of data is From...
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...RECENT TRENDS IN CAPITAL MARKET OF BANGLADESH: CRITICAL EVALUATION OF REGULATION by Syed Golam Shahjarul Alam A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Professional Master in Banking and Finance Examination Committee: Dr. Sundar Venkatesh (Chairperson) Dr. Winai Wongsurawat Dr. Yuosre Badir Nationality: Previous Degree: Bangladeshi Master of Business Administration University of Dhaka Dhaka, Bangladesh Bangladesh Bank (Central Bank of Bangladesh) Scholarship Donor: Asian Institute of Technology School of Management Thailand May2012 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS My greatest Gratitude is given to Dr. Sundar Venkatesh, my project advisor, for his deep insight in capital market, which helped me to accomplish the project paper. His dedication towards teaching, motivating and supervising influenced me greatly, leading to do my project work carefully and seriously. I wish to express my deepest gratitude and appreciation to Bangladesh Bank, My office, for granting me a scholarship, to pursue my Masters in banking and finance. I express my gratitude and deepest appreciation to my friend Ms. Senjuti binte rafiq, My Colleagues in Bangladesh Bank and DSE Library staffs who helped me by providing valuable suggestions and necessary data for my analysis. I am very much thankful to Dr. Winai Wongsurawat and Dr. Juthathip Jongwanich for their valuable suggestions regarding my project. I express my gratitude and deepest appreciation to Ms...
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...A Term Paper On “The Role of Capital Market on The Economic Development of Bangladesh” GOVT. SUHRAWARDY COLLEGE, PIROJPUR Department of Accounting Term Paper On “The Role of Capital Market on The Economic Development of Bangladesh” Submitted To: Md. Faruk Hosain Assistant Professor Department of Accounting Govt. Suhrawardy College, Pirojpur Submitted By: Alamgir Hossain Roll No- 9792874 Reg. No-1727384 Session-2010-2011 BBA (Hons) 4th Year Department of Accounting Govt. Suhrawardy College, Pirojpur Date of Submission: February 12, 2014 Letter of Transmittal Date : Md. Faruk Hosain Assistant Professor Govt. Suhrawardy College, Pirojpur Subject: Submission of Term Paper on “The role of capital market on the economic development of Bangladesh”. Sir, As a part of BBA program a term paper is enclosed herewith. The report was prepared on “The role of capital market on the economic development of Bangladesh.” In the course of preparation the report, I tried with the best of my capacity to accommodate as much information and relevant issues as possible and tried to follow the instructions as you have suggested. In the time of preparation the report, relevant documents, data, information were studied and practical knowledge had been gathered. I tried my best to make this report as much informative as possible. I sincerely believe that it will satisfy your requirements. I however sincerely believe that this report will serve the purpose of my term paper...
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...ns m itta l June 11, 2011 Dr. Md. Farid Ahmed Professor Department of Finance University of Dhaka Dear Sir, Here is the report on ‘Cause, Consequences and Cures of Stock Market Crash 2011: A Study on Dhaka Stock Exchange’ you asked us to conduct. Working on a practical field with theories helped us to build our theories strong and specific. We believe that this report will help the reader to know about the causes and consequences of the stock market crash. During preparing this report we have enforced our best effort. Surely, it enriches our knowledge and promotes our study. Thank you for giving us such an opportunity for working on the topic. We will be honored to provide you any additional information, if necessary. Respectfully, Taher Jamil (On behalf of the group) Executive Summary Between July and December 1996, the Bangladesh capital market experienced an unprecedented surge in market prices and volume of activity. It was not 1996 but 2011, which will be recalled for bubble burst of capital market. January 10, 2011 is another black day for capital market history of Bangladesh. For the first hour of trading, the DSE general index dropped to 660.43 points or a record 9.25 per cent, the highest single day fall of our capital market. CSE also observed similar fall in stock prices. Portfolios of most of the investors have been reduced significantly following such dripping of Index. ...
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...RECENT TRENDS IN CAPITAL MARKET OF BANGLADESH: CRITICAL EVALUATION OF REGULATION by Syed Golam Shahjarul Alam A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Professional Master in Banking and Finance Examination Committee: Dr. Sundar Venkatesh (Chairperson) Dr. Winai Wongsurawat Dr. Yuosre Badir Nationality: Previous Degree: Bangladeshi Master of Business Administration University of Dhaka Dhaka, Bangladesh Bangladesh Bank (Central Bank of Bangladesh) Scholarship Donor: Asian Institute of Technology School of Management Thailand May2012 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS My greatest Gratitude is given to Dr. Sundar Venkatesh, my project advisor, for his deep insight in capital market, which helped me to accomplish the project paper. His dedication towards teaching, motivating and supervising influenced me greatly, leading to do my project work carefully and seriously. I wish to express my deepest gratitude and appreciation to Bangladesh Bank, My office, for granting me a scholarship, to pursue my Masters in banking and finance. I express my gratitude and deepest appreciation to my friend Ms. Senjuti binte rafiq, My Colleagues in Bangladesh Bank and DSE Library staffs who helped me by providing valuable suggestions and necessary data for my analysis. I am very much thankful to Dr. Winai Wongsurawat and Dr. Juthathip Jongwanich for their valuable suggestions regarding my project. I express my gratitude and deepest appreciation to Ms...
