Gambler S Fallacy

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    Logic & Fallacies

    INTRODUCTION LAW FOUNDATION LAW AND … 1. LOGIC 2. SCIENCE 3. THEORY 4. SOCIAL PROBLEMS LAW FOUNDATION Critical = informed and logical Responsible = social equity Creative = independent and considered Interrelations -- with other disciplines and institutions Historical, philosophical, economic, political and social context == acquaintance with historical development of theory Contemporary social issues: · Terrorism · Refugees · Crime and punishment

    Words: 2057 - Pages: 9

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    Behavioural Finance

    maximizers". However, there are many instances where emotion and psychology influence our decisions, causing us to behave in unpredictable or irrational ways. Asians in general suffer from cognitive biases, more so than Westerners, often being viewed as ‘Gamblers. Behavioral finance is a relatively new field that seeks to combine behavioral and cognitive psychological theory with conventional economics and finance to provide explanations for why people make irrational financial decisions .It calls for investigation

    Words: 899 - Pages: 4

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    Investor Irrationality and Self Defeating Behavior

    A Critical Analysis of: Investor Irrationality and Self-Defeating Behavior FIN645 Introduction For many years, finance traditionalists have held on to the theory that markets are efficient and that prices correctly reflect the information available to the market as a whole. This has come to be known as the efficient market hypothesis which was originally postulated by Eugene Fama in 1965. After a thorough statistical study of the movements of investment prices Fama concluded

    Words: 2510 - Pages: 11

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    Behavioural Finance and the Psychology of Investing

    CHAPTER 9 Behavioural Finance and the Psychology of Investing “The investor’s chief problem, and even his worst enemy, is likely to be himself.” —Benjamin Graham “There are three factors that influence the market: Fear, Greed, and Greed.” —Market folklore Be honest: Do you think of yourself as a better than average driver? If you do, you are not alone. About 80 percent of the people who are asked this question will say yes. Evidently, we tend to overestimate our abilities behind the wheel

    Words: 17663 - Pages: 71

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    Kiki

    THE B L A C K SWAN The HIGHLY I mpact IM of the PROBABLE Nassim Nicholas Taleb U.S.A. $26.95 Canada $34.95 is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpre­ dictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9 / 1 1 . For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie

    Words: 158140 - Pages: 633

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    Legman Brothers

    Working Paper Series Fall of Lehman Brothers – reasons why the failure could not be stopped Arif Ahmed South Asian Management Technologies Foundation August, 2011 1 Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................................................ 3 Background....................................................................................................................................... 4 Genesis

    Words: 6494 - Pages: 26

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    Strategy Notes

    Lecture 1 Ten school´s one word definitions Design: Spider Plan: squirrel Position: position How should I approach (positioning school) Vision: wolf, I have a vision Perception: Owl, Patterns: Monkey, Agenda: Lion, Belief: Peacock, Response: Ostrich, Stage: Chameleon, Timeline of the ten schools Planning and design school came in the 70-80´s. Then Porter came with the positioning school in the 90´s. Why ten schools? Organizations vary and change greatly, so we need more

    Words: 2912 - Pages: 12

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    Power of Logic

    The Power of Logic The Power of Logic FOU RTH E DITION Frances Howard-Snyder Daniel Howard-Snyder Ryan Wasserman WESTERN WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY Published by McGraw-Hill, an imprint of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1221 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10020. Copyright © 2009, 2005, 2002, 1999, by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system

    Words: 173379 - Pages: 694

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    Loyalty

    expression which gives the sum of four rolls of a die. To do this, we could let Xi , i = 1, 2, 3, 4, represent the values of the outcomes of the four rolls, and then we could write the expression X 1 + X 2 + X 3 + X4 for the sum of the four rolls. The Xi ’s are called random variables. A random variable is simply an expression whose value is the outcome of a particular experiment. Just as in the case of other types of variables in mathematics, random variables can take on different values. Let X be the random

    Words: 16766 - Pages: 68

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    Corporate Spys

    Behavioral Finance: Anomalies 4) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Anchoring 5) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Mental Accounting 6) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Confirmation and Hindsight Bias 7) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Gambler's Fallacy 8) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Herd Behavior 9) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Overconfidence 10) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Overreactions and Availability Bias 11) Behavioral Finance: Key Concepts - Prospect Theory 12) Behavioral

    Words: 8866 - Pages: 36

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