...Applied Economics – ICOAE 2010 299 DOES STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT CAUSE ECONOMIC GROWTH? A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS FOR BANGLADESH ECONOMY MD. SHARIF HOSSAIN (PH. D.)1 - KHND. MD. MOSTAFA KAMAL2 Abstract In this paper the principal purpose has been made to investigate the causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth in Bangladesh. To investigate long-run causal linkages between stock market development and economic growth the Engle-Granger causality and ML tests are applied. In this paper another attempt has been made to investigate the non-stationarity in the series of stock market development and economic growth by using modern econometric techniques. The co-integrated tests are applied to know whether this pair of variables shares the same stochastic trend or not. From our analysis it has been found that the stock market development strongly influences the economic growth in Bangladesh economy, but there is no causation from economic growth to stock market development. Thus unidirectional causality has prevailed between stock market development and economic growth in the Bangladesh economy. Also it has been found that all the variables are integrated of order 1, and both the variables stock market development and economic growth share the same stochastic trend in Bangladesh economy. JEL Code: C010 Key Words: Stock Market Development, Causal Relationship, Non-stationarity, Unit Root Test, Co-integrated Tests 1 Introduction Stock market...
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...December, 2009 Appraisal of Capital Market Efficiency on Economic Growth in Nigeria Sunday O. E. Ewah, Atim E. Esang & Jude U. Bassey Faculty of Management Sciences, Cross River University of Technology Ogoja Campus, Nigeria Tel: 80-5901-4300 Abstract E-mail: soniewah@yahoo.com The paper is an appraisal of the impact of capital market efficiency on economic growth in Nigeria, using time series data on market capitalization, money supply, interest rate, total market transaction and government development stock that ranges between 1961 to 2004. The model specification for the analysis of data is multiple regression and ordinary lest squares estimation techniques. The result of the study shows that the capital market in Nigeria has the potentials of growth inducing, but it has not contributed meaningfully to the economic growth of Nigeria. This is as a result of low market capitalization, low absorptive capitalization, illiquidity, misappropriation of funds among others. The empirical test indicates that, these variables satisfied the economic apriori and are statistically significant except total transactions and money. Thus it was concluded and recommended that, the capital market remain one of the mainstream in every economy that has the power to influence economic growth, hence the organize private sector is encourage to invest in it. This will enable the capital market improve its illiquidity status for economic growth and development. Therefore the government must contribute...
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...Journal of Economics and Finance Vol. 3, No. 2; May 2011 Development of Financial Market and Economic Growth: Review of Hong Kong, China, Japan, The United States and The United Kingdom Anson Wong (Corresponding author) School of Accounting and Finance The Hong Kong Polytechnic University Tel: 852-2766-7866 E-mail: afanson@inet.polyu.edu.hk Xianbo Zhou Department of Economics Lingnan College, SUN YAT-SEN University, China E-mail: zhouxb@mail.sysu.edu.cn Received: July 20, 2010 Accepted: January 13, 2011 doi:10.5539/ijef.v3n2p111 Abstract The empirical evidence suggests that the development of stock markets in China, USA, United Kingdom, Japan and Hong Kong have independently a strongly positive correlation with their economic growth. The result brings out an important theory to support for the proposition that the stock market development is one of the key drivers of economic growth in developed and developing countries, whatever the modes of their financial systems, stage of their economic development and types of economic system. Keywords: Development of Stock Market, Economic Growth, China, Japan, United Kingdom, USA, Hong Kong 1. Introduction Numerous studies have proposed that the development of stock market is able to improve growth performance through its positive effects on capital flows, diversification of investment risk and pooling funding for the long-term industrial projects and provision of adequate liquidity. Development of financial...
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...Review of Development Economics, 9(2), 166–176, 2005 Endogenous Growth Models and Stock Market Development: Evidence from Four Countries Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Peter Howells, and Alaa M. Soliman* Abstract This paper re-examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth. It provides a theoretical basis for establishing the channel through which stock markets affect economic growth in the long run. It examines the hypothesis of endogenous growth models that financial development causes higher growth through its influence on the level of investment and its productivity. The empirical part of this study exploits techniques recently developed to test for causality in VARs. The evidence obtained from a sample of four countries suggests that investment productivity is the channel through which stock market development enhances the growth rate in the long run. 1. Introduction Several theoretical and empirical papers such as Levine (1991), Levine and Zervos (1995), Demirguc-Kunt (1994), Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1995), Rousseau and Wachtel (2000) and Beck and Levine (2003), have suggested that stock market development affects economic growth in developing countries. The common problem with these studies, however, is that there is no discussion of the channels through which stock markets can stimulate economic growth. In traditional growth theory, the growth rate is a positive function of exogenous technical progress. However, financial development is not...
