...AND FINANCIAL MARKET OUTLOOK (June 2012) No replay of 2011 in the cards for Canadian and US economies Part 1. Summary of the Article First article that I chose is the outlook for advanced economic and financial market particularly US, European union, Canadian and Chinese market that are strongly influence to the world market. Source of the Information and analysis are IMF World Economic outlook and RBC Economic research for year 2012 and forecast for year 2013. This paper includes several economic issues such us economic recession and growth, risk, Labour market and Inflation additionally monetary policies for central banks. Researcher and forecasters compared those issues for different countries and they aim to differentiate and discuss for each of the countries and market situation. Overall, the world economy faces significant challenges in the recent years and is expected to grow by 3.5% this year. Authors stated some significant issues and problems and explained them in detail. For example, paper includes several subtitles about European risk and recession situation, Finding the right policy for Europe, China is in slow growth stage, Canada and US economic situation and factors that impacted in positive and negative ways on the economy, Labour market volatility, Housing market, Households income and debt status, Consumer spending shift, Businesses that are supporting market, Canada’s dollar appreciation, Fed and other central bank policy, US labour market trend...
Words: 933 - Pages: 4
...The US economy is expected to grow at a really slow pace given the fiscal outlook and government cuts in spending. It is unlikely that there will be a government stimulus package in 2012 and the reason being a divisive politics in congress and also the piling up of the public debt. Fiscal policy in the past years helped to stimulate the economy especially after the inauguration of Barack Obama. Obama signed into law 787 billion dollar stimulus package in 2009 and helped the economy to gain a boost. The following year the economy stayed kind neutral and in 2011 it was slowing down and losing points gained in the previous years. In 2012 economists are looking forward to the decisions made by government. If the Obama stimulus package that’s about creating jobs, cutting taxes on the middle class people and taxing the rich more will help to neutralize the economy. But that’s unlikely and it will have dragged the current economy to its lowest in three years. The European Debt Crisis The Economic health of Europe is important to the prosperity of US. Europe's ills already have damaged some U.S. interests, from multinational companies to major exporters. Individual investors have many reasons for concern, as the enthusiasm from earlier debt agreements has given way to pessimism and stock market dives. If the U.S. economy takes such a turn into 2012, Europe's financial troubles could wind up affecting the U.S. presidential election. Big American banks have outstanding loans...
Words: 1169 - Pages: 5
...Outlook for 2012 Highlights • 2011 proved an extremely volatile year, largely due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the eurozone sovereign debt situation Growth has slowed throughout the year, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cutting its 2011 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) economic growth forecast for Western economies from 2.5% to 1.6% Developed economies – with the US a major exception - are engaged in austerity measures while the emerging world is looking to dampen its much stronger growth to stave off any threat of inflation Any improvement next year rests largely on the eurozone finding an appropriate solution to its problems Against this background, many investors have fled to what they saw as safe havens, forcing gold prices to record highs and government bonds yields to generational lows Short-termism is rife in such volatile markets, creating opportunities in some asset classes for investors who can take a longer-term view Equities currently look to offer the best value, with many corporates in solid financial shape after applying their own austerity measures amid the credit crunch. Strong balance sheets are allowing ongoing dividend growth Share valuations remain low, reflecting the muted economic outlook in the West. This ignores two key factors: that many Western companies have growing Eastern earnings exposure, and the potential for emerging market equities to benefit from the region’s stronger macro outlook Core Western government bonds represent poor...
Words: 5306 - Pages: 22
...A PRESENTATION ON “GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS” SUBMITTED BY: M.ASWATHI ASHOK AND ANAGHA P.S CONTENTS * GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS * DIFFERENCE BETWEEN US/ EUROPE AND INDIA * RBI’S POLICY, RESPONSE AND IMPACT * LESSONS FROM THE CRISIS * MEDIUM- TERM ISSUES AND CHALLENGES GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS * Proximate causes & Fundamental causes * Current account balance * US monetary policy Policy 1: * Volatility in monetary policy in advanced economies. * Large volatility in capital flows to EMEs. Policy 2 : * US Monetary policy too loose during 2002-04; aggregate demand exceeded output; large current a/c deficit; mirrored in large surpluses in China and elsewhere. Policy 3 : * Large Fed cuts in 2007: strong boost to oil, other commodity and asset prices * Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies * Worsening Global Economic Outlook DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FINANCIAL CRISIS IN US/EUROPE AND INDIA * What has not happened in India : * No bank losses threatening capital * No bank credit crunch * No mistrust between banks * Our Problems : * Reduction in capital flows * Stock markets * Monetary and liquidity impact * Fiscal stress * Oil, Fertiliser, Food subsidies * Pay Commission, Debt waiver, NRE * GFD/GDP ratio: 5.5-6.0% * India’s Approach to Managing Financial Stability: ...
