...Assignment 1 The key elements of music are a holistic approach towards child development. It develops the whole spectrum of student’s intellect, which involves knowledge, skills, attitude, feeling and sense. When a student listens to music, it develops skills in concentration, identifies patterns, and hears detail and reflects upon what is heard. I believe all these disciplines are necessary to be a good learner. Listening and singing helps to develop long and short-term memory. I have experienced this with a kindergarten student who was struggling to count to 20. As soon as the student was introduced with a counting song, she was very quick at learning the numbers because she sung numbers to tune. I think music also helps to develop visual skills and to think in abstract form as well. Singing also extends literacy skills such as pronunciation of words or articulation of phrases. However, when singing, teacher need to consider the literacy level of the class, that is how well students can sing the words. When students have difficulty with words while singing they are the ones having the trouble with tune and pitch of a song. Therefore it is very important to learn the songs. I think teaching singing is like teaching any other curriculum area. Teaching and learning to sing may sound or look simple but making students to understand and know the pitch, pattern and rhythm can be challenging. Therefore it needs to be explicitly taught, step-by-step, if one has to be successful...
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...40 | 55.5 | 39th to 40th | 49-55 | 3 | 38 | 48.5 | 36th to 38th | 42-48 | 7 | 35 | 41.5 | 29th to 35th | 35-41 | 2 | 28 | 34.5 | 27th to 28th | 28-34 | 7 | 26 | 27.5 | 20th to 26th | 21-27 | 11 | 19 | 20.5 | 9th to 19th | 14-20 | 8 | 8 | 13.5 | 1st to 8th | Mode= lbmo+ (d1) w = 20.5+(11-8)7 =20.5+(3)7 (d1+d2) (11-8)+(11-7) 3+4 = 20.5+3 Mode=23.5 Measures of Variability 1. Range:60-17=43 Range= 43 2. MAD= Classes | F | x | fx | x-x̄ | lx-x̄l | flx-x̄l | 56-62 | 2 | 59 | 118 | 26.95 | 26.95 | 53.9 | 49-55 | 3 | 52 | 156 | 19.95 | 19.95 | 59.85 | 42-48 | 7 | 45 | 315 | 12.95 | 12.95 | 90.65 | 35-41 | 2 | 38 | 76 | 5.95 | 5.95 | 11.9 | 28-34 | 7 | 31 | 217 | -1.05 | 1.05 | 7.35 | 21-27 | 11 | 24 | 264 | -8.05 | 8.05 | 88.55 | 14-20 | 8 | 17...
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...GERENCIA DE INVENTARIOS (2) 1 Introducción • Los pronósticos son el paso previo a la planeación • Se deben estimar las condiciones que pueden existir en el futuro • Algunos factores que pueden afectar son: – Condiciones generales de la economía y los negocios – Factores competitivos – Tendencias del mercado – Planes propios de publicidad, mercadeo, precio y cambios sobre los productos (B/S) Pronósticos • Predicción futuros de eventos – Planeación de Producción – Planeación Financiera – Control de Procesos – Planeación de Inversiones – Planeación de actividades de servicio – Administración de Inventarios Principios de los pronósticos • Casi siempre están errados. • Siempre se debe incluir una medida de error. • Los pronósticos son más acertados para datos agrupados. • Los pronósticos son más acertados para periodos más próximos. • Se debe considerar la clasificación ABC Pasos 1. Definir el objetivo de los pronósticos 2. Recopilar y depurar los datos 3. Identificar los factores básicos que influencian el pronóstico 4. Determinar la técnica apropiada de pronósticos y sus parámetros correspondientes 5. Establecer el desempeño del pronóstico Definición del objetivo (1) ¿Para qué va a utilizar la información? Caso • Estratégico, largo plazo • Táctico, mediano plazo • Operativo, corto plazo Pronósticos de Demanda!! Definición del objetivo (2) Elementos de tiempo de un sistema de pronósticos: • Período...
