...Emami Ltd. Stock Note HDFCSec Scrip Code EMALIMEQNR Industry FMCG CMP (Rs.) 588.9 CMP: Rs. 588.9 March 22, 2013 Recommended Action Buy at CMP & add on dips Averaging Price Band (Rs.) 551-563 Price Target (Rs.) 686 Time Horizon 1-2 quarters Price Chart Background Founded in 1974 & promoted by Mr. R.S. Agarwal & Mr. R. S. Goenka, Emami Ltd., a flagship company of Emami Group, is one of the leading FMCG players engaged in manufacturing & marketing of personal care & healthcare products. With over 300 diverse products, Emami’s portfolio includes trusted power brands like Zandu, Boroplus, Navratna, Fair & Handsome, Mentho Plus, Fast Relief & Sona Chandi Chyawanprash. Triggers We expect Emami’s Net Sales & PAT to grow by 16.9% & 219.7% respectively over FY12-14. Growth momentum could continue in its power brands viz Boroplus, Navratna, Fair & Handsome & Zandu, led by higher A&P spends, distribution expansion and brand extensions. The management aims to grow each of its power brands to Rs 8-10 bn over the next 5 years. Strong R&D & aggressive marketing & distribution would continue to support portfolio expansion, like in the past. The company’s sub-segmentation strategy of launching variants and brand extensions has worked out well. Emami is a market leader in under penetrated segments like Fairness cream, Antiseptic cream and Cold cream market. Robust outlook of personal care market could prove to be beneficial for Emami going forward. Even the cooling oil market outlook...
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...The Political Economy of the Greek Debt Crisis: A Tale of Two Bailouts Silvia Ardagna and Francesco Caselli First draft: February 2012; Final version: January 2014 Abstract We review the events that led to the May 2010 and July 2011 bailout agreements. We interpret the bailouts as outcomes of political-economy equilibria. We argue that these equilibria were likely not on the Pareto frontier, and sketch political-economy arguments for why collective policy making in the Euro area may lead to suboptimal outcomes. Most modern sovereign debt crises have been managed in Washington, DC, through the combined e¤orts of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the US government. A distinctive feature of the crisis that has engulfed European sovereign-debt markets since the fall of 2009 has been that the IMF has played only a supporting (albeit important) role, while the management of the crisis has been driven by European institutions: the council of …nance ministers (ECOFIN), the European Council (EC, made up by all the heads of government of the European Union) and the European Central Bank (ECB). To the extent that the IMF is largely a technocratic institution (though of course not entirely immune from political in‡ uence) while ECOFIN and the EC are made up of politicians, one may expect the management of the crisis by the EC to be more a¤ected by electoral concerns. Furthermore, since there are 27 members to the EC, representing countries with potentially di¤erent interests, one...
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