Free Essay

Economic Analysis Country Note Book

In:

Submitted By leanh648
Words 6452
Pages 26
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS I. Introduction
The People's Republic of China (PRC) is the world's second largest economy by nominal GDP and by purchasing power parity after theUnited States. It is the world's fastest-growing major economy, with growth rates averaging 10% over the past 30 years. China is also the largest exporter and second largest importer of goods in the world. On a per capita income basis, China ranked 90th by nominal GDP and 91st by GDP (PPP) in 2011, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The provinces in the coastal regions of China tend to be more industrialized, while regions in the hinterland are less developed. As China's economic importance has grown, so has attention to the structure and health of the economy. As the Chinese economy is internationalized, so does the standardized economic forecast officially launched in China by Purchasing Managers Index in 2005. Most economic growth of China is created from Special Economic Zones of the People's Republic of China. The construction of the road system of Beijing–Shanghai Expressway was completed and opened to public usage in early 2000 for access of transportation on logistics, travel and tourism around the most populous and densely economic active areas of Chinese Mainland II. Population A. Total
The demographics of the People's Republic of China are identified by a large population with a relatively small youth division, which is partially a result of the China's one-child policy.
Nowadays, China's population is over 1.3 billion, the largest of any country in the world. According to the 2010 census, 91.51% of the population was of the Han Chinese, and 8.49% were minorities. China's population growth rate is only 0.47%, ranking 156th in the world. China conducted its sixth national population census on 1 November 2010 1. Growth rates: 0.44% (2014 est.) 2. Birthrates: 12.17 births/1,000 population (2014 est.) 3. Life expectancy at birth: * total population: 75.15 years * male: 73.09 years * female: 77.43 years (2014 est.) 4. Infant mortality rate: * total: 14.79 deaths/1,000 live births * male: 14.93 deaths/1,000 live births * female: 14.63 deaths/1,000 live births (2014 est.)

B. Distribution of population 1. Population: 1,355,692,576 (July 2014 est.) 2. Age structure * 0-14 years: 17.1% (male 124,340,516/ female 107,287,324) * 15-24 years: 14.7% (male 105,763,058/ female 93,903,845) * 25-54 years: 47.2% (male 327,130,324/ female 313,029,536) * 55-64 years: 11.3% (male 77,751,100/ female 75,737,968) * 65 years and over: 9.6% (male 62,646,075/ female 68,102,830) (20114 est.) 3. Sex ratio * At birth: 1.11 male(s)/female * 0-14 years: 1.16 male(s)/female * 15-24 years: 1.13 male(s)/female * 25-54 years: 1.05 male(s)/female * 55-64 years: 0.92 male(s)/female * 65 years and over: 1.06 male(s)/female 4. Geographic areas * Urban population: 50.6% of total population(2011) * Rate of urbanization: 2.85% annual rate of change (2010-25 est.) * Mainland only: 1,338,612,968 (2009) * Hong Kong: 7,055,071 (2009) * Macau: 559,846 (2009) * Total: 1,346,227,885 (2009) 5. Religious affiliation * Predominantly: Buddhism, Taoism, Confucianism, Ethnic minority religions and Ancestral worship. * Others: Christianity (3% – 4%), Islam (1.5%), others. * Note: State atheism, but traditionally pragmatic and eclectic.

6. Major cities
Main article: List of cities in China
Only urban population stated (over 1 million people at least), as of 2005: 1. Shanghai 10,030,800 2. Beijing 7,699,300 3. Suzhou 6,521,300 4. Tianjin 4,933,100 5. Guangzhou 4,653,100

7. Migration rates and patterns
Internal migration within the People's Republic of China. In 2011 a total of 252.78 million migrant workers (an increase of 4.4% compared to 2010) existed in China. Out of these, migrant workers who left their hometown and worked in other provinces accounted for 158.63 million (an increase of 3.4% compared to 2010) and migrant workers who worked within their home provinces reached 94.15 million (an increase of 5.9% compared to 2010). Estimations are that Chinese cities will face an influx of another 243 million migrants by 2025, taking the urban population up to nearly 1 billion people. In the medium and large cities, about half the population will be migrants, which is almost three times the current level.
China's government influences the pattern of urbanization through the Hukou permanent residence registration system, land-sale policies, infrastructure investment and the incentives offered to local government officials. The other factors influencing migration of people from rural provincial areas to large cities are employment, education, business opportunities and higher standard of living. 8. Ethnic groups
Han Chinese 91.6%, Zhuang 1.3%, other (includes Hui, Manchu, Uighur, Miao, Yi, Tujia, Tibetan, Mongol, Dong, Buyei, Yao, Bai, Korean, Hani, Li, Kazakh, Dai and other nationalities) 7.1%

III. Economic statistics and activity A. Gross national product (GNP or GDP) 1. Total
In the fourth quarter of 2012, the Chinese economy expanded by 7.9 percent year-on-year and by 2.0 percent quarter-on-quarter, according to a report by the National bureau of Statistics of China.
According to preliminary accounting, the GDP of China was 51,932.2 billion yuan in 2012, a year-on-year increase of 7.8 percent at comparable prices. Specifically, the year-on-year growth of the first quarter was 8.1 percent, 7.6 percent for the second quarter, 7.4 percent for the third quarter and 7.9 percent for the fourth quarter. The gross domestic product of the fourth quarter of 2012 went up by 2 percent on a quarterly basis.

2. Rate of growth (real GNP or GDP)
According to preliminary accounting, the GDP of China was 51,932.2 billion yuan in 2012, a year-on-year increase of 7.8 percent at comparable prices. Specifically, the year-on-year growth of the first quarter was 8.1 percent, 7.6 percent for the second quarter, 7.4 percent for the third quarter and 7.9 percent for the fourth quarter. The gross domestic product of the fourth quarter of 2012 went up by 2 percent on a quarterly basis.

B. Personal income per capita
The average disposable income of urban Chinese households rose to around $3,000 per capita in 2010, according to an analysis of official government statistics by China Market Research Group.