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...BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET GROWING? KEY INDICATORS BASED ASSESSMENT Abstract This paper focuses on the growth of Bangladesh stock market over time. The market trends in terms of market capitalization, market liquidity, market concentration, number of listings, volatility in the market index and foreign portfolio investment were considered. The study finds that key indicators are significantly correlated. Stock market growth index is constructed considering market capitalization ratio; turn over ratio, value traded to GDP ratio and volatility in market index. The findings of the study suggest that although Bangladesh stock market is growing over time, the growth has not yet assumed any stable and obvious trend. We conclude that Bangladesh stock market is still at an early stage of its growth path with a small market size relative to GDP and is characterized by poor liquidity and high market concentration. Introduction Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1996), Singh (1997) and Levine and Zervos (1998) find that stock market growth plays an important role in predicating future economic growth in situations where the stock markets are active. The arguments of Demirguc-Kunt et al. (1996) indicate that economies without well-functioning stock markets may suffer from three types of imperfections: first, opportunities for risk diversification are limited for investors and entrepreneurs, second, firms are unable to optimally structure their financing packages and third, countries...
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...BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET GROWING? KEY INDICATORS BASED ASSESSMENT M Khokan Bepari Assistant Professor Department of Cooperation and Marketing Faculty of Agricultural Economics & Rural Sociology Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh-2202, Bangladesh Phone: +88 01716601759 khokan552@yahoo.com Dr. Abu Mollik Senior Lecturer and Finance Discipline Leader School of Commerce and Marketing Division of Business and Informatics Central Queensland University abumollik@yahoo.com.au Abstract This paper focuses on the growth of Bangladesh stock market over time. The market trends in terms of market capitalization, market liquidity, market concentration, number of listings, volatility in the market index and foreign portfolio investment were considered. The study finds that key indicators are significantly correlated. Stock market growth index is constructed considering market capitalization ratio; turn over ratio, value traded to GDP ratio and volatility in market index. The findings of the study suggest that although Bangladesh stock market is growing over time, the growth has not yet assumed any stable and obvious trend. We conclude that Bangladesh stock market is still at an early stage of its growth path with a small market size relative to GDP and is characterized by poor liquidity and high market concentration. Introduction Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1996), Singh (1997) and Levine and Zervos (1998) find that stock market growth plays an important...
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...A Term Paper On “The Role of Capital Market on The Economic Development of Bangladesh” GOVT. SUHRAWARDY COLLEGE, PIROJPUR Department of Accounting Term Paper On “The Role of Capital Market on The Economic Development of Bangladesh” Submitted To: Md. Faruk Hosain Assistant Professor Department of Accounting Govt. Suhrawardy College, Pirojpur Submitted By: Alamgir Hossain Roll No- 9792874 Reg. No-1727384 Session-2010-2011 BBA (Hons) 4th Year Department of Accounting Govt. Suhrawardy College, Pirojpur Date of Submission: February 12, 2014 Letter of Transmittal Date : Md. Faruk Hosain Assistant Professor Govt. Suhrawardy College, Pirojpur Subject: Submission of Term Paper on “The role of capital market on the economic development of Bangladesh”. Sir, As a part of BBA program a term paper is enclosed herewith. The report was prepared on “The role of capital market on the economic development of Bangladesh.” In the course of preparation the report, I tried with the best of my capacity to accommodate as much information and relevant issues as possible and tried to follow the instructions as you have suggested. In the time of preparation the report, relevant documents, data, information were studied and practical knowledge had been gathered. I tried my best to make this report as much informative as possible. I sincerely believe that it will satisfy your requirements. I however sincerely believe that this report will serve the purpose of my term paper...
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...THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN ASEAN COUNTRIES BY KOH YONG HONG CHOONG PIK SIN LEE SOCK MEI NG HON MENG LEONG MUN HONG A research project submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (HONS) BANKING AND FINANCE UNIVERSITI TUNKU ABDUL RAHMAN FACULTY OF BUSINESS AND FINANCE DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE MARCH 2016 Copyright @ 2016 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this paper may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, graphic, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, without the prior consent of the authors. DECLARATION We hereby declare that: (1) This undergraduate research project is the end result of our own work and that due acknowledgement has been given in the references to ALL sources of information be they printed, electronic, or personal. (2) No portion of this research project has been submitted in support of any application for any other degree or qualification of this or any other university, or other institutes of learning. (3) Equal contribution has been made by each group member in completing the research project. (4) The word count of this research report is 10,786 words. Name of Student: Student ID: Signature: 1. KOH YONG HONG 11ABB02521 2. CHOONG PIK...
