...Annual Expected Returns and Standard Deviation | | US Equity | Foreign Equity | Bonds | REITs | Commodities | Expected Return | 11.27% | 11.10% | 5.20% | 8.97% | 11.57% | Standard Deviation | 15.67% | 15.24% | 10.07% | 12.12% | 18.15% | | | | | | | Correlations | | US Equity | Foreign Equity | Bonds | REITs | Commodities | US Equity | 1 | 0.72 | 0.25 | 0.56 | -0.05 | Foreign Equity | 0.72 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.45 | 0.01 | Bonds | 0.25 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.07 | REITs | 0.56 | 0.45 | 0.21 | 1 | -0.01 | Commodities | -0.05 | 0.01 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1 | | | | | | | Covariance with: | | US Equity | Foreign Equity | Bonds | REITs | Commodities | US Equity | 0.02455489 | 0.017194378 | 0.003944923 | 0.010635542 | -0.001422053 | Foreign Equity | 0.017194378 | 0.02322576 | 0.001381201 | 0.008311896 | 0.000276606 | Bonds | 0.003944923 | 0.001381201 | 0.01014049 | 0.002563016 | -0.001279394 | REITs | 0.010635542 | 0.008311896 | 0.002563016 | 0.01468944 | -0.000219978 | Commodities | -0.001422053 | 0.000276606 | -0.001279394 | -0.000219978 | 0.03294225 | Question 4 Portfolio weights for given Expected returns (generated via Solver) | Min Variance | Portfolio 1 | Portfolio 2 | Portfolio 3 | Portfolio 4 | Portfolio 5 | Portfolio 6 | Portfolio 7 | Portfolio 8 | Expected Return | 0.077691577 | 0.08 | 0.085 | 0.09 | 0.095 | 0.1 | 0.105 | 0.11 | 0.115 | Variance | 0.072897979 | 0.073085745 | 0.074755718 | 0.078050518 | 0.082776348 | 0.088704786...
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...euphoria.†For our investment simulation project, we started out with TK. 10, 00,000 cash at our disposal which we invested in the trading of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) stocks, which is a bullish market. However, investing in such a volatile market required good initial research, investment strategies, and a well-diversified portfolio .Since this was a three-phase project, some adjustments were made to offset market downturns and ultimately increase the portfolio value in our account. As the market was unpredictable, our strategies were focused on risk minimization as well as loss minimization by diversifying our portfolio & by observing other measurement tools like Sharpe ratios, Jensen alpha, correlations & others. In addition our portfolio management was not intensified into these formulas as we also considered some of our predictions about this volatile market & companies. 2. Objective: The main objective of our project is to build up strong investment strategies to cope up with this volatile market with maximizing after tax wealth. To do this we realized that diversifying our portfolio would be the best strategy & that’s why we tried to invest in more than ten industries so that downturn in one sector can be offset by the rise in another sectors stock return. Therefore, while determining our investment mix, we allocated our asset among investments in various industries. Thus, in our asset allocation process, we included investments from industries such...
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...THEORIES OF THE LOCATION OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT 1. INTRODUCTION The movement of capital as foreign direct investment (FDI) that has been seen in the world, and their concentrations at international and regional level has led, for decades now, to the emergence of various theories that intend to explain and justify why that motivate and manage to be determining what factors to establish the place in which it was made. The main ideas of these approaches are discussed briefly herein in order to elaborate on this phenomenon, although there is no agreed explanation regarding the causes of the location of this type of investment and of the features that must meet the destination to attract this level of investment. FDI globally decreased 18% in 20121, reaching USD 1.35 billion. The fragile state of the global economy and the uncertain situation in politics were the main causes. Considering the estimates of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), by the end of the year 2013 FDI will have reached a level close to the 2012 level. With the gradual improvement in macroeconomic conditions globally will increase investor confidence in the medium term, "transnational corporations (TNCs) could convert their record levels of cash holdings in new investments. FDI flows could then reach the level of 1.6 billion dollars in 2014 and 1.8 billion in 2015 "(see Figure 1), although the agency warns that there is a risk that a decline in FDI share...