C. Average family income
That means a typical family of three earns around $9,000 a year.

D. Distribution of wealth
China has long been criticized for its incredibly uneven distribution of wealth, and despite the consistent outcries for change, it appears as if things are only getting worse.
In recent years the number of Chinese millionaires has actually grown quite a bit, with as many as 50,000 more Chinese striking it rich each year. During this same time period the number of Chinese ‘super rich’, those worth more than 10 million renminbi, has also risen considerably. The trend goes on, with over 2,000 Chinese billionaires and over 100 worth in excess of 10 billion renminbi.
As hard as it is to believe, China’s super rich are steadily growing in number while the average peasant still earns less than $5,000 US dollars per year. 1. Income classes * Urban residents’ income * Rural residents’ income 2. Proportion of the population in each class
Weak foundation for the development of the rural economy, the labor productivity is difficult to improve, the slow growth of farmers 'income, urban and rural residents' income gap has been too large. From the differences between urban and rural areas in 2010, China's urban residents per capita disposable income of
19,109.4 Yuan, per capita net income for rural residents 5919.0 Yuan, 3.23 times; Engel coefficient of urban residents was 35.7%, the Engel coefficient of rural residents was 41.1%. In the years 2005-2010, the absolute gap between urban and rural residents' income from 7238.1 yuan expanded to 13,190.4 yuan. As can be seen from Table 1 data listed, the amount of urban and rural residents' income gap is significantly increased, and the Engel coefficient of rural residents was significantly higher than the Engel coefficient of urban residents.

E. Minerals and resources
China is rich in mineral resources, and all the world’s known minerals can be found here. To date, geologists have confirmed reserves of 153 different minerals, putting China third in the world in total reserves. The reserves of the major mineral resources, such as coal, iron, copper, aluminum, stibium, molybdenum, manganese, tin, lead, zinc and mercury, are in the world’s front rank. China’s coal reserves total 1,007.1 billion tons, mainly distributed in north China, with Shanxi Province and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region taking the lead. China’s 46.35 billion tons of iron ore are mainly distributed in northeast, north and southwest China. The country also abounds in petroleum, natural gas, oil shale, phosphorus and sulphur.

F. Surface transportation 1. Modes
They fall into one of three basic types, depending on over what surface they travel – land (road, rail and pipelines), water (shipping).

2. Availability
a. The road transport
The road transport sector has contributed greatly to, and has also been strongly stimulated by, China’s continuing economic and social development.
Among the surface modes, road transport has seen its modal share grow over the last ten years from 45% to 60% in terms of passenger-km and from 24% to 30% in terms of freight ton-km (excluding pipelines or waterways).
From 1990 to 2006, during the period of the 8th, 9th and 10th Five-Year Plans, China completed the construction of nearly 44,000 km of high-grade tolled expressways, the main portion of which comprised the National Trunk Highway System (NTHS). During that period about 400,000 km of local and township roads were also improved. From 2000 to 2005, investment on the highway sector amounted to almost $45 billion/year, with about one third allocated to development of the NTHS.
b. The railway
Railway transport is essential to China’s economic development and social cohesion. People and goods in China move in large volumes over long distances for which well-run railways can provide a safe, low cost, energy efficient and less land intensive mode of transport. In terms of freight, China’s economy depends heavily upon coal and coke, metal ores, iron and steel, petroleum products, grain, fertilizers and other bulk products to which the technology and economics of rail transport is well suited.

3. Ports
China has more than 1,400 ports. These include both seaports and inland river ports. Twelve of them handle over 100 million tons/year: Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Zhongshan, together with Hong Kong in the Pearl River Delta region; Shanghai, Ningbo, Xiamen and Fuzhou along China’s central coast; Tianjin, Qingdao, Qinhuangdao and Dalian in the north Bohai Rim region. In 2006, there were 35,453 berths for commercial use, including 4,511 seaport berths and 30,942 inland river berths. Among these, 978 seaport berths and 225 river berths have over 10,000-tonnage capacity

G. Communication systems
1. Types
The People's Republic of China possesses a diversified communications system that links all parts of the country by Internet, telephone, telegraph, radio, and television. None of the telecommunications forms are as prevalent or as advanced as those in modern Western countries, but the system includes some of the most sophisticated technology in the world and constitutes a foundation for further development of a modern network.

2. Availability &Usage rates
China’s 2.7 million kilometers of optical fiber telecommunication cables by 2003 assisted greatly in the modernization process. China produces an increasing volume of televisions both for domestic use and export, which has helped to spread communications development. In 2001 China produced more than 46 million televisions and claimed 317 million sets in use. At the same time, there were 417 million radios in use in China, a rate of 342 per 1,000 population. However, many more are reached, especially in rural areas, via loudspeaker broadcasts of radio programs that bring transmissions to large numbers of radioless households.

In March 2012, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced that China has 1.01 billion mobile phone subscribers; of these, 144 million are connected to 3G networks.[4][5][6] At the same time, the number of landline phones dropped by 828,000 within the span of two months to a total of 284.3 million.
• Telephones - main lines in use: 284.3 million (March 2012)
• Telephones - mobile cellular subscribers: 1.01 billion (March 2012)

H. Working conditions
Workers get a relatively small piece of economic pie: 53 percent in 2007, down from 61 percent in 1990 and compared with two third in the United States. Total Workforce: 795.3 million in 2006. Labor force by occupation: 24 percent industry; 35 percent agriculture; 31 percent services (2005). By 2030 40 percent of the global work force will come from China or India
Chinese workers are becoming more efficient. Labor prices increased 15 percent in 2006 and 2007 but productivity increased even more, meaning that unit labor costs had decreased.

1. Employer-employee relations
Employers routinely discriminate on the basis of height, looks, health, home province and age. Workers are routinely passed over because they are too ugly or too short or have had hepatitis in the past. A typical advertisement for a factory job reads: “1) Age 18 to 35, middle school education, 2) Good health, good quality, 3) Attentive to hygiene, willing to eat bitterness and work hard. 4) Women 1.66 meters or taller. 5) People from Jiangxi and Sichuan need not apply.
Factories often have a high turnover. Workers often quit. Companies traditionally could easily fire workers. Many workers have mobile phone and use them to exchange information about jobs. Workers that quit typically don’t give any notice when the leave. They typically ask for a couple days off, change their cell number and split. People frequently change jobs around the lunar New Year. New labors laws make it harder to fire workers.

2. Employee participation
China has traditionally had an obedient work force, which helps keep management costs low. Photographs of Chinese factories often show rows of workers with no supervisors in sight. In some work places it is not uncommon to have only 15 mangers for 5,000 workers. Working together is expressed by the Chinese proverb: Eight hermits sail the ocean with the might of each other.

3. Salaries and benefits
The average wage at a Chinese factory in 2009 was around $200 a month, 17 percent more than the year before. The average monthly of wage of China’s factory workers increased 66 percent between 2004 and 2007 to $234, about twice the rate of workers in Indonesia. High growth rated in China has allowed workers to receive double digit pay increases each year.