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...BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET GROWING? KEY INDICATORS BASED ASSESSMENT M Khokan Bepari Assistant Professor Department of Cooperation and Marketing Faculty of Agricultural Economics & Rural Sociology Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh-2202, Bangladesh Phone: +88 01716601759 khokan552@yahoo.com Dr. Abu Mollik Senior Lecturer and Finance Discipline Leader School of Commerce and Marketing Division of Business and Informatics Central Queensland University abumollik@yahoo.com.au Abstract This paper focuses on the growth of Bangladesh stock market over time. The market trends in terms of market capitalization, market liquidity, market concentration, number of listings, volatility in the market index and foreign portfolio investment were considered. The study finds that key indicators are significantly correlated. Stock market growth index is constructed considering market capitalization ratio; turn over ratio, value traded to GDP ratio and volatility in market index. The findings of the study suggest that although Bangladesh stock market is growing over time, the growth has not yet assumed any stable and obvious trend. We conclude that Bangladesh stock market is still at an early stage of its growth path with a small market size relative to GDP and is characterized by poor liquidity and high market concentration. Introduction Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1996), Singh (1997) and Levine and Zervos (1998) find that stock market growth plays an important...
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...and Capital Market Development in Bangladesh Policy Note: PN 0708 Shubhasish Barua* and Md. Habibour Rahman* Abstract Bangladesh Bank (BB) adjusted its monetary policy stance during 2005 in order to contain inflationary pressures and facilitate stability in the foreign exchange market. At the end of 2005, interest rates on NSD certificates were also adjusted upward. The latter development, however, raised some concern among different economic agents regarding its possible impact on the country's capital market. In this paper we attempt to closely inspect the evolvement of monetary policy and capital market indicators in recent years and their possible interrelationship to shed some light on the issue. Since prices of stocks are mainly determined by company fundamentals, monetary policy can have only short term effect on stock prices. Even in the short run, effect of interest rates on stock prices is less clear-cut, and in a less developed capital market like Bangladesh, stock prices do tend to respond, for short term, to new reform measures and government incentives. 1. Introduction Bangladesh Bank (BB) adjusted its monetary policy stance during 2005 in order to contain inflationary pressures and facilitate stability in the foreign exchange market. At the end of 2005, interest rates on NSD certificates (government borrowing instruments from the non-bank public) were also adjusted upward. The latter development, however, raised some concern among different economic agents regarding...
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...Inquires CORRELATIONS BETWEEN CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF ROMANIA1 Laura OBREJA BRASOVEANU PhD, Associate Professor, Finance Departament, University of Economics, Bucharest, Romania E-mail: laura_obreja@yahoo.com Victor DRAGOTA2 PhD, University Professor, Finance Departament, University of Economics, Bucharest, Romania E-mail: victordragota@yahoo.com, victor.dragota@fin.ase.ro Delia CATARAMA PhD Candidate, Assistant Professor, Finance Departament, University of Economics, Bucharest, Romania E-mail: delia.catarama@fin.ase.ro Andreea SEMENESCU3 PhD Candidate, University Assistant, Finance Departament, University of Economics, Bucharest, Romania E-mail: asemenescu@yahoo.com Abstract: In the literature on endogenous growth, the link between capital markets development and economic growth has received much attention. Although there are many studies regarding this aspect, approaches on emergent ex-communist countries’ economies, especially for Romania, are very few comparatively to the general cases. Our paper examines the correlation between capital market development and economic growth in Romania using a regression function and VAR models. The results show that the capital market development is positively correlated with economic growth, with feed-back effect, but the strongest link is from economic growth to capital market, suggesting that financial development follows economic growth, economic growth determining financial institutions to...
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...CAPITAL MARKET AND MANUFACTURING SECTOR FINANCING IN NIGERIA Ewa, Efa Okoi Department of Business Management University of Calabar, Nigeria +234-8037-796-936 efa_ewa@yahoo.com Abstract This paper discusses mainly the role of the capital market in financing the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. The discussion centered on the state of the Nigerian manufacturers, background, challenges and the imperatives of the capital market meeting the financial and investment challenges of the sector in the face of recent economic reforms and increasing competition posed by globalization. The study sought to determine the extent to which the Nigerian capital market contributes to the development of manufacturing industries. An attempt was made to highlight government intervention in funding the sector and the reality of the country’s manufacturing sector. The study revealed that the Nigerian manufacturing sector has been on the decline owing mainly to government reliance on the oil industry, the decaying infrastructural facilities in the country and non-access to investment fund by local manufacturers. The study concluded that the capital market, despite the problems and challenges it may faced, is a veritable tool in the growth and development drive of the country’s manufacturing sector. 1. Introduction The manufacturing sectors in any country of world rely on medium and long-term fund to carry out its productive activities. Equity capital alone is never adequate and external...
