...The foreign currency exchange rate is an extremely dynamic market that affects all American companies operating internationally. In the recent years, the US Dollar has been under a systematic assault resulting in a decline in its value across the major world currencies. “This assault has included vocal countries, China for example, in demanding that the US Dollar be removed as the standard international currency” (Batson, 2009, pg.1). The foreign exchange rate of a currency is a general measurement of the financial health of a country, though the rates of exchange are not tied specifically to financial measurements. Therefore, a stronger dollar will benefit Americans more than a weaker dollar. One of the blessings in disguise maybe the value of the trade deficits that US has with a foreign country like China, it may decrease because Americans are not able to purchase more of the imported goods as their costs increase. The decline in the dollar’s value has benefited some American companies. US companies that export to places where the dollar is declining has seen an increase in their bottom line. “Foreigners buying US products in their own currency are able to buy more products as the US products are cheaper” (Salvatore, 2007, p. 346). The downfall of a drop in the dollar versus foreign currencies is the affects that the depreciation has upon US importers and Americans traveling abroad. For US importers, the cost of goods increases because it takes more dollars to buy the same...
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...7 7. Scope and Limitation of the Study………………………… 7 8. Research Methodology……………………………………. 7 II. Literature Review……………………………………………… 8-9 III. Discussion III.1. Interest rate versus exchange rate in Bank deposit……… 10 III.1.1 Appreciate US Dollar in Bank Deposit factor…10-11 III.1.2 Depreciate US Dollar in Bank Deposit factor….. 11 III.2. Interest rate affected in Stock market…………………... 11 III.2.1 Depreciate US Dollar in Stock Market………..11-12 III.2.2 Appreciate US Dollar in Stock Market..................12 IV. Conclusion……………………………………………………… 13 V. References…………………………………………………….14-15 Abstract In this paper, I use high frequency data to investigate the extent to which interest rate changes originated in the United States by the Reserve Federal Fund. More specifically, I am interested in understanding in effects of changes in the Federal Reserve Fund’s interest rates on differential between (short term) local currency interest rates. I also investigate how interest rate influences to the foreign exchange market when Federal set the interest rate. The result indicates that Federal Reserve’s rate can influence foreign exchange market in the bank deposit factor and in the stock market. Key words: U.S Federal Reserve, Federal Fund rate, Interest rate and foreign exchange market. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS First of all, I have been blessed with the help of some wonderful people while preparing this term paper. Thanks must first given to Dr. CHHUN Vannak, the...
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...Prof. Dr. Streitferdt International Financial Management Winter semester 2015/16 1. Prologue 1. Prologue 2. Foreign exchange markets 3. Foreign exchange exposure management 4. Financial management of multinational corporations 5. Financial management of multinational corporations 6. Corporate Governance 7. Mergers & Acquisitions 8. Risikomanagement Prof. Dr. Streitferdt: International Financial Management 1 1. Prologue Discounting Calculating present value 0 t=1 t=2 t=3 2,000 t=0 4,500 3,000 t=4 t=5 3,500 6,000 How much would you be willing to pay for this stream of future cash flows, if the interest is at i = 5.65%? Why is the result today’s value of the future cash flows? What are the assumptions of this calculation? Prof. Dr. Streitferdt: International Financial Management 2 1. Prologue Discounting Calculating present value 10/28 10/14 6,000 0 How much would you be willing to pay for this stream of future cash flows, if the two week Euribor is at i = 5.65%? What makes this calculation different from the last slide’s calculation? How many days has a year? Prof. Dr. Streitferdt: International Financial Management 3 1. Prologue Discounting Interests for investments with less than one year maturity Interests are always quoted for one year: A company has in 2012 an overdraft credit of 100,000 €...
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...the Foreign Exchange Market as well as the Net International Reserves, their stabilizing methods and strategies, along with a discussion on the analysis and effects of the measures taken to attain success within the Jamaican economy. The foreign exchange market is defined as (main function) a market used for converting from one country’s currency to another using an exchange rate which determines the value of one country’s currency against another. The Jamaican foreign exchange market came to full liberalization in the 1990’s. Since then there has been much discussion on the efficiency of the market and the appropriateness of the foreign exchange rate. “The use of market microstructure models has become very popular in financial market research stemming from the inability of traditional macroeconomic models to adequately capture the short-term dynamics of financial markets” (Frankel and Froot, 1990).There have been concerns as to whether the foreign exchange rate correctly reflects the forces of supply and demand in the market. The role of the Bank of Jamaica when it pertains to foreign exchange market is market intervention, market surveillance and data collection and information dissemination; with particular attention paid to intervention. The secondary function of the foreign exchange market is to provide insurance against foreign exchange risk. Foreign exchange risk can be defined as any adverse consequence or unpredictable change that may occur to the exchange rate...