Words: 403 - Pages: 2
...UNIVERSITY OF STRATHCLYDE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION STRATEGY ANALYSIS & EVALUATION ASSIGNMENT 2005 The VSM Group Prepared by: Name Intake Reg No. Ivan HO MacNab 200455775 Vui Soon HO MacMaster 200352369 Franco LEE MacNab 200492442 Kim Loong NG MacNeil 200459087 Roland TAN MacNeil 200459176 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 2 VSM GROUP 1 2.1 Organisational Purpose 1 2.2 Corporate Governance 2 2.3 Stakeholders 2 2.4 Organisational Performance 2 3 MACRO ENVIRONMENT 2 3.1 PESTEL Analysis 2 3.2 Scenario Building 3 4 SEWING MACHINE INDUSTRY 3 4.1 Global Business Environment 3 4.2 Market Analysis & Structure 3 4.3 Industry Analysis 4 4.4 Competitor Analysis 4 4.4.1 Market Segmentation 4 4.4.2 Strategic Group Analysis (SGA) 5 4.4.3 Customer Value 5 5 STRATEGIC CAPABILITIES 6 5.1 Resources and Competencies 6 5.2 Diagnosing Strategic Capability 6 5.3 Development of New Competencies 7 6 COMPETITIVE/BUSINESS STRATEGY 7 6.1 Basis of Competition 7 6.2 Sustaining Competitive Advantage 7 6.3 Basis of Future Competitive Strategy 7 7 STRATEGIC OPTIONS 8 7.1 Improvement on Operating Profits 8 7.1.1 Production Relocation 8 7.1.2 Revenue Growth 8 7.2 Long-term Growth and Strategies 8 7.2.1 Market Diversification 9 7.2.2 Revenue Diversification...
Words: 12176 - Pages: 49
...Opportunities Expansion of online retail operations in Europe Increasing internet penetration in the major geographical markets is a key exogenous factor driving growth in the e-commerce sector. Over the past two years, Columbia Sportswear has made significant investments to expand beyond its history as a wholesaler, selling goods only to other retailers, to incorporate its own retail identity. Over the last two years, Columbia Sportswear has built a good presence in ecommerce through its Columbia, Sorel and Mountain Hardwear brand e-commerce sites. According to MarketLine, the European online retail sector grew by 18.2% in 2011 to reach a value of $200.9 billion. The performance of the market is forecast to accelerate to the value of $472.9 billion in 2016, an increase of 135.4% since 2011. In-line with the forecasted growth, Columbia Sportswear launched its new Columbia and Sorel-branded e-commerce sites in UK, France, Spain, Germany, Italy, Austria, Belgium and the Netherlands. Columbia Sportswear could capitalize on this growing market to further consolidate its global market share. The move of establishing its online presence would also help Columbia Sportswear get more control over the pricing strategy and further extend its brand awareness. Expansion into China Columbia Sportswear entered into an agreement with Swire Resources in August 2012 to form a joint venture to expand the market-leading position of its Columbia brand and to establish and grow the Mountain Hardwear...
Words: 2186 - Pages: 9
................................3 Key Facts...............................................................................................................3 SWOT Analysis.....................................................................................................4 Ikea Group © MarketLine Page 2 Ikea Group Company Overview COMPANY OVERVIEW Ikea Group (Ikea or 'the group') is an international home products retailer. It sells furniture, accessories, and bathroom and kitchen items. Ingka Holding BV, a wholly-owned company by Stichting Ingka Foundation, is the parent company for the Ikea group of companies. The foundation is owned by the Kamprad family. As of August 31, 2013, the group had operations in 43 countries across Europe, North America, Asia and Australia. Ikea is headquartered in Delft, the Netherlands, and employed 135,000 people as of August 31, 2013. The group recorded revenues of E28,506 million (approximately $37,280.1 million) during the financial year ended August 2013 (FY2013), an increase of 3.2% over FY2012. The operating profit of the group was E4,011 million (approximately $5,245.6 million) in FY2013, an increase of 15.2% over FY2012. Its net profit was E3,302 million (approximately $4,318.4 million) in FY2013, an increase of 3.1% over FY2012. KEY FACTS Head Office Ikea Group Olof Palmestraat 1 NL 2616 LN Delft NLD 31 15 215 3815 Phone Fax Web Address http://www.ikea.com Revenue / turnover 28,506.0 (EUR Mn) Financial Year End Employees...
