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Fixed Income Case 4

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Submitted By wolfsword81
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I was trading in a risk free market called Treasury bill and Treasury bond. They are called risk-free because the government backs them up. Due to the fact that the government is never expected to back from its credits, the security is labelled risk free. In this trading, there were 3 tradable securities, 2 risk free Treasury bill and 1 Treasury bond. I was given an endowment of $1,000,000 dollars at the starting and I could buy long and sell short. Total time of the trade was 5 minutes (312 seconds). First Treasury bill (TB6M) expires in 6 months and the second one (TB12M) expires in 1 year. A 6-month period time was 312 seconds (5 min) which equals to 1 period. The strategy I applied in the beginning of the first period was similar to that of liquidity traders, in which I was actively trading the TB6M Treasury bill continuously at limit orders to cause price fluctuations. The reason I was focusing on the 6 month Treasury bill was because at the end of the first period, they close out for $100 dollars. I was actively trading it on limit orders to cause price fluctuations which allowed me to get close to mid-market prices. Near the end of the 1st period, I purchased them to my full capacity of my margin loan. Since I was actively trading I missed out on the risk free interest which was compounded on cash and it was paid weekly (12 seconds), for the first period it was 7% (weekly rate 0.1302%) percent and then for second period it changed to 9%(weekly rate 0.1659%). At the end of the first period, I was able to make decent profit of $71,555 by actively trading 6-month Treasury bill and towards the near end of the period, buying them at a good price and then closed them out for $100 each bill. Second period I had two tradable securities: Treasury bonds or Treasury bill. Overall, Treasury bonds looked more attractive to trade in because they also offered accrued interest at the end of the period. When second period started, bond prices were really high and it was not worth to buy the bonds above their face value which was $100. At the same time, Treasury bill which was going to expire in 1 year was relatively under-priced at the beginning of the second period, for which the asking price was around $92.5. I decided to invest all my money in the beginning to Treasury bill and again had to miss out on the risk free interest which was even higher this period (9%) (weekly rate 0.1659%). Bond prices remained high and almost similar throughout the period and Treasury bill prices increased when the period was about to finish. At the end of the second period, my total profit was $150,150 which was solid compared to the average of the class.

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