...Macroeconomics: The IS-LM-BP Model When we open the economy to international transactions we have to take into account the effects of trade in goods and services (i.e. items in the current account) as well as trade in assets (i.e. items in the capital account). Opening the economy to international trade in goods and services means that we have to take into account the increased demand for our goods by foreigners (our exports), as well as the decreased demand for our goods that occurs because we purchase foreign goods (i.e. our imports). Total expenditures in an open economy are C + I + G + NX, where NX -- net exports -- is equal to the level of exports (X) less the level of imports (V). Thus, our exports (X) represent spending by foreigners on domestic goods so they increase the level of domestic output. Imports (V), on the other hand, represent spending by domestic residents on foreign goods, so they decrease the level of (domestic) production. To analyze the effect of exports and imports on the equilibrium level of output, it is important to understand the various factors which determine the levels of exports and imports. Exports represent foreign demand for our goods and services. Foreign purchases of goods and services depend, among other things, on foreign income levels (just as our purchases of goods and services depend on our income levels). We assume that foreign income levels are constant, thus, foreigners demand a constant amount of our goods. Whether foreigners buy our goods...
Words: 5599 - Pages: 23
...Translation 5 A. Recording direct business transactions 5 B. Reporting operations conducted through a foreign enterprise 6 C. Measuring the enterprise exposure to the effects of currency fluctuation 7 D. Communicating with foreign audiences-of-interest 7 IV. Financial statement effects of alternative translation rates 7 A. Exchange rates used in translation 7 1. Current rate: 7 2. Historical rate: 7 3. Average rate: 8 B. Risks associated with fluctuations of exchange rates 8 1. Currency transaction risk 9 2. Currency translation risk 9 V. Foreign Currency Translation Methods 9 A. Single rate method 10 1. Current rate method 10 B. Multiple rate method 11 1. Current/noncurrent method 11 2. Monetary/nonmonetary method 11 3. Temporal method 12 VI. Foreign Currency Transactions 13 A. Exchange rate mechanisms 13 1. Independent float: 13 2. Pegged to another currency: 13 3. European monetary system: 13 B. Foreign currency markets 13 1. Exchange Rate 13 2. Types of Exchange rates 14 a) Spot rate: 14 b) Forward rate: 15 c) Swap transaction: 15 C. Hedging foreign exchange risk 16 1. Definition 16 2. Techniques for hedging foreign exchange risk 17 VII. Conclusion 18 VIII. References 20 * Introduction Big multinational companies as well as small and medium sized companies operate in many foreign markets by importing and exporting goods or by having production plants in...
Words: 4613 - Pages: 19
...Pass-Through Effect of RMB Exchange Rate on China’s Inflation Contents Chapter 2 Literature review 3 2.1 Introduction 3 2.2 Exchange rate pass-through effect 3 2.2.1 Narrowly defined exchange rate pass-through effect 3 2.2.2 Broadly defined exchange rate pass-through effect 4 2.2.3 Complete and incomplete exchange rate pass-through 5 2.3 Relevant theories of exchange rate pass-through 7 2.3.1 Theory of complete exchange rate pass-through 7 2.3.2 Theory of incomplete pass-through 9 2.4 Empirical research on exchange rate pass-through 13 2.5 Summary and reflection 16 Reference 19 Chapter 2 Literature review 2.1 Introduction This chapter reviews the theoretical and empirical researches on exchange rate pass-through effect. Specifically, this chapter firstly introduces the definition of exchange rate pass-through effect, incomplete and complete exchange rate pass-through. Then, this chapter analyses the theory of exchange rate pass-through effect, with focus on the reasons for the common incomplete exchange rate pass-through effect. After theoretical analysis, this chapter reviews and analyses the empirical research on exchange rate pass-through effect. A major part in this section is the review of the perspective and method for analysing exchange rate pass-through effect. Empirical researches generally referred to McCarthy (2000)’s research method, used VAR model, and selected specific area and time window data to empirically analyse exchange rate pass-through...
Words: 6617 - Pages: 27
...Lecture 5 - The Market for Foreign Exchange Foreign Exchange Market –Every three years, the Bank for International Settlements, the BIS, does a major survey of the foreign exchange markets. In the latest survey, the BIS estimates that the average turnover in the foreign exchange market, meaning spot transactions, forwards and swaps and currency options, in April 2013 was $5.3 trillion per day. Other years’ results: | |1998 |2001 |2004 |2007 |2010 2013 | |turnover ($trillions) |1.5 |1.2 |1.9 |3.3 |4 5.3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Reduction between 1998 and 2001 due to (1) introduction of the euro which reduced currency trading in the individual currencies that subsequently made up the euro area and (2) trend of consolidation of the banking sector during that period, so there were fewer banks in the fx market trading amongst themselves. One significant change in the report is a significant increase in trading between foreign exchange dealers, primarily banks and their financial customers...
