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Poll Results Week Three

This week’s poll is from the ABC News Poll: History’s a Positive for Clinton; Not So much for Bush or Romney. This poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Jan. 12-15, 2015, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including 843 registered voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 and 4 points for the general population and registered voters, respectively, including design effect. Partisan divisions are 30-24-37 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents among the general population, 33-26-33 percent among registered voters. Scope: The potential for Hillary Clinton to run for President is evident now moreso than ever for the next election. In a hypothetical head-to-head early matchup against five other opponents she leads in the polls. The national survey has Clinton being supported by 53 to 56 percent of registered voters. One of the cited reasons for this is that her husband is a former President and she has a significantly strong political base than her GOP peers. With a 13-point margin voters stipulate they would support Clinton primarily due to her status as the potential first female President. Voters tend to get behind individuals that are trying to create history (Langer, 2015).
Clinton’s current base is like cement where she is backed by nine out of ten Democrats that are registered to vote. Due to President Obama’s financial recovery for the country Clinton has an overwhelming amount of support from voters that see income inequality as a major issue. Women also favor Clinton 20 to 24 point margins, men by non-significant 2 to 7 point margins. Clinton also appears to have a strong base with minorities, and adults under 40 and lower-income voters. Keep in mind early matchups are a bit unreliable until the actual election period, as campaigns make a significant

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