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...Practice Problems: Chapter 4, Forecasting Problem 1: Auto sales at Carmen’s Chevrolet are shown below. Develop a 3-week moving average. |Week |Auto Sales | |1 |8 | |2 |10 | |3 |9 | |4 |11 | |5 |10 | |6 |13 | |7 |- | Problem 2: Carmen’s decides to forecast auto sales by weighting the three weeks as follows: |Weights Applied |Period | |3 |Last week | |2 |Twoweeks ago | |1 |Three weeks ago | |6 |Total | Problem 3: A firm uses simple exponential smoothing with [pic] to forecast demand. The forecast for the week of January 1 was 500 units whereas the actual demand turned out to be 450 units. Calculate the demand forecast for the week of January 8. Problem 4: Exponential smoothing is used to forecast automobile battery sales. Two value of [pic] are examined, [pic] and [pic] Evaluate the accuracy of each smoothing constant. Which is preferable? (Assume the forecast for January was 22 batteries.) Actual sales are given below: |Month |Actual |Forecast | | |Battery Sales| | |January |20 |22 | |February |21 | | |March |15 | | ...
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...Operation Management – Forecasting Outline: * * Global Company Profile: Tupperware Corporation * What Is Forecasting? * Forecasting Time Horizons * The Influence of Product Life Cycle * Types Of Forecasts * The Strategic Importance Of Forecasting * Human Resources * Capacity * Supply-Chain Management * Seven Steps In The Forecasting System * Time-series Forecasting * Decomposition of a Time Series * Naïve Approach * Moving Averages * Exponential Smoothing * Exponential Smoothing with Trend Adjustment * Trend Projections * Seasonal Variations in Data * Cyclical Variations in Data * Associative Forecasting Methods: Regression And Correlation Analysis * Using Regression Analysis to Forecast * Standard Error of the Estimate * Correlation Coefficients for Regression Lines * Multiple-Regression Analysis * Monitoring And Controlling Forecasts * Adaptive Smoothing * Focus Forecasting * Forecasting In The Service Sector Learning Objectives When you complete this chapter, you should be able to: Identify or Define: * Forecasting * Types of forecasts * Time horizons * Approaches to forecasts Describe or Explain: * Moving averages * Exponential smoothing * Trend projections * Regression and correlation analysis * Measures of forecast accuracy Forecasting at Tupperware Tupperware...
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...=(12/2+(12+2)/2)/2 =6.5th position 6th +7th /2=25 Mode: The mode of these percentage assessment rates is 22. Midhinge : =(Q1+Q3)/2 =(22+31)/2 =26.5 Midrange: =(Highest data+lowest data)/2 =(21+36)/2 =28.5 Harmonic mean: H=12/(1/21+1/22+1/22+1/22+1/22+1/23+1/27+1/28+1/29+1/33+1/36+1/36) =12/0.466008157 =25.75 Geometric mean: G=√(12&21*22*22*22*22*23*27*28*29*33*36*36) =26.23 Range: Maximum data-minimum data 36-21=15 IQR: =Quartile3 –Quartile 1 =9 Population Variance: σ^2=(∑_(i=1)^N▒〖(x-μ)〗^2 )/N =354.2525/12 =29.52 Sample variance: s^2=(∑_(i=1)^n▒(x-x ̅ )^2 )/(n-1) =354.2525/(12-1) =32.20 Population Standard Deviation: σ=√((∑_(i=1)^N▒(x-μ)^2 )/N) =5.43 Sample Standard Deviation: s=√((∑_(i=1)^n▒(x-x ̅ )^2 )/(n-1)) =5.67 Mean Absolute Deviation(MAD): Population Co-efficient of Variation: = σ/μ*100 =20.31 Sample Co-efficient of Variation: =s/□(←┬x )*100 = 21.21 x μ 〖(x-μ)〗^ 〖(x-μ)〗^2 21 26.75 -5.75 33.0625 22 26.75 22.5625 22 26.75 22.5625 22 26.75 22.5625 22 26.75 22.5625 23 26.75 14.0625 27 26.75 0.0625 28 26.75 1.5625 29 26.75 5.0625 33 26.75 39.0625 36 26.75 85.5625 36 26.75 85.5625...
