...The impacts on the depreciation of Japanese yen According to the China Economic Net (2013), Japan's latest move to reeve up its economy by weakening the yen has raised some concerns that might hurt its Asian neighbours especially the emerging economies in the region. If the yen continues to fall and the US launches further rounds of quantitative easing, hot money is expected to flood into Asia and other emerging countries. From a long-term perspective, Japan's emergency stimulus package cannot only cause inflation in Japan, but also result in imported inflation in Taiwan and China. As Taiwan and China are struggling to keep the housing bubble from bursting, they will certainly consider using interest rate policies to suppress Japan's imported inflation. (Want China Times, 2013) Tan S.M. (2013) said that there could be short-term negative implications for exports to Japan as well as investments from Japan which could go down. Japan has consistently incurred trade deficits with most Asian economies except Indonesia and Malaysia since 2002. A sharply weaker yen will hurt Southeast Asian economies as Japan remains a major trade and investment partner and the region will bear the brunt of the adjustment if the yen's collapse causes financial uncertainty. While a weak yen will definitely lead to lower imported cost of equipment for Asia and result in Japan buying less from Asia. Thus, Japan's outward investment may decline. However, the yen's depreciation might have positive effects...
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... Question 1. Why is GM worried about the level of Yen? According to Feldstein, what is the chain of events following a depreciation of the Yen? (He describes a chain of events (7 steps)). General Motors (GM) is worried about the underlying yen fluctuations from a number of different perspectives. A) Investment exposure – GM has a number of equity stakes in several Japanese companies as shown in the table below. As such, these represent net yen exposures. Any depreciation in the yen represents a positive movement (as of the reported figures) for GM as the yen-dominated liabilities currently exceed the yen-dominated assets. As a result, the underlying debt is easier to pay down should the yen depreciate relative to GM’s home currency (i.e. USD). Perhaps on the flip side, another potential concern for GM is the potential dividend or income stream that is paid from these affiliates. Any dividend income that is repatriated back to the U.S. office will be exposed to fluctuations in the yen exchange rates. Affiliate Fuji Isuzu Suzuki Affiliate GM Ownership Long/(Short) Stake -‐1.50 20% -‐1.02 49% -‐0.03 20% B) Commercial exposure – There is currently a forecasted receivables less payables exposure of $900 million. C) Financing exposure – GM has recently completed a bond issue. As such, there is currently an outstanding yen exposure of $500 million. Again the depreciation in the yen represents a positive movement for GM as the liability...
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...This paper aims to compare the Japanese Yen against the US Dollar over a five year period starting from 2005 till 2010. The exchange traded fund for Japanese Yen shall also be discussed in the paper and afterwards an analysis of both the currencies shall be presented. There are different factors that influence the exchange rate differences between any two chosen currencies. The effects produced by these different exchange rates can be of quite different intensity. The most common elements that have an impact on exchange rate difference include economic factors, socio political factors and other behavioral or technical factors also. The macroeconomic factors such as growth of a country, employment rate, gross domestic product etc. All contribute in fluctuation of the country’s currency. (Adam & Vines, 2009) Exchange Traded Fund for Japanese Yen the exchange traded for Japanese Yen is more commonly called the Japan ETFS. These are a kind of exchange traded funds wherein the major assets are invested in equities that are traded on the Japanese stock exchange. The way Japan ETFS perform is dependent on two main factors which are firstly the actual performance of the equities on which investment has been made and secondly the exchange rate difference between the US dollar and the Japanese yen. The management of Japan’s Exchange traded fund is done in a passive way around an index like the MSCI Japan Index. Japan’s main stock exchange is the Tokyo stock exchange which is considered...
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...in U.S Dollars | British Pound (200,000pairs x 80 pounds per pair | £16.000.000,00 | $ - | £16.000.000,00 | $ 1,50 | $24.000.000,00 | Japanese Yen (1,700 pairs x 7440 yen per pair) | ¥- | ¥12.648.000,00 | ¥-12.648.000,00 | $ 0,0083 | $-104.978,40 | Thai Baht Inflow (180,000 pairs x 4594 per pair) Outflow (72000 x 2871 per pair) | 826.920.000,00 ฿ | 206.712.000,00 ฿ | 620.208.000,00 ฿ | $ 0,024 | $14.884.992,00 | Currency | Net inflow/outflow | Expected range of possible exchange rates | Range of possible inflows or outflows in US Dollars | British Pound | £16.000.000,00 | $1,47 to $1,53 | $23,520,000 to $24,480,000 | Japanese Yen | ¥-12.648.000,00 | $0,0079 to $0,0087 | ($99,919.20) to ($110,037.60) | Thai Baht | 620.208.000,00 ฿ | $0.020 to $0.028 | $12,404,160 to $17,365,824 | 3) Because Blades generates net inflows in Thai baht but net outflows denominated in Japanese yen the increased correlations between the Japanese yen and the Thai baht will reduce Blades’ level of transaction exposure if does not sign the agreement with the British firm but it continues its current importing and exporting to Asia. 4) I think that by importing components from Japan the transaction exposure will not be reduced because the correlation between the Thai baht and Japanese yen has been very unstable in the past....
