...decisions To compare and contrast the NPV and APV methods of analysis Nature of expansion decisions Expansion cash flows Valuation alternatives: NPV; APV Derivation of NPV model Derivation of APV model Capital structure issues Topics: Initial Capital investment Additional Capital investment For replacement and expansion - $ FCF FCFs are a function of value chain and industry economics Expansion FCFs are incremental to the base case and are attributable to the project. Because they include incremental revenues the full NPV equation is used to accept (accept if NPV>0) If we are using the EBIT formulation for estimating FCF we have: FCF= (EBIT)(1-T) + T(CCA) + NWC + Capex The cash flow elements to be estimated are: • net operating cash flows after tax (a.k.a. NOPAT, net operating profit after tax)(EBIT)(1-T) • the tax shield on Capital Cost TCCA • Incremental net working capital requirements NWC • incremental long-term assets Capex. At the end of the study period we also have estimates of cash inflow from sale of residual assets (RV), or the present value of FCFs which extend beyond the study period called continuing value (CV) RSM 2301 Financial Management - Fall 2011 © Asher Drory All rights reserved 9- 3 Valuation Alternatives: NPV vs. APV Models Net Present Value (NPV) NPV Expansion Decisions 9- 4 t t 0 FCFt (1 k )t Where: k = WACC keu is unlevered equity return (i.e., the equity...
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...Sampa Video, Inc. • A small video chain is deciding whether to engage in a new line of delivery business and is conducting an economic analysis of the valuation impacts of this decision. • This is a case basically regarding how to measure the benefits of financial leverage via different valuation approaches. Firm valuation (discount cash flow) and cost of capital • When you use the after-tax cost of capital to be the discount rate, you basically take in the effect of the financing. • If you discount the project cash flows (without financing) by the after-tax cost of capital, you will get the exact net present value as you use it to discount the total cash flows (project cash flows plus the financing cash flows). • That is, when you use the after-tax cost of capital to discount financing related cash flows, the net present value would be zero. ) (t=0) Initial invest. (total cost) Inc. rev. Inc. cost Deprec. OP CF NOP CF Project CF Financing Interest (AT) Repay. Fin. Rel. CF Total CF 8,000,000 0 (8,000,000) 8,000,000 (8,000,000) ) (t=1) ) (t=2) ) (t=3) ) (t=4) 6,000,000 (2,000,000) 2,000,000 3,500,000 6,000,000 (2,000,000) 2,000,000 3,500,000 6,000,000 (2,000,000) 2,000,000 3,500,000 6,000,000 (2,000,000) 2,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 6,500,000 (360,000) (360,000) (360,000) (360,000) (8,000,000) (360,000) 3,140,000 (360,000) 3,140,000 (360,000) 3,140,000 (8,360,000) (1,860,000) ...
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...VALUATION TECHNIQUES Vault Guide to Finance Interviews Valuation Techniques How Much is it Worth? Imagine yourself as the CEO of a publicly traded company that makes widgets. You’ve had a highly successful business so far and want to sell the company to anyone interested in buying it. How do you know how much to sell it for? Likewise, consider the Bank of America acquisition of Fleet. How did B of A decide how much it should pay to buy Fleet? For starters, you should understand that the value of a company is equal to the value of its assets, and that Value of Assets = Debt + Equity or Assets = D + E If I buy a company, I buy its stock (equity) and assume its debt (bonds and loans). Buying a company’s equity means that I actually gain ownership of the company – if I buy 50 percent of a company’s equity, I own 50 percent of the company. Assuming a company’s debt means that I promise to pay the company’s lenders the amount owed by the previous owner. The value of debt is easy to calculate: the market value of debt is equal to the book value of debt. (Unless the debt trades and thus has a real “market value.” This information, however, is hard to come by, so it is safe to use the book value.) Figuring out the market value of equity is trickier, and that’s where valuation techniques come into play. The four most commonly used techniques are: 1. 2. 3. 4. Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis Multiples method Market valuation Comparable transactions method Generally, before...
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...VALUATION TECHNIQUES Vault Guide to Finance Interviews Valuation Techniques How Much is it Worth? Imagine yourself as the CEO of a publicly traded company that makes widgets. You’ve had a highly successful business so far and want to sell the company to anyone interested in buying it. How do you know how much to sell it for? Likewise, consider the Bank of America acquisition of Fleet. How did B of A decide how much it should pay to buy Fleet? For starters, you should understand that the value of a company is equal to the value of its assets, and that Value of Assets = Debt + Equity or Assets = D + E If I buy a company, I buy its stock (equity) and assume its debt (bonds and loans). Buying a company’s equity means that I actually gain ownership of the company – if I buy 50 percent of a company’s equity, I own 50 percent of the company. Assuming a company’s debt means that I promise to pay the company’s lenders the amount owed by the previous owner. The value of debt is easy to calculate: the market value of debt is equal to the book value of debt. (Unless the debt trades and thus has a real “market value.” This information, however, is hard to come by, so it is safe to use the book value.) Figuring out the market value of equity is trickier, and that’s where valuation techniques come into play. The four most commonly used techniques are: 1. 2. 3. 4. Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis Multiples method Market valuation Comparable transactions method Generally, before...