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...(Refurbished) Item#: I69-3770K RF | Model#: BX80667i73770K Be the first to write a review Available While Supplies Last (Details) $287.96 2. Case: | Cooler Master HAF 912 RC-912-KKN1 Mid-Tower Computer Case - ATX, mATX, 4 x 5.25" Drive Bays, 7 x 3.5" Drive Bays, 2 x USB 2.0 Ports, 2 x Audio Ports, Water Cooling outletsItem#: C283-2094 | Model#: RC-912-KKN1 Bottom of Form Price: $59.99 3. Power Supply: | Corsair CMPSU-750TXV2 Enthusiast Series TX750 V2 Power Supply - 750 Watts, ATX, 140mm Fan, 80 Plus Bronze, SLI Ready, Active PFCItem#: C13-2802 | Model#: CP-9020042-NA Price: $119.99 4. Mother Board: | * LGA 1155 / Socket H2 * G452-2363 GIGABYTE GA-Z77X-UD3H Intel 7 Series Motherboard - ATX, Socket H2 (LGA1155), Intel Z77 Express, 1600MHz DDR3, SATA III (6Gb/s), RAID, 8-Ch Audio, Gigabit LAN, USB 3.0, PCIe 3.0, CrossFireX/SLIItem#: G452-2363 | Model#: GA-Z77X-UD3H Price: $14499 5. Hard Drive: | Samsung 840 Pro Series MZ-7PD256BW 256GB Solid State Drive - 2.5" Form Factor, SATA III, 540MB/s Read Speed, 520MB/s Write SpeedItem#: S203-8008 | Model#: MZ-7PD256BW 5.0 Read reviews (3) | Write a review Price: $23999 6. RAM: | Corsair Vengeance CMZ16GX3M2A1600C10B 16GB Desktop Memory Module Kit - DDR3, 2 x 8GB, Dual Channel, 240 Pin, DIMM, 1.5V, PC3-12800, 1600MHz, XMP...
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...PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT BUS3020 COURSE CONTENT WEEK THREE TOPIC: FORECASTING • Different Methods of Forecasting – Formal and Informal, • Qualitative and Quantitative Methods • Causal methods auto projection methods of forecasting. What is forecasting? Forecasting is the art and science of predicting future events. As a science it uses historical data and projects them into the future using mathematical models. As an art it uses intuition or judgment to predict the future. Why forecast? Done to minimize uncertainty and evaluate risk relating to future events caused by dynamism of the environment within which organizations operate. Such dynamisms includes: a) Changes in legislation b) Stiff competition c) Demographic changes. Forecasting is important for planning and control of functional areas such as; marketing, finance, operations e.t.c.In the public sector, forecasts are used to plan on: Health, Education, Social services e.t.c. Types of forecasts • Demand forecasts – projections of demand for a company’s products or services. • Economic forecasts – predicts inflation rates, money supplies e.t.c • Technological forecasts.- concerned with the rate of technological progress. Forecasting Horizons a) Short – range forecasts: Covers from a few days to 6 months. It concerns issues like purchase forecasts, job scheduling, workforce levels, job assignments, production levels e.t.c. b) Medium range forecasts: Covers usually from 3 months...