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...Introduction In recent 3 years, Japanese Yen has depreciated against USD rapidly, from 78.6 USD/JPY in 2012 to about 120 USD/JPY in 2015. Will Japanese Yen continue to depreciate against USD? This question is worth researching. This study will be totally divided into two parts. The first part aims to analyze the past performance that how much JPY appreciated or depreciated against USD between Jan 1st 2015 to Oct 31st 2015 and the reason about this past performance. Meanwhile, through different methods, the second part try to forecast exchange rate of USD/JPY in the future at the end of 2016. JPY/USD from Jan 1st 2015 to Oct 31st 2015 According to the following Figure 1, the close exchange rate of JPY/USD in Jan 1st 2015 was $0.00835/¥ and it was $0.00829/¥ in Oct 31st 2015. It seemed that the exchange rate remain stable within the 10 months, while the big fluctuation existed during this period. The lowest close exchange rate JPY/USD was $0.00796/¥ and the highest one was $0.00861/¥. Specifically, if a speculator used 1,000,000 Yen to buy dollar at the highest exchange rate and sold these dollar for Yen at the lowest exchange rate, he would obtain 1,081,714 Yen at the end, whose profit was much higher than depositing in the bank. Therefore, the fluctuation between JPY and USD made the exchange rate hard to predict. In addition, the percentage of change in exchange rate was – 0.72% during this period. It indicated that JPY had depreciated 0.72% against USD from 1/1/2015 to...
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...Why did so many Asian companies and banks borrow dollars, yen, and Deutsche marks instead of their local currencies to finance their operations? What risks were they exposing themselves to? Several factors affected the cause of Asian companies and banks borrowing foreign currencies. First, most Asian countries depended on exports as their engines of growth and development. The majority of these exports were destined to the shores of Japan and the United States. These exports include clothing, footwear, office machinery and telecommunications equipment to name a few. Because of this, most of the countries tied their currency to the dollar. This strategy worked out well until 1995, were low inflation and stability was in place. This strategy also boosted exports at the expense of Japan, as the dollar fell against the yen. This caused Japanese firms to shift their own production to East Asia in order to cope with the strengthening yen. A country’s export competitiveness depends on its exchange rate. This not only includes it being against the dollar, but also against its major competitor’s currencies. Because other currencies such as the dollar, yen and Deutsche mark carried lower interest rates, it was financially found advice for East Asian companies to finance themselves with those currencies. In total, they borrowed around $275 billion worth, much of it in short term loans. The key to understanding why East Asians borrowed from other currencies is in the interest rate...
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...United Kingdom United States Per $ 1.152 1.037 6.036 0.811 7.779 46.360 89.350 12.697 7.740 0.667 1.000 Per £ 1.721 1.559 9.045 1.215 11.643 69.476 134.048 18.993 11.632 1.000 1.496 Per € 1.417 1.283 7.443 1.000 9.583 57.179 110.308 15.631 9.577 0.822 1.232 One Year Ago June 25, 2009 Source: U.S. Federal Reserve Board of Governors, H.10 release: Foreign Exchange Rates. a. Compute the U.S. dollar–yen exchange rate, E$/¥, and the U.S. dollar–Canadian dollar exchange rate, E$/C$, on June 25, 2010, and June 25, 2009 Answer: June 25, 2009: E$/¥ = 1 / (94.86) = $0.0105/¥ June 25, 2010: E$/¥ = 1 / (89.35) = $0.0112/¥ June 25, 2009: E$/C$ = 1 / (1.084) = $0.9225/C$ June 25, 2010: E$/C$ = 1 / (1.037) = $0.9643/C$ b. What happened to the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the Japanese yen and Canadian dollar between June 25, 2009 and June 25, 2010? Compute the percentage change in the value of the U.S. dollar relative to each currency using the U.S. dollar–foreign currency exchange rates you computed in (a). Answer: Between June 25, 2009 and 2010, both the Canadian dollar and the Japanese yen appreciated relative to the U.S. dollar. The percentage appreciation in the foreign currency relative to the U.S. dollar is: % E$/¥ % E$/¥ ($0.0112 – $0.0105) / $0.0105 = 6.17% ($0.9643 – $0.9225) / $0.9225 = 4.53% S-5 S-6 Solutions ■ Chapter 2 Introduction to Exchange Rates & the Foreign Exchange Market c. Using the information in the table for June 25, 2010, compute the Danish krone–Canadian...