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...FOREIGN EXHANGE MARKET The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends. The foreign exchange market determines the relative values of different currencies. The primary purpose of the foreign exchange is to assist international trade and investment, by allowing businesses to convert one currency to another currency. For example, it permits a US business to import British goods and pay Pound Sterling, even though the business' income is in US dollars. It also supports direct speculation in the value of currencies, and the carry trade, speculation on the change in interest rates in two currencies. About 70% to 90% of the foreign exchange transactions are speculative. In other words, the person or institution that bought or sold the currency has no plan to actually take delivery of the currency in the end; rather, they were solely speculating on the movement of that particular currency for a profit. The foreign exchange market facilitates international trade. These markets have no physical form. They exist through a sophisticated network of communications involving telephone, telex and computer links. The markets in different countries are closely associated. The foreign exchange market is unique because of • its...
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...Solutions for exchange rate policy of transition economy of Vietnam Dissertation zur Erlangung des Grades Doktor der Wirtschaftswissenschaft (Doctor rerum politicarum, Dr. rer. pol.) der Juristischen und Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg vorgelegt von M.A. Mai Thu Hien geb. am 23. August 1976 in Hanoi, Vietnam Gutachter: 1. Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Rüdiger Pohl, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg 2. Prof. Dr. Martin Klein, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg Datum der Einreichung: 07.06.2007 Datum der Verteidigung: 12.07.2007 Halle (Saale), Juli 2007 urn:nbn:de:gbv:3-000012127 [http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn=nbn%3Ade%3Agbv%3A3-000012127] 2 Acknowledgements This doctoral dissertation could not be completed if I have not received the help and encouragement from numerous people. Firstly, I am greatly indebted to my first supervisor, Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Rüdiger Pohl, who kept an eye on the progress of my work and was always available when I needed his advices. His great advices, supports, criticisms, comments, and encouragement helped me to develop necessary knowledge to understand and to build theoretical context in this dissertation. I also would like to express my deep gratitude to Prof. Dr. Martin Klein, my second supervisor, for his suggestions and concerns with my dissertation. I gratefully acknowledge the financial support of DAAD, without which this dissertation would not have been...
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...Chapter 5 Exchange Rate Systems questions 1. How can you quantify currency risk in a floating exchange rate system? Answer: To characterize the risk of a currency position, you must try to characterize the conditional distribution of the future exchange rate changes. With floating exchange rates, historical information provides useful information about this distribution. For example, you can use data to measure the average historical dispersion (standard deviation or volatility) of the distribution. The higher this volatility, the riskier are positions in this currency. It is also possible to rely on more forward-looking information using the options markets (see Chapter 20). Finally, we should point out that volatility is an adequate indicator of risk when exchange rate changes are approximately normally distributed. In reality, the distribution of exchange rate changes displays fat tails, even in floating exchange rate systems, and this increases the risk of currency positions. 2. Why might it be hard to quantify currency risk in a target zone system or a pegged exchange rate system? Answer: If the peg or target zone holds for a long time, historical volatility appears to be zero or very limited, but this may not accurately reflect underlying tensions that may ultimately result in a devaluation or revaluation of the currency. Hence, the true currency risk does not show up in day-to-day fluctuations of the exchange rate. It is hard to quantify this...
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...LECTURE: TRAN LINH DANG STUDENTS OF TC201DE01-0100 1. Phan Nguyễn Ngọc Xuân Mỹ 101537 2. Vũ Thị Hường 101574 3. Trương Linh Trang 101579 4. Nguyễn Đỗ Thiên Trang 093304 Note for faculty: Date: ___/___/___ For the writer: (Signature & full name) 2012 – 2013 CONTENTS CONTENTS i INTRODUCTION ii I. Exchange rates 1 I 1. Exchange rates 1 I 2. Exchange rate regimes 2 I 3. Roles of exchange rates 3 II. Compare and contrast between the value of VND and the others of ASEAN 5 II 1. The exchange rates in Vietnam from 2008 to 2010 6 II 2. The exchange rates in Vietnam in 2011 8 III. Impacts on exchange rates 10 III 1. Balance of Trade 10 III 2. Balance of Payments 11 III 3. Monetary Policy 12 III 4. Differentials in Inflation 12 III 5. Differentials in Interest Rates 12 III 6. Public Debt 12 III 7. Speculation 13 III 8. Employment Outlook 13 III 9. Political Stability and Economic Performance 13 IV. Adjusted policies of Vietnamese government on exchange rates 14 Recommendation a REFERENCES e INTRODUCTION Since Vietnam began to implement the open door policies and integrate into the world economy, Vietnamese trade has jumped by a so large amount, especially after...