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...Investment Theory (Master course, ABS) Final Exam 2013 Your Name: Student Number: Signature: Remark: In all the questions of this exam we assume that there is no transaction cost and investors can take long and short positions in any asset without margin requirement. Part I (8 questions, 5 points each; circle one and only on choice that you think is the best. No penalty for the wrong choice.) 1. The excess return on any stock can be seen as a zero-cost gamble because a. it is highly risky, and risk averse people don’ like it. t b. its expected value is zero provided there is no arbitrage. *c. it is priced at zero when there is no arbitrage. d. all the above are correct. e. both b) and c). 2. The stochastic discount factor (SDF) a. is unique when the capital market is mean-variance e¢ cient. b. is a random variable that is used for pricing all other risky assets. c. has an expected value equal to the present value of 1: d. is unique when the capital market is complete. *e. satis…es all above descriptions except a). 3. Consider a trinomial model of capital market in which there are three possible states of economy in one year with equal probability of occurrence. Let s denote the price of the Arrow-Debreu security that pays $1 in state s and zero otherwise. Suppose 1 = 0:2; 2 = 0:45; and 3 = 0:33: Suppose a stock is currently priced at 33:5; and its payo¤ will be 20; 30; 50 in state 1; 2; and 3 respectively. Then *a. there is an arbitrage opportunity because the stock is too...
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...The human capital theory emphasises the need to educate and maintain the workers that an organisation has as they are assets to the company. The human capital is seen as a source of competitive advantage that it is in the theory and proper management of the human capital will lead to greater productivity and efficiency. ‘The educating of the workers is an investment which is equally worthwhile as that of capital.’(Woodhall, 1997) Beeker (1993) asserts that ‘education and healthcare are a key to improving human capital and thence increasing the economic outputs of a nation’. These factors are the ones stressed by the human capital theory and this shows that the human capital theory recognises the need to invest in human capital inorder to generate worthwhile returns. The human capital theory brings out the value that the workers have to an organisation and to increasing shareholder value to the company and thus authorities summaries the human capital theory as ``workers having a set of skills developed by educating and training that generates stock of productive capital``(Armstrong, 2009:238). The human capital theory helps improve and increase skill to the valued workers or human capital that the company has therefore showing the cognisance that the theory takes on investing in human capital as they generate worthwhile returns. The human capital theory encourages the creation of innovative ideas and products to gain advantage over other players in the market by educating and...
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...Theories of international trade and investment Classical Theories (Why do nations trade?) Mercantilism and Neomercantilism: Mercantilism - A belief popular in the 16th century that national prosperity results from maximizing exports and minimizing imports Neomercantilism - The idea that the nation should run a trade surplus - Supporters includes: Labor unions (who want to protect domestic jobs) Farmers (who want to keep crop prices high) Some manufacturers (that rely on exports) Free trade - The absence of restrictions to the flow of goods and services among nations Leads to: - More and better choices for consumers and firms - Lower prices of goods for consumers and firms - Higher profits and better worker wages (because imported input goods are usually cheaper) - Higher living standards for consumers (because their costs are lower) - Greater prosperity in poor countries Absolute advantage principle - A country should produce only those products in which it has absolute advantage or can produce using fewer resources than another country - i.e. France could employ more of its resources to produce cloth Germany could employ more of its resources to produce wheat Labor cost in days of production for one ton: One ton of: France 30 40 Germany 100 20 Comparative Advantage Principle - Country, location specfic - The foundation concept of international trade that answers of how nations can achieve and sustain economic success...
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...Finance theory and Financial strategy Strategic Planning means several things. But it certainly is a part of the decision-making in resource management of the business benefits. Finance theory has significant advantages in understanding the function of capital markets, the valuation of real assets and financial assets. Discounted cash flow analysis(DCF) is a tool that derived from finance theory which has been widely used. However finance theory also has little effect on strategic planning and there are three differences between financial theory and strategic planning: 1. Traditional financial theory and strategic planning might have some differences in language and culture. 2. Discounted cash flow analysis might be used in an incorrect way of strategy therefore it is not acceptable in terms. 3. Discounted cash flow analysis might fail to apply a strategic, even if it is used properly. The most relevant financial concepts in strategic planning is firms’ capital investment decisions and it is also a critical component of “financial theory”. The theory is focused on cash flow and return on the investment. The tool used in investment decisions is net present valued (NPV) which was calculated from present valued minus required investment or which was reduced to discounted cash flow formula because the net present value is a matter of cash flow that will gain in the future. [pic] ...