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...MSc Corporate Finance Dr. Kirak Kim Before we start Main branches of finance Corporate Finance How do we value projects and (optimally) finance them? Asset Pricing How do we price securities more precisely? What’s the difference? Is it a Corporate Finance question or an Asset Pricing question? □ You are the manager of Intel Corp. You are reviewing the proposal for the new plant to be built in China. The new plant requires a large onetime investment but will provide significant capacity addition as well as cost savings over the next 10 years. Should you approve the proposal for the new plant? □ “HSBC FTSE 100” is a index fund that replicates FTSE 100 index. The fund offers investors a convenient diversification at a low price. Would you be interested in investing in the fund (or somewhere else)? » What if it was TESCO that was considering HSBC FTSE 100 as an investment vehicle? □ In 2004, Sergey Brin and Larry Page, the founders of Google Inc., were talking to investment bankers from Morgan Stanley. They hope to finance a number of potential opportunities through IPO (initial public offering). One of the most important concerns is of course what the offering price should be. Part 1 Project Valuation Dr. Kirak Kim MSc Corporate Finance EFiMM0017 Project Valuation Investment decision Revisit: Valuing unlevered cash flows Revisit: Uncertainty and the notion of risk Weighted average cost of capital Adjusted present value Two Main...
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...Capital Budgeting Finance 100 Prof. Michael R. Roberts Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 1 Topic Overview How should capital be allocated? » Do I invest / launch a product / buy a building / scrap / outsource... » Should I acquire / sell / accept offer for company or division? » How should the capital budgeting process be organized? Which choices should I make? » make or buy » which distribution channel » should I test market a product Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 2 1 1 Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) A Tool for Rational Decision Making What can be an object of capital budgeting procedures? » There must be a choice - choose a base case and an alternative. (Do nothing/status quo) Identify incremental cash flows from project » Treat as incremental cash flows to shareholder (marginal impact) Calculate the value of the project. » Taking into account timing and risk (t and re) » Aggregate cash flows into one single number Show that doing all and only projects which have positive net present value maximizes the value of the firm. Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 3 Estimating Relevant Cash Flows The relevant cash flows for evaluating a new investment project are the incremental cash flows contributed by the project. Incremental Cash Flows = Firm’s CFs with Project Firm’s CFs without Project Only Incremental Cash Flows are Relevant. But consider, » » » » » » » » Side effects of the project Investment in working capital. Forget about sunk...
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...cashflows, book value or sales. Contingent claim valuation, uses option pricing models to measure the value of assets that share option characteristics. Aswath Damodaran 3 Valuation Models Asset Based Valuation Discounted Cashflow Models Relative Valuation Contingent Claim Models Liquidation Value Stable Replacement Cost Two-stage Three-stage or n-stage Current Equity Firm Sector Option to delay Option to expand Young firms Option to liquidate Equity in troubled firm Market Normalized Earnings Book Revenues Value Sector specific Undeveloped land Equity Valuation Models Dividends Firm Valuation Models Patent Undeveloped Reserves Free Cashflow to Firm Cost of capital approach APV approach Excess Return Models Aswath Damodaran 4 Discounted Cashflow Valuation: Basis for Approach CF1 CF2 CF3 CF4 CFn + + +...
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...Ch. 14. An overview of Corporate Finance. 14.1 Cash for investments is generated mostly (USA: 80%) internally as depreciation and retained earnings. Still, companies have a gap between cash they need and cash they generate internally. This gap is financial deficit. So companies have to either sell new equity or borrow.This causes two different kinds of problems: 1) The plow back ratio? => Dividend policy 2) The proportions of debt and issue of equity? => Debt policy. • Net stock issue is negative = Company repurchases more stocks than issues them. Reasons for internally generated funds: a) avoid cost of issuing securities b) investors don’t get the message from lower future profits and higher risk. Recent years firms have issued more debt than equity. Still, there are many ways to calculate the Debt ratio of company: 1) Debt / total assets = ( Short + long term debt ) / Total assets, or 2) Proportion of debt in long term financing) = Long term liabilities Long term liabilities + stockholders’ equity The Debt Ratios has risen since 1950 because of the book value of the corporate assets falls as behind the actual value of those assets. This is caused the inflation. And the new tools for risk management have...