Work week: 42.4 hours, compared to 40.3 hours in France and 55.1 hours in South Korea. [Source: Roper Starch Worldwide, based on interviews in 2001 and 2002]
Wages are low but so too is the cost of living, On a wage of $125 a month the owner of a violin factory told the Los Angeles Times, “China is poor. Everything is cheaper. With this money they can eat well and pass their lives well.
In a survey by Pew Research Center in 2008, 60 percent of those asked said they were satisfied with their jobs and 54 percent were satisfied with their household incomes.
Many Chinese get bonuses around the time of the lunar New Year and the “golden week” around the anniversary of the 1949 Communist Revolution. Many Chinese take off from work during the three "golden weeks": 1) around May Day on May 1st, in which Chinese get three work days off; 2) around National Day on October 1st; 2) and around Spring Festival (late January or early February).
Rather than asking how many days of vacation they get, many Chinese workers ask how many days they can work: they are motivated to make money and get ahead any way they can.

I. Principal industries
The major industries in China are mining and ore processing, iron, steel, aluminum, and other metals, coal; machine building; armaments; textiles and apparel; petroleum; cement; chemicals; fertilizers; consumer products, including footwear, toys, and electronics; food processing; transportation equipment, including automobiles, rail cars and locomotives, ships, and aircraft; telecommunications equipment, commercial space launch vehicles, satellites. China is also among the world's largest producers of rice, wheat, potatoes, corn, peanuts, tea, millet, barley; commercial crops include cotton, other fibers, apples, oilseeds, pork and fish; produces variety of livestock products.

* What proportion of the GNP does each industry contribute?
Industry (including mining, manufacturing, construction, and power) contributed 46.8 percent of GDP in 2010 and occupied 27 percent of the workforce in 2007. The manufacturing sector produced 44.1 percent of GDP in 2004 and accounted for 11.3 percent of total employment in 2006. China is the world’s leading manufacturer of chemical fertilizers, cement, and steel. Prior to 1978, most output was produced by state-owned enterprises. As a result of the economic reforms that followed, there was a significant increase in production by enterprises sponsored by local governments, especially townships and villages, and, increasingly, by private entrepreneurs and foreign investors, but by 1990 the state sector accounted for about 70 percent of output. By 2002 the share in gross industrial output by state-owned and state-holding industries had decreased with the state-run enterprises themselves accounting for 46 percent of China’s industrial output.
The national economy had been characterised by a large share of industry — standing at 61.2% of total GDP in 1990 - with a smaller share of 24.4% devoted to agriculture and a much smaller service sector constituting only 14.4% of GDP.
In 2004, of the industrial added value created by all state-owned industrial enterprises and non-state industrial enterprises with annual turnover exceeding five million yuan, state-owned and state stock-holding enterprises accounted for 42.4 percent, collectively owned enterprises 5.3 percent, the rest taken up by other non-public enterprises, including enterprises with investment from outside mainland China, and individual and private enterprises.

J. Foreign investment
FDI in China, also known as RFDI (renminbi foreign direct investment), has increased considerably in the last decade, reaching $59.1 billion in the first six months of 2012, making China the largest recipient of foreign direct investment and topping the United States which had $57.4 billion of FDI.
During the global financial crisis FDI fell by over one-third in 2009 but rebounded in 2010

1. Opportunities?
In 2011, the People’s Bank of China and the Ministry of Commerce promulgated the Administrative Measures on Renminbi Settlement for Foreign Direct Investment (RMB Settlement Measures) and a Notice on Issues Concerning Cross-Border Direct Investment in RMB (Notice). According to these legislations, outbound foreign investors (including investors from Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan) now have access to direct investment in the form of offshore-derived RMB. Further, investors can process RMB settlement directly, except for in certain special areas of securities, financial derivatives and entrusted loans. The opening of RMB FDI provides several advantages including: more currency options; exchange rate fluctuation risk avoidance; and savings on currency exchange cost.

2. Which industries? * Farming, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery Industries * Mining and Quarrying Industries * Manufacturing Industries 1. Farm Products Processing Industry * Water, environment and public facility management industry * Education

K. International trade statistics
China is expected to grow on average 8.3% in the coming years. This is relatively high compared to the average of other Asian countries and also relatively high compared to the global average of 3.7%. Because of its own economic growth and that of its main trading partners, China's exports are expected to grow 15.1% annually to US$ 4416 bn in 2017, making China the 1st largest exporter worldwide. Similarly, import demand will grow with an average of 15.8% per year to US$ 4203 bn in 2017, meaning that China will take the 1st position on the global list of largest importers. By 2017, China will mainly import office telecom & electrical equipment, ores & metals and fuels, which together account for 52% of total imports of China. Similarly, China's exports will mainly consist of office telecom & electrical equipment, textiles (including fibers, yarn and products) and other products. Together these products will represent 63% of total exports in 2017. By 2017, China will mainly import products from Hong Kong, South Korea and Japan, which together account for 34% of total imports of China. China's main export markets will be the US, Hong Kong and Japan. Together these countries will account for 41% of total exports in 2017. 1. Major exports * Total value of exports: US$2.05 trillion * Primary exports - commodities: electrical and other machinery, including data processing equipment, apparel, radio telephone handsets, textiles, integrated circuits * Primary exports partners: US (17.2 of total exports), Hong Kong (15.8 percent), Japan (7.4 percent), South Korea (4.3 percent), Germany (3.4 percent)

2. Major imports * Total value of imports: US$1.817 trillion * Primary imports - commodities: electrical and other machinery, oil and mineral fuels, optical and medical equipment, metal ores, motor vehicles * Primary imports partners: Japan (9.8 percent of total imports), South Korea (9.3 percent), US (7.3 percent), Germany (5.1 percent), Australia (4.6 percent).

