...1. Abstract System Dynamic Modelling is an approach to frame and solve complex problems. It is widely used for policy design and analysis. System dynamics analysis is a part of Systems Theory which is used to study the dynamic behaviour of complex systems. The theory is based on acknowledgement of the fact that the inter-relations between the various components of a model, time delays between processes are as important to analyse the behaviour of a model as is the analysis of individual components. SD models solve the problem of simultaneity (mutual causation) by updating all variables in small time increments with positive and negative feedbacks and time delays structuring the interactions and control. In this paper, we have discussed the basic methodology of the technique, and the modelling process. Then, we have discussed the applications of SDM ranging from conventional ones like project management and science and engineering to exploring the concepts of SDM in Brand management and public health issues. 2. Historical background This technique of solving problems was developed in 1950s by Prof Jay Forrester of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, during his involvement with General Electric. He developed his insights about the foundations of engineering which helped him in the creation of system dynamics. He studied the problem of instability in GE employment. In this he did hand simulations (or calculations) of the stock-flow-feedback structure of the GE plants...
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... ADVANCED SYSTEM ENGINEERING Presented to: Prof. Mahdi Yaqub TABLE OF CONTENT 1. Abstract 2. Introduction 3. Methodology • What is System Dynamics? • Stella Simulation Model 4. Background to the Problem 5. Nurse Scheduling Problem using LINDO 6. Data Analysis 7. Recommendations 8. Methodology limitation 9. Conclusion 10. Appendix & References ABSTRACT Purpose - To research on the possible operational problems that may lead to excessive patients’ waiting time. “Priority Operating” changes with time as a patient waits for service and resource gives due consideration to hierarchy present in the skill and selects next available patient for treatment. A patient’s experience in waiting time will radically influence his/her perceptions on quality of the service and to minimizing the cost of carrying excess capacity. Our project aimed at improving the patient experience in the critical care by looking into the problem of excessive wait times in the Critical care and we will identified variations in the critical care and how it is staffed and managed. Although these variations have the potential to sabotage efforts to reduce surgical wait times within the hospital, they also present significant opportunities for change and improvement. Method- This report describes how system dynamics using Stella model...
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...Topic: System dynamics and feedback loop System dynamics is an approach to understanding the behavior of complex systems over time. It deals with internal feedback loops and time delays that affect the behavior of the entire system. System dynamics use feedback loops and stocks and flows to study complex and non-linear systems. Dynamics of the system contain quantities that vary over time. There are several laws of Fifth Discipline showing how system dynamic works. 1) For every action, there is a reaction. It is self-proofed in the beer game. Every order has to be fulfilled, either in the current week (if enough stock is available) or in one of the next weeks (items go on backorder). 2) Short-term improvements often lead to long term difficulties. In the beer game, it’s always a tradeoff between fulfilling demand and minimizing cost. Timely delivery calls for enough inventory, while cumulative inventory results in climbing inventory cost, due to more people to handle the beer and more storage space, and there is also a possibility that the beer will be left in your inventory when the total period is over or the redundant beer might go bad since it cannot be kept long. 3) Cause and effect are not necessary closely related, either in time or in space. Sometimes solutions implemented here and now will have impacts far away at a much later time. In the beer game, it is not possible for any one component of the system to be immediately aware of the actions and needs of...
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...Traditional teacher-directed approaches to physical education have centred on skill-drills rather than non-linear approaches, reducing student’s movement variability. Dynamic systems theory (DST) acknowledges that movement performance is constant, fluid and non-linear, meaning it response to the environment and task restraints (Magias & Pill, 2013). Teaching Games for Understanding (TGfU) and Game Sense (GS) both acknowledge DST and encourage physical educators to implement non-linear frame works which are centred around tactical concepts, providing conceptual understanding to students (Chow et al., 2009). The crucial component of this student-centred approach is to create learners that can self-adjust as a consequence of the interactions and...
