...Applications: Utility Concerns in Choosing an Assessment Method Randy May works for a small airline based on Nantucket Island, Massachusetts. He recently won two million in the New England Lottery and decided to invest his winnings, ultimately, in a chain of ice cream shops in the Cape Cod area to gain potential future earnings. Figuring he had enough money to open up ice cream shops in both islands of Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard, as well as two shops in Falmouth and Buzzards Bay, he signed a contract with a local builder and began construction of the shops. After beginning the process of construction, he was faced with the next task of hiring employees to staff the four ice cream shops. Throughout his calculations, he estimated he would need a total of 50 employees to staff the four shops, but he did not have any knowledge in how to select the right 50 individuals to hire. Randy asked for the advice of both his friend Mary, a business owner of a lunch counter at the airport and of Ray Higgins, a previous professor who taught Randy HR management while getting his business degree. They both suggested interviews and a work sample test that would include hands on demonstration of scooping ice cream and serving it. In his estimations, Randy figured it would cost around $100 to interview an applicant and $150 per applicant to perform the work sample test. Professor Higgins informed Randy that the validity of the interview is r = .30 and the validity of the work sample is...
Words: 1307 - Pages: 6
...are necessary. If we assume that there is some direct economic relationship between the size of the total capital stock, K, and total GNP, Y—for example, if $3 of capital is always necessary to produce a $1 stream of GNP—it follows that any net additions to the capital stock in the form of new investment will bring about corresponding increases in the flow of national output, GNP. Suppose that this relationship, known in economics as the capital-output ratio, is roughly 3 to 1. If we define the capital-output ratio as k and assume further that the national savings ratio, s, is a fixed proportion of national output (e.g., 6%) and that total new investment is determined by the level of total savings, we can construct the following simple model of economic growth: 1. Saving (S) is some proportion, s, of national income (Y) such that we have the simple equation SsY (4.1) 2. Net investment (I) is defined as the change in the capital stock, K, and can be represented by K such that IK (4.2) But because the total capital stock, K, bearsa direct relationship to total national income or output, Y, as expressed by the capital-output ratio, k, it followsthat or K Y k K Y k 114 Principles and Concepts or, finally, KkY (4.3) 3. Finally, because net national savings, S, must equal net investment, I, we can write this equality as SI (4.4) But from Equation 4.1 we know that S sY and from Equations 4.2 and 4.3 we know that IKkY It therefore follows...
Words: 667 - Pages: 3
...quadratic equations, Solving linear and quadratic equations, Application of equations: profit, pricing, savings, revenue, sales tax, investment, bond redemption, linear inequalities, applications of inequalities: profit, renting verses purchasing, leasing versus purchasing, revenue, current ratio, investment, Maple session on solving linear, quadratic and higher degree equations, solving inequalities II. Functions and Graphs: Introduction to functions, domain and range of a function, Applications: demand, supply and profit functions, demand and supply schedule, value of business, depreciation, Special functions: polynomial, rational, piecewise defined functions, Absolute value function, and evaluation of such functions. Combination of functions. Applications: cost, investment, sales, profit, business, Graphs of functions: linear, quadratic, piecewise defined functions, graphing of quadratic functions by finding vertex, Applications on graphs: inventory, debt payment, pricing, revenue and profit, demand and supply curves, Maple session on functions and graphs III. Lines and Systems: Equation of a straight line, slope and intercept of a line, parallel and perpendicular lines, Applications: price-quantity relationship, production levels, cost, revenue, demand and supply equations, isocost line, isoprofit line, depreciation, appreciation, systems of linear equations, solution of system of linear equations, nonlinear systems: one linear one quadratic equation, solving...
Words: 846 - Pages: 4
...ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: NEW INSIGHTS INTO THE CAUSALITY RELATIONSHIP AN ECONOMETRICS ASSIGNMENT SUBMITTED BY ------------------------------------------------- OLUWAFEMI JOSHUA IBRAHIM MATRIC NUMBER: 121937 LEVEL: 700 LECTURER IN-CHARGE: PROFESSOR E.O. OGUNKOLA November, 2010 1) STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM Electricity plays a very important role in the socio-economic and technological development of every nation. It is widely accepted that there is a strong correlation between socio-economic development and the availability of electricity (Sambo, 2008). It is generally recognized that energy, including electricity, plays a significant role in economic development, not only because it enhances the productivity of capital , labour and other factors of production, but also that increased consumption, particularly commercial energy like electricity, signifies high economic status of a country(Aklas & Yilmaz, 2008). The relationship that exists between electricity consumption and economic growth has been of great interest to many researchers. The study of this relationship arises from the need to understand the complex links between these variables. Such understanding is basic to regulators and investors in deregulated electricity markets, in order to design a system that is reliable, efficient and growth-efficient. The empirical argument has been centered on whether economic growth responds to increase in electricity consumption, or whether...