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...Impact of Macro-Economic Variables on the Stock Market Impact of Macro-Economic Variables on the Stock Market Arunabha Dhar (Roll No. 008) Gaurav Bhatt (Roll No. 017) Amartya Ray (Roll No. 067) Bodhisatva Basu (Roll No. 075) Rahul Jain (Roll No. 094) Arunabha Dhar (Roll No. 008) Gaurav Bhatt (Roll No. 017) Amartya Ray (Roll No. 067) Bodhisatva Basu (Roll No. 075) Rahul Jain (Roll No. 094) Contents UNDERSTANDING ON RESEARCH PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION & DEFINITION 3 ABSTRACT 3 INTRODUCTION 3 LITERATURE REVIEW 6 GAP in Research 8 MOTIVATION 8 DATA COLLECTION/SAMPLE SELECTION 9 HYPOTHESIS 10 Research Methodology 10 FINDINGS 11 CONTRIBUTION TO LITERATURE 23 CONCLUSIONS 23 References 25 UNDERSTANDING ON RESEARCH PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION & DEFINITION Relationship between macroeconomic variables and broad market index: A causal relationship between Nifty CNX and macroeconomic variables in India ABSTRACT The relationship between macroeconomic variables and broad market index by now are well documented in the literature. However a void in the literature relates to examining the causal relationship between Nifty CNX and macroeconomic variables such as FDI, FPI, weighted average lending rate (WALR), GDP and oil import in India and correlation among the macro variables. INTRODUCTION Globalization of Indian economy post liberalization has been spurred by capital and stock investment in terms of FDI & FPI. Indian stock market both securities...
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...A R Munich Personal RePEc Archive Economic Factors Influencing Corporate Capital Structure in Three Asian Countries: Evidence from Japan, Malaysia and Pakistan Muhammad Mahmud and Gobind M. Herani and A.W. Rajar and Wahid Farooqi KASBIT, KABIT, Sindh University, Indus Institute of Higher Education 20. April 2009 Online at http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15003/ MPRA Paper No. 15003, posted 4. May 2009 07:34 UTC Indus Journal of Management & Social Sciences, 3(1):9-17 (Spring 2009) http://indus.edu.pk/journal.php Economic Factors Influencing Corporate Capital Structure in Three Asian Countries: Evidence from Japan, Malaysia and Pakistan Muhammad Mahmud*, Gobind M. Herani** A. W. Rajar*** and Wahid Farooqi**** ABSTRACT This study is an attempt to determine the factors that influence a firm’s choice of capital structure in three Asian countries: Japan, Malaysia and Pakistan. The specific objective is to investigate if country’s economic factors play a significant role in determining capital structure between markets. These countries are chosen in order to represent three different stages of economic development. Literature review reveals that considerable research has been made in the industrialized countries on the similar topic. Capital structure is one of the most complex areas of strategic financial decision making due to its interrelationship with macroeconomic variables. This study reveals that per capita GNP growth for Japan and Malaysia is significantly...
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...Corruption and China’s Economic Reform in the Early 21st Century by Gregory C. Chow, Princeton University CEPS Working Paper No. 116 October 2005 Acknowledgement: I would like to thank Steven Kou of Columbia University and Yan Shen of Peking University for helpful comments and the Center for Economic Policy Studies at Princeton University for financial support in the preparation of this paper. Abstract Past economic reform of the state sector in China consisted mainly of privatization, of agriculture and of small and medium-size state enterprises, leaving large state enterprises in the control of the state. Current reform consists of making state-owned enterprises and banks more efficient and functioning like private enterprises, and gradual privatization of some large state enterprises. Bureaucrats managing state assets and the selling of assets take advantage of such power to benefit themselves, including embezzlement of public funds and taking bribes from citizens needing their help, as can be found in state enterprises, state-owned commercial banks and in government projects. Reducing the size of the government sector is a basic solution to the corruption problem in China while attention should be paid in the privatization process which can involve corruption. Outline 1. Introduction 2. Review of Past Reform Measures and Current Problems 3. Enterprise Reform Hindered by Bureaucratic Behavior 4. Reform of Banking and Financial System Hindered by Corruption ...
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