...17 March 2015 In 2013, Michigan State University football team went a span of 194 minutes and 33 seconds without allowing a touchdown; Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 3.75 yards per play and 2.10 yards per rushing attempt, both of which rank No.1 in FBS; The Spartans lead the FBS in time of possession (34:56 per game).(SpartyOn.com) In Michigan, from 2009 to 2013 there were 88.9 percent of people age of 25 above have education of high school graduate or higher which is higher than United State average of 86.0 percent, and also have 25.9 percent people have Bachelor’s degree or higher. In addition, Michigan has an average salary of jobs of $58,000. (Census.gov) Where these numbers came from? It is Statistics. “People cannot make research without statistics and analysis.”(Zeleke) Statistics is important and critical, it can solve for society problem. Nowadays, we have a lot of technological advancement, mobile technology and data in our daily life. The world becomes more and more complex. We need people to be proficient to understand all information out there. How do we process? What is important? How do we analyze the information and make the right decision? Now, there are lots of problem that we are facing: human, race, climate change, economics hardships, and political instability etc. For solving these problems, we need statistics and modeling. Statistics become more and more important; it is not only for statistician but also for everyone. Statistics not only help...
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...1. Morrie is optimistic towards his death. Although he is also distressed about his life-threatening disease, he is happy that he is given enough time to create more happy memories with his loved ones before he departs this material world. He perceives having the opportunity to bid farewell to the people around him as something good and wanted to make the best out of the remaining days of his life. For instance, Morrie even had a “living funeral” in which he himself who is about to die, participates in his own funeral. The close people who attended in Morrie’s “living funeral” all laughed and cried as they reminisce their experiences with Morrie, stressing how Morrie has touched each of their individual lives. What is very heart-warming and essential in the movie “Tuesdays with Morrie” that reflects Morrie’s outlook on death, and most importantly on life, is his interview sessions with his former close and favorite college student named Mitch. This is because Mitch wanted to preserve his memories with Morrie, he asked Morrie to tape record their interview sessions every Tuesdays revolving on fundamental questions about life. In response, Morrie happily agreed with the favor Mitch was asking him. Morrie wanted to share his life and experiences to Mitch in the light of teaching Mitch about life lessons on how one should appreciate the beauty of life and how to live it to the fullest. On one of the Tuesday interview sessions, the topic centered on death. Morrie pointed out one of...
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...Jenny Smith November 28, 2011 Dr. Min Young Lee English 121 sec 28 The Coming of Age of the Male Characters in About a Boy About a boy is a contemporary novel written by the British author Nick Hornby. It incorporates constructs of post-modern writing by bringing into focus the artists, and styles, and prose of the vernacular. The setting of the novel takes place in London in the mid 1990s. About a boy gives a unique perspective of a coming of age story. It follows the coming of age of two boys of two very different ages; Will Freeman 36 years old and Marcus 12. This novel shows the contrast between consumerism and materialism with real interpersonal connections. Will Freeman made the decision to pursue materialism rather than personal friendships, and to live in self-imposed isolation. Will had the ability to buy “cool” clothes, and sunglasses and sneakers, and so was never at a loss for acquaintances. Marcus, on the other hand, felt isolation due to a lack of materialism. Marcus was an outsider in his school in London since he could not have the best “coolest” clothes, shoes, and haircuts and thus was always the target of bullying. However, as the plot progresses, Marcus and Will undergo transformational experiences together to become more connected to the people around them. The transformational experiences of Fiona’s suicide, falling in love, and Marcus’ arrest all culminate in the maturation of Will and Marcus’ and the genesis of interpersonal connections between...
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...Film Review of ”About a Boy” Cast: Hugh Grant, Rachel Weisz, Toni Collette and Nicholas Hoult Director: Chris and Paul Weitz Novel written by: Nick Hornby Script writer: Peter Hedges, Chris and Paul Weitz Rating: PG-13 Genre: Romance, Comedy and Drama Running time: 105min. Review: The movie is mainly about 36 year old Will Freeman and 12 year old Marcus Brewer. Will is a so called island which means that he wants nothing to do with family related things; all he really wants is relationships without any form of commitment, he therefore goes to a club for single parents called S.P.A.T. There he meets a woman that he likes, but to be with her he makes up that he has a two-year old son named Ted. When he revels that it was a lie to get close to her, she immediately breaks up with him. Will's keeps on courting and the woman (Suzie) takes him to one of the group's picnics where he meets Marcus the son of Suzie's friend, Fiona. At the picnic, Marcus accidentally kills a duck with piece of bread while he is trying to feed it. When a park ranger asks him about it, Will defends Marcus by saying that the bird was already dead. Afterward, when Will and Suzie take Marcus home, they find Fiona, his mother, in the living room, on a pill-overdose trying to commit suicide. Marcus gets uncomfortable with being at home with his mother; therefore he tries to get Will to date her. After only one date this plan fails so Marcus starts following Will around and discovers that Will...