Words: 4241 - Pages: 17
...of Mathematics in Economics Article authored during M.A. degree between 1987-1989. Introduction Traditionally, application of mathematics had been restricted to the physical sciences, and the theories in the social sciences had been neglected, but in these days we notice that mathematical economics is flying high. We also observe that the articles on mathematical economics and fewer points on economic theory, occupy more prominent place in the economics journals. Arguments given in the favor of mathematics look attractive in the first instance but they are not free of problems. It is argued by many economists that mathematical models are recognized in providing a rational approach to solving many of the problems in decision making, allocation, and forecasting1. Mathematical models present theoretical work in their own language, which is a tool of communication, but we know that a language must be simple and easily understood to be appreciated, but as a language, mathematics is not simple and easy. In this paper, an attempt is made to discourage the excessive use of mathematics in economics, by describing its drawbacks in the economic theory. Attention is given to the scientific nature of the economics. In the beginning some definitions are given and comparison between different models are given, to develop an understanding in the subject. Mathematisation of Economics The major development of the second quarter of 20th century in the field of economics was the mathematization...
Words: 3278 - Pages: 14
...SELECTION BIAS V1.2 Paul Blacklow* School of Economics and Finance, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 85, Hobart, TAS 7000 Paul.Blacklow@utas.edu.au *Presenting Author JEL Codes: I21, J23, C25 Keywords: Graduate Employment, Self Selection Bias, Sample Selection Bias Aaron Nicholas Department of Economics, Monash University, Wellington Road, Clayton, VIC 3800 Aaron.Nicholas@buseco.monash.edu.au ABSTRACT This paper examines the probability of a recent university graduate obtaining full-time employment by degree of study. It allows for degree choice to be endogenous (self-selection bias) and adjusts for those graduates not in the labour force who are not typically considered in graduate outcome studies (sample-selection bias). The self-selection problem is able to be identified by using a unique data set that combines data from the 2005 and 2006 Australian Graduate Destination Survey with data from the University of Tasmania’s (UTAS) student administration database, which includes students’ pre-tertiary school results. Degree choice is modelled using a Nested Logit, while labour force participation is modelled using a Probit. Using a ‘Heckit’ type methodology, the Inverse Mills Ratios (pseudo-residuals) from the Nested Logit and the modified Inverse Mills Ratios from the Probit are included in the final Probit model for Employment. Both correction terms are statistically significant at 5% in the employment probability equation. Allowing for self selection significantly reduces...
Words: 8542 - Pages: 35
...Kasetsart J. (Soc. Sci) 33 : 142 - 151 (2012) «. ‡°…µ√»“ µ√å ( —ߧ¡) ªï∑’Ë 33 : 142 - 151 (2555) Demand Analysis of Ethiopian Coffee in Japan Wolday Gebrehiwot1,* and Apichart Daloonpate2 ABSTRACT Ethiopia is the largest coffee producer in Africa. One of the major markets for Ethiopian coffee is Japan. This paper, therefore, analyzed the determinants of demand for Ethiopian coffee in the Japanese market. The Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) model was used to estimate a system of expenditure share equations for Ethiopian coffee and its competitors. Quarterly time series data from 1988 to 2009 were obtained for the analysis. Empirical results indicated that most of the slope coefficients were statistically significant and in accordance with microeconomic theory. The demand for Ethiopian coffee was determined by its price, price of substitutes, the contamination dummy variable, and total expenditure in the Japanese market. Ethiopian coffee demand was found to be elastic and this has an implication in pricing policy. Keywords: Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS), expenditure share, coffee, Ethiopia, Japan ∫∑§—¥¬àÕ ‡Õ∏‘‚Õ‡ªï¬‡ªìπª√–‡∑»ºŸº≈‘µ°“·ø√“¬„À≠à∑ ¥ â ’Ë ÿ „π∑«’ª·Õø√‘°“ Àπ÷Ëß„πµ≈“¥À≈—°¢Õß°“·ø®“° ‡Õ∏‘ ‚ Õ‡ªï ¬ §◊ Õ ª√–‡∑»≠’Ë ªÿÉ π ß“π«‘ ®— ¬ π’È ∑”°“√ «‘ ‡ §√“–Àå ªí ® ®— ¬ ∑’Ë ‡ ªì π µ— « °”Àπ¥Õÿ ª ß§å ° “·ø®“° ‡Õ∏‘‚Õ‡ªï¬„πµ≈“¥≠’˪ÿÉπ ‚¥¬„™â·∫∫®”≈ÕßÕÿª ß§å ‡™‘ ß ‡ â π „°≈â ¡∫Ÿ √ ≥å „ π°“√ª√–¡“≥√–∫∫ ¡°“√ à«π·∫àß§à“„™â®à“¬ ”À√—∫°“·ø®“°‡Õ∏‘‚Õ‡ªï¬·≈–...
