...STRUCTURE INDICATORS It’s a type of Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is a method of chart analysis, usually of price, using various formulae designed to highlight specific characteristics and provide signals to help forecast market movements. Indicators can also be derived from the use of trendlines and price patterns, which are not based on formulae and are more subjective. The idea is to predict the future price levels, or simply the general price direction, of a security by looking at past patterns. How is it different form Fundamental Analysis? Market Structure Indicators (Technical Indicators or Technicals) are distinguished by the fact that they do not analyze any part of the fundamental business, like earnings, revenue and profit margins. They are used most extensively by active traders in the market, as they are designed primarily for analyzing short-term price movements. To a long-term investor, most technical indicators are of little value, as they do nothing to shed light on the underlying business. The most effective uses of technicals for a long-term investor are to help identify good entry and exit points for the stock by analyzing the long-term trend. Technical analysts believe that the historical performance of stocks and markets are indications of future performance. Eg: In a shopping mall, a fundamental analyst would go to each store, study the product that was being sold, and then decide whether to buy it or not. By contrast, a technical analyst...
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...ANNEXURE - C “TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF STOCKS ” This project report in the Special Studies in Finance based on the in-depth study of the project theme is submitted in February, 2014 to the Sydenham Institute of Management Studies and Research and Entrepreneurship Education (SIMSREE) , B - Road, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400 020, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the Master’s Degree, Masters in Management Studies (MMS), Submitted By NAME: VAISHALI CHANDRESH GORATELA ROLL NO. : M12020 CLASS: MMS1 BATCH: 2012-2014 Guided By MR. AMIT BOBHATE Date: Place: MUMBAI ANNEXURE – D CERTIFICATE This is to certify that this project report entitled “TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF STOCKS” is submitted in February, 2014 to Sydenham Institute of Management Studies and Research and Entrepreneurship Education (SIMSREE) , Mumbai 400020, by Ms. Vaishali Goratela bearing Roll No. M12020, batch (2012 - 2014) in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the Master’s Degree, Masters in Management Studies (MMS). This is a record of her own work carried out under my guidance. She has discussed with me adequately before compiling the above work and I am satisfied with the quality, originality and depth of the work for the above qualification. PLACE: MUMBAI. ________________ DATE: (Signature...
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...TABLE OF CONTENTS: Section 1: Introduction: Foreign Exchange Market Overview 5 Section 2: Technical Analysis in Forex Markets 6 Section 3: Basic Technical Analysis Patterns 9 Section 4: Technical Analysis: Charting Techniques 13 Section 4.1:Cycle based indicators 13 Section 4.1.1: Elliot Wave theory 13 Section 4.2:Momentum Indicators 17 Section 4.2.1:MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence 18 Section 4.2.2:RSI: Relative Strength Index 19 Section 4.3:Trend approach to technical analysis 21 Section 4.3.1: Moving Averages 21 Section 4.4: Chart Based Indicators 23 Section 4.4.1: Candlestick Charts 23 Section 5: Practical Application to Current trends in the Foreign Exchange Market 28 Section 5.1:Cycle Based 28 Section 5.1.1: Elliot wave 28 Section 5.2: Momentum Based 29 Section 5.2.1:Relative Strength Index 29 Section5.2.2: Moving Average Convergence/Divergence 30 Section 5.3: Trend Based 31 Section 5.3.1: Moving averages 31 Section 5.4: Chart Based 36 Section 5.4.1: Candlesticks 36 Section 6: Technical Analysis: Advantages & Disadvantages 38 Section 7: How traders and dealers use Technical Analysis? 39 Section 8: Bibliography 40 List of Graphs and Figures Figure 1: Technical analysis is based on the premise that markets trend and that those trends tend to persist. 7 Figure 2: Example of a downtrend turning into an uptrend 9 Figure 3: A long term Channel line, support and resistance level 10 Figure 4: head and shoulders pattern. 10 Figure 5: Example...