3. Exchange rates a. Exchange rate policy
China’s exchange rate is being controlled by government authorities: the People’s Bank of China (PBoC: China’s central bank) manages the value of the renminbi. They do so by fixing the USD/CNY-rate on each trading day. This is the exchange rate that applies to trade flows into and out of China only. b. Current rate of exchange
Exchange Rates of Foreign Currency Notes against HKD Currency | Buy | Sell | CNY | 81.00 | 80.16 | AUD | 610.00 | 620.00 | CAD | 617.00 | 627.00 | CHF | 854.00 | 864.00 | DKK | 113.00 | 118.50 | EUR | 867.00 | 877.00 | GBP | 1,160.00 | 1,180.00 | JPY | 651.00 | 661.00 | NOK | 95.00 | 100.50 | NZD | 573.00 | 583.00 | SEK | 89.00 | 94.50 | SGD | 572.00 | 582.00 | THB | 23.20 | 24.85 | USD | 772.50 | 780.50 | IDR | 5.50 | 7.00 | INR | 11.80 | 13.30 | KRW | 68.00 | 76.00 | MOP | 94.00 | 100.00 | MYR | 210.00 | 230.00 | PHP | 16.80 | 18.50 | RUB | 10.10 | 12.60 | TWD | 24.00 | 26.00 |
Information last updated at HK Time: 2015/01/27 16:57:32 * The above exchange rates are expressed in 100 units of the foreign currency against HKD (except for JPY, IDR, KRW, which are expressed in 10,000 units of the foreign currency against HKD, while CNY is in 100 units of HKD against CNY). * The above information is for reference only. Please refer to the "Information last update at HK Time" for the time of last update.

L. Labor force 1. Size * Labor force: 797.6 million * Note: by the end of 2012, China's population at working age (15-64 years) was 1.0040 billion (2013 est.) 2. Unemployment rates * Unemployment rate: 4.1% (2013 est.) ,4.1% (2012 est.) * Note: data are for registered urban unemployment, which excludes private enterprises and migrants * Definition: This entry contains the percent of the labor force that is without jobs. Substantial underemployment might be noted.

M. Inflation rates
The inflation rate in China was recorded at 1.50 percent in December of 2014. Inflation Rate in China averaged 5.64 percent from 1986 until 2014, reaching an all time high of 28.40 percent in February of 1989 and a record low of -2.20 percent in April of 1999. Inflation Rate in China is reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
IV. Developments in science and technology
Science and technology in China has developed rapidly in recent decades. The Chinese government has placed emphasis through funding, reform, and societal status on science and technology as a fundamental part of the socio-economic development of the country as well as for national prestige. China has made rapid advances in areas such as education, infrastructure, high-tech manufacturing, academic publishing, patents, and commercial applications and is now in some areas and by some measures a world leader. China is now increasingly targeting indigenous innovation and aims to reform remaining weaknesses.

A. Current technology available
In 2009 China manufactured 48.3% of the world's televisions, 49.9% of mobile phones, 60.9% of personal computers, and 75% of LCD monitors. Indigenously made electronic components have become an important source of recent growth. The Chinese software industry in 2010 had a higher than 15% share of the world's software and information service market and had been growing by an average 36% each year during the previous decade. China, with the active support of the Chinese government, is a leading pioneer in Internet of Things technology.
According to the China Internet Network Information Center there were 505 million Internet users in November 2011. 37.7% of the population were internet users. The number blog users had increased by more than 100 million during the past six months to more than 300 million. In 2012 China surpassed one billion mobile phone accounts although the number of users is likely smaller since the same person may be using multiple accounts. 100 million accounts had been added since the previous year. The number of 3G accounts nearly doubled to 144 million. The number of fixed line subscriptions declined to 284 million.
Development of advanced machine tools, such as computer numerical control machine tools, are seen as a priority and supported by the Chinese government. China is the world's leading producer and consumer of machine tools. A 2010 US government report stated that US export controls of advanced five axis machine tools were ineffectual due to the technical capabilities of Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturers.
China in 2012 produced more than one third of the developed world's apparel import but the share has been decreasing in recent years as low-technology and labor-intensive production has been moving to regions like Southeast Asia and Eastern Europe. B. Percentage of GNP invested in research and development
Between 2000 and 2008 Gross Domestic Expenditures on Research and Development (GERD) rose by an average of 22.8% annually which increased the share of GERD to GDP from 0.9% to 1.54%. China aims to increase this to 2.5% by 2020. In 2008 82.76% went to experimental development, 12.46% to applied research, and 4.78% to basic research. Business enterprises contributed 59.95% of GERD in 2000 and 73.26% in 2008. Spending by enterprises is predominantly on experimental development. China aims to increase basic research's share to 15% by 2020.
The research firm Battelle estimates that China's R&D expenditures will exceed that of the United States in 2023. Rank | Country/ region | Expenditure on R&D (billions of USD) | % of GDP | Expenditures on R&D per capital | Year | 1 | United States | 405.3 | 2.7 | 1,275.64 | 2011 | 2 | China | 337.5 | 2.08 | 248.16 | 2013 | 3 | Japan | 160.3 | 3.67 | 1,260.42 | 2011 | 4 | Germany | 69.5 | 2.3 | 861.04 | 2011 | 5 | South Korea | 65.4 | 4.36 | 1,307.90 | 2012 |
(OECD, 2014) C. Technological skills of the labor force and general population
Although there is no research giving levels of technological skill in the Chinese labor force, we can say that since the Chinese are taught a subject on technology and computing during senior secondary, they can be considered reasonably tech-savvy.