Words: 2518 - Pages: 11
...financial crisis 2 2. Conditions leading up to the Irish and Icelandic economic crisis 3 2.1 The business cycle 3 2.2 The era of the Irish ‘Celtic Tiger’ 4 2.3 The ‘Financial Vikings’ of Iceland 5 3. Financial crisis response 6 3.1 Government response to the financial crisis 6 3.2 The default decision 10 4. Economic outlook and long-term repercussions 14 5. Conclusion 18 1. Introduction to the financial crisis The Great Recession began in 2007 as the United States housing market fell into a sharp decline. Many economists consider the resulting financial crisis to be the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. While the crisis can be traced back to a variety of economic origins, the volatility that existed in the world economy from the 1990’s undoubtedly played a large role (Roubini, 2010). The Asian Crisis that arose after the fall of car manufacturer Kia in 1997 and the burst of the Dotcom Bubble in the early 2000’s resulted in many wealthy countries decreasing interest rates to all-time lows to encourage growth in their economies (Roubini, 2010). These low interest rates led consumers, particularly those in the US, to borrow more money than they could afford to repay (Roubini, 2010). During the financial crisis, credit defaults brought the solvency of a number of major international banks into question, and several governments ultimately had to bail out their banking systems (Rose & Spiegel, 2009). Problems that arose primarily in the...
Words: 5823 - Pages: 24
...Qasim Presented to: Maha Ijaz Economic Overview The US has the largest and most technologically powerful economy in the world, with a per capita GDP of $49,800. In this market-oriented economy, private individuals and business firms make most of the decisions, and the federal and state governments buy needed goods and services predominantly in the private marketplace. US business firms enjoy greater flexibility than their counterparts in Western Europe and Japan in decisions to expand capital plant, to lay off surplus workers, and to develop new products. At the same time, they face higher barriers to enter their rivals' home markets than foreign firms face entering US markets. US firms are at or near the forefront in technological advances, especially in computers and in medical, aerospace, and military equipment; their advantage has narrowed since the end of World War II. The onrush of technology largely explains the gradual development of a "two-tier labor market" in which those at the bottom lack the education and the professional/technical skills of those at the top and, more and more, fail to get comparable pay raises, health insurance coverage, and other benefits. Since 1975, practically all the gains in household income have gone to the top 20% of households. Since 1996, dividends and capital gains have grown faster than wages or any other category of after-tax income. Imported oil accounts for nearly 55% of US consumption. Crude oil prices doubled between 2001 and...
Words: 8225 - Pages: 33
...RESEARCH PAPER 99/14 11 FEBRUARY 1999 The Asian Economic Crisis This paper considers the economic crisis that began in the financial markets of South East Asia in 1997 and the consequences for the economies of the region and the rest of the world. The paper provides a chronology of and explores the factors that led to the crisis. An overview is given of the policy measures that the international financial institutions (IFIs), such as the IMF, have taken to deal with the crisis. Some of the arguments and policy proposals made to try to avoid future crises are also covered. Eshan Karunatilleka ECONOMIC POLICY AND STATISTICS SECTION HOUSE OF COMMONS LIBRARY Recent Library Research Papers include: 98/119 98/120 99/1 Unemployment by Constituency - November 1998 Defence Statistics 1998 The Local Government Bill: Best Value and Council Tax Capping Bill No 5 of 1998-99 16.12.98 22.12.98 08.01.99 99/2 99/3 99/4 Unemployment by Constituency - December 1998 Tax Credits Bill Bill 9 of 1998-9 The Sexual Offences (Amendment) Bill: 'Age of consent' and abuse of a position of trust [Bill 10 of 1998-99] 13.01.99 18.01.99 21.01.99 99/5 99/6 99/7 The House of Lords Bill: 'Stage One' Issues Bill 34 of 1998-99 The House of Lords Bill: Options for 'Stage Two' Bill 34 of 1998-99 The House of Lords Bill: Lords reform and wider constitutional reform Bill 34 of 1998-99 28.01.99 28.01.99 28.01.99 99/8 99/9 99/10 99/11 99/12 Economic Indicators Local Government...
Words: 16600 - Pages: 67
...During the 2000s, there were few national investment opportunities in Europe because of low interest rates that caused government bonds to produce low returns. The solution for European investors was to turn to America where they could buy mortgage-backed securities, an investment that was considered safe and that yielded higher returns than government bonds (Fligstein and Habinek, 2011). When the American mortgage market broke down it quickly spread to other countries, and the global financial crisis was a fact. In this paper I will start off by explaining the background for the mortgage crisis in the US. Afterwards I will try to elaborate how this could spread across the world and make the crisis global. Finally I will discuss why this crisis has been so slow in resolving itself since many countries still struggle in the aftermath of the crisis. My thesis is that: The decline in investment opportunities in several countries in the European Union caused investors in some of the richest countries to buy mortgage backed securities from the US. When these mortgage backed securities defaulted, the crisis turned global. The American mortgage crisis: When the American banking sector gradually got deregulated during the 80s and 90s, the banks came up with new and creative ways to reach out to new costumers. Basically it is conventional economic wisdom to not lend out money to people with bad financial credibility, but an innovation in financial alchemy changed this. By the...