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...A Walk to Remember By: Nicholas Sparks A walk to remember, a book about faith. How Jamie Sullivan and Landon Cater grow together in love their senior year. Not knowing what was ahead for them this year at Beaufort high school. This book starts off as Landon Cater is describing his family life style and the town of Beaufort, North Carolina. He describes his life style as more on the wealthy side. His mother cannot cook so they have a cook and also a maid. His has both of his parents. But he does not talk to his dad. They do not get along because his father is busy trying to make a name for himself in their little town. We also get introduced to Hegburt, who has a daughter named Jamie and lost his wife. He is there church minister. He has a close relationship with his lovely daughter. Hegburt worked with the winter show. He got a little bored of a Christmas carol. So he decided to make a Christmas Angel. This was a hopeful story about a man who lost his wife and only wanted the best for his daughter. That Christmas his daughter wanted a music box that had an angel on it. This man did everything he could to get this. But by Christmas he did not. But that night an angel came down and granted this little girl her Christmas present. Jamie and Landon start their story when they both have to do the winter play that year. They both did the play and worked together on their line on Jamie’s front porch. This was common in the 50s’ for them to work outside for common respect...
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...Drew Centola Mr. Watley Theology I 21 November 2014 A Walk to Remember Summary A Walk to Remember is a teenage romantic movie about a “bad boy” falling in love with a smart young women. The bad boy is Landen Carter while the young woman is Jamie Sullivan. Landen has a group of friends that make fun of Jamie but, in the middle of the movie Landen falls in love with Jamie during a play. Let me start from the beginning of the movie. In the first part of the movie they have one of their new inductees “Walker” jumps from a stand about 50 feet from the air, he does a belly flop. When he hits the water he just floats there in the water and does not turn over for air. Then Landen climbs down from the stand and jumps in the water to help Walker to get him on dry land. Then the cops show up and all of them bail except for Landen helping walker to dry land. When Walker sees the cops he tells Landen that he could go and get out of here. So Landen leaves Walker on the wooden deck by the bug pond for the cops to find him. When Landen gets in his car he is being chased by cops while his friends get a clean getaway while Landen is trying to shake to cop off his tail. Landen takes a wide turn and crashes into a barrel of water and has crutches for his leg the next day. The day Landen returns to school the principal calls Landen into his office. The principal says that he has to be in the play, tutor students, and clean the school or he will be expelled. While his friends don't...
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...Based on the book by Nicholas Sparks, the romantic drama, A Walk to Remember, stars two main characters, Jamie Sullivan (Many Moore) and Landon Carter (Shane West) who are brought together by fate. Directed by Adam Shankman, this movie tells the story of the school’s bad boy who pulls a prank gone wrong. In order for a boy to enter is gang, he must jump off of an industrial building into a shallow river, ending up in the hospital. This incident results in Landon having to do community service by tutoring and by being involved in the schools spring play which is where he encounters the serious and hardworking preachers daughter, Jamie. Landon can’t seem to get his memorization of the lines quite well and ends up asking Jamie for help, resulting in the beginning of their newfound love together. As time goes on and Landon spends more time with Jamie, he realizes that she is slowly changing him, but for the better. On the other hand, being with the innocent Christian girl of the school threatens his reputation of being the popular bad boy, yet his love for her cannot be stopped and their relationship flourishes. However, one secret that Jamie had kept hidden from Landon puts a bump in the road and is difficult to get around. Will this unraveled secret tear them apart or just make them stronger? A Walk To Remember will forever be a classic in my opinion because of its characters and the overall messages that are portrayed throughout the movie. Jamie Sullivan and Landon Carter are...