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...QUESTIONS FOR FINAL EXAM 1. What is control? 2. What is automatic control? 3. What is called as automatic control system? 4. What is the primary goal of automatic control? 5. What is called as object of management? 6. What is called as the operated size? 7. What is called as operating body? 8. What is called as a sensitive element? 9. What is the entrance and target sizes? 10. What is called as operating influence? 11. What is called as indignation? 12. What is called as a deviation from the set size? 13. What is called as the actuation device? 14. What is called as the setting device? 15. What is called as a function chart and of what it consists? 16. In what difference of a signal from physical size? 17. In what an essence of a principle of the opened management? 18. In what an essence of a principle of indemnification? 19. In what an essence of a principle of feedback? 20. List merits and demerits of principles of management? 21. What special case of management is called as regulation? 22. In what difference of systems of direct and indirect regulation? 23. List and give the short characteristic of principal views CS? 24. What is called as static mode CS? 25. What is called as static characteristics CS? 26. What is called as the equation of statics CS? 27. What difference from strengthening factor is called in transfer factor, in what? 28. In what difference...
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...CHAPTER 0 Contents Preface v vii Problems Solved in Student Solutions Manual 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Matrices, Vectors, and Vector Calculus Newtonian Mechanics—Single Particle Oscillations 79 127 1 29 Nonlinear Oscillations and Chaos Gravitation 149 Some Methods in The Calculus of Variations 165 181 Hamilton’s Principle—Lagrangian and Hamiltonian Dynamics Central-Force Motion 233 277 333 Dynamics of a System of Particles Motion in a Noninertial Reference Frame Dynamics of Rigid Bodies Coupled Oscillations 397 435 461 353 Continuous Systems; Waves Special Theory of Relativity iii iv CONTENTS CHAPTER 0 Preface This Instructor’s Manual contains the solutions to all the end-of-chapter problems (but not the appendices) from Classical Dynamics of Particles and Systems, Fifth Edition, by Stephen T. Thornton and Jerry B. Marion. It is intended for use only by instructors using Classical Dynamics as a textbook, and it is not available to students in any form. A Student Solutions Manual containing solutions to about 25% of the end-of-chapter problems is available for sale to students. The problem numbers of those solutions in the Student Solutions Manual are listed on the next page. As a result of surveys received from users, I continue to add more worked out examples in the text and add additional problems. There are now 509 problems, a significant number over the 4th edition. The instructor will find a large...
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...Glossary of musical terminology From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Jump to: navigation, search This is a list of musical terms that are likely to be encountered in printed scores, music reviews, and program notes. Most of the terms are Italian (see also Italian musical terms used in English), in accordance with the Italian origins of many European musical conventions. Sometimes, the special musical meanings of these phrases differ from the original or current Italian meanings. Most of the other terms are taken from French and German, indicated by "(Fr)" and "(Ger)", respectively. Others are from languages such as Portuguese, Latin, and Spanish. Unless specified, the terms are Italian or English. The list can never be complete: some terms are common, and others are used only occasionally, and new ones are coined from time to time. Some composers prefer terms from their own language rather than the standard terms here. Contents A· B· C· D· E· F· G· H· I· J· K· L· M· N· O· P· Q· R· S· T· U· V· W· Z See also· References· External links See also: Glossary of jazz and popular music A[edit] a, à (Fr): at, to, by, for, in, in the style of... a 2: see a due in this list a battuta: return to normal tempo after a deviation. Not recommended in string parts, due to possible confusion with battuto (qv.); use a tempo, which means the same thing. ab (Ger): Off, organ stops...
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...Introduction The Murray Darling Basin is the large catchment which covers 14% of Australia – Over one million square kilometres. It is located across four states – Queensland, New South Wales, Victoria, and South Australia. The area consists of the catchment for the Murray and Darling rivers and many tributaries with many high-value natural resources. The extensiveness of the wetlands support and maintain the health of the river system, which made the Murray Darling Basin the Australia’s most important agricultural area for both crop and livestock. As a result, the basin produces over one-third of Australia’s food supply. From above sentence, it seems that the area is enriched with healthy natural resources and ecosystem. However, during 2001 to 2009, the irrigation in this area has increased by a large number causing the low inflows in river systems. The low inflows including the climate change has resulted in the drought across the basin, followed by other environmental problems such as a degradation of biodiversity or an increase in salinity level of land and water, etc. Not only the environmental is destroyed but also the economic in the area which then causing the social impact. To resolve this issue, the government has established the Murray Darling Basin Authority (MDBA) in 2007 to address this problem and given a task to develop and implement a “Basin Plan”. However, for the current status, “The Proposed Basin Plan” has created the raging debate among the concerned...