Words: 1711 - Pages: 7
...Introduction The current state of the world economy is quite uncertain. Economic statistics that governments and other financial institutions use to project the economy imply that the world economy is shrinking. Since 2008, the state of the American economy has not been attractive. For instance, the United States economy has not registered any significant growth for the last three years. The 2011 second quarter results indicated that gross domestic product improved by 1%. At the same time, there was slight increase in business fixed investment sector. This was mainly attributed to good performance in software and equipment. In general, the economy seems to be headed for recovery (United Nations, 2010). There were increased product and services exports as well as over growth in consumer spending. Overall federal government spending increased. This was as a result of increased government spending in military. The issue of oil and turmoil in oil producing countries especially in North Africa has contributed negatively to the economy. High energy costs mean that most sections of the economy will experience high production costs. Final products will be more costly to the consumer and thus leading to reduced consumer spending. A broader look at the state of the economy reveals that the economy is headed for a recovery. Most core sections of the economy have begun to register growth meaning that soon the economy will bounce back (United Nations, 2010). Macroeconomic Snapshots...
Words: 7123 - Pages: 29
...economy, unless a recession or depression follows which is the case here. So we can say that the recession is the result of the financial crisis that started in U.S in 2008 from the burst of housing bubble and the subprime lending. There are more types of financial crises: banking crises (bank runs – when depositors withdraw their money suddenly. This type of behavior can result in bankruptcy), speculative bubbles and crashes (when a financial asset price exceeds the present value of future income that would be received at maturity, then presents a bubble. This can apply for stocks. Other examples of bubbles are the Wall Street Crash of 1929, the dot-com in 2000-2001 or the latest US housing bubble.), international financial crises (they can be: currency crises – when a country with a fixed exchange rate is forced to...
Words: 1730 - Pages: 7
...data: trends transforming hotel businesses 14 Economic, travel and supply outlook 20 From Amsterdam to Zurich: Which cities are best placed to grow? 25 Appendices: Full data tables 49 Further reading 52 Contacts 53 Summary This third edition of our European cities hotel forecast is published against a backdrop of a region that has taken an economic pounding but is seeing clear evidence of economic recovery and returning confidence The world is changing at a pace and in this snapshot (taken in February 2014) we look forward to a resurgence in travel and hotel prospects in 2014 and 2015. 2 Room to grow (c)Suzanne Christ In terms of where hotels are compared to before the recession, in nominal terms the market is almost back at its pre-recession peak (reached during 2007) but it remains significantly behind in real terms. For example, European ADR is now only 5.7% below its pre-recession levels in nominal terms but 17.9% lower in real terms. There are 18 cities in this econometric forecast – all are important gateway cities and/or business and tourism centres and some are en route to becoming mega cities. The 18 reflect the challenges facing other cities in Europe where position on the economic and hotel cycle is crucial, and some cities are clearly better placed to grow than others. Room for change and room for growth Europe is the world’s largest tourism destination with over 560 million international...
Words: 18551 - Pages: 75
...‘” for the world wide economy? 6 Fundamental Changes in Origins & Nature of Economic Activity 6 Global warming / Climate Change: 7 Population Growth: 7 Power shift to the east: 7 Innovation: 7 Economic Activity: 7 Impact of Global Crisis on South Africa’s Growth Outlook 8 Conclusion 8 BIBLIOGRAPHY: 10 STRENGTH OF THE RECOVERY All of the world’s high-income countries returned to positive real GDP growth during the fourth quarter of 2009 and the Economist Intelligence Unit’s forecasts for 2010 indicate a return to marginally below the growth trajectory that was achieved prior to the recession. Developed Countries: UNITED STATES Economic recovery in the US has been remarkably strong, with fourth quarter real GDP growth of almost 6% suggesting the presence of a “V”-shaped trend. Further, news emanating from recently published official data includes a recovery of private sector investment in capital formation, particularly on information technology software and machinery & equipment. A recovery of growth in labour markets has also been reported, with the Federal Reserve latest economic overview describing the labour market as having stabilised. The consensus view amongst leading economists in the US is that formal sector job creation will increase to 300,000 in...
Words: 3282 - Pages: 14