Words: 3545 - Pages: 15
...Abstract INTRODUCTION When first looking at an exchange rates, and foreign exchange, there are a few questions which must be considered. What factors affect the demand and supply of Australian dollars in the foreign exchange markets? Distinguish between the possible causes and effects of currency depreciation and a currency appreciation on the Australian economy. What forces have come into play, if any, in the past few years that have affected the value of the Australian dollar? In addition to looking further into those questions, it is helpful to know what the word Exchange Rate means; it is defined as, “The rate at which one unit of domestic currency is exchanged for a given amount of foreign currency.” A BRIEF HISTORY OF THE AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR Until 1971, the Australian dollar (AUD) was “pegged” to the British pound. This meant that the AUD rose or fell in line with the pound. In 1971, the AUD became pegged to the US dollar instead. These currencies were fixed currencies, which meant that the Australian currency would only change value when a major world currency also changed. This system lasted only until 1974 when the AUD became pegged to a trade-weighted selection of other currencies. This was still a fixed currency. In 1976 this selection of currencies became moveable. Small shifts were able to take place when needed. In 1983 the AUD became a floating currency. This means that the value of the dollar is determined by supply and demand. Initially, the Reserve...
Words: 3252 - Pages: 14
...Meek Chapter 6: Foreign Currency Ch 6 F i C Translation 1 Learning Objectives Why do firms translate from one currency to another? What is the difference between a spot forward and swap spot, forward, transaction? What exchange rates are used in the currency translation process and what are their financial statement effects? How does a translation gain or loss differ from a transactions gain or loss? Is there more than one way of translating financial statements from one currency to another? If so, what are they? y , y How does the temporal method of currency translation differ from the current rate method? What is the relationship between currency translation and inflation? 2 1 01/09/2013 Why do Firms Translate? Facilitates the preparation of consolidated financial statements that allow readers to see the performance of a multinational company s total operations both domestic and company’s foreign. Facilitates the measurement of a firm’s exposure to foreign exchange risk. Facilitates the recording of foreign currency transactions; i.e., f foreign currency sales, purchases, borrowing or lending in the consolidated entity’s reporting currency. Facilitates reporting domestic accounts to foreign audiences-of-interest. 3 Types of Transaction Rates Spot transactions: the physical exchange of one currency for another in which delivery takes place immediately. Direct quote: the exchange rate specifies the number...
Words: 1772 - Pages: 8
...The Australian Exchange Rate Abstract INTRODUCTION When first looking at an exchange rates, and foreign exchange, there are a few questions which must be considered. What factors affect the demand and supply of Australian dollars in the foreign exchange markets? Distinguish between the possible causes and effects of currency depreciation and a currency appreciation on the Australian economy. What forces have come into play, if any, in the past few years that have affected the value of the Australian dollar? In addition to looking further into those questions, it is helpful to know what the word Exchange Rate means; it is defined as, “The rate at which one unit of domestic currency is exchanged for a given amount of foreign currency.” A BRIEF HISTORY OF THE AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR Until 1971, the Australian dollar (AUD) was “pegged” to the British pound. This meant that the AUD rose or fell in line with the pound. In 1971, the AUD became pegged to the US dollar instead. These currencies were fixed currencies, which meant that the Australian currency would only change value when a major world currency also changed. This system lasted only until 1974 when the AUD became pegged to a trade-weighted selection of other currencies. This was still a fixed currency. In 1976 this selection of currencies became moveable. Small shifts were able to take place when needed. In 1983 the AUD became a floating currency. This means that the value of the dollar is determined by supply...
Words: 3256 - Pages: 14
...Accounting Standard 21 The Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates HKAS 21 COPYRIGHT © Copyright 2014 Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants This Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standard contains IFRS Foundation copyright material. Reproduction within Hong Kong in unaltered form (retaining this notice) is permitted for personal and non-commercial use subject to the inclusion of an acknowledgment of the source. Requests and inquiries concerning reproduction and rights for commercial purposes within Hong Kong should be addressed to the Director, Finance and Operation, Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, 37/F., Wu Chung House, 213 Queen's Road East, Wanchai, Hong Kong. All rights in this material outside of Hong Kong are reserved by IFRS Foundation. Reproduction of Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards outside of Hong Kong in unaltered form (retaining this notice) is permitted for personal and non-commercial use only. Further information and requests for authorisation to reproduce for commercial purposes outside Hong Kong should be addressed to the IFRS Foundation at www.ifrs.org. Further details of the copyright notice form IFRS Foundation is available at http://app1.hkicpa.org.hk/ebook/copyright-notice.pdf © Copyright 2 HKAS 21 (July 2012May 2014) CONTENTS from paragraph INTRODUCTION IN1 HONG KONG ACCOUNTING STANDARD 21 THE EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES OBJECTIVE 1 SCOPE 3 ...
