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U.S. Military Spending and Its Impact on the Economy’s Gdp

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Submitted By corona980
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U.S. Military Spending and its impact on the Economy’s GDP

Matthew Magana

Abstract

This paper examines whether increases in military spending have a positive or negative impact on the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The paper focuses on the three North American economies: Canada, Mexico and the United States as models to develop a case. It will also illustrate the utilization of multiple economic tools to produce variable outcomes to analyze the full spectrum of economics. It will also discuss the multiple statistical models such as Granger causality and Vector autoregression and the asymmetric results produced.

Increased U.S. Military Spending and its impact on the Economy Given the long-accepted, theoretical direct relationship between investment and economic growth, if defense spending has a negative impact on investment, then it would seem reasonable that defense spending would have an adverse impact on economic growth. This was exactly the findings of two studies published in the seventies, zymanski (1973) and Lee (1973). Some studies attribute the negative effect of defense spending on economic growth to reduced investment. Another study argues that defense spending restricts export growth and economic growth because military expenditures compete for the same resources used in the production of exports. Which may also be a understood trade off for military spending vs. export and economic growth.
However, other studies were unable to find any stable relationship between military spending and economic growth. Chester (1978) found that military spending and economic growth were positively related. A direct relationship between defense spending and economic growth was found by Ahmed (1986) in a study of the UK. Weede (1983) found evidence that supported his hypothesis that higher rates of participation in the armed services lead to more

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