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...The Risk that are Involved in Foreign Exchange Market FIN-571 January 14, 2017 Kevin Suber The Risk that are Involved in Foreign Exchange Market In a foreign market trade investors can purchase stock in the international market exchange. Investors buy into the foreign exchange market, because it makes the investor make valuable profits quicker in a good economy. For most investors this would seem to be too good of a deal to pass up however, there can be some risk involved investing in a foreign market. In this paper I will be discussing the types of risk involved in the market. Here are a few type of risk an investor could potential be hit with in a foreign exchange market. The foreign exchange risk include, exchange rate risk, interest rate risk, and country and liquidity risk just to name a few of the major risk. For investors it is important to understand the risks in the foreign market trade. The big risk like exchange rate risk can be damaging to an investor portfolio because it is based on the market perception. The exchange rate risk also factors a largely unregulated Forex off-exchange trading. Another risk involved in the foreign market is the interest rate risk. The interest rate risk by fluctuating in the forward speeds and forward mismatch of in maturity gaps in the transaction of the foreign exchange. To include with the following risk would be the country and liquidity risk in the foreign market. The investor does risk the potential of a country or liquidity...
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...INTRODUCTION 3 CHAPTER 1: BACKGROUNDS 4 1. Definition of Foreign Exchange (FOREX) 4 2. Features of Foreign Exchange (FOREX) 5 3. Forex categories: 5 4. Main participants in the foreign exchange market 6 4.1. Foreign exchange dealers 6 4.2. Financial and non-financial customers 7 4.3. Central banks 7 4.4. Brokers 8 4.4.1. In the Over-the-Counter Market 8 4.4.2. Voice Brokers 8 4.4.3. Automated Order-Matching or Electronic Broking Systems 8 4.4.4. In the Exchange-Traded Market 9 CHAPTER II: Situation of currency market in Vietnam 9 1.Roles of the SBV in controlling the currency market 9 2. Some basic features about the currency market in Vietnam from 1991 to 2011 12 2.1. The currency inter-bank market in Vietnam 12 2.1.1. The introduction of currency inter-bank market in Vietnam 12 2.1.2. The role of inter-bank transactions 14 2.1.3 The organization and operation of the currency market in Vietnam 15 2. Transactions in the parallel market and dollarization in Vietnam 15 2.1. Transactions in the parallel in Vietnam 15 2.2. Dollarization in Vietnam 16 3. Some description about the derivatives in Vietnam’s currency market 17 3.1. The introduction of derivatives in Vietnam 17 3.2. Changes of exchange rate. 19 CHAPTER III: SOLUTIONS 23 1. Shut down the black market 23 2. Implement a semi-peg system 23 3. Resort to forex...
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...Foreign Exchange Risk Management Michael Highfill Liberty University BUSI 620 – B05 LUO Dr. Mike Thirtle July 6, 2012 Foreign Exchange Risk Management Introduction Foreign exchange (FX) is a risk factor that must be considered by all firms that wish to enter, grow, and succeed in the global marketplace. Although most U.S. exporters prefer to sell their goods in U.S. dollars, creditworthy foreign buyers are increasingly demanding to pay in their local currencies (“Foreign Exchange Risk Management”, n.d.). Therefore, this currency exchange adds risk to any global trade that must be accounted for and managed, for a firm to remain competitive in the global marketplace. Definitions Foreign Exchange Risk Before we begin our discussion, we must define a working definition of foreign exchange risk. Global commerce is facilitated through foreign exchange markets. These markets affect global commerce in two ways. First, importers exchange their domestic currency for foreign currency, in order to purchase international goods. Second, multinational companies exchange profits earned in foreign currencies for domestic currency to use in their home nation. The foreign currency exchange market is made up of corporations, governments, and private individuals who trade international currencies among themselves (Bofah, n.d.a). The exchange rates for currency pairs such as the United States (U.S.) dollar and the Euro (USD/EUR)...
