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War and Change in World Politics

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In the book War and Change in World Politics, Robert Gilpin presents a rationalist and realistic argument for international relations. The argument is that an international system is created because actors create social, political and economical structures to advance their interests. The structure reflects the interests of those who are most dominant in the system. The structure will inevitably change due to many reasons that are provided throughout the book. Robert Gilpin succeeds in providing support for his main argument by applying his theories to many examples in history. His reasoning in supporting his argument were clear, concise and easy to follow, which made the book a pleasurable read.

The book starts out by providing four assumptions, which divides the book into 4 sections. In each section Gilpin provides examples that are heavily rational and applicable. This division made the book easy to follow and helped readers to understand how each assumption supported the argument. Each assumption was used to support the main argument of the book. The first assumption that was used is “An international system is stable if no state believes it profitable to attempt to change the system.” (Gilpin, page 11). Gilpins approach to support this assumption is of a realist approach. Gilpin starts out by supporting his argument through deductive reasoning. These reasons are carried out in an informative manner that can be easily supported by historical events and examples. As he develops his core set of theories as to how the assumption holds true to supporting the argument, he goes on to provide historical examples. The historical examples that he presents range from the time of the great empires dominance to contemporary international relations. Gilpin makes use of E.H Carr’s argument that control

within a system is supplied by the states that have power to do so, in supporting his argument. Gilpin uses this argument to elaborate on how the distribution of power is a key factor which determines who controls the international system.

Gilpin goes on to discuss the second assumption in the next section of the book. The assumption is “A state will seek to change the international system through territorial, political and economic expansion until the marginal costs of further changes are equal to or greater than the marginal benefits.” (Gilpin, page 106). Similar to the first assumption, Gilpin supports this assumption through realistic examples. He also provides mathematical and graphical examples to support the assumption. Gilpin uses a U-shaped cost curve as a tool to explain why the greatest empires have collapsed, and cease to exist today. There are a few inaccuracies in Gilpin’s discussion of support for his second assumption. Gilpin fails to answer why certain nations such as the U.S have continued to expand despite the argument that is presented. He also fails to acknowledge how technological innovations have played an important role in expansion and have helped nations to avoid the rise in marginal costs that would normally arise due to expansion.

As Gilpin goes on to discuss the third assumption, his background view of international relations becomes clear. It is easy to see from the arguments that he views international relations and international politics from a realistic standpoint. This standpoint carries on for the next assumption in the third section. In this section Gilpin argues that “Once a nation reaches equilibrium between the costs and benefits of further expansion, the tendency is for the economic costs of maintaining the status quo to rise faster than the economic capacity to support the status quo.” (Gilpin, page 157). Gilpin uses a similar approach to argue the importance of his assumption by using an economic growth curve. The economic growth curve provides the reader with a logical and illustrative understanding of how the assumption holds true. He adapts the economic growth curve from Harvey Leibenstein and uses it to analyze a few key historical examples that support the assumption, such as the Roman Empire. “In the later Roman Empire taxation reached such heights that land was abandoned and many peasants, after paying their rents or taxes, had too little food left to nourish their children.” (Gilpin, page 164).

In the final section, Gilpin analyzes the final assumption that “If the disequilibrium in the international system is not resolved, then the system will be changed, and a new equilibrium reflecting the redistribution of power will be established.”(Gilpin, page 186). Gilpin’s approach to citing examples as to why this assumption holds true and supports the argument is similar in the other sections. Gilpin uses the book The Rise and Fall of Civilization by Shepard Clough to support the argument that rising states attempt to change rules governing the international system. “At least in all cases which we have passed cultures with inferior civilization but with growing economic power have always attacked the most civilized cultures during the latter’s economic decline. (Gilpin, page 187). Gilpin uses the example of the war between the U.S colonists and the British, to support his argument that a system will undergo change if the system is experiencing disequilibrium. Gilpin provides examples of how nations have attempted to restore equilibrium. The examples provided are easy to follow and effective in providing the reader with an understanding of how certain nations have reached an equilibrium state throughout history.
Throughout the book, Gilpin provides 4 assumptions that are presented with many examples, all in a clear and concise manner. His method of providing the reader with an understanding of how the assumption holds weight and supports the main argument is clear, concise and easy to understand. His use of mathematical and graphical models to provide the reader with examples as to how the assumption holds merit is effective. As the book progresses, Gilpin’s stance on world politics becomes that of a concerned one. Towards the end of the book Gilpin resonates with a fear of China’s growth as compared to the U.S in international dominance. He uses his assumptions made throughout the book and applies them to the current political and economical situation that the U.S and China are facing. One assumption he uses to explain and support the argument of China outgrowing U.S internationally is the assumption included in section 3; once an equilibrium between the costs and benefits of further change and expansion is reached, the tendency is for the economic costs of maintaining the status quo to rise faster than the economic capacity to support the status quo. He uses that assumption to explain how China’s rise in economic expansion will surpass that of the U.S. “Observers see other superpowers emerging that may eventually take their places beside the United States, such as China, India and a united Western Europe.” (Gilpin, page 229). This contemporary example of the U.S and China’s positions in international politics is effective in engaging the reader and supporting the main argument.

The ideas presented in this book can best be absorbed by realists. The argument for each assumption is made in a realist, almost pessimistic standpoint. The way Gilpin addresses each assumption is in an implicitly rationalistic manner. He provides many examples of historical evidence for each assumption as well as a concise and realistic approach that many would find easy to understand and consult upon. The book succeeds in supporting the argument that inevitably every international nation no matter how dominant will lose power, with another nation taking its place. The title of the book does an excellent job of summarizing the book and its main arguments. Each section corresponds with and supports the main argument that is made. Gilpin provides a contemporary example of nations undergoing changes in world politics, by comparing the international political and economic status of China and the U.S. This example is excellent as it still holds true to many of the assumptions that were presented in the book. Overall this book was successful in developing a coherent argument that was supported in many different ways.

NJIT

War and Change in World Politics Book Review

Bohdan Wasyliszyn
History 404-101 War and Misperception
Dr. K. Schweizer
October 21, 2014

Work Cited
Gilpin, Robert.”War and Change in World Politics.” Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1981. Print.

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