Words: 5325 - Pages: 22
...European Scientific Journal January 2013 edition vol.9, No.1 ISSN: 1857 – 7881 (Print) e - ISSN 1857- 7431 AGRICULTURE FINANCING AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA Obansa S. A. J. Departments of Economics University of Abuja I. M. Maduekwe Departments of Economics and Agric. Economics Department University of Abuja Abstract The importance of agricultural surplus for the structural transformation accompanying economic growth is often stressed by development economists. This lead to the question: Does agriculture financing matters in the growth process? To this end, the need to investigate the impact of agriculture financing on economic growth appears more imperative for Nigeria. This paper employed secondary data and some econometric techniques such as Ordinary Least Square (OLS); Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test; Granger Causality test. The results of the various models used suggest that there is bidirectional causality between economic growth and agriculture financing; and there is bidirectional causality between economic growth and agricultural growth. It further suggests that productivity of investment will be more appropriately financed with foreign direct private loan, share capital, foreign direct investment and development stocks. And also capital-output ratio will be more appropriate financed with multilateral loan, domestic savings, Treasury bill, official development assistant, foreign direct investment and development stock. It is recommended that maintenance...
Words: 11108 - Pages: 45
...CHAPTER 1 ECONOMIC MODELS Economic modeling is at the heart of economic theory. Modeling provides a logical, abstract template to help organize the analyst's thoughts. The model helps the economist logically isolate and sort out complicated chains of cause and effect and influence between the numerous interacting elements in an economy. Through the use of a model, the economist can experiment, at least logically, producing different scenarios, attempting to evaluate the effect of alternative policy options, or weighing the logical integrity of arguments presented in prose. Certain types of models are extremely useful for presenting visually the essence of economic arguments. No student of economics has sat through a class for very long before a picture is drawn on a chalkboard. The visual appeal of a model clarifies the exposition. In this text, four primary models will be presented; the Aggregate Supply - Aggregate Demand (AS/AD) Model, the Loanable Funds Model, an HMCMacroSim simulation model, and the IS/LM Model. All but the Loanable Funds model are inclusive models of the national economy. The Loanable Funds Model is a model of the finance markets and is used to discuss interest rate determination theory. Types of Models There are four types of models used in economic analysis, visual models, mathematical models, empirical models, and simulation models. Their primary features and differences are discussed below. Visual Models Visual models are simply pictures of an abstract...
Words: 8095 - Pages: 33
...Autoregressive Models A More General Dynamic Model Jorgenson's Rational Lag Model 1 1.3 Economic Theory and Models with Lags 1 1.3.1 The Partial Adjustment Model 1 1.3.2 The Adaptive Expectations Model 1 1.4 Interpretation of Coefficients 1 1.5 Estimation and Inference 1 1.6 1 1.7 1 1.8 1 1.9 Let Us Sum Up Key Words Some Useful Books Answers/Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises 11.0 OBJECTIVES After going through this Unit you should be in a position to: state the reasons for constructing models with lagged variables; explain distributed lag models and the Koyck model; explain dynamic or autoregressive models; differentiate between distributed lag and dynamic models; explain the partial adjustment and adaptive expectations models; describe how all the different models discussed so far have similar structures; and describe briefly how to estimate consistently dynamic and distributed lag models. 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION The responses of economic agents, such as consumers or producers, to changes in the economic environment resulting, for example, from a b p s in prices or incomes, are not instantaneous. The responses (and the cbanges causing them) are usually distributed over time. Equilibrium is t?ot guaranteed (recall the basic cobweb model) and movement towards it is g r d ~ ~ ~ , i . iage in the transmission and the Tima reception of information slow the responses of economic agents. In addition, adjustments entail costs which are likely to be positively related to...
Words: 3170 - Pages: 13
...estimate of household gasoline demand in Canada by applying a detailed model to pooled time-series (1969-1988) and cross-sectional provincial data. The model recognises three major behavioural changes that households can make in response to gasoline priče changes: drive fewer miles, purchase fewer cars, and buy more fuel-efficient vehicles. In the model, fuel есопоту is treated in considerable detail. The two components of the fuel есопоту of new cars sold—the technical fuel efficiency of various classes of cars and the distribution of new car sales according to their interior volume rather than their weight — are estimated as functions of economic variables. Car manufacturers are assumed to improve the technical fuel есопоту according to their expectation of consumers[1] response to future changes in gasoline prices and general economic condi-tions. The next three sections of this paper discuss the model, the data, and the estimation results respectively. The...