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...The current scenario in the IT industry of India and the tremendous growth registered in recent years has generated much optimism about the future of the Indian Information technology industry. Analysts are upbeat about the huge potential of growth in the Information Technology industry in India. Exports - The IT industry accounts for a major share in the exports from India. This is expected to grow further in coming years. The information technology industry is one of the major sources of foreign currency or India FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) - High inflow of FDI in the IT sector is expected to continue in coming years. The inflow of huge volumes of FDI in the IT industry of India has not only boosted the industry but the entire Indian economy in recent years. IT sector is contributing about 8 per cent of the GDP. We crossed $ 100 billion mark. We are looking to cross 300 billion of IT and ITeS exports by 2020. Enterprise software market in India projected to grow 13% in 2012. According to Gartner, Inc. India’s enterprise software market is forecast to maintain its strong performance, with an estimated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.6 per cent from 2009 to 2016 – the third highest growth rate in the world. In 2012, India will be the fourth largest enterprise software market in Asia/Pacific. The country is forecast to account for 11 per cent of the region’s total revenue of $29.33 billion USD for Asia/Pacific this year, the equivalent to 1.15 per cent of the...
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...SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT: 1. Introduction Computers are becoming a key element in our daily lives. Slowly and surely they are taking over many of the functions that effect our lives critically. They are now controlling all forms of monetary transactions, manufacturing, transportation, communication, defence systems, process control systems, and so on. In the near future, they will be found in our homes, controlling all forms of appliances. Left to themselves, they are harmless pieces of hardware. Load the right kind of software, they can take you to the moon, both literally and figuratively. It is the software that gives life to them.When they are going to play such a crucial role, one small flaw either in the hardware or the software can lead to catastrophic consequences. The sad part is, while there are well defined processes based on theoretical foundations to ensure the reliability of the hardware, same thing can not be said about software. There is no theory for software devlopment as yet. But at the same time, it is mandatory that software always behaves in a predictable manner, even in unforeseen circumstances. Hence there is a need to control its development through a well defined and systematic process. The old fashioned 'code & test' approach will not do any more. It may be good enough for 'toy' problems, but in real life, software is expected to solve enormously complex problems. Some of the aspects of real life software projects are: Team effort: Any large...
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...Service Request SR-rm-022 SCI/275 Corey Stilts Dakotah R. Conlon Hugh McCauley, Riordan Manufacturing COO, wishes to merge the current assortment of tools in procedure into a solitary assimilated application. The company desires to take advantage of the further sophisticated state-of-the art information systems technology that by this time exists in the human resources department. In this text, the data- collecting methods and the intended project approaches that are to be exercised will be clarified. The business conditions for the improvement of a Human Resource system to preserve the goal of this request will also be outlined. Key aspects that will help make certain that the statistics required for this development is collected efficiently and will be acknowledged and a thorough development plan will be produced. This design will make obtainable an inventory of all routine jobs, capitals, and a agenda and fiscal blueprint essential to finalize the project. While cultivating a plan of this background it is vital to collect data from numerous sources to warrant the development proficiently accomplishes its desired chore. To commence the figure collecting procedure, I will become acquainted with key management personnel, the IT personnel, and operators to exchange my ideas concerning the plan. Within this discussion, I will be permitted to question and provide solutions to questions as well as request comments and recognize concerns and ideas. By producing this exposed dialog...