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...I am Aubree Miller. I am 22 years old and I live in Columbus, Ohio. Some of you may have heard of me by the numerous news reports and articles and the amber alerts and things like that. When I was 15 I was kidnapped. The three years I was seperated from my friends and family, I was starved, beaten and sexually assaulted. I am writing this story to explain everything I remember about that horrible Friday night 7 years ago and my life while in captivity. It was a chilly October night in Ohio. The whole town was on our way to the local high school. It was the first time in 26 years that our varsity football team had made it to the championships. To say we were excited would be a vast understatement. My three friends; Chloe, Jada, and Nicole met...
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...Asymmetric Shocks, Long-term Bonds and Sovereign Default1 Junjun Zhu, Shiyu Xie School of Economics, Fudan University January 2011 Abstract: We present a sovereign default model with asymmetric shocks and long-term bonds, and solve the model using discrete state dynamic programming. As result, our model matches the Argentinean economy over period 1993Q1-2001Q4 quite well. We show that our model can match high default frequency, high debt/output ratio and other cyclical features, such as countercyclical interest rate and trade balance in emerging countries. Moreover, with asymmetric shocks we are able to match high sovereign spread level and low spread volatility simultaneously in one model, which is till now not well solved. As another contribution of our paper, we propose a simulation-based approach to approximate transition function of output shocks between finite states, which is an indispensable step in discrete state dynamic programming. Comparing to Tauchen’s method, our approach is very flexible in transforming various econometric models to finite state transition function, so that our approach can be widely used in simulating different kinds of discrete state shocks. JEL Classification: E44, F32, F34 Keywords: Sovereign Default, Asymmetric Shocks, Transition Function, Long-term Bonds 1 Corresponding authors: Junjun Zhu, Ph.D candidate at School of Economics, Fudan University, No. 200 Guoquan Road, Shanghai 200433, China. Shiyu Xie, professor at School of Economics...
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...504 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON AUTOMATION SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, VOL. 5, NO. 3, JULY 2008 Stochastic Modeling of an Automated Guided Vehicle System With One Vehicle and a Closed-Loop Path Aykut F. Kahraman, Abhijit Gosavi, Member, IEEE, and Karla J. Oty Abstract—The use of automated guided vehicles (AGVs) in material-handling processes of manufacturing facilities and warehouses is becoming increasingly common. A critical drawback of an AGV is its prohibitively high cost. Cost considerations dictate an economic design of AGV systems. This paper presents an analytical model that uses a Markov chain approximation approach to evaluate the performance of the system with respect to costs and the risk associated with it. This model also allows the analytic optimization of the capacity of an AGV in a closed-loop multimachine stochastic system. We present numerical results with the Markov chain model which indicate that our model produces results comparable to a simulation model, but does so in a fraction of the computational time needed by the latter. This advantage of the analytical model becomes more pronounced in the context of optimization of the AGV’s capacity which without an analytical approach would require numerous simulation runs at each point in the capacity space. Note to Practitioners—This paper presents a model for determining the optimal capacity of an automated guided vehicle (AGV) to be purchased by a manufacturer. This paper was motivated by work...
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...Abel Castillo English 102 Professor Butera Descriptive Paper Mundane Delicate whispers seep into the still, compact door. Suddenly, an alarm viciously roars filling the room with its intense growl. In an attempt to tame it, I grab hold of my calm comforter and barricade myself within it. The violent rumbling grows much louder. Falling out of bed, I slam the digital clock with such impeccable force that it completely becomes inaudible. Lazily, I explore for my soft, brown reindeer socks to accommodate my cold, little toes. Twisted, erect hair, as if a night-cow licked my head, takes control of my head from a distant, glass reflection. I finally make my way toward the cold, bare bathroom. Recovered, I find myself looking into the lifeless reflection to prepare for another unstable day. To start, I set my hands to find the light switch which seems to avoid me. Light glaring into my poor, unaware pupils, I set my hands in warm-filled water. I bring my face alongside the running, sincere water. After hydration, I attempt to clear out the cow-licked hair-do; I reach for my sturdy, black comb and combat the cow’s drool! With no avail, I soon give up. I place my index finger on the power button of the high-powered, blue electric-shaver and trim the fur that guards my face from fierce colds. Next, I prime my toothbrush with invigorating, peppermint toothpaste and smoothly graze each special tooth. I then enrich my essence with refined, colorful fragrances. Widely awake, I dash...