Words: 6621 - Pages: 27
...published an analysis that has been the benchmark for official measures of potential GNP ever since, and in the process enunciated what came to be known as Okun's law, which relates the unemployment rate to the percentage GNP gap.' Potential GNP and Okun's law became two of the handiest tools of analysis and presentation for economic stabilization problems. Particularly during the first half of the 1960s, when GNP was running below potential and policy was devoted to closing the gap, no sophisticated analysis of the economy failed to identify the loss in real output that was associated with an economy falling short of full employment. The careful estimation of the full employment surplus in the federal budget has been an important by-product of the estimation of potential ECONOMISTS HAVE ATTEMPTED TO ESTIMATE * I want to thank Nancy Hwang and HerbertF. Lowrey,Jr., who did all of the computationsin this paper. 1. Arthur M. Okun, "Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance,"in American Statistical Association, Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section(1962), pp. 98-104. 533 534 Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 3:1971 GNP.2 By estimating the revenues and expenditures that would be generated by the economy operating at its potential level, and comparing these with actual revenues and expenditures, one can determine with a...
Words: 17112 - Pages: 69
...Applied to Economics Input-Output Analysis Introduction: There are several non-mathematical subjects that linear algebra can be applicable too. Economics is a topic that linear algebra can be used to make a formal application, for example in Input-Output Analysis, econometrics, Game theory, and break-even point analysis. As a group we are going to be focusing on the Input-Output analysis, a type of analysis created for the purpose of describing and making predictions of complicated mathematical models using systems of linear equations. It was established by “W. Leontief, who won the 1973 Nobel Prize in Economics” (Hefferon, p.60). In this paper, mathematical and linear algebra formulas, calculations, graphs, diagrams, pictures, etc., will be clearly shown as to further understand the applicability of linear algebra in economics. Calculations and mathematical examples used in economics will be provided in the context of this paper for better understanding. Also, terms and notations used will be explained, derivation and origin of mathematical results will be shown. Definitions: Economics is a branch of knowledge concerned with the production, distributions, and consumption of goods and services. Linear algebra is a branch of mathematics with the properties of finite dimensional vector spaces and linear mapping between the spaces. The equations are represented using matrices and vectors and consist of several unknowns. Econometrics is branch of economics that aims...
Words: 1271 - Pages: 6
...CAPITAL ASSET PRICES WITH AND WITHOUT NEGATIVE HOLDINGS Nobel Lecture, December 7, 1990 by W ILLIAM F. S H A R P E Stanford University Graduate School of Business, Stanford, California, USA INTRODUCTION* Following tradition, I deal here with the Capital Asset Pricing Model, a subject with which I have been associated for over 25 years, and which the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences has cited in honoring me with the award of the Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. I first present the Capital Asset Pricing Model (hence, CAPM), incorpo1 rating not only my own contributions but also the outstanding work of Lintner (1965, 1969) and the contributions of Mossin (1966) and others. My goal is to do so succinctly yet in a manner designed to emphasize the economic content of the theory. Following this, I modify the model to reflect an extreme case of an institutional arrangement that can preclude investors from choosing fully optimal portfolios. In particular, I assume that investors are unable to take negative positions in assets. For this version of the model I draw heavily from papers by Glenn (1976), Levy (1978), Merton (1987) and Markowitz (1987, 1990). Finally, I discuss the stock index futures contract - a major financial innovation of worldwide importance that postdates the development of the CAPM. Such contracts can increase the efficiency of capital markets in many ways. In particular, they can bring actual markets closer to the idealized world assumed by the...
Words: 9378 - Pages: 38
...In economics, demand is an economic principle that describes a consumer's desire, willingness and ability to pay a price for a specific good or service. Demand refers to how much (quantity) of a product or service is desired by buyers. The quantity demanded is the amount of a product people are willing to buy at a certain price; the relationship between price and quantity demanded is known as the demand relationship. The term demand signifies the ability or the willingness to buy a particular commodity at a given point of time. Economists record demand on a demand schedule and plot it on a graph as a demand curve that is usually downward sloping. The downward slope reflects the negative or inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded: as price decreases, quantity demanded increases. In principle, each consumer has a demand curve for any product that he or she is willing and able to buy, and the consumer's demand curve is equal to the marginal utility (benefit) curve. When the demand curves of all consumers are added up horizontally,the result is the market demand curve for that product which also indicates a negative or inverse relationship between the price and quantity demanded. If there are no externalities, the market demand curve is also equal to the social utility (benefit) curve. The demand equation is the mathematical expression of the relationship between the quantity of a good demanded and those factors that affect the willingness and ability of a consumer...
Words: 1039 - Pages: 5