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...Theories of Foreign Direct Investment Bipul Kumar Das * Abstract: The foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is increasing in the world economy. It plays an important role inthe growth process of an economy. Various FDI theories provide the motivations and determinants ofFDI. Economists broadly classified the FDI theories into macro-level and micro-level FDI theories. Themacro-level FDI theories give the macroeconomic factors that determine the FDI and micro-leveltheories discuss the motivation of FDI associated with the firm level. Besides these two categories,the development theories of FDI also discussed the motivation of FDI flows. JEL Classification : F21, F23. Key words: FDI theories, macro-level FDI theories, Micro-level FDI theories, DevelopmentFDI theories.The Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) theories can be classified broadly into twocategories. One is at the macro level and the other is at the micro level. Again at the macro-level, we have capital market theory, Dynamic macroeconomic theory, FDI theories based onexchange rates, FDI theories based on economic geography, gravity approach to FDI and FDItheories based on institutional analysis. At the micro-level, we have the theories likeExistence of firm specific advantages (Hymer), FDI and oligopolistic markets, Theory ofinternalization, and Electic FDI theory (John Dunning). Recently another type of FDIcategories discussed by the economists is the development theories which combine both themicro level and macro-level...
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...11:45 - 14:30 [MB5.255] Office Hours: Mondays and Wednesdays 15:30 -- 16:30 [Please e-mail me first to confirm] and by appointment COURSE DESCRIPTION: This course focuses on modern investment theory and its application to the management of entire portfolios. It will consist of lectures, discussions of cases and articles, and video presentations. Topics include: a) construction of optimal asset portfolios using techniques such as the single index model, b) extensions of the capital asset pricing model: theory and tests; example, the zero-beta model, c) criteria for evaluation of investment performance, d) active vs. passive portfolio management, e) investment strategies. The Formula Growth Investment Centre Lab will be used to demonstrate the use of specialized investment software. Computer exercises are assigned to illustrate the application of the theory. Prerequisites: FINA 380 or 385; FINA 390 or 395. LEARNING OBJECTIVES To understand the theory and practice of Portfolio Management for Individuals and Institutions, e.g. Endowments, Mutual Funds, Pension Plans, etc. To learn about the key Asset Pricing Models. REQUIRED: Text: Bodie, Zvi, Alex Kane, Allan J. Marcus, Stylianos Perrakis, Peter J. Ryan and Lorne Switzer, Investments, 8th Canadian edition, McGraw-Hill, 2014 [BKMPRS] Text website: http://highered.mcgraw-hill.com/sites/0070071705/student_view0/index.html FINA 411 Cases Fall 2014 [SEE 411 FIRST CLASS...
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...Explain and evaluate the neo-classical theory of long-run economic growth. In light of this theory what useful insights can be gained concerning the economic growth process of the UK economy over the past few decades? In recent year’s macroeconomists have become increasingly dissatisfied with Solow’s neoclassical theory of long run economic growth, through scrutiny of its application to the real world. (Gordon, 2006). In this essay these criticisms are going to be addressed first by explaining the theory, then considering the effect of changing different variables such as the savings rate, population growth and technical progress. The theory will then be applied to the UK economy over the past few decades discussing its relation to slow and rapid growth in certain periods. To conclude, criticisms will then be discussed to value the theory against reality. The neoclassical theory of long term economic growth is determined by marrying the production function and the savings investment line (Gordon, 2006). The production function studies the relationship between real GDP (Y) and the ‘autonomous’ growth factor (A) along with capital (K) and labour (N). This is shown by the equation Y=AF (K, N) (Gordon, 2006). The function tells us that sources causing an increased standard of living derive from the autonomous factor and the capital intensity. The per person production function shows how much output can be produced by a given quantity of factor input and is illustrated...