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...1.1 Introduction: Rate at which one currency may be converted into another. The exchange rate is used when simply converting one currency to another currency or for engaging in speculation or trading in the foreign exchange market. There are a wide variety of factors which influence the exchange rate, such as interest rates, inflation, and the state of politics and the economy in each country it also called rate of exchange or foreign exchange rate or currency exchange rate. 1.2 Objective of the Report: The primary objective of this report is to know the over functions of government in foreign exchange market. But the objective behind this study is something broader. Objectives of the study are summarized in the following manner: • To describe the exchange rate systems used by various government. • To explain how government can use direct and indirect intervention influence exchange rates. • To study existing government control over exchange rate system. • To know how government can affect economic conditions. • To have some theoretical exposures that will be helpful for our future career. 1.3 Methodology: For preparing this report, we have undergone group discussion, collected data from internet. We also studied different circulars and reference books on this topic. We hope these criteria will be enough to find out different picture of government influence on exchange rate system. 1.4 Limitations of the Study: 1. The time, 1(One) week...
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...EVOLUTION OF EXCHANGE RATE REGIME: IMPACT ON MACRO ECONOMY OF BANGLADESH by Liza Fahmida A project submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Professional Master in Banking and Finance Examination Committee: Dr. Sundar Venkatesh (Chairperson) Dr. Juthathip Jongwanich Dr. Yuosre Badir Nationality: Bangladeshi Previous Degree: Master in Finance and Banking University of Dhaka Bangladesh Scholarship Donor: Bangladesh Bank Asian Institute of Technology School of Management Thailand May 2012 i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The dissertation paper entitled “Evolution Of Exchange Rate Regime: Impact On Macro Economy Of Bangladesh” has been prepared for the partial fulfillment of Professional master in Banking and Finance (PMBF) program conducted by School of Management, AIT, Thailand. I would like to offer my wholehearted gratitude and respect to a good number of people who offered encouragement, data and information, inspiration and assistance during the course of constructing this dissertation paper. It would be difficult to prepare the paper and to present it in a lucid manner within stipulated time without the help of my guide teacher Dr. Sundar Venkatesh, Adjunct Faculty, School of Management, Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand. His utmost care, constant support and meticulous supervision guided me through the process. I am indebted to Begum Sultana Razia, General Manager, Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank, whose sincere co-operation...
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...Chapter 3 International Financial Markets Lecture Outline Foreign Exchange Market History of Foreign Exchange Foreign Exchange Transactions Foreign Exchange Quotations Interpreting Foreign Exchange Quotations Forward, Futures, and Options Markets International Money Market Origins and Development Money Market Interest Rates Among Countries Standardizing Global Bank Regulations International Credit Market Syndicated Loans Impact of the Credit Crisis on the Credit Market International Bond Market Eurobond Market Development of Other Bond Markets International Stock Markets Issuance of Stock in Foreign Markets Issuance of Foreign Stock in the U.S. Chapter Theme This chapter identifies and discusses the various international financial markets used by MNCs. These markets facilitate day-to-day operations of MNCs, including foreign exchange transactions, investing in foreign markets, and borrowing in foreign markets. Topics to Stimulate Class Discussion 1. Why do international financial markets exist? 2. How do banks serve international financial markets? 3. Which international financial markets are most important to a firm that consistently needs short-term funds? What about a firm that needs long-term funds? POINT/COUNTER-POINT: Should Firms That Go Public Engage in International Offerings? POINT: Yes. When a U.S. firm issues stock to the public for the first time in an initial public offering (IPO), it is naturally concerned about whether...
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...Economics 2 (2006) 129-146 EXCHANGE RATE RISK MEASUREMENT AND MANAGEMENT: ISSUES AND APPROACHES FOR FIRMS MICHAEL G. PAPAIOANNOU, Ph.D. International Monetary Fund Abstract Measuring and managing exchange rate risk exposure is important for reducing a firm’s vulnerabilities from major exchange rate movements, which could adversely affect profit margins and the value of assets. This paper reviews the traditional types of exchange rate risk faced by firms, namely transaction, translation and economic risks, presents the VaR approach as the currently predominant method of measuring a firm’s exchange rate risk exposure, and examines the main advantages and disadvantages of various exchange rate risk management strategies, including tactical vs. strategical and passive vs. active hedging. In addition, it outlines a set of widely-accepted best practices in managing currency risk and presents some of the main hedging instruments in the OTC and exchange-traded markets. The paper also provides some data on the use of financial derivatives instruments, and hedging practices by US firms. JEL Classification: F31, G13, G15, G32, M21 Keywords: Financial Risk, Financial Management, Foreign Exchange Hedging, Corporate Hedging Practices Corresponding address: 700 19th Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20431 e-mail: mpapaioannou@imf.org This paper draws heavily on various presentations on risk management while the author was the Director of Foreign Exchange Service of the WEFA Group...
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