The Hindsight Bias

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    Main Idead

    1 Marks: 1 Which of the following statements is true regarding the effect of group cohesiveness and performance norms on group productivity? Choose one answer. | a. When both cohesiveness and performance norms are high, productivity will be high. | Studies consistently show that the relationship between cohesiveness and productivity depends on the group's performance-related norms. If performance-related norms are high, a cohesive group will be more productive than will a less cohesive

    Words: 9674 - Pages: 39

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    Thinking Fast and Slow

    In memory of Amos Tversky Contents Introduction Part I. Two Systems 1. The Characters of the Story 2. Attention and Effort 3. The Lazy Controller 4. The Associative Machine 5. Cognitive Ease 6. Norms, Surprises, and Causes 7. A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions 8. How Judgments Happen 9. Answering an Easier Question Part II. Heuristics and Biases 10. The Law of Small Numbers 11. Anchors 12. The Science of Availability 13. Availability, Emotion, and Risk 14. Tom W’s Specialty 15. Linda:

    Words: 189666 - Pages: 759

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    Mansuto

    Ethics and the Conduct of Business, 7/e Boatright ©2012 / ISBN: 9780205053131 Chapter begins on next page > PLEASE NOTE: This sample chapter was prepared in advance of book publication. Additional changes may appear in the published book. To request an examination copy or for additional information, please visit us at www.pearsonhighered.com or contact your Pearson representative at www.pearsonhighered.com/replocator. C H A P T E R 1 Ethics in the World of Business Listen to

    Words: 14520 - Pages: 59

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    Herd Behavior

    THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LVI, NO. 4 • AUGUST 2001 Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing DAVID HIRSHLEIFER* ABSTRACT The basic paradigm of asset pricing is in vibrant f lux. The purely rational approach is being subsumed by a broader approach based upon the psychology of investors. In this approach, security expected returns are determined by both risk and misvaluation. This survey sketches a framework for understanding decision biases, evaluates the a priori arguments and the capital

    Words: 33427 - Pages: 134

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    Introduction to Management

    LECTURE OUTLINE 1. What is an Organisation? 2. Who Are Managers? Chapter 1 Introduction to Management and Organizations 3. What Is Management? 4. What Do Managers Do? 5. Evolution of Management 6. Why study Management? 1 What Is An Organization? 2 Characteristics of Organizations • An Organization Defined –A deliberate arrangement of people to accomplish some specific purpose (that individuals independently could not accomplish alone). 3 Who Are Managers?

    Words: 9830 - Pages: 40

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    The Hubris Hypothesis of Corporate Takeovers

    The Hubris Hypothesis of Corporate Takeovers Author(s): Richard Roll Source: The Journal of Business, Vol. 59, No. 2, Part 1 (Apr., 1986), pp. 197-216 Published by: The University of Chicago Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2353017 Accessed: 10/02/2010 10:10 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless

    Words: 8676 - Pages: 35

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    Japan Economics

    the addition of more figures. The core analysis and most of the calculatioins remain the same. Smitka / The End of Growth v2 May 23, 2003 Page 1 I. Introduction I argue below that Japan’s economy will not grow again, and that (with hindsight) this should not be surprising. First, Japan has matured, to the point where its labor force is in decline. Such an economy is unlikely to grow in absolute terms. Second, that maturation occurred in a short span of time, resulting in large structural

    Words: 9963 - Pages: 40

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    Finance

    Please cite this paper as: Antolin, P. (2008), "Pension Fund Performance", OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions, No. 20, OECD publishing, © OECD. doi:10.1787/240401404057 OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions No. 20 Pension Fund Performance Pablo Antolin* JEL Classification: C80, G11, G23 * OECD, France PENSION FUND PERFORMANCE Pablo Antolin August 2008 OECD WORKING PAPER ON INSURANCE AND PRIVATE PENSIONS No. 20 ———————————————————————————————————————

    Words: 9352 - Pages: 38

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    Risk Management

    Manage risk Every business faces risks that could present threats to its success. Risk is defined as the probability of an event and its consequences. Risk management is the practice of using processes, methods and tools for managing these risks. Risk management focuses on identifying what could go wrong, evaluating which risks should be dealt with and implementing strategies to deal with those risks. Businesses that have identified the risks will be better prepared and have a more cost-effective

    Words: 3682 - Pages: 15

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    After Bailout

    AFTER THE BAILOUT: REGULATING SYSTEMIC MORAL HAZARD* Karl S. Okamoto ** How do we prevent excessive risk taking in the financial markets? This Essay offers a strategy for regulating financial markets to better prevent the kind of disaster we saw during the Financial Crisis of 2008. By developing a model of risk-manager decisionmaking, this Essay illustrates how even “good people” acting in utterly rational and expected ways brought us into economic turmoil. The assertion of this Essay is that

    Words: 26469 - Pages: 106

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