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...Using System Dynamics in Business Simulation Training Games by Jennifer Ching-Wen Han Submitted to the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Masters of Engineering in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY May 9th, 1997 © Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1997. All Rights Reserved. Au th or ............................................................................. Departmenft-f Electrical Engineering and Computer Science May 9th, 1997 Certified by .... .................................. ................... Richard C. Larson _Th sis Supervisor Accepted by ........ ............ Arthur C. Smith Chairman, Department Committee on Graduate Theses ...... Using System Dynamics in Business Simulation Training Games by Jennifer Ching-Wen Han Submitted to the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science May 9th, 1997 In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Masters of Engineering in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science ABSTRACT This thesis project includes researching and designing a system dynamics model for use in an existing Andersen Consulting Education (ACE) project management training game. This serves two major purposes. The first is to show how system dynamics can be used as a realistic and potentially superior method of business modeling. The second is to actually improve...
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...What is the bullwhip effect? The bullwhip effect is an observed phenomenon in supply chains and points out the magnification of demand fluctuations, especially when demand increases and decreases. The main reason for this phenomenon is a lack of demand information in the supply chains. FORRESTER was the first who mentioned the bullwhip effect in the literature.1 He studied the behaviour of dynamic systems in industrial organisations, by analysing different parameters like stock sizes, production rates and time delays and demonstrated the effects on these parameters, whenever modifications are applied. The outcome of his analysis was, that in a simple production- and distribution system, a small interruption or fluctuation in demand at the retail stage can cause a significantly stronger fluctuation in the whole system.2 These fluctuations have first been considered to be unavoidable and beyond the control of the respective companies. Forrester cleared up that misunderstanding on the basis of a four level dynamic system, showing the organisational structure of a production- and distribution system: Illustration: Bullwhip Effect3 1 2 Forrester, J. (1972), 21ff. Forrester, J. (1972), 22. 3 http://sinaslogisticsblog.blogspot.co.at/2010/04/bullwhip-effect.html (13.01.2015) 1 Matthias Spleit (0966118) There are four main operational factors that stimulate the bullwhip effect:4 1. fixed costs in production, ordering, or shipping, which encourage order batching 2. shortage...
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...Group Dynamics Most people within the organizations belong to some formal work group that establishes temporary or permanent groups to accomplish tasks and achievements. These groups consist of different people within the organization who work together to accomplish objectives of the company (Jex & Britt, 2008). It is important that there is an examination of the behavior of the groups so that a complete understanding of the behavior is obtained. There are many types of groups that people become a part of in their everyday life including family, community, church, and within their profession. Memberships to these groups are important because it plays an important role in their behaviors and attitudes. This paper will identify an organizational group of which I have been a part of and will give analysis of the group dynamics of my chosen group. As a part of the analysis the group will be described including the purpose, goals, and demographic nature such as gender, education, and so forth. The stages are development experienced by the group is described and the structure and effect of the structure on the effectiveness of the group is written to help readers understand the importance of the group. Explanation of the dynamics of group behavior within the group and analysis of the effect that group has on me concerning group polarization, conformity, and groupthink concepts. Counseling Department for Georgia Department of Corrections There are many reasons to why a...
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...laws of fore and motion to fluids. Within fluid mechanics there are two studies of fluid mechanics: Fluid statics, the study if fluids at rest within a system, or Fluid Dynamics which is the study of fluids that are in motion within a system. A fluid is a substance that has no fixed shape and yields easily to external pressure. The substance continually deforms or flows under an applied shear stress. Fluids are a subset of the states of matter and include three of the four states of matter [1]. An example of tangential shear stress can be something as simple as a piece of wood floating on a small body of water. If the force, F, is applied at the end of one side, then the board transmits a tangential shear stress, denoted as, t, to the surface of the water. Shear stress is defined as the tangential to the area over which it acts, and is expressed in the same units as Direct Stress [2]. “If a shear stress is applied to the surface of a solid, the solid will deform a little, and then remain at rest (in its distorted shape). One can say that the solid (at rest) is able to resist the shear stress.” [2] Both the board and the water will move as long as the force exerted and the tangential sheer stress are not equal to zero. Think about this, a fluid can only experience a normal stress when there is no force being acted upon the system obtained by the fluid. Therefore, since the fluid is at rest it can’t resist a shear stress. When you are learning about a new topic or are trying to dive...
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