Words: 12583 - Pages: 51
...Foreign Exchange Derivatives Definition Any financial instrument that locks in a future foreign exchange rate. These can be used by currency or forex traders, as well as large multinational corporations. The latter often uses these products when they expect to receive large amounts of money in the future but want to hedge their exposureto currency exchange risk. Financial instruments that fall into this category include: currency options contracts, currency swaps, forward contracts and futures contracts. Types There are three types of foreign exchange derivatives used for hedging as follows: I. Forward Hedging II. Money Market Hedging III. Option Hedging Forward Hedging It refers to the Contract to buy or sell an asset at a given price on a specific date in the future. Investors use this device to avoid major losses if the price of the asset changes dramatically before it is exchanged. Money Market Hedging It refers to the Borrowing and lending in multiple currencies, for example to eliminate currency risk by locking in the value of a foreign currency transaction in one's own country's currency. Option Hedging It refers to the right to buy or sell foreign exchange at a specified strike price in exchange of a certain option premium either at the option expiration date or during the option period. * If one acquires the right to purchase foreign exchange, it is called the call option. Buyer of the call option pays option premium & it will be...
Words: 1572 - Pages: 7
...liquidity abundance and downward pressures on real world interest rates. These resulted from mercantilist trade policies and an unprecedented increase in savings and foreign reserves of emerging economies in Asia. This essay will first explain the Mundell-Fleming (henceforth M-F) model and use it to compare current account deficits under different exchange rate regimes. It will also refer to real-life contexts and discuss limitations of the model. The M-F model portrays the short-run Keynesian relationship between an economy’s key macroeconomic variables. The assumptions and implications of the model are as follows: 1. The economy operates on a perfectly elastic aggregate supply curve. This implies that the level of economic activity, Y, is solely dependent on fluctuations in aggregate demand, as per the IS-LM framework. As prices are fixed, P is normalised to 1 and M represents both real and nominal money stocks. 2. The current account (CA) is determined independently of the capital account. PPP does not hold. CA deficits, as we will later see, depends on Y and the nominal and real exchange rate, e. The higher Y is, the greater the demand for imports; and the lower e is, the more uncompetitive domestic exports will be. The combined effect, based on the Marshall-Lerner (M-L) condition, results in a CA deficit. 3. Static exchange rate expectations and central role of interest rates. International interest rate differentials are assumed to result in finite capital inflows...
Words: 2362 - Pages: 10
...Introduction In an open economy, there are no impediments to trade. Goods and services flow freely between business and citizens in one country to their counter parts in another. This section discusses exchange rates, exchange rate adjustments and systems, macroeconomic policy in an open economy, as well as international banking, including international currency reserves, debt, and risk. Learning Materials Open Economy Macroeconomics: Exchange Rates, Balance of Payments and Policy Exchange-Rate Systems With some notable exceptions, most countries in the world have their own currency. Consequently, foreign exchange markets have developed to allow individuals, businesses, governments and other institutions to be able to make payment and receive payment across borders. Each country decides on an exchange rate system, whether they will set their exchange value of their currency administratively, allow markets to determine it, or some combination of those two approaches. Both macroeconomic and microeconomic forces influence the price of each currency in terms of another currency, its exchange rate. Exchange-rate systems include fixed, freely floating, managed floating, fixed peg, crawling-peg currency board, and dollarization. The United States, European Union, United Kingdom and Japan follow managed floating systems. Currency Boards and Monetary Policy Developing countries and small countries with large international sectors are more likely to use fixed systems, peg...