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...CONTEXT 1.0 Introduction Capital Market mainly refers to the Stock and Share market of the country. When banking system cannot totally meet up the need for funds to the market economy, capital market stands up to supplement it. Companies and the government can raise funds for long-term investments via the capital market. The capital market includes the stock market, the bond market, and the primary market. Securities trading on organized capital markets are monitored by the government; new issues are approved by authorities of financial supervision and monitored by participating banks. Thus, organized capital markets are able to guarantee sound investment opportunities. This paper reveals the various aspects of the Capital Market in Bangladesh. 1.1 Objectives Capital market, being an essential element of today’s economy, demands an intensive and special attention. The objective of this study is to look into every aspect of Bangladesh capital market and identify its various pros and cons along with some recommendations to overcome the existing problems. The specific objectives of this study are: To give an overall idea about the capital market-its structures, functions, importance, etc. To identify the current situations of our capital market of Bangladesh. To compare the relative conditions of Bangladesh capital market to other countries of the world. To sort out the problems associated with our capital market. To suggest some practicable solutions to these problems...
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...and Problem Discussion: Financial scholars have been conducting studies of dividend policy for several decades; but different researchers have come to different conclusions. Financial economists have come to different conclusion about factors determining dividend policy and effect of dividend policies on common stock price. A general question may arise in the mind of the shareholders that the corporate dividend policy affects the value of their stocks. So, in addition to the theory of dividend policy, it is necessary to discuss the empirical evidence on the dividend payment practices of the corporations and their possible impacts on common stock prices. Empirical testing of dividend policy may focus on whether the determinants carry information in pricing the common stocks and whether the dividends are the only determinants serving as signals in conveying information about the current and future earnings of the corporation. Purpose: The present study will strives on the relative importance of dividends, retained earnings, and other determinants in the explanation of stock prices in Bangladesh with particular stock price of the companies associated with Dhaka Stock Exchange (henceforth DSE), an emerging capital market of Bangladesh. The prime objective of this study...
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...DESIGN OF SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD. BASED ON 2006 - 2007 COMPANY ACTIVITIES April 20, 2008 Members of the Group Acknowledgment A single individual can achieve no noble objective. We are indebted to a number of persons for their kind advice, suggestions, directions, & co-operations which have enable us to prepare this report. First of all I would like to thank Utpual for his contribution into this report. We would like to thank Kazal Pharmacy for their suggestion and ideas. Riaheen Farzana Senior Lecturer ULAB School of Business University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh Dhanmondi, Road- 4/A Satmosjid Road, Dhaka-1209 Subject: Submission of the Report. Dear Madam, Here is the Report on Performance of Square Pharmaceuticals Ltd based on the year 2006-2007 Which we the group members studied. We have tried our best to prepare the report in consistence with the optimal standard under your valuable direction. We would be very grateful if you accept our report modestly as it may suffer from some shortcomings. We desired...
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........ Department of Accounting, Gachhbaria Govt. College, Chittagong. Subject: Submission of Term Paper Dear Sir, We are very pleased to submit the term paper on “Chittagong Stock Exchange; An Evaluation of the Operation, Problems and Prospects”. We were assigned to prepare and submit this term paper as the partial fulfillment of the course entitled BBA. We have tried our best to prepare this term paper perfectly. Nevertheless, this paper has been suffered by time and cost limitation. We will be obliged, if you kindly accept this term paper. We are ready to make you clear regarding any confusion or further clarification from this term paper. Yours Sincerely ..................................... PARUL AKTER BBA (Hons) 2nd year Roll: 8095336 Reg: 2112555 Class Roll: 1164 Session: 2011-2012 Department of Accounting, Gachhbaria Govt. College, Chittagong. Acknowledgement This is a great privilege for us to finish the report in due time. During the preparation of this report we have received generous help from many individual’s which we would like to mention with our deepest gratitude. First of all, we like to thank ..........................., Lecturer of Accounting Department for granting us this great opportunity to work on this subject, “Chittagong Stock Exchange; An Evaluation of the Operation, Problems and Prospects”. We have earned a lot of experiences while preparing the report and also learned. The entire development of the study has conducted...
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