Confirmation Bias

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    surface of this behemoth, teasing out a couple biases will make for a viable illustration and application of the concepts and issues we have discussed thus far in class. The bias that caused the most havoc in this lending crisis scenario was articulated beautifully by Bazarman and Moore as The Confirmation Trap. The Confirmation Trap boils down to whether or not a person merely searches for data that supports the decision they wish to make rather than looking for proper, empirical data to prove the

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    Superstition

    Superstition “is a belief, half-belief, or practice for which there appears to be no rational substance.” People tend to believe that they have their own certain knowledge or evidence that supports religious beliefs or philosophical reasoning’s. This leads people into believing that they have more control than the reality and actuality of all situations and circumstances. Many customs that we take for granted as being a “normal” part of our culture have actually evolved from superstitious beliefs

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    Mount Everest Case Study

    1. Hall and Fischer both made statements that exhibited overconfidence. These beliefs lead to an autocratic leadership style which was initially exhibited both by Hall and Fischer. They provided clear expectations to their clients for what needed to be done, when it should be done, and how it should be done. (Bolden, Gosling, etc. 2003). There was a clear division between the leader and the followers. Due to this leadership, Boukreev, Krakauer and several other climbers worried about the success

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    Sunk Costs and Biases

    Sunk Costs and Biases I believe that all personal bias comes with a common set of language and behaviors that cross racial, ethnic and gender based structures. Bias is created by a real life experience and contains both a mindset and associated behavioral characteristics. Personal bias is infused in every organization through the connection of the people that provide the services. Biases result when an individual inappropriately applies a heuristic, (Bazerman and Moore

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    Sherwin Nuland The Doctor's Plague

    The books The Doctor’s Plague by Sherwin Nuland and The Ghost Map by Steven Johnson both tell stories of devastating epidemics in an age before the advantages of modern medicine. Today, medicine seems very scientific – doctors test treatments, gather data, and run experiments before a new drug or treatment is deemed safe and effective enough for widespread use. Modern doctors train for years before they begin practicing and benefit from the vast body of medical knowledge collected over centuries

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    Notes

    6/30/2014   2   The science of Decision-making 1   6/30/2014   3   Speed ventures Instructions   Get  into  groups   Reach  a  group  decision  to  race  or  not  race   Assumptions   Speed  Ventures  gets  to  keep  the  oil  contract  except  if  the   engine  blows   Goodstone  has  given  $40,000  for  the  Pocono  Race,     But  your  racing  teams  gets  1  Million  if  you  finish  in  top  5   Rules   You  have  30  minutes  to  reach  a  decision   Person  with  most

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    Eyewitness Identification Case Study

    In doing so, words or gestures made by administrator will not influence the identification process because he or she does not know the possible suspect. Thus, problems arising from response bias and confirmation bias will be significantly diminished. Lastly, the confidence of information would be much less contaminated if it were asked right after the identification process rather than during the formal trial. In terms of memory alteration, the eyewitnesses

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    Behavioural Finance

    A Behavioural Finance view of the Deepwater Horizon Disaster of 2010 INTRODUCTION The Deepwater Horizon disaster of 2010 was the largest accidental marine oil spill the oil industry has ever seen. It claimed 11 lives and caused huge environmental damage on the shoreline of the Gulf of Mexico by discharging circa 4.9 million barrels of oil. There have been numerous enquiries and studies into the accident to try to understand what happened, the goal of the enquiries was to establish where the fault

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    Essay

    necessary, the company will break the rules on the auditing. The big companies must be conducted by the outside independent auditor teams for auditing their financial statements. In view of the fact that avoid any appearance of impropriety or inside bias. When the companies are permitted to audit their own books or statements by their internal auditors, it will lead to serious problem, like breaking the accounting rule, being in prison. For example, some employees avoid being laid off, they will help

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    Questionnaire

    information that confirms your stereotypes than evidence that challenges them. People tend to process information in ways that verify existing beliefs. This is known as the confirmation bias (the tendency to seek, interpret, and create information that verifies existing beliefs). | ______ | You tend to have a false consensus bias by believing that most other people share your stereotypes (see poor people as being lazy). You tend to see your own behavior and judgments as quite common and appropriate

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