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...SYMBIOSIS SCHOOL OF BANKING MANAGEMENT Constituent of symbiosis International University Accredited by NAAC with ‘A’ Grade Established under Section 3 of the UGC Act, 1956, vide notification No: F.9.12/2001-U-3of the Government of India. IMPORTANCE OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IN DETERMINING MOVEMENT OF PRICE IN EQUITY STOCK MARKET Internship Report submitted to SIU in partial completion of the requirement of MBA Banking Management at Symbiosis School of Banking Management Pune-412115. NAME OF THE STUDENT: PROJECT MENTOR (SSBM) PROJECT MENTOR / PRN: REPORTING OFFICER (AT THE BANK) ABHISHEK AGRAWAL DR. BINDYA KOHLI AMOL ATHAWALE PRN: 12020941031 APRIL 08 2013 TO MAY 25 2013 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I sincerely and religiously devote this Research Paper to all the gem of persons who have openly or silently left an ineradicable mark on this research so that they may be brought into consideration and given their share of credit, which they genuinely and outstandingly deserve. This expedition of research...
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...JAPANESE CANDLESTICK CHARTING TECHNIQUES ~-Y?~L&B~E!% L ?ABWt "Candles Exhaust Themselves to Give Light to Men" JAPANESE CANDLESTICK CHARTING TECHNIQUES A Contemporary Guide to the Ancient Investment Techniques of the Far East STEVE NISON NEW YORK INSTITUTE OF FINANCE NewYork London Toronto Sydney Tokyo Singapore Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Nison, Steve. Japanese candlestick charting techniques : a contemporary guide to the ancient investment technique of the Far East I Steve Nison. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-13-931650-7 1. Stocks-Charts, diagrams, etc. 2. Investment analysis. I. Title. HG4638.N57 1991 90-22736 332.63'22-dc20 CIP This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought. From a Declaration of Principles Jointly Adopted by a Committee of the American Bar Association and a Committee of Publishers and Associations 01991 by Steve Nison All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the publisher. New York Institute of Finance Simon & Schuster Printed in the United States of America 1 0 9 8 7 Acknowledgements ...
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...currency in Easy forex, we have to use financial instruments to analysis and identify which currency that we will get the profit. Furthermore it will have management tools to help us to manage the risk such as stop loss, take profit and limit order which we can set the limit of lost and profit that we can accept. We 30 completed transactions and the total balance in our account is AUD 46,097.96 Overall Strategy In general, the overall strategy is the news that will be announced every day. In our opinion the economic news from many the foreign exchange rate websites are the main drivers of market developments such as interest rate, Consumer Price Index, unemployment rate and inflation etc.Those factors will be the big impact to the foreign exchange market in the world economy. The technical analysis is another strategy that we usually use to predict the trend of currency from the historical statistic information in trading process. They are including the chart and technical indicators which can help the investors to identify the future trend of those currencies. It is easy to indentify because it focus on the price movement of their currency. (Investopedia 2012) The fundamental analysis is the strategy that we can evaluate the foreign exchange rate of each currency in the future trend from the overall the economic, industry data, financial data and management. (Stockcharts 2012) Furthermore we use the technical combine with the...
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...Important features of stock chart analysis Overall Trend: The first step is to identify the overall trend. This can be accomplished with trend lines, moving averages or peak/trough analysis. As long as the price remains above its uptrend line, selected moving averages or previous lows, the trend will be considered bullish. Support: Areas of congestion or previous lows below the current price mark support levels. A break below support would be considered bearish. Resistance: Areas of congestion and previous highs above the current price mark the resistance levels. A break above resistance would be considered bullish. Momentum: Momentum is usually measured with an oscillator such as MACD. If MACD is above its 9-day EMA (exponential moving average) or positive, then momentum will be considered bullish, or at least improving. Buying/Selling Pressure: For stocks and indices with volume figures available, an indicator that uses volume is used to measure buying or selling pressure. When Chaikin Money Flow is above zero, buying pressure is dominant. Selling pressure is dominant when it is below zero. Relative Strength: The price relative is a line formed by dividing the security by a benchmark. For stocks it is usually the price of the stock divided by the S&P 500. The plot of this line over a period of time will tell us if the stock is outperforming (rising) or under performing (falling) the major index. The final step is to synthesize the above analysis to ascertain the following: ...
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...share market have highlighted the fact that there are risks involved with investing money and that finding the right investment strategy is a crucial step in investing. Investors today have more investment options than were available to the average investor just a few decades ago. While having multiple options is usually a good thing, too many options can cause confusion and system overload and lead many people to avoid making decisions about their investment strategies. Most strategies used to invest in the share market fall into three general categories including technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a buy-and-hold strategy. The fundamental analysis approach is primarily concerned with value; it examines factors that determine a company's expected future earnings and dividends as well as the continued dependability of those earnings and dividends (McDonald 2007, 100). The investor who uses technical analysis attempts to predict the future price of a stock or the future direction of the market based on past price and trading volume changes (Subramaniam 2010, 46). The buy-and-hold approach is the benchmark against which any other approaches to market investing should be measured. This strategy provides the...