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...SPREADSHEET MODELING IN CORPORATE FINANCE To accompany Principles of Corporate Finance by Brealey and Myers CRAIG W. HOLDEN Richard G. Brinkman Faculty Fellow and Associate Professor Kelley School of Business Indiana University Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458 To Kathryn, you’re the inspiration, and to Diana and Jimmy, with joy and pride. Craig CONTENTS Preface PART 1 TIME VALUE OF MONEY Chapter 1 Single Cash Flow 1.1 Present Value 1.2 Future Value Problems Chapter 2 Annuity 2.1 Present Value 2.2 Future Value 2.3 System of Four Annuity Variables Problems Chapter 3 Net Present Value 3.1 Constant Discount Rate 3.2 General Discount Rate Problems Chapter 4 Real and Inflation 4.1 Constant Discount Rate 4.2 General Discount Rate Problems Chapter 5 Loan Amortization 5.1 Basics 5.2 Sensitivity Analysis Problems PART 2 VALUATION Chapter 6 Bond Valuation 6.1 Basics 6.2 By Yield To Maturity 6.3 System Of Five Bond Variables 6.4 Dynamic Chart Problems Chapter 7 Stock Valuation 7.1 Two Stage 7.2 Dynamic Chart Problems Chapter 8 The Yield Curve 8.1 Obtaining It From Bond Listings 8.2 Using It To Price A Coupon Bond 8.3 Using It To Determine Forward Rates Problems Chapter 9 U.S. Yield Curve Dynamics 9.1 Dynamic Chart Problems PART 3 CAPITAL BUDGETING Chapter 10 Project NPV 10.1 Basics 10.2 Forecasting Cash Flows 10.3 Working Capital 10.4 Sensitivity Analysis Problems Chapter 11 Cost-Reducing Project 11...
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...Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org) OLIN BUSINESS SCHOOL Summer 2015 Advanced Corporate Finance IIIFrontiers of Valuation B62 FIN 534C Professor Todd Milbourn B62 MGT 534C Advanced Corporate Finance III – Frontiers of Valuation Summer 2015 Professor Todd Milbourn The Olin Business School Table of Contents 1. Valmont Industries HBP Case # UVA-F-1191 ............................................................................... 1 2. Super Project HBP Case # 9-112-034 ........................................................................................... 21 3. Calaveras Vineyards HBP Case # UVA-F-1094 ........................................................................... 37 4. Paginas Amarelas HBP Case # UVA-F-1210 ............................................................................... 63 5. Using Crystal Ball HBP Case # UVA-QA-0561 .......................................................................... 89 6. Valuation in Emerging Markets HBP Case # UVA-F-1455 ......................................................... 95 7. Project Valuation in Emerging Markets HBP Case # 9-702-077 ............................................... 113 8. Valuing Companies in Corporate Restructurings HBP Case # 9-201-073 ................................. 131 UVA-F-1191 Rev. Feb. 1, 2011 VALMONT INDUSTRI V IES, INC. Forty years ago, we made our fi F m irst center p pivot irriga ation system It was m. es ssentially a long steel pipe...
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...Corporate Investment Decision Practices And the Hurdle Rate Premium Puzzle Iwan Meier and Vefa Tarhan1 February 27, 2006 Abstract We survey a cross-section of 127 companies to shed light on various dimensions of the investment decisions. The questions posed by our survey examine the hurdle rates firms use, calculations of project related cashflows, the interaction of cashflows and hurdle rates, and the determinants of firms’ capital structure policies. Unlike previous studies which examine investment decisions by either using survey data or data obtained from financial tapes, we use both sets of data. This approach produced one of our primary findings that there is a hurdle rate premium puzzle, in that hurdle rates used by our sample of firms exceed their cost of capital that we calculate using Compustat data by 5%. We investigate the determinants of the hurdle premium in question. Additionally, we find that both systematic and to a lesser extent unsystematic risk play a role in determining the hurdle rates. Furthermore, our findings show that while firms use discounted cashflow methods in evaluating projects, they do not always appear to handle the cashflow dimension of their investment decisions in a consistent manner. Finally, we uncover evidence that firms use the various financing alternatives available to them in the order predicted by the pecking-order hypothesis. However, some of the variables affiliated with the trade-off model also appear to play a role in...