V. Channels of distribution (macro analysis)
Before the launch of economic reforms in 1978, the PRC government controlled China’s nationwide distribution channels, including the system of managed distribution centers, wholesale operations, and retail outlets. The State Planning Commission issued production requirements and allocated inventory.
As reforms progressed, the government phased out central planning for many products. China’s 2001 World Trade Organization (WTO) entry brought more foreign competition, which led to the elimination of many local distribution points and the centralization of main provincial hubs. These changes allowed for greater privatization of distribution at a local level. In 2004, China issued rules that opened distribution to foreign investment and, among other things, allowed foreign distribution companies to apply for national wholesale licenses. Today, foreign enterprises may participate in joint-venture distribution operations for most wholesale operations.
A. Retailers
China’s retail market is highly fragmented and composed of many small and medium-sized retailers, unlike in the United States, where big-box retailers dominate. In 2008, China was home to about 549,000 retail enterprises, each with an average of 15 employees. Though the number of chain stores has been growing in recent years, cross-provincial retailers are still rare in China, in part because of local market access barriers.
B. Wholesale middlemen
Prior to 1992, foreign retailers were prohibited from setting up joint ventures or wholly-owned subsidiaries for wholesale or retail trade in China. Loosening its tights regulations somewhat, in July 1992, the state council permitted foreign investment in retailing on a trial basis in Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Guangzhou, Dalian, Qingdao, as well as the five Special economic zones (Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Shantou, Xiamen, and Hainan). By 1997, about two dozen foreign invested stores in China had been approved by the central government to conduct business. However, hundreds of foreign invested retailing as well as wholesaling enterprises had already established themselves in Chinese cities, having sought approval from the provincial or municipal authorities.
C. Import/ export agents
For small and medium sized companies, the best way to enter China market is through a reputable or well-known agent or distributor. These companies are located regionally and typically have large sales network. Thus they will be able to have a better understanding of the China’s market and can provide assistance in developing distribution strategies in China and region. In this way, new products can be launched easier into the market and distribution network can be set up rapidly without any problems dealing with distribution rights and licensing. D. Warehousing
From 2005, more warehouses being built even under strict policy control. Warehouses better equipped with more multi-staking frames, 70% increase in forklift and more specialized tank warehouses, liquid storage facilities and DG cargo facilities. In China, the concepts of warehouse and distribution center are not clearly defined. Old style warehouse are designed for the only function of storage and almost 10-15 years undeveloped comparing with international standard. Nowadays, the supply for traditional warehouse is in excess. However, there is a shortage of distributional center. Traditional warehouse located downtown need to be relocated, re-build in city suburb.
VI. Media
The Media of the People's Republic of China (alternatively Media of China, Chinese Media) consists primarily of television, newspapers, radio, and magazines. Since 2000, the Internet has also emerged as an important communications media which is under the supervision of Chinese republic. A. Availability of media
Despite heavy government monitoring, however, the Mainland Chinese media has become an increasingly commercial market, with growing competition, diversified content, and an increase in investigative reporting. Areas such as sports, finance, and an increasingly lucrative entertainment industry face little regulation from the government. Media controls were most relaxed during the 1980s under Deng Xiaoping, until they were tightened in the aftermath of the 1989 Tiananmen Square Protests. They were relaxed again under Jiang Zem in in the late 1990s, but the growing influence of the Internet and its potential to encourage dissent led to heavier regulations again under the government of Hu Jintao. Reporters Without Borders consistently ranks China very poorly on media freedoms in their annual releases of the Press Freedom Index, labeling the Chinese government as having "the sorry distinction of leading the world in repression of the Internet". For 2010, China ranked 168 out of 178 nations.

B. Costs 1. Television
In 1978, the PRC had less than one television receiver per 100 people, and fewer than ten million Chinese had access to a television set. According to a World Bank report in 2003, there are about 35 TVs for every 100 people. Roughly a billion Chinese have access to television. Similarly, in 1965 there were 12 television and 93 radio stations in mainland China; today there are approximately 700 conventional television stations—plus about 3,000 cable channels—and 1,000 radio stations.
Television broadcasting is controlled by China Central Television (CCTV), which, with its 22 program channels, is the country's only national network. CCTV, which employs about 10,000 people and has an annual income of ¥1.12 billion yuan a year (2012,=$177 million U.S. dollars), falls under the dual supervision of the Propaganda Department, responsible ultimately for media content, and the State Administration of Radio, Film, and Television, which oversees operations. A Vice Minister in the latter ministry serves as chairman of CCTV. The network's principal directors and other officers are appointed by the State. So are the top officials at local conventional television stations in mainland China—nearly all of which are restricted to broadcasting within their own province or municipality—that receive CCTV broadcasts.
CCTV produces its own news broadcasts three times a day and is the country's most powerful and prolific television program producer. It also has a monopoly on purchases of programming from overseas. All local stations are required to carry CCTV's 7 pm main news broadcast; an internal CCTV survey indicates that nearly 500 million people countrywide regularly watch this program.
Even if CCTV is the most powerful network of mainland China, it has only about 30% of audience share all over the national territory. The fact shows how the Chinese viewers are biased in favor of local TV programs, that are more likely to represent the differences of an audience that is the largest in the world, more than the national or even international programs, which can hardly attend the needs of such a wide public.
Since September 1, 2006, the Chinese government has banned foreign-produced animation between the hours of 5:00 to 8:00 pm on state-run television to protect struggling Chinese animation studios affected by the popularity of such cartoons. 2. Internet
Widening Chinese use of the Internet is also undercutting government efforts to control the flow of information. According to CNNIC's 22nd Statistical Survey Report on the Internet Development in China, more than 250 million people in mainland China now have Internet access.
Since the beginning of 1996, the State has suspended all new applications from Internet service providers seeking to commence operations in the PRC; moved to put all existing Internet services under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications, the Ministry of Electronics Industry, and the State Education Commission; and attempted—without much success—to establish firewalls, limit the contents of home pages, and block access to certain Internet sites through routing filters. Although much of the Internet access in China is subjugate to the so-called "Great Firewall of China", which blacklists certain websites and even blocks chat sessions, it has proven relatively ineffective: there are logistical problems with a firewall over such a large network, and in most instances its effects can be negated with a simple proxy. Government officials are worried that, as the number of Chinese homes with telephone lines grows from the present level of less than 4%, the State will become totally unable to monitor Internet access at residences. C. Agency assistance
Chinese advertising networks- Baidu Union
Chinese advertising networks- alimama
Chinese advertising networks- Google adsense
Chinese affiliate program- Dangdang
Chinese affiliate program- Linktech

VII. Executive summary
Since initiating market reforms in 1978, China has shifted from a centrally planned to a market based economy and experienced rapid economic and social development. GDP growth averaging about 10 percent a year has lifted more than 500 million people out of poverty. All Millennium Development Goals have been reached or are within reach.
With a population of 1.3 billion, China recently became the second largest economy and is increasingly playing an important and influential role in the global economy.
Yet China remains a developing country (its per capita income is still a fraction of that in advanced countries and its market reforms are incomplete. Official data shows that about 98.99 million people still lived below the national poverty line of RMB 2,300 per year at the end of 2012. With the second largest number of poor in the world after India, poverty reduction remains a fundamental challenge.
Rapid economic ascendance has brought on many challenges as well, including high inequality; rapid urbanization; challenges to environmental sustainability; and external imbalances. China also faces demographic pressures related to an aging population and the internal migration of labor.
Significant policy adjustments are required in order for China’s growth to be sustainable. Experience shows that transitioning from middle-income to high-income status can be more difficult than moving up from low to middle income.
China’s 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) forcefully addresses these issues. It highlights the development of services and measures to address environmental and social imbalances, setting targets to reduce pollution, to increase energy efficiency, to improve access to education and healthcare, and to expand social protection. Its annual growth target of 7 percent signals the intention to focus on quality of life, rather than pace of growth.
VIII. Sources of information 1. http://www.battelle.org/media/press-releases/battelle-r-d-magazine-annual-global-funding-forecast-predicts-r-d-spending-growth-will-continue-while-globalization-accelerates 2. http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/science-and-technology/oecd-science-technology-and-industry-outlook-2014_sti_outlook-2014-en#page353 3. http://www.slideshare.net/SrikiranCRai1/economic-analysis-of-peoples-republic-of-china-for-the-sale-of-tender-coconut-water 4. http://www.statista.com/topics/1839/retail-in-china/ 5. http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/china/overview 6. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/inflation-cpi 7. http://www.indexmundi.com/china/unemployment_rate.html 8. http://www.ecrresearch.com/chinas-exchange-rate-policy 9. http://stats.oecd.org/mei/default.asp?lang=e&subject=12&country=CHN 10. http://www.china.org.cn/english/features/fmar/168462.htm