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...Proton R&D Plan Storage Ring EDM Collaboration, 18 Nov. 2009 7. Spin Coherence Time (C.J.G. Onderwater) Overview The sensitivity with which an EDM can be sought for is to a good approximation given by sd ∝ 1 PE N T tot A Here P is the (transverse) polarization of the beam at the time of injection, E the effective electric field, N the number of particles stored per fill, Ttot the total running time of the experiment, τ a characteristic time scale and A the analyzing power of the polarimeter. The characteristic timescale depends on the lifetime of the beam in the storage ring, tbeam, which is predominantly determined by the extraction towards the polarimeter, and the polarization lifetime tpol. Given a polarization lifetime the former can be tuned to yield optimal sensitivity, typically tbeam≈2tpol. In this case τ is proportional to tpol. The sensitivity is thus inversely proportional to (the square-root of) the polarization lifetime. Maximization of tpol thus optimizes the sensitivity of the experiment. The proposed experimental sensitivity is based on a projected polarization lifetime of 1000 seconds, i.e. 108−109 particle revolutions. Such lifetimes are routinely achieved for the polarization component perpendicular to the beam orbit plane, i.e. parallel to the invariant spin field. This relies on the use of snakes, spin rotators, etc. Little experience is available with transversely polarized beams. Notable examples are the muon g-2 experiment at BNL...
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...L A R I T Y Use of facts and data to support development of logical argument Coalition Mobilization of other people in the organization Ingratiation Use of impression management, flattery, and creation of goodwill Bargaining Use of negotiation through the exchange of benefits or favours Use of a direct and forceful approach Gaining support of higher levels in Higher authority the organization to backup request Assertiveness Sanctions Use of organizationally derived rewards and punishments GOOD ARGUMENT “ arguments are at the heart of the power model and their quality is critical to their acceptance ” Parkin, page 205 REASONED ARGUMENT MUST BE LOGICAL FA LL AC IES FALLACIE S FALLACIES ES FALLACI Common errors in logic Over Generalisation Begging the Question Getting Personal Undefined Terms False Non-sequitur Appeal to Emotive Cause- Effect (It does not Follow) the Crowd Language False Reasoning False Dilemma Appeal to Composition/ Authority Division from Analogy Complex Questions Arguments from Ignorance Appeal to Sympathy Common Errors in Logic Over Generalisation False Cause- Effect False Reasoning from Analogy As a member of this masters program you must have a degree Over Generalisation False Cause- Effect Mary is an Engineer False Reasoning from Analogy She must be struggling financially ...
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...Appendix B: Instructor’s Manual Assignments (with Solutions) using the Movie Data Accompanying Article Available at http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v17n1/mclaren.html Note to Instructors: Our students, like many introductory business statistics students, have access to SPSS and Minitab so in most cases these exercises provide specific instructions for these two packages. We have also included instructions for Excel 2007. While we are cognizant of the issues with using Excel for statistical analyses, we also realize its simplicity for basic functions such as graphing, and we use it in our classes along with Minitab and SPSS because we feel that business students should be proficient in its use. We used SPSS version 15, Minitab version 15, and Excel 2007 to write the following instructions. If your students will be using other versions of these softwares or if you prefer that your students use different statistical software, you will need to edit the instructions accordingly before distributing to your students. Exercise 1: Data Retrieval and Graphing Learning Objectives: 1. Locate and retrieve data from a web site. 2. Place retrieved data into Excel and format appropriately. (This step is recommended because the format from the website is not easily imported directly into SPSS and Minitab). 3. Create and format a time series plot in SPSS, Minitab, Excel or other software. Instructions for the students: For this exercise you will use movie box office...
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...ANSWERS TO CASES Chapter 1 DiGiorno Pizza: Introducing a Frozen Pizza to Compete with Carry-Out In conducting research for the launching of a new product it is imperative that the target population be identified. In this case, who are the people most likely to be interested in purchasing and consuming frozen pizzas in lieu of carry-out pizzas? How are these people to be identified for sampling (Chapter 7 refers to this group as the “frame”)? Should a test market city or area be used? Why or why not? What mode of survey such as telephone, mail, or personal interview should be used? When should these people be surveyed? Does time of day, day of the week, or season of the year make any difference? What types of measurements should be taken? Some possible measurements might include dollar amounts spent per week of pizza per family, number of pizzas purchased per month, percentage of family pizza consumption that is frozen pizza, and total amount spent per month on take out food. 1. One population that was identified was “pizza lovers”. These people may have been previously identified by market researchers based on number of pizzas purchased per month, use of coupons, or from previous surveys. Another population mentioned in the case was women ages 25 to 54. The advertisements shown on national TV were likely aimed at the general population because Kraft was attempting to achieve broader goals such as brand name recognition and a dissemination...