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...hidden. Table of Contents Introduction 2 Cribbing Isomorphs 3 The Hidden Markov Model 4 Gaussian Elimination 5 Conclusion 6 Introduction In any cryptanalysts toolbox, there are a number of methods at their dispense which can aid in the deciphering of crypto-text messages back into their native plaintext message. Since the dawn of man, ways have been invented to hide secret information in an attempt to keep secret an intent, hide a plan, cover up a bad deed or whisper softly over distances. Encryption has proven the means to get this data over a medium and ensure that the integrity of the message arrives intact. Many times this information is intercepted and then the deciphering process begins. By knowing a certain amount about a message, cryptanalysts are able to piece the remaining message together by using cribbing, algorithms and back substitution methods to aid in revealing the unknown plaintext. This paper will examine Cribbing Isomorphs, Gaussian Elimination, and The Hidden Markov Model to give the reader a better understanding on how each works together in deciphering cipher-text. Cribbing Isomorphs In order to understand just what, “Cribbing Isomorphs” means, we first need to understand what the terms are referring to. In...
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...Introduction Background of the study It is a common issue to test whether the stock prices are efficient, in most of the researches. It is found that long term returns are more predictable than short term and thus mean reverting. Studies mainly focus on autocorrelation of returns in different time lengths. In finance theory it says when autocorrelation of stock prices is there, then prices are predictable. Therefore, it is evidence against the random walk hypothesis of stock prices. Objective of the study The objective of this research is to test the efficiency of stock prices in Sri Lanka studying autocorrelation of short and long term returns in the CSE. Significance of the study There was a previous research on the predictability of short term returns and mean reversion in long term return in Sri Lanka in two important ways. 1. Previous studies utilized only shorter time periods because lack of long time series, since Sri Lankan stock market commenced only in 1985 and some researchers only used limited data which is the shorter time series available. Whereas the present study uses all-time series of returns available as at the research date (18.5 years from 1985-2003). 2. All previous papers tested only the short term returns except one. But this study examines short term predictability as well as long term mean reversion. It is important to use a long time series when predicting the long term returns to obtain correct results. Therefore, this...
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...everywhere. The zombie fad is displayed in books, movies, games, music, and even in the streets-zombie walks. Lately, nonprofit organizations have started using this popular trend to host their fundraising events appealing to different crowds. Especially during autumn and Halloween season, a zombie event is appropriate. A great example of how an organization has tied the zombie theme into their organization is the slogan, “Feed the Hungry”. America’s Second Harvest of Coastal Georgia located in Savannah is a volunteer-driven nonprofit food bank. They serve twenty one counties in Georgia with the mission of feeding hungry people and supporting communities. On November 10, their organization will hold their 5th Zombie Walk on River Street. Donors will dress up themselves, their children, and pets for FREE with a donation of canned goods. There is free makeup, entertainment, games, and vendors ("Savannah zombie walk ," 2011). This is great idea to me because it is a wonderful family/friend idea to do together and gives back a fun opportunity to donors. Another appropriate time for a blood drive is Halloween. No explanation for blood or gore needed. Another idea that has been created is kids ditching the candy and collecting cans alone (Waters, 2012). Halloween is a time for everyone! Kids, adults, and even pets enjoy the spooky season! References Savannah zombie walk . (2011). Retrieved from http://savannahzombiewalk.com/ Waters, J. (2012, Sep). 5 reasons to have a Halloween...
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...everywhere. The zombie fad is displayed in books, movies, games, music, and even in the streets-zombie walks. Lately, nonprofit organizations have started using this popular trend to host their fundraising events appealing to different crowds. Especially during autumn and Halloween season, a zombie event is appropriate. A great example of how an organization has tied the zombie theme into their organization is the slogan, “Feed the Hungry”. America’s Second Harvest of Coastal Georgia located in Savannah is a volunteer-driven nonprofit food bank. They serve twenty one counties in Georgia with the mission of feeding hungry people and supporting communities. On November 10, their organization will hold their 5th Zombie Walk on River Street. Donors will dress up themselves, their children, and pets for FREE with a donation of canned goods. There is free makeup, entertainment, games, and vendors ("Savannah zombie walk ," 2011). This is great idea to me because it is a wonderful family/friend idea to do together and gives back a fun opportunity to donors. Another appropriate time for a blood drive is Halloween. No explanation for blood or gore needed. Another idea that has been created is kids ditching the candy and collecting cans alone (Waters, 2012). Halloween is a time for everyone! Kids, adults, and even pets enjoy the spooky season! References Savannah zombie walk . (2011). Retrieved from http://savannahzombiewalk.com/ Waters, J. (2012, Sep). 5 reasons to have a Halloween...
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