Similar Documents

Free Essay

Telecom

...will be closed-note, closed book exercise during the two-hour exam. You will also have 20 multiple choice questions (40% of the exam score – worth 2 points each, for a total of 40 points). As with the midterm, the essay will provide a hypothetical scenario of a company that is considering making an investment in a Latin American country. (You will not know the industry of this hypothetical company until the exam.) You will be asked to assess any TWO of the countries that we have covered since the midterm: Mexico, Costa Rica, Chile, Peru, Venezuela, and/or Colombia. The format will be identical to what you saw in the midterm, as follows: a) provide an assessment of prospects for the continuation and sustainability of market-oriented economic reforms in [ANY TWO COUNTRIES OF THE LIST COVERED SINCE THE MIDTERM]. (NOTE: In your answer, you should use the Packenham Model as a framework for your analysis. Don't just summarize Packenham, however; USE the model to assess prospects for specific current and future market-oriented economic reforms in both countries. Also, make reference to lectures/other readings, where relevant.) [MAKE SURE TO DISCUSS BOTH COUNTRIES FULLY.] AND b) discuss any other factors that might be relevant to [THE COMPANY’S INVESTMENT PROJECT], such as possible locations within the country, demographics (age of population and market size), free trade agreements, prospects for a currency devaluation, bargaining, culture, etc. NOTE: you would not...

Words: 739 - Pages: 3

Free Essay

David Ricardo

...continued or answered some of the unresolved questions in Adam Smith’s theories. David Ricardo started off as a stockbroker then turned to an economist. He was a man who contributed to numerous areas of economic theory, including methodology, diminishing returns, rent, theories of value, and international trade. Ricardo began studying economics around 1799 at age 28, and published his first pamphlet “The High Price of Bullion” in 1810. His book (which is also his major work) “The Principles of Political Economy and Taxation” replaced Adam Smith’s “Wealth of Nations” with regard to economic questions. When it came to political economy, Adam Smith had two ways of dealing with the questions. The first was through deductive theory, which he would use for his economic analysis. The second, he would present a well described, informative narrative of present and historical organizations. Ricardo, however, absorbed from his present economy and used the deductive method as a base to build an analysis. Thus, he represented “the pure theorist at work”. It is worthy to note that Ricardo had a firm position on the fact that “theory was a prerequisite to concrete analysis of the policy issues of the real world.” With the brief bibliography presented, and the different (yet brief) methods of each economic scholar explained, the three topics this paper will cover are the Labor Theory of Value, Distribution of Income over Time, and International Trade. Labor Theory of Value: Before any explanation...

Words: 1750 - Pages: 7

Premium Essay

Dsfdfgdfsgad

...blo gs.lse .ac.uk http://blo gs.lse.ac.uk/lsereviewo fbo o ks/2013/08/01/bo o k-review-emerging-po wers-in-a-co mparative-perspective-thepo litical-and-eco no mic-rise-o f-the-bric-co untries/ Book Review: Emerging Powers in a Comparative Perspective: The Political and Economic Rise of the BRIC Countries Blo g Admin The book examines the rising influence of emerging powers in global politics, with a special focus on the BRIC countries. The book aims provide a detailed analysis of political, economic, security, and foreign policy trends in the BRIC countries to address such questions as to whether they will seek to revise the international order or work within it, and how they will deal with transnational global problems. Reviewed by Carlos Carrasco Farré. Emerging Powers in a Comparative Perspective: T he Political and Economic Rise of the BRIC Countries. Vidya Nadkarni and Norma C. Noonan. Bloomsbury. February 2013. Find this book: T he contrast during the Cold War between a coercive Soviet Union in Eastern Europe and a cooperative American hegemony in Western Europe started a new line of research in international politics. T he end of this conf lict, and the main core of this research topic, seems to come f rom what Italian political philosopher Antonio Gramsci noted: “a hegemonic social order that rests on a f oundation of moral and intellectual authority and voluntary acceptance is more enduring because it is seen as legitimate”. In just two decades the international order...

Words: 1191 - Pages: 5

Free Essay

Botswana and Diamonds

...Global Business Analysis: Market of Botswana and Diamonds 4 Global Business Opportunities 4 Economic and Geographic Environment 4 Social and Cultural Environment 4 Political and Legal Environment 5 International and Local Competition 5 Economic and Geographic Environment 5 Managing International Financial and Business Risks 6 Characteristics of Global Management Information Systems (MIS) 6 Characteristics of Global Human Resources 7 Characteristics of Global Marketing 7 Product Target Market Planning for Foreign Markets 7 Designing a Global Distribution Strategy 8 Selecting an International Pricing Strategy 8 Determining Organizational Financial Results 9 Key Success Factors for Global Business 9 Monitoring and Control 9 Recommendations 10 Conclusion 10 Appendixes 12 Executive Summary This business analysis is in reference to a foreign direct investment into a diamond business within Botswana. This analysis provides the information to determine, if Botswana is a viable country for investment. The pertinent information is in reference to the country’s culture, economy, geography, resources and other factors that will assist with our analysis. In conclusion, a favorable recommendation is given for investment in a diamond mining business in Botswana. Global Business Analysis: Market of Botswana and Diamonds Botswana population is over two million people and was primarily an agricultural based economy. In 1967, the country realized they...