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...determined – the sudden influx or out flux of even relatively small amount of foreign capital will have large impact on exchange rate and cause instability to its economy. Notable exception is China which despite being large economy has its currency pegged to US dollar. 2) FLOATING (OR FREE) EXCHANGE RATE: Bigger and developed economies like US, UK, Japan etc generally let market determine their exchange rate. In such economy exchange rate is determined by demand and supply of the currency. For example consider exchange rate of US dollar versus Japanese Yen. If US wants to import certain item from Japan, it will have to pay the Japanese company in Japanese yen. This is because in common market of Japan, dollar will not fetch you anything. But the American company will not have Yen, so it will purchase Yen from the international currency market. This will increase the demand of Yen and supply of dollar. Thus the value of Yen vis a vis dollar will...
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...trade against US dollar includes Euro, Japanese Yen and Pound Sterling. The reason I chose Japanese yen to trade in is due to the drop in Asian stocks that signals the global economic recovery is slowing down. When the global economic recovery is slowing down, investors and traders will option for safer assets and currency (Associated Source, 2012). Throughout the years, yen is stable and it is bought by investors who wants to reduce currency risk. Moreover, there has been an appreciation of euro against dollar due to the news that European Central Bank announcement that it will keep its benchmark interest rate at 1% and it is raising the inflation projection. Moreover, the private bondholders are expected to agree to Greek debt swaps that should keep the country from a hard default. Another reason for the selection of euro is the latest decision by the Bank of England not to increase the bond purchases as bond purchases means outflow of money that leads to trade deficit and depreciation of Euro (TopForexNews.com, 2012). Furthermore, the reason I chose Great Britain pound was due to the appreciation of UK pound against the US dollar based on the latest interest rate decision by the Bank of England to keep it the same as well as to keep its debt-purchase program on hold for the time being (TopForexNews.com, 2012 ). Discussion 14 March 2012 For the first week of trading, I am only allowed to buy the currencies. The Japanese yen is expected to fall when the European finance...
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...Aditya Bansal HW 2 Chap 5 Q1.Assume the spot rate of the British pound is $1.73. The expected spot rate one year from now is assumed to be $1.66. What percentage depreciation does this reflect? ANSWER ($1.66 – $1.73)/$1.73 = –4.05% Therefore the Expected depreciation is 4.05 percent Q2.Assume that the U.S. inflation rate becomes high relative to Canadian inflation. Other things being equal, how should this affect the (a) U.S. demand for Canadian dollars, (b) supply of Canadian dollars for sale, and (c) equilibrium value of the Canadian dollar? ANSWER: If U.S inflation rate becomes high relative to Canadian dollars then the demand for Canadian dollars should increase, supply of Canadian dollars for sale should decrease, and the Canadian dollar’s value should increase. Q3. Assume U.S. interest rates fall relative to British interest rates. Other things being equal, how should this affect the (a) U.S. demand for British pounds, (b) supply of pounds for sale, and (c) equilibrium value of the pound? ANSWER: If U.S interest rates fall relative to British interest rate then the demand for pounds should increase, supply of pounds for sale should decrease, and the pound’s value should increase. Q4. Assume that the U.S. income level rises at a much higher rate than does the Canadian income level. Other things being equal, how should this affect the (a) U.S. demand for Canadian dollars, (b) supply of Canadian dollars for sale, and (c) equilibrium value...
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...CHAPTER 17 MULTINATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (Difficulty Levels: Easy, Easy/Medium, Medium, Medium/Hard, and Hard) Please see the preface for information on the AACSB letter indicators (F, M, etc.) on the subject lines. Multiple Choice: True/False (17-2) Multinational fin. mgmt. F T Answer: a EASY [i]. Multinational financial management requires that financial analysts consider the effects of changing currency values. a. True b. False (17-2) Multinational fin. mgmt. F T Answer: b EASY [ii]. Legal and economic differences among countries, although important, do NOT pose significant problems for most multinational corporations when they coordinate and control worldwide operations and subsidiaries. a. True b. False (17-3) Currency appreciation F T Answer: a EASY [iii]. When the value of the U.S. dollar appreciates against another country's currency, we may purchase more of the foreign currency with a dollar. a. True b. False (17-3) Floating exchange rates F T Answer: a EASY [iv]. The United States and most other major industrialized nations currently operate under a system of floating exchange rates. a. True b. False (17-4) Exchange rates F T Answer: b EASY [v]. Exchange rate quotations consist solely of direct quotations. a. True b. False (17-4) Cross rates F T Answer: a EASY [vi]. Calculating a currency cross rate involves determining the exchange...
