Premium Essay

The Delphi Technique-Public Decision or Public Manipulation

In:

Submitted By eileenitri
Words 862
Pages 4
The Delphi Technique: Public Decision Or Public Manipulation? Before deciding on this particular article for . my assignment, .I had not the slightest idea as to what the Delphi Technique was or how it ever managed to cross paths with my eyes and gain enough interest to warrant my full attention but it most certainly did. I will begin by telling you that The Delphi Technique was developed in the 1950s by the Rand Corporation for Technological Forecasting..However, today it is most commonly used as a way of collecting opinions of experts without them ever having to meet face to face. As of more recently though the technique has become popular within the Health and Social Care domains. And even more so within the nursing industry..It is also believed to be of greatest value when views from collective experiences are sought rather than descriptive information. Commonly done via email, a typical Delphi study collects data using three rounds of questionaires, usually beginning with a broad question that can be further defined from the participants responses. The researchers role is to act as intermediary, facilitating discussion between the experts in the group and, in this way, the collection tool becomes a collaboration between the researchers and the participants as to what further data is required. The questionaires are then distributed to an expert panel with the aim of achieving a consensus of opinion, resulting in partial ownership from all participants Sounds like..a nice way to solve a problem, involving those most educated in the problem area right? And lets be honest, the more people involved the less likely

Similar Documents

Premium Essay

Demand Forecasting

...analogies, and simulated interaction. Avoid methods that lack evidence on efficacy such as intuition, unstructured meetings, and focus groups. Given ample data, use quantitative methods including extrapolation, quantitative analogies, rule-based forecasting, and causal methods. Among causal methods, econometric methods are useful given good theory, and few key variables. Index models are useful for selection problems when there are many variables and much knowledge about the situation. Use structured procedures to incorporate managers’ domain knowledge into forecasts from quantitative methods where the knowledge would otherwise be overlooked, but avoid unstructured revisions. Methods for combining forecasts, including prediction markets and Delphi,...

Words: 12973 - Pages: 52

Premium Essay

Transportation & Logistics 2030 Volume 1: How Will Supply Chains Evolve in an Energy-Constrained, Low-Carbon World?

... Acknowledgements The editorial board of this issue of our Transportation & Logistics 2030 series consisted of the following individuals: PricewaterhouseCoopers European Business School Supply Chain Management Institute Dr. Heiko von der Gracht +49 611 3601 8800 vdgracht@supplyinstitute.org Tobias Gnatzy +49 611 3601 8800 gnatzy@supplyinstitute.org Prof. Dr. Inga-Lena Darkow +49 611 3601 8800 darkow@supplyinstitute.org Klaus-Dieter Ruske +49 211 981 2877 klaus-dieter.ruske@de.pwc.com Dr. Peter Kauschke +49 211 981 2167 peter.kauschke@de.pwc.com Julia Reuter +49 211 981 2095 julia.reuter@de.pwc.com Dr. Elizabeth Montgomery +49 89 5790 5159 elizabeth.montgomery@de.pwc.com We would like to thank the panellists who took part in the Delphi survey that underpins this report. For confidentiality reasons their names will not be mentioned. Special thanks go to Tom Gorman, CEO of CHEP EMEA and Harry Hohmeister, CEO of Swiss International Air Lines, who took the time to share their thoughts and insights with us. Finally, we would like to express our appreciation for the expertise provided by the below listed individuals: Jenny Bailey, Andreas Baur, Nicholas Bell, Thomas Brüderlin, Giorgio Elefante, Richard Gane, Martha Elena Gonzalez, Susanne Klages, Christian Knechtel, Socrates LeptosBourgi, Alexander Müller, Dr. Moritz Nill, Roman Popovic, Robert Prengel, Gerd Tritschler, Joris van Meijel and Rene Willems. 2 Transportation & Logistics 2030 Welcome Capacity management...