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...Let’s Get Better in Reading Learner‟s Materials 3 This instructional material was collaboratively developed and reviewed by educators from public and private schools, colleges, and or/universities. We encourage teachers and other education stakeholders to email their feedback, comments, and recommendations to the Department of Education at action@deped.gov.ph. We value your feedback and recommendations. Department of Education Republic of the Philippines i Let’s Get Better in Reading – Grade 3 Learner’s Materials First Edition, 2014 ISBN: Republic Act 8293, section 176 states that: No copyright shall subsist in any work of Government of the Philippines. However, prior approval of the government agency or office wherein the work is created shall be necessary for exploitation of such work for profit. Such agency or office may, among other things, impose as a condition the payment of royalties. Borrowed materials (i.e., songs, stories, poems, picture, photos, brand, names, trademarks, etc.) included in this book are owned by their respective copyright owners. The publisher and authors do not represent nor claim ownership over them. Publisher by the Department of Education Secretary: Br. Armin A. Luistro FSC Undersecretary: Dina S. Ocampo, Ph.D. Development Team of the Learner’s Material Reviewers: Nemah N. Hermosa, Roderick M. Aguirre, Merry Ruth Gutierrez, Felicidad Pado, Ma. Lourdes Tayao Mil Flores Ponciano, Esperanza Diaz- Cruz, Ana Lou Caspi, Criselda DG Ocang...
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... well before even thinking about trying to select any other company, even if they can do the same things that we do. In other words, draw out all of our strong points, versus the competition's weaker ones, and also instill a sense of urgency so that they want to act now. Since we are an everything type of store, we wanted an affinity to connect all of our associations, with something that was easily recognized in a familiar sort of way. Furthermore, as well as find a method, to instantly tie our company name with reliability, quality, trust worthiness, as well as an old world feel, that our vendors, partners and customers alike, would respect and appreciate. Hence, we chose the Alice in Wonderland party Theme, complete with the Mad Hatter, Alice and all the other zany characters to act as an Avatar, Name, Logo, Slogan and Product extension all rolled up in to one. For us, it just seems perfect. It's wild, its familiar, it's trusted, and it's etched into the hearts and minds of folks everywhere, very much like an old school nursery rhyme, that we all learned way back when. So, our theme should help broadcast who and where we are located, what types of products and services (Hartnett,...
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...Best Device for Your Needs Introduction to Computer and Network Hardware: ITCO103 - 1401A – 01 IP 1 Best Device for Your Needs Many people are updating their smartphones, laptops and desktops. There are so many options to choose from brand, size and performance. This paper will discuss and compare some of today’s best bargain laptops and computers that will also offer some of today’s most updated software and features. I will also discuss two of the most popular smartphones comparing and contrasting each devices features. While shopping on the internet for the best computer system I had hundreds of choices. I decided to narrow my choices down by picking a device that had all the features I needed in a computer system, but had a reasonable price tag for a full time worker and a part time student budget. The best option for me is the Dell Inspiron 660, and the Canon PIXMA MG2220 all-n-one printer it has all the features and needs that I would need in a personal home desktop system. The price point for this desktop is around $529.00. This device can be purchased at Wal-Mart, Best Buy, and Hhgreeg making it accessible to most for in store purchase. This desktop is also available for purchase online as well from the dell website directly for the price listed above. The system software consists of OS Provided Microsoft Windows 7 Home Premium 64-bit Edition. The system setup specs...
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