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...CAPITAL BUDGETING ANALYSIS REPORT TO LAM REGARDING POTENTIAL INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY APARTMENT COMPLEX 830 S. Westlake Avenue Los Angeles CA 90057 Presented by: GRETA BANYTE April 14th, 2010 Well maintained apartment building, built in 1964, located at 830 S. Westlake Avenue, in Los Angeles, is listed at the price of $5,700,000. The building is close to the 10, 110 and 101 freeways, as well as it is 1 mile from Mid Wilshire, 1.2 miles from Downtown, 2.6 miles from Dodger Stadium, and 7.5 miles from Hollywood. The size of the lot is 30,013 square foot. This 34,722 square foot apartment building includes 60 units: • 4 bachelor units, • 25 singles, and • 31 one bedroom, one bathroom (1+1) units. Most of the units feature laminate wood flooring and balconies. Recently remodeled units include new tile floors in the bathrooms and kitchen, as well as tiled countertops. There is also on-site laundry and parking with 60 available spaces. Currently the price of the rent is: • $460-$700 for “Bachelor unit” for a total of $2,384 for 4 units per month • $523-$850 for “Single” for a total of $18,617 for 25 units per month • $560-$1000 for “1+1” for a total of $24,463 for 31 units per month Current Annual Operating Data: Percentage of Gross Income Gross Income $553,980 $545,580 from rent and $8,400 from laundry Vacancy Rate Reserve ($16,367) 3% Gross Operating Income $537,613 Expenses: ($206,116) 37.2%...
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...In this report, we are going to answer question 9 “who is buying US treasury bonds and why”. With the development of economic globalization, countries have a deep communication on the import and the export. Generally speaking, US dollar is the main way to trade in this environment. Therefore, to keep a relative stable exchange rate between home currency and US dollar becomes a topic for every country. Buying US treasury bonds is the main way to control the balance between home currency and US dollar. On the other hand, different countries have their own reasons to buy US treasury bonds except this main reason as well. We are going to answer this question from talking about the reasons China, Japan and EU buying US treasury, because they are the first three holders. To answer this question, we found the data from the website called “US department of the treasury”. The first data is a table showed “Foreign holdings of U.S. securities, by country and type of security, for the major investing countries into the U.S., as of June 30, 2011”. In this table, China, Japan and EU are the three main economic entities hold more U.S treasury bonds than others. In 2011, China and Japan were the first two countries held 1,727 billions of dollars and 1,585 billions of dollars respectively. European countries followed them after. While the UK held 982 billions of dollars, Luxembourg, Switzerland, Belgium and Ireland held 817,488,443, and 405 billions of dollars. The second table is called...
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...Case Analysis International Financial Markets Peter MacKay February 21, 2002 Ryan Case Mark Duncanson Christopher McRoberts Jenn Nabb Rob Norr Due to past depreciation in the yen, Disney has decided to consider hedging future yen royalties paid by Tokyo Disneyland. Disney can enter into a currency swap to capitalize on its comparative advantage to borrowing in its local debt market and therefore obtain interest rates more favorable than the French utility could hope to obtain. Each party then swaps the currency they could receive at lower rates and share in the overall benefit. Disney may also wish to hedge long-term foreign exchange exposures since future fluctuations of a currency can erode a project’s NPV to the point of rendering it unprofitable. Furthermore, Disney could have reached the limit of their borrowing capabilities and are looking for a way to borrow more. It is an indirect way of going into capital markets to obtain a desired currency. Both Disney and the French utility have the opportunity of obtaining loans with lower overall costs. They can also convert fixed-rate debt into floating-rate debt (or vise versa) to better match revenue streams. IBJ can benefit from this arrangement through commissions and fees. As currency swap activity increases, the revenue generated from this activity has become significant. The swap bank also benefits when it pays out less than it receives from each counter party to the other counter party. Currency swaps are off-book...
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...Assignment Currency Devaluation Introduction Devaluation refers to a decrease in a currency's value. A currency devalues when its value declines in relation to one or more other currencies. It affects the demand for exports and imports. Currency devaluation is evaluated in terms of the foreign exchange rate. Exchange rate is the value between two currencies shows how much one currency is worth in terms of other currency. The depth and intensity of exchange rate volatility and its impact on the volume of international trade was recognized during 1970s when the world economy shifted from fixed exchange rate to free floating exchange rate. If the exchange rate volatility is higher, then it will generate uncertainty of the future profit from export trade. In this assignment we will discuss on such issues like exchange rate volatility I addition to currency devaluation and its impact on the volume of international trade of developing country focusing Bangladesh. This assignment is based on the exchange rate and its volatility in addition to devaluation that affect on the on international trade of Bangladesh. The concept of the study is taken from the academic activity of ECN-201 course instructed by Mrs. Nahid ferdousi, lecturer of Department of Business Administration of University of Asia Pacific. This paper consists of three parts. In first part we will give a short description of currency valuation and factors that affects the currency valuation, and then we animated...
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