Words: 28154 - Pages: 113

Premium Essay

Introduction to Object-Oriented Programming

...hierarchical model that employs looping constructs such as 'for,' 'repeat' and 'while.' Use of the 'Go To' statement is discouraged in structured programming. Structured programming was first suggested by the mathematicians Corrado Bohm and Guiseppe Jacopini. They demonstrated that any computer program can be written with just three structures: decision, sequences and loops. In structured programming coders break larger pieces of code into shorter subroutines (functions, procedures, methods, blocks or otherwise) that are small enough to be understood easily. In general, programs should use local variables and take arguments by either value or reference. These techniques help to make isolated small pieces of code easier to understand the whole program at once. PASCAL, Ada and C are some of the examples of structured programming languages. 1.1.1 Sequence Structure A sequence structure consists of a single entry and single exit statement, i.e., it makes a sequential flow (Figure 1.1). 1.1.2 Loop or Iteration Structure The loop consists of a sequence of statements, which are executed based on the logical condition. (Figure 1.2) 1.1.3 Decision...

Words: 2729 - Pages: 11

Premium Essay

Comparision of Marketting Strategy of Reliance Communication and Tata Indicom

...Research Methodology PART 3 Research Design & Plan M S Sridhar Head, Library & Documentation ISRO Satellite Centre Bangalore 560017 E-mail: sridhar@isac.gov.in & sridharmirle@yahoo.com Research Design & Plan Synopsis 1. Introduction to Research & Research methodology 2. Selection and formulation of research problem 3. Research design and plan 4. Experimental designs 5. Sampling and sampling strategy or plan 6. Measurement and scaling techniques 7. Data collection methods and techniques 8. Testing of hypotheses 9. Statistical techniques for processing & analysis of data 10. Analysis, interpretation and drawing inferences 11. Report writing M S Sridhar, ISRO 1. Significance of research design 2. Meaning & process of design / plan 3. Writing the plan (protocol) 4. Contents of the plan (protocol) 5. Qualities of good research design 6. Choice of research topic, method/ approach and methods of data collection 7. Types of research design 8. Comparison of research designs 9. Action & Applied Research 10. Correlational, Ex post facto, Ethnogenic & Triangulation Studies 2 Research Methodology 3 Significance of Research Design 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Smooth & efficient sailing (sets boundaries & prevents blind search) Yields maximum information (avoids collection of unnecessary data) Costs least in terms of effort, time & money Maximizes reliability of results Provides firm foundation to the endeavor Averts misleading conclusions & thoughtless futile exercise...

Words: 3364 - Pages: 14

Free Essay

Assignment Artemis

...3 Global challenges, need for R&I and economic dimensions of Digital Technology AUTUMN 2013 Copyright © ARTEMIS Industry Association & ITEA Office Association Permission to reproduce any text from this publication for non-commercial purposes is granted, provided that the source is credited. First edition, autumn 2013 www.artemis-ia.eu & www.itea2.org ISBN: 978-90-817213-2-5 5 Preamble This updated document1 is the joint result of the industry represented in the ARTEMIS Industry Association and ITEA and expresses the common industry ambition. Its creation was initiated by the ARTEMIS ITEA Cooperation Committee (AICC). The main goal of this update of the ITEA-ARTEMIS high-level vision 2030, version 2012 is to add a quantitative description of the impact of software innovation on revenues and labour. There are also other aspects of the impact of software innovation, like eco-systems, community building and standardisation. However these are not the focus of this year’s update. Disclaimer The trends and predictions presented in this document are based on publicly available sources. We rely on these sources, without independent verification of the information presented. The nature of this document is for a large part rather a compilation of existing material, than a reinvention of insights. The statements made by Roland Berger Strategy Consultants are based on assumptions held to be accurate on the basis of the information available. However, Roland Berger Strategy...

Words: 19271 - Pages: 78

Premium Essay

Basic Concepts of Dss

...Decision Support Systems The material has been prepared by considering the prescribed textbook, internet and assignments given by the students (BBM 2011-2014 Batch). The material can be further improved by adding more insightful examples and explanation. The material may not be exhaustive and should be taken as a guide to help in better learning of the subject. ALL THE BEST Unit – I: 1. What is DSS? Explain the Characteristics, Benefits and Limitations of DSS. Definition: A decision support systems is a system under the control of one or more decision makers that assist in the activity of decision making by providing set of tools intended to impose structure to the decision making situation and improve the effectiveness of the decision outcome. Characteristics of DSS: * Employed in semistructured or unstructured decision contexts * Intended to support decision makers rather than replace them * Supports all phases of the decision-making process * Focuses on effectiveness of the process rather than efficiency * Is under control of the DSS user * Uses underlying data and models * Facilitates learning on the part of the decision maker * Is interactive and user-friendly * Is generally developed using an evolutionary, iterative process * Can support multiple independent or interdependent decisions * Supports individual, group or team-based decision-making Situation of Certainty Structured Unstructured Situation...