Words: 3258 - Pages: 14
...TABLE OF CONTENTS DECLARATION ii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS iii CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background 1 1.1.1 Derivatives 2 1.1.2 Foreign Currency Exposure of a Commercial Bank 3 1.1.3 Effect of derivatives on foreign exchange exposure 5 1.1.4 Commercial Banks in Kenya 6 1.2 Research Problem 7 1.3 Objectives of the Study 8 1.4 Value of the Study 9 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW 10 2.1 Introduction 10 2.2 Theoretical review 10 2.3 Foreign Exchange Risk Management 13 2.6 Empirical Review 18 2.6 Summary of Literature review 19 CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 20 3.1 Introduction 20 3.2 Research Design 20 3.3 Study Population 20 3.4 Data Collection Procedures 20 3.5 Data Analysis and Presentation 20 REFERENCES 22 APPENDICES 26 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS CBK – Central Bank of Kenya ERV - Exchange rate volatility FOREX – Foreign Exchange FX – Foreign Exchange IFE – International Fisher Effect IFX - Income from foreign currencies as a percentage of total income IRP – Interest Rate Parity MST – Market Segmentation Theory NA - Net Assets NFXNA - Net Foreign Currency Exposure Relative to Net Assets NFX - Net Foreign Currency Exposure NSE – Nairobi Securities Exchange OS - Ownership Status or Nature of Ownership PPP – Purchasing Power Parity CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background The traditional role for commercial banks has been perceived...
Words: 7523 - Pages: 31
...-21 (revised) OFFICE OF INDUSTRIES WORKING PAPER U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE COMMISSION How Do Exchange Rates Affect Import Prices? Recent Economic Literature and Data Analysis Cathy L. Jabara Office of Industries U.S. International Trade Commission Revised, October 2009 Cathy Jabara is a Senior Economist with the Office of Industries of the U.S. International Trade Commission. Office of Industries working papers are the result of the ongoing professional research of USITC Staff and are solely meant to represent the opinions and professional research of individual authors. These papers are not meant to represent in any way the views of the U.S. International Trade Commission or any of its individual Commissioners. Working papers are circulated to promote the active exchange of ideas between USITC Staff and recognized experts outside the USITC, and to promote professional development of Office staff by encouraging outside professional critique of staff research. This paper is a revised version of Working Paper No. 21 dated May 2009. The paper has been updated to include 4 lags in the exchange rate estimation, instead of 3, and a new equation for Latin America is included. JEL codes: F10, F12 Key words: Exchange rates, pass-through, U.S. imports Address correspondence to: Office of Industries U.S. International Trade Commission Washington, DC 20436 How Do Exchange Rates Affect Import Prices? Recent Economic Literature and Data Analysis Cathy L. Jabara U.S. International...
Words: 6701 - Pages: 27
...BOFIT Discussion Papers 19 • 2011 Zhichao Zhang, Nan Shi and Xiaoli Zhang China’s new exchange rate regime, optimal basket currency and currency diversification Bank of Finland, BOFIT Institute for Economies in Transition BOFIT Discussion Papers Editor-in-Chief Laura Solanko BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2011 23.7.2011 Zhichao Zhang, Nan Shi and Xiaoli Zhang: China’s new exchange rate regime, optimal basket currency and currency diversification ISBN 978-952- 462-714-6 ISSN 1456-5889 (online) This paper can be downloaded without charge from http://www.bof.fi/bofit Suomen Pankki Helsinki 2011 BOFIT- Institute for Economies in Transition Bank of Finland BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2011 Contents Abstract ................................................................................................................................................ 3 Tiivistelmä ........................................................................................................................................... 4 1 2 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 5 Theoretical model ..................................................................................................................... 11 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3 Policy goal .................................................................................................................... 12 Trade...
Words: 11867 - Pages: 48
...exchange rate determination “Having endeavored to forecast exchange rates for more than half a century, I have understandably developed significant humility about my ability in this area…”[1] - Alan Greenspan Figure 1: Exchange Rate Determination [pic] Source: Exchange Rate Determination I. Short-Run Forecasting Tools Short-term changes in exchange rates are the most difficult to predict and are often determined based on bandwagon effects, overreaction to news, speculation, and technical analysis.[2] Trend-Following Behavior is the tendency for the market to follow a trend. In other words an increase in the exchange rate is more likely to be followed by another increase. Investor Sentiment is based on the consensus of the market. For example if the market is bullish on the dollar, then the dollar is likely to strengthen versus other currencies. The FX market is quite different from the world equity markets in one important aspect: transparency. In equity markets, rules ensure that volume and price data are readily available to all parties… this is NOT the case in FX markets. In fact large FX dealers are able to observe factors such as: shifts in risk appetite, liquidity needs, hedging demands, and institutional rebalancing.[3] Order Flow - there is evidence of a positive correlation between spot exchange rate movements and order flows in the inter-dealer market[4] and with movements in customer order flows.[5] Three explanations for the cause...
Words: 3260 - Pages: 14