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...of these early indicators in various types of market. The agenda of using moving average lag indicators like Bollinger band is to check how well these bands work in giving out trade signals. * The study aims to find out using Bloomberg terminal that whether combination of studies and Risk management help to enhance the performance of the indicators and do they really help to make a more profitable decision. * This study also intends to use some basic fundamental indicators to identify whether they can be used as tool to invest in securities and how well they are able to perform as compared to a benchmark index. The aim is to use a matrix of indicators, so that it can be also assessed whether combination of basic indicators are good enough to make portfolio creation judgment that can lead to market beating portfolio or not. * All the testing has been done using the Bloomberg terminal. LIMITATIONS * There are many lead, hybrid and lag indicators available in the market however not every single one can be tested. * The testing only targets the NSE that is typically Indian market, hence the results may be non-inferential for international markets. * The matrix used in fundamental factor back testing only tests out few combinations and only takes into consideration a few fundamental indicators. Hence it is limited by the scope of the study that is to just determine that can there be successful portfolio built using simple indicators or not. AN INTRODUCTION...
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...Introduction 1.1 Background Technical Analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements. Like weather forecasting, technical analysis does not result in absolute predictions about the future. Instead, technical analysis can help investors anticipate what is "likely" to happen to prices over time. Technical analysis uses a wide variety of charts that show price over time. One of them is candlestick chart. By the grace of Almighty Allah I have been assigned to prepare a project paper on ‘Making Effective Decision in Stock Market through Candlestick Chart Analysis’. I believe that I have tried all the way to follow the previous studies retaining my originality in writing the report. Any analytical criticism and creative suggestion on this concern will receive my heartiest welcome. 1.2 Origin of the report Each professional degree needs practical knowledge of the respective field of discipline to be fruitful. Our MBA program also has a Project Report program, relating to the exchange of theoretical knowledge into the real life practical situation. The report entitled “Making Effective Decision in Stock Market through Candlestick Chart Analysis”. During the project paper program, I was under the supervision and guidance of Md. Hafizur Rahman Khan, Lecturer, Department of Business Administration, Leading University, Sylhet, Bangladesh. 1.3 Objectives (i) Main Objective: The...
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...Dividend Discount Model ness Presented By: Varun Dawar IMT Ghaziabad Dividend Discount Model (DDM) DDM basically expresses stock prices as a function of infinite stream of dividends into perpetuity… V 0 D ( k) 1 1 1 D ( k) 1 2 2 ... D P ( k) 1 H H H Vo D1 1 (1 k) D2 (1 k t 1 ) 2 ... D ( 1 k ) Dt ( 1 k )t Where V0 = Value of Stock Dt = Dividend k = required return No Growth Model – It becomes a perpetual annuity…. 2 Vo D k Intrinsic Value Models: Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Now if we assume that dividends increase at a constant rate g for infinite period…model can be reduced to Do (1 g ) Vo kg Where V0 = Value of Stock Dt = Dividend k = required return g = constant growth rate of dividends… The above model is also known as Gordon growth model…. 3 Intrinsic Value Models: Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Required Return – k – Can be determined through CAPM – it specifies the fair rate of return on a stock…… k rf E (rM ) rf Growth– g – Can be determined through retention ratio and ROE… g ROE b g = growth rate in dividends ROE = Return on Equity for the firm b = plowback or retention percentage rate (1- dividend payout percentage rate) 4 Multistage Dividend models Inputs Year 1.3 4.0% 8.7% 14% 50% 15% 7.50% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 beta Market Premium Risk...