Words: 2142 - Pages: 9

Premium Essay

Study Habit

...University of Agriculture, Faisalabad–38040, Pakistan ABSTRACT Study implies investigation for the mastery of facts, ideas or procedures that are yet unknown or only partially known to the individuals. A number of factors are associated with this cause, out of which the effectiveness of study habits occupies a pivotal place. In order to check the influence of study habits on the learning out comes of the students, a survey was conducted in the University of Agriculture, Faisalabad by interviewing all the 150 B.Sc. and M.Sc. Home Economics students. The results indicate a strong impact of study habits on the educational performance of learners. Key Words: Educational achievements; Schedule of study; Study habits INTRODUCTION The low understanding level accompanied by discouraging achievements of the students has become cause of great concern of our country and has bothered badly the educationists, parents, government and even the foreign countries at the eve of evaluating our students’ knowledge. The educationists have made a number of systematic efforts to find out the causes of deterioration and suggested remedies thereof. Almost all the commissions and education policies including 1999-2000 have not only acknowledged the deterioration but also have presented suggestions for the improvement of the prevailing situation. In spite of all these efforts, the problem still seems to be unsolved. The said situation applies on all fields of education and University of Agriculture...

Words: 1207 - Pages: 5

Free Essay

Sdg Dg

...Sign In | Sign Up StudyMode - Premium and Free Essays, Term Papers & Book Notes Essays Book Notes AP Notes Citation Generator More Case Analysis Of Ann Taylor Survival In Specialty Retail Essays and Term Papers Search Advanced Search Documents 1 - 20 of 1000 Book Review of Business Policy and Strategy: an Action Guide Book Review of Business Policy and Strategy: An Action Guide Submitted in partial fulfillment of B.S. in Business Administration Century University, New Mexico Grade = 95% {A} Business Policy and Strategy: An Action Guide, by Robert Murdick, R. Carl Moor and Richar Premium 4514 Words 19 Pages Burger King and Its Advertising Campaigns Burger King and Its Advertising Campaigns Burger King is a reliable burger company which has had its ups and downs. In 1974, it came out with a slogan of "Have it your way" and at this time it also had a 4 % market share. Burger King's idea was to have the customer have their burger done their w Premium 1694 Words 7 Pages Foreign Aid Foreign Aid There are two words that many politicians like to shy away , and those two words are, "foreign aid." Taking a firm stand on either side of this topic is usually side stepped by decision makers. Their opinions are usually based on a case by case analysis. This extremely controv Premium 1773 Words 8 Pages Rainforest Cafe, Inc: Outline to Rainforest Cafe Research Report...

Words: 1227 - Pages: 5

Premium Essay

About Culture

...course emphasizes economic analysis of international business strategy formulation. Topics covered include gains from trade, costs of trade, and the competitive strategy of the international business. The course considers alternative modes of market entry, including import and export through intermediaries, contracting with suppliers and distributors, strategic alliances and foreign direct investment (FDI). Case studies are used to illustrate the basic principles of multinational business management and strategy. The course introduces the “Strategy Star” analysis. The first week of the course is dedicated to introducing international business strategy and providing a review of the micro-economics concepts that will be employed during the course. The course then introduces the concept of the ‘Global Value Connection.” This concept is used to develop global competitive strategies that depend on doing business between countries. Weeks 2 and 3 present strategies for providing global added value. The course highlights the economic aspects of gains and costs of trade that are relevant to the international business manager. Weeks 4, 5, and 6 develop the different sets of country features around the “Global Strategy Star Analysis.” This provides a framework for understanding and building an international business, and achieving competitive advantage in the global marketplace. Strategic features of the international business are grouped into (i) home country features,...

Words: 2993 - Pages: 12

Free Essay

Smartink Marketing Plan

...Contents     Introduction  …………………………………………………………………………………………  page  3   Environment  Analysis  …………………………………………………………………………..  page  4   Customer  Analysis  ………………………………………………………………………………..  page  7   Competition  Analysis  ……………………………………………………………………………  page  11   STP  Analysis  ………………………………………………………………………………………….  page  13                                                                           2     Introduction   This   marketing   plan   has   been   written   for   the   Marketing   course   in   Católica   Lisbon   School   of   Business   and   Economics.   It   consists   of   a   study   for   the   launch   of   a   new   and   original   product,   called   Smartink,   as   well   as   a   proposal   for   a   commercial   plan  of  action.   Even  in  the  technological  era  we  live  in,  it  is  noticeable  that  people  still  do  a   considerable   amount   of   work   recurring   to   paper   materials,   and   not   just   electronic   devices  as...

Words: 2549 - Pages: 11

Premium Essay

Presentation

...international relations. The first thing to note is that there is not a Marxist conception of international relations. For pedagogical issues we talk about it, but what we will try to analyze is what has been the contribution that the Marxist theory has done in this field. This leads us to the study of the Marxist theorists: Marx, Engels, Lenin, Rosa Luxemburgo... Their methodological contributions to international analysis and the confrontation between the "official" theoretical statements of the Communist Party from the Soviet Union, personified in Stalin and the Trotsky's permanent revolution, that was silenced for years by the Soviet authorities. Finishing this topic with the contributions from authors in the Marxist sector that have given rise up to what is known as the dependency theory. It is important to understand that Marxism as theory and method has created a new paradigm in the study of international relations, since it led to overcome the traditional state-centric conception. For Marxism the state shouldn't be the center, the basic thing is the concept of the class struggle, and they make emphasis on the contradictions and antagonisms of the existing classes, based on the analysis of the production relations (who controls the production means and who don't). This involves considering the world is not divided into states but into antagonistic classes. Marxist defend the idea of historical materialism, as well as they defend that the economic problems transcend the others, so...

Words: 1203 - Pages: 5

Premium Essay

Marketing Analysis

...PEST Analysis What is PEST Analysis? It is very important that an organization considers its environment before beginning the marketing process. In fact, environmental analysis should be continuous and feed all aspects of planning. The organization's marketing environment is made up of: 1. The internal environment e.g. staff (or internal customers), office technology, wages and finance, etc. 2. The micro-environment e.g. our external customers, agents and distributors, suppliers, our competitors, etc. 3. The macro-environment e.g. Political (and legal) forces, Economic forces, Sociocultural forces, and Technological forces. These are known as PEST factors. Political Factors. The political arena has a huge influence upon the regulation of businesses, and the spending power of consumers and other businesses. You must consider issues such as: 1. 1.How stable is the political environment? 2. 2.Will government policy influence laws that regulate or tax your business? 3. 3.What is the government's position on marketing ethics? 4. What is the government's policy on the economy? 5. Does the government have a view on culture and religion? 6. Is the government involved in trading agreements such as EU, NAFTA, ASEAN, or others? 7. Economic Factors. Marketers need to consider the state of a trading economy in the short and long-terms. This is especially true when planning for international marketing. You need to look at: 1. Interest rates...