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...Tootsie Roll Vs Hershey The purpose of this financial analysis is to compare Tootsie Roll and Hershey Inc to the industry average financial ratios to determine which company will be the best investment opportunity. This analysis will evaluate and compare the company’s liquidity, solvency and profitability ratios from 2004. Tootsie Roll, Inc. and Hershey Inc are both companies well known for the selling of confectionary goods. Hershey is publicly traded under NYSE: HSY, Tootsie Roll under NYSE: TR. Both are listed under SIC 2064, Candy and other Confectionary products. • Liquidity Liquidity ratios measure the short-term ability a company to pay its obligations and meet unexpected needs of cash. These numbers can be found by analyzing the company’s balance sheet. The company that closely matches or exceeds the industry averages in liquidity is Tootsie Roll. Tootsie Roll’s current ratio of 2.34 exceeds that of the industries 1.29. They also have a lower cash to debt ratio 1.05 (2.37 industry, days in inventory 63.98 (industry 72.7) and a quicker inventory turnover 5.7 (industry 6.05). The only ratio were Hershey exceeds Tootsie Roll is receivables turnover ratio. Hershey collects more of its receivables but Tootsie Roll collects faster. Tootsie Roll is better suited to collect cash quickly to pay its obligations and meet unexpected cash needs. • Solvency Solvency ratios measure a company’s ability to last over an extended period of time, or how a...
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...evaluate the effectiveness of financial decisions. A rudimentary way of valuing the equity of a company is simply to take its balance sheet and subtract liabilities from assets to arrive at the equity value. However, this book value has little resemblance to the real value of the company. First, the assets are recorded at historical costs, which may be much greater than or much less their present market values. Second, assets such as patents, trademarks, loyal customers, and talented managers do not appear on the balance sheet but may have a significant impact on the firm's ability to generate future profits. So while the balance sheet method is simple, it is not accurate; there are better ways of accomplishing the task of valuation. Cash vs. Profits Another way to value the firm is to consider the future flow of cash. Since cash today is worth more than the same amount of cash tomorrow, a valuation model based on cash flow can discount the value of cash received in future years, thus providing a more accurate picture of the true impact of...
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...ASSIGNMENT SHEET TUESDAY, JANUARY 17, 2012 CLASS 1– INTRODUCTION AND GOALS FOR THE SEMESTER A. CLASS LECTURE Review of Topics, Assignment Sheets, and Course Outline The Case Method - Rules for Classroom Discussion Instruction for the Formation of Study & Project Groups B. Professor/Student Introductions C. Readings from Course Packet: 1. Fin 394.4 Syllabus - Course Outline and Grading Policy 2. “Course Introduction” 3. Note to the Student: How to Study and Discuss Cases 4. “The Case Method” - Jeff Sandefer 5. “Classroom Discussion” - Jeff Sandefer 6. “Note on Study Groups” - Jeff Sandefer ASSIGNMENT: 1. PURCHASE THE COURSE PACKET 2. BRING YOUR RESUME TO THE NEXT CLASS 3. BROWSE THE CLASS BLACKBOARD SITE: (HTTP://COURSES.UTEXAS.EDU/) AND LOOK AT THE EXTERNAL LINKS AND COURSE DOCUMENTS POSTED. a. Case Exhibits b. Case Solutions c. Valuation Templates d. Valuation External Links e. Project Information ASSIGNMENT SHEET THURSDAY, JANUARY 19, 2012 CLASS 2 – WORK FOR MONEY OR MONEY WORK FOR YOU? A. Turn in Resume B. Form study groups (self-select 4-6 people with different education, concentration, work experience and cultural background). Send e-mail to the professor with...
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...Valuation Fundamentals Table of Contents www.finaticsonline.com Table of Contents > > > > > Introduction – Concept of Fair Value – Who uses Valuation? Valuation & Wealth Maximization Valuation Approaches Valuation Methods Is there a ‘Best’ method? > > Which method is best suited ? – Public vs Private Company – By Scenario – By Sector Valuation FAQs – General – DCF – Comparables Press Alt, W, F for maximizing viewing area Equity Valuation Fundamentals Introduction – Concept of Fair Value www.finaticsonline.com At Finatics, we define Equity Valuation as “A process that involves determining „Fair Value‟ of a company‟s equity in order to assist buy/sell decisions for the purpose of Financial or Strategic Investment ” So what is Fair Value of an investment? How should the worth of an Investment be determined ? …(Contd) Put Simply, Fair Value is the price at which, one will get the desired rate of return when the investment is sold to a willing & able buyer. The worth of an investment is determined by whether it is meant for long term use to generate returns (i.e. Strategic Investment) or for resale when the „right price‟ or „fair value‟ is achieved (Financial Investment). The purpose of Valuation is to determine a fair value range of an investment (or capital asset) using one or more of several available techniques As discussed, investment related demand will be driven by expected return resulting...
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