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...Investigating Momentum on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange December 1 2010 Hendrik Snyman 14422425 A dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Engineering (Management) Department of Industrial Engineering University of Stellenbosch An oil prospector had died and gone to heaven. At the gate, he is met by St Peter.‘Well, I checked you out and you meet all of the qualifications. But there’s one problem,’ He said. ‘We have some tough zoning laws up here, and we keep all of our oil prospectors over in that pen. And as you can see, it is absolutely chock-full. There is no room for you.’ And the prospector said, ’Do you mind if I just say four words?’ St Peter said, ‘No harm in that.’ So the prospector cupped his hands and yelled out, ‘Oil discovered in hell!’ And, of course, the lock comes off the cage and all of the oil prospectors start heading straight down. St Peter said, ‘That’s a pretty sick trick. So,‘ he says, ’go in and make yourself at home. All the room in the world.’ The prospector paused for a minute, then said, ‘No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of the boys. There might be some truth to that rumour after all.’ 1 1 Janet Lowe, The Rediscovered Benjamin Graham: Selected Writings of the Wall Street Legend, Wiley, 1999. I|Page Dedication This dissertation is dedicated to all those people who provided moral and financial support along with particular insight into the weird and wonderful...
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...Objective: The objective of this paper is to test whether the technical analysis indicator MACD is effective in real trading. We will use the S&P 500 Index as our samples, and our main idea is to find the average return and VaR when we buy at the time MACD shows a “golden cross” and sell at the time when there is a “death cross”. MACD: Before we do the test, let’s start to define the MACD as well as its components. MACD is one of the most popular indicators used in the technical analysis. And it is mainly comprised of MACD line, signal line, and the histogram. MACD line and the signal line are calculated by using the EMA (exponential moving average) function, while the histogram is the difference between the MACD line and signal line. MACD line is the difference between exponential moving averages of 12 day stock price and the exponential moving averages of 26 days stock price. The signal line is the exponential moving averages of 9 day MACD. (12, 26, 9) is the well-recognized moving average lengths used in the industry, but can be altered with other appropriate numbers. MACD Line = EMA [stockprice, 12] – EMA [stockprice, 26] Signal Line = EMA [MACD, 9] Histogram = MACD Line – Signal Line In technical analysis, there is a basic rule to apply the MACD into practice, say when the MACD line up crosses the signal line, the stock price is expected to rise in the short term, while the MACD later on down crosses the signal line, the stock price may be expected to go down...
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...TRADING TECHNIQUES Nani Desu Ka?* Using The Heikin Ashi Technique Enter and stay on the right side of the trend — or when in doubt, stay out — with this Japanese charting technique. ince the introduction of the candlestick method to the US some two decades ago, it caused a revolution in perceiving how the bullish and bearish forces perform in the Western markets. It has become a popular charting tool, as traders have used candlesticks to make chart formations easier to spot and name. But interpreting candlesticks can be challenging. To make things easier, the heikin-ashi technique modifies the traditional candlestick chart. Let's take a look at how it works. BALANCING ON ONE FOOT them as candlesticks. The modified values are computed using these definitions: • haClose = (O+H+L+C)/4 • haOpen = (haOpen (previous bar) + haClose (previous bar))/2 • haHigh = Maximum(H, haOpen, haClose) • haLow = Minimum(L, haOpen, haClose) The heikin-ashi method {heikin means "average" or "balance" in Japanese, while ashi means "foot" or "bar") is a visual technique that eliminates irregularities from a normal chart, offering a better picture of trends and consolidations. Just by looking at a candlestick chart created with this method, you get a good idea of the market's status and its strength. Take a look at the candlestick chart of Canon ADR in Figure 1A versus the heikin-ashi modified chart in Figure 1B. Which chart would you prefer to use? CALCULATION The "open," "high," "low...
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...provides such support through Extensions - which include Components, Add-ins and Add-Ons. This paper is a study of the process of developing an Add-On for OpenOffice Calc which is aimed towards analyzing stock market data. Index Terms— Optimization, Stock markets, Share prices Further currently there are no such extensions or features exist in OpenOffice Calc regarding stock market analysis or option pricing. But there are sophisticated software available for this kind of purposes and also few companies have developed some Add-Ins for Microsoft Excel. This extension is costless and is easy to use; hence will be useful for those who are related to stock exchange especially to the investors, investment advisors and option writers. The initial requirement was further enhanced to create an Add-On which allows the users to do the following: use the downloaded stock price data to perform Technical Analysis using seven important Technical Analysis indicators such as MACD, RSI, Aroon Oscillator, Stochastic, OBV, ADX and Simple moving average, generate charts for each indicators for more accurate analysis and price Options using Binomial, Black, Black Scholes and Merton model. I. INTRODUCTION OpenOffice, is an open-source application suite whose main components are for word processing, spreadsheets, presentations, graphics, and databases[1]. It is available for a number of different computer operating systems and distributed as free software and...
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