Words: 1180 - Pages: 5

Premium Essay

Writing a Report

...Eco-30043 Economic and Business Forecasting Assignment 2012/13 A year ago you were hired as an entry-level assistant business analyst by an advertising agency. Last week, top management requested a review of household consumption behaviour in the United Kingdom. They are particularly interested in whether the recent financial crisis and the economic recession that followed, have permanently altered consumption patterns in the country. The chief analyst, and head of your department, holds a briefing with the entire team in order to assign tasks. You have been asked to do what you have been doing since day one, which is secondary data collection. Confident in your abilities, you see this as an opportunity to gain a more substantive role within the department. You argue that you can provide a thorough and sophisticated analysis of consumer expenditure, complete with reliable forecasts for the foreseeable future. You suggest preparing a report on the analysis of only a subset of goods and services to showcase your technical and analytical skills. The chief analyst agrees to consider your work. If the report you present is at par with the required standard, both in technical detail and analytical discussion, you would be assigned a more prestigious role in the larger scale project, which could lead to a promotion within the department to a more senior level. You are forwarded the data file report1213.dta, which contains, among other, information on UK household expenditure on certain...

Words: 1070 - Pages: 5

Premium Essay

The Subject, Object, Addressee and Source Analysis of the Right to Development (Rtd)

...Object, Addressee and Source Analysis of The Right to Development (RTD) | 2011 | By Giday Meles | | The Right to Development The Declaration on the Right to Development which clearly stated that the right to development (hereafter RTD) as a human right was adopted by the United Nations in 1986 by an overwhelming majority, with the US casting the single nonconforming vote. The concept of the RTD attracted much attention after it was incorporated in the Declaration on the Right to Development. In spite of such incorporation, however, it is far from clearly establishing the source, content, subject and addressee under the realm of international law and as result it has been subject of contention. By taking what has been stated above as a background, this paper examines the narratives on such issues as ‘the right to development’; ‘the source of right to development’; ‘subject of the right to development’; the object of the right to development’ and ‘the addressee analysis’. In terms of methodology, the paper uses information that will be gathered from books, articles, declarations and covenants as well as official legal documents, and others. The first article of the Declaration on the Right to Development puts the concept of the right to development as ‘an inalienable human right by virtue of which every human person and all peoples are entitled to participate in and contribute to and enjoy economic, social, cultural and political...

Words: 2252 - Pages: 10

Free Essay

Internet-Value-Chain-Economics - at Kearney

...Internet Value Chain Economics Gaining a deeper understanding of the Internet economy W hen considering the technological innovations of the past 50 years, the Internet is probably the one that has had the greatest impact on everyday life in developed economies. Nearly six out of 10 Americans now shop online and more than four out of 10 bank online. Twenty hours of video are uploaded to YouTube every minute, while 5 percent of all time online is spent on the social networking site, Facebook. The Internet has also changed the way in which businesses operate—today, 64 percent of C-level executives conduct six or more searches per day to locate business information. The Internet has been a source of great good—as evidenced by the role played by Internet-based mapping and communications in the relief effort following the recent Haiti earthquake. The Internet also has shown a negative side—more than 97 percent of all emails are spam, while more than 70 percent of Americans fear online identity theft and 57 percent feel that their personal privacy has been greatly diminished by the Internet.1 Behind these statistics and headlines, however, there remains a low level of understanding of how the Internet economy works. Who are the different players involved in the Internet, beyond the flagship names? How is the industry structured and how concentrated is it? How do players make money and how do revenues flow across the value chain? Is the industry attractive in terms of growth...

Words: 12241 - Pages: 49

Free Essay

Syllabus

...the context of international operations. INSTRUCTIONAL MATERIALS Required Resources Madura, J. (2012). International financial management (11th ed.). Mason, OH: South-Western, Cengage Learning. Supplemental Resources Al Nasser, O.M. (2010). How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth? The role of local conditions. Latin American Business Review 11, 111-139. Kornecki, L. & E. M. Ekanayake. (2011). Inward FDI stock in the U.S. economy and state based determinants. Advances in Management, 4(6), 13-24. Ranjan, V. & Agrawal, G. (2011). FDI inflow determinants in BRIC countries: A panel data analysis. International Business Research, 4(4), 255-263. United Nations. (2011). Foreign Direct Investments in LDCs: Lessons learned from the decade 20012010 and the way forward. United National Conference on Trade and Development. COURSE LEARNING OUTCOMES 1. Compare multinational financial management to domestic financial management. 2. Apply the key trade theories and methods, and analyze the factors that influence trade and capital flows. 3. Evaluate the major international financial markets to determine effective methods for financing global business operations. 4. Analyze the economic variables that influence exchange rate movements and equilibrium price to anticipate fluctuations and...

Words: 4298 - Pages: 18

Premium Essay

Business Aspect

...PM Book Review Why Tax the Rich? Efficiency, Equity, and Progressive Taxation Reuven S. Avi-Yonah† Does Atlas Shrug? The Economic Consequences of Taxing the Rich. Edited by Joel B. Slemrod.∗ Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2000. Pp. 524. $57.95. In Greek mythology, Atlas was a giant who carried the world on his shoulders. In Ayn Rand’s 1957 novel Atlas Shrugged, Atlas represents the “ prime movers” —the talented few who bear the weight of the world’s economy.1 In the novel, the prime movers go on strike against the oppressive burden of excessive regulation and taxation, leaving the world in disarray and demonstrating how indispensable they are to the rest of us (the “ second handers” ). Rand wrote in a world in which the top marginal federal income tax rate in the United States was 91% (beginning at taxable income of $400,000).2 This is an unimaginably high rate by today’s standards, when the dominant view in Washington is that a marginal rate of 39.6% (the top † Irwin I. Cohn Professor of Law, University of Michigan. I would like to thank Yossi Edrey, Allen Graubard, David Hasen, Judy Herman, Don Herzog, Jim Hines, Bob Kuttner, Doron Lamm, Jeff Lehman, Kyle Logue, Dan Shaviro, Joel Slemrod, Dennis Ventry, and Larry Zelenak for their extremely helpful suggestions. All errors are mine. * Paul W. McCracken Collegiate Professor of Business Economics and Public Policy, University of Michigan. 1. AYN RAND, ATLAS SHRUGGED (1957). 2. Joel B. Slemrod, The Economics of Taxing...

Words: 13482 - Pages: 54