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...Keynes’s “GENERAL THEORY” valid only for modern capitalism? The modern capitalism interpretation: ............................................................................................ 2 Some evidence in the modern capitalism interpretation: ................................................................. 2 elements of a general theory of employment and potential instability under capitalism: ................. 3 ð A “monetary economy” and the search for pecuniary gains: ................................................... 3 ð Determination of employment in the short period: ................................................................. 3 ð The rudiments of a theory of expenditure and critique of Say’s law: ....................................... 4 ð A more detailed theory of expenditure: .................................................................................. 4 ð Uncertainty, expectation and confidence: ............................................................................... 4 ð Investment, asset choice and liquidity preference: ................................................................... 4 ð Employment and the essential properties of money: ............................................................... 4 ð Potential instability: ................................................................................................................ 5 ð Investments, saving and banking system:............................................................
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...Introduction Managing portfolio and investing in stocks is very risky and could be tricky, as a result, financial experts and investors view it as necessary or smart to know what to expect when they invest. Due to this, different statistical models have emerged to attempt to scientifically measure the potential returns on an investment. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) are two of such models. The purpose of this essay is to critically compare the Arbitrage Pricing Theory with the Capital Asset Pricing Model as used by fund managers in the United Kingdom. Captial Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) When Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965) proposed the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), it was seen as a leading tool in measuring if an investment will yield in positive or negative returns. It attempts to explain the relationship between investment risk and expected reward of risky securities (Ushad, 2011; Reilly and Brown, 2011; Heshmat, 2012). The CAPM helps to determine the required rate of return for any risky asset (Reilly and Brown, 2011). “The CAPM states that the expected return on a security or a portfolio equals the rate on a risk-free security plus a risk premium” (Heshmat, 2012: 504). It indicates that the expected return on an asset has a positive linear relationship with the non-diversifiable risk of the security (beta) (Heshmat, 2012). Ushad (2011) explains that the CAPM is based on the premise that higher returns should be...
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...Financial Theories Overview Edward E. Edgar University of Phoenix Financial Theories Overview The following is an overview of 10 different financial theories prevalent today. The overview will include a brief description of the theory, an example of the theory, and other attributes of the theory. There will also be a conclusion to sum up a general understanding of the theories and their applications. Efficiency theory Efficiency theory has been around since the 60s and, is an extension of the efficiency theory of a capitalist society. Generally the theory is that scant resources are distributed by the owner in an efficient manner. The owner choses the best outcome for his or her investment and regulates resources and products accordingly. This is extended to the stock market in the 60s and has been a prevalent theory since. The theory as applied to the stock market says that all information of the market is fully reflected in the price of the stock and efficiently assimilated (Fama, 1970). Examples Generally stock returns are compared to overall market returns. A mutual fund company will compare their returns to the general stock market return and state they are a certain percentage above or below the market standard returns. Most will try to say they have beaten the market average. This is true for most investing firms and, is used as a selling point for the company or mutual fund. Attributes If this theory was to be taken to the extreme one would have to say that...
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...Investment is made by the investors to earn money in the form of returns. In the early years, investment was based on performance, forecasting, market timing and so on. This produced very ordinary results, which meant that investors were endowed with very ordinary futures, and little peace of mind. There was also a huge gap between available returns and actually received returns which forced them to search for the reasons. While examining the reasons for the deviations they identified that it is caused by fundamental mistakes in the decision-making process. In other words, they make irrational investment decisions. In recognizing these mistakes and means to avoid them, to transform the quality of investment decisions and results, they realized...
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...with professional brokers and investment firms. However, Malkiel states this is a major misconception as he explains in his book "A Random Walk Down Wall Street". What does a random walk mean? The random walk means in terms of the stock market that, "short term changes in stock prices cannot be predicted". So how does a rational investor determine which stocks to purchase to maximize returns? Chapter 1 begins by defining and determining the difference in investing and speculating. Investing defined by Malkiel is the method of "purchasing assets to gain profit in the form of reasonably predictable income or appreciation over the long term". Speculating in a sense is predicting, but without sufficient data to support any kind of conclusion. What is investing? Investing in its simplest form is the expectation to receive greater value in the future than you have today by saving income rather than spending. For example a savings account will earn a particular interest rate as will a corporate bond. Investment returns therefore depend on the allocation of funds and future events. Traditionally there have been two approaches used by the investment community to determine asset valuation: "the firm-foundation theory" and the "castle in the air theory". The firm foundation theory argues that each investment instrument has something called intrinsic value, which can be determined analyzing securities present conditions and future growth. The basis of this theory is to buy securities when they...
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