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Decision of Uncertanty

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Submitted By jada1105
Words 973
Pages 4
decision of uncertainty:
Introduction:
The chosen scenario in this case is an investment decision, the paper assumes that a business is faced with a decision to invest in municipal bonds available in the market, two municipal bonds with the highest yield to maturity are considered from yahoo finance (2010) and they include Jefferson county bonds and Columbia Ballpark bonds. The following is a discussion on the appropriate decision to be made given that the firm wants to invest in bonds that will yield higher returns and also have lower risk levels, whereby the level of risk is indicated by bond rating.
Research:
Given that the firm wants to invest in five year municipal bonds and that it has to choose only one bond then information regarding al the three bonds were collected, yahoo finance contained information about bonds and after researching on the available five year bonds issued by Jefferson country (IMP)and Columbia Ballpark bonds had the highest yield to maturity value, the following is summary of the information retrieved:
The Jefferson County (IMP) bond rating is CCC, YTM value is 9.465%, coupon rate is paid semi annually and the value is 5% and finally the price is $80.71. Columbia ballpark bond which is a 5 year bond and the rating of this bond is AA, YTM value is 3.766%, coupon rate is paid semi annually and the value is 5.00% and finally the price is $106.07.
Ratings are important in that they provide information regarding the probability that the issuers of the bond will default, there are a number of organizations that rate bonds and they include S$P, Moody and Fitch, in this paper these ratings were retrieved from Moody (2009) website and the following table summarizes the probabilities that the different bond rates will default: municipal default rates DEFUALT RATE (5 YEAR)
AAA 0.0000%
AA 0.0467%
A 0.0230%
BAA 0.1350%
BA

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