Words: 15342 - Pages: 62

Premium Essay

Business Intelligence

...Running Head: BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE A REVIEW OF LITERATURE Business Intelligence: A Review of Literature Richard Clark Liberty University Abstract An explorative and descriptive review of literature on Business Intelligence (BI). It presents various definitions of the term “Business Intelligence” and determines that regardless the definition is a “means” to “end”, which sound business or organizational decision making, specifically in strategic planning and management. It also presents several important differentiation of Business Intelligence from data-centric technologies, and enterprise applications. It describes business intelligence architecture and its components. It identifies capabilities and benefits to be derive from it, barriers to its successful implementation, and critical success factors. It identifies BI software vendors, trends and forecast, and ethical considerations. It concludes with a conceptual framework that shows business intelligence as a process that produces intelligence necessary for strategic planning and management, that in turn results to a strategy that creates competitive advantages. This paper is an explorative and descriptive review of literature on Business Intelligence (BI). An exploratory research as the name suggests explores a problem or a situation with the purpose of defining an ambiguous problem. It is undertaken from the perspective of a student in management and of an IT “dummy”. Consequently, the review strategy is...

Words: 7412 - Pages: 30

Premium Essay

Teach Yourself Sql

...Review Week 2 at a Glance Day 8 Manipulating Data Day 9 Creating and Maintaining Tables Day 10 Creating Views and Indexes Day 11 Controlling Transactions Day 12 Database Security Day 13 Advanced SQL Topics Day 14 Dynamic Uses of SQL Week 2 in Review Week 3 at a Glance Day 15 Streamlining SQL Statements for Improved Performance Day 16 Using Views to Retrieve Useful Information from the Data Dictionary Day 17 Using SQL to Generate SQL Statements Day 18 PL/SQL: An Introduction Day 19 Transact-SQL: An Introduction Day 20 SQL*Plus Day 21 Common SQL Mistakes/Errors and Resolutions Week 3 in Review Appendixes A Glossary of Common SQL Statements B Source Code Listings for the C++ Program Used on Day 14 C Source Code Listings for the Delphi Program Used on Day 14 D Resources E ASCII Table F Answers to Quizzes and Excercises © Copyright, Macmillan Computer Publishing. All rights reserved. Teach Yourself SQL in 21 Days, Second Edition Acknowledgments A special thanks to the following individuals: foremost to my loving wife, Tina, for her tolerance and endless support, to Dan Wilson for his contributions, and to Thomas McCarthy at IUPUI. Also, thank you Jordan for your encouragement over the past few years. -- Ryan K. Stephens Special thanks to my wife for putting up with me through this busiest of times. I apologize to my mom for not seeing her as often as I should (I'll make it up to you). Also, thanks to my loyal dog, Toby. He was with me every night and wouldn't...

Words: 128515 - Pages: 515

Premium Essay

Forensic Accounting

...Decision Support Systems 50 (2011) 491–500 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Decision Support Systems j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / d s s Detection of financial statement fraud and feature selection using data mining techniques P. Ravisankar a, V. Ravi a,⁎, G. Raghava Rao a, I. Bose b a b Institute for Development and Research in Banking Technology, Castle Hills Road #1, Masab Tank, Hyderabad 500 057, AP, India School of Business, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Recently, high profile cases of financial statement fraud have been dominating the news. This paper uses data mining techniques such as Multilayer Feed Forward Neural Network (MLFF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Genetic Programming (GP), Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH), Logistic Regression (LR), and Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN) to identify companies that resort to financial statement fraud. Each of these techniques is tested on a dataset involving 202 Chinese companies and compared with and without feature selection. PNN outperformed all the techniques without feature selection, and GP and PNN outperformed others with feature selection and with marginally equal accuracies. © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Article history: Received 20 November 2009 Received in revised form 14 June 2010 Accepted 3 November 2010 Available online 12 November 2010 Keywords: Data mining...

Words: 10935 - Pages: 44

Premium Essay

Imformation Systems Teach Yourself Sql

...at a Glance Day 8 Manipulating Data Day 9 Creating and Maintaining Tables Day 10 Creating Views and Indexes Day 11 Controlling Transactions Day 12 Database Security Day 13 Advanced SQL Topics Day 14 Dynamic Uses of SQL Week 2 in Review Week 3 at a Glance Day 15 Streamlining SQL Statements for Improved Performance Day 16 Using Views to Retrieve Useful Information from the Data Dictionary Day 17 Using SQL to Generate SQL Statements Day 18 PL/SQL: An Introduction Day 19 Transact-SQL: An Introduction Day 20 SQL*Plus Day 21 Common SQL Mistakes/Errors and Resolutions Week 3 in Review Appendixes A Glossary of Common SQL Statements B Source Code Listings for the C++ Program Used on Day 14 C Source Code Listings for the Delphi Program Used on Day 14 D Resources E ASCII Table F Answers to Quizzes and Excercises / Copyright, Macmillan Computer Publishing. All rights reserved. Join the National Guard Car Computer Serve in your own backyard Get Free Info Here. No Obligation www.military.com Complete Diagnostic Software Tool DTC Codes, Sensor Readings & More! www.digimoto.com Teach Yourself SQL in 21 Days, Second Edition Acknowledgments A special thanks to the following individuals: foremost to my loving wife, Tina, for her tolerance and endless support, to Dan Wilson for his contributions, and to Thomas McCarthy at IUPUI. Also, thank you Jordan for your encouragement over the past few years. -- Ryan K. Stephens Special thanks to...

Words: 129252 - Pages: 518

Premium Essay

Communication

...MBA : UNIT1 Teaching Notes : 1. Definition of Research 2. Business Research 3. Features of a Good Research Study 4. Areas of Business Research 5. How to start Business Research 6. Business Research Analysis : Basic Steps 7. Business Research Problem 8. Primary Business Information 9. Research Proposal ( also in Unit2) 10. Research Methods versus Methodology 11. Types of Research 12. Functions of Business Research 13. Relevance of Business Research to Managers 14. Need to perform Business Research 15. Managerial Effectiveness and Research 16. Management Consultant 17. The Building Blocks of Science in Research 18. Induction & Deduction in Business Research 19. The Case Study as a Research Method 20. Case Study to Assess Business Situations 21. Difference between the case method and a case study? 22. Business Research Topics 23. Business Research in the 21st Century Definition of Research Research in common parlance refers to a search for knowledge. Once can also define research as a scientific and systematic search for pertinent information on a specific topic. In fact, research is an art of scientific investigation. The Advanced Learner’s Dictionary of Current English lays down the meaning of research as “a careful investigation or inquiry specially through search for new facts in any branch...

Words: 21920 - Pages: 88

Premium Essay

Corporation (Fisch) Outline Penn Law

...Table of Contents I.) INTRODUCTORY PRINCIPLES 2 A.) Efficiency and Other Concepts 2 B.) Agency and Partnership Law 2 II.) INTRODUCTION TO THE CORPORATE FORM 16 A.) Formation and Structure 16 B.) Debt, Equity, and Valuation 22 III.) CONTROL OF CORPORATE DECISIONS 32 A.) The Role of the Shareholder 32 B.) Management Obligations 50 1.) Duty of Care 51 2.) Duty of Loyalty 56 3.) Duty of Fairness: Parent-Subsidiary Relationships 63 4.) Duty of Good Faith 64 5.) Management Obligations Under Federal Securities Laws 67 C.) Shareholder Litigation 76 IV.) Structural Changes 85 A.) Transactions in Control 85 B.) Mergers and Acquisitions 86 1.) Mergers 87 2.) Sale of Assets 93 3.) Asset Purchase or Tender Offer 94 C.) Public Control Contests 96 1.) The Poison Pill 100 2.) Enhanced Review When Business is Up for Sale 103 3.) Proxy Contests for Corporate Control 106 4.) Protecting the Deal: Shareholder Lockup Agreements 109 I.) INTRODUCTORY PRINCIPLES • Definitions o Corporate Law: The allocation of rights and power within a corporation; the internal body of law ▪ Addresses the creation of economic wealth through the facilitation of voluntary, ongoing collective action ▪ Flexible- expectation that market discipline will weed out what is not working ▪ Principle aim- reduce agency costs of all sorts o Securities Law: Regulates capital markets that corporations use to obtain funding ...

Words: 62796 - Pages: 252

Premium Essay

Labor Law

...CHAPTER 9 LABOUR PRACTICES AND WORKING CONDITIONS IN TNCS: THE CASE OF TOYOTA KIRLOSKAR IN INDIA KRISHNA SHEKHAR LAL DAS & SOBIN GEORGE 1. INTRODUCTION The study on the working conditions and labour practices in Toyota Kirloskar in India is part of the network research on Transnational Corporation Monitoring in Asia. Since 2002 the Asian Transnational Corporation (ATNC) Monitoring Network has been operational to build up a regional network through which labour organisations in different Asian countries can pursue concrete solidarity actions to improve working conditions of workers employed in transnational corporations (TNC). Against this backdrop, it is aimed to have a closer look at the labour management and forms of employment in automobile and electronics sectors invested by Asian TNCs in Asia. As part of this endeavour, the Centre for Education and Communication (CEC), New Delhi collaborated with the network research coordinated by Asia Monitor Resource Centre (AMRC), Hong Kong to observe the labour practices of Asian TNCs invested in India. In the first phase the network research focused on the movement of capital and its impact on labour by engaging desk research on foreign direct investment (FDI) flows and related aspects. In the current phase, emphasis is on specific cases of labour practices and labour conditions in selected ATNCs. 1.1 Methodology The present study is situated in the wider context of the dichotomy between labour and capital. The changes of production...

Words: 32270 - Pages: 130

Premium Essay

Library Management

...Library and Information Center Management Recent Titles in Library and Information Science Text Series Library and Information Center Management, Sixth Edition Robert D. Stueart and Barbara B. Moran United States Government Information: Policies and Sources Peter Hernon, Harold C. Relyea, Robert E. Dugan, and Joan F. Cheverie Library Information Systems: From Library Automation to Distributed Information Access Solutions Thomas R. Kochtanek and Joseph R. Matthews The Complete Guide to Acquisitions Management Frances C. Wilkinson and Linda K. Lewis Organization of Information, Second Edition Arlene G. Taylor The School Library Media Manager, Third Edition Blanche Woolls Basic Research Methods for Librarians Ronald R. Powell and Lynn Silipigni Connoway Library of Congress Subject Headings: Principles and Application, Fourth Edition Lois Mai Chan Developing Library and Information Center Collections, Fifth Edition G. Edward Evans and Margaret Zarnosky Saponaro Metadata and Its Impact on Libraries Sheila S. Intner, Susan S. Lazinger, and Jean Weihs Organizing Audiovisual and Electronic Resources for Access: A Cataloging Guide, Second Edition Ingrid Hsieh-Yee Introduction to Cataloging and Classification, Tenth Edition Arlene G. Taylor LIbRaRy and InfoRMaTIon CenTeR ManageMenT Seventh Edition Robert D. Stueart and Barbara B. Moran Library and Information Science Text Series Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Stueart, Robert D. Library and information...

Words: 204742 - Pages: 819

Premium Essay

Title

...Education Quality of Private Universities in Bangladesh: faculty resources and infrastructure perspective Md. Abu Naser Student ID: 083286085 Master in Public Policy and Governance Program (MPPG) Department of General and Continuing Education (GCE) North South University Dhaka i     Dedicated to My Grand-Father and Grand-Mother Late Moulvi Dana Mia Late Asmoter Nessa For their love, encouragement, and sacrifices for the education of their successors…. ii     ABSTRACT After deregulation program, the participation of the private sectors is increasing significantly in service sector in Bangladesh. Higher education sub-sector is one of them. As a reform initiative of public sector management government shifted its policy in early 1990s in higher education sector. Earlier public sector had monopoly in the tertiary level of education. North South University is the first private university established in Bangladesh in 1992. Within a short span of time more than fifty private universities have started their function. Though a lot of questions about the quality, mission and vision of these institutions, some are providing world standard education. These quality institutions have prepared a ground to compete each other about the quality of services they are providing. The private universities (PUs) for first time have introduced American system in country’s higher education. Despite mismanagement and profit motive, PUs has a role to reshape higher education to develop competent...

